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diff --git a/39457.txt b/39457.txt new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d519178 --- /dev/null +++ b/39457.txt @@ -0,0 +1,2387 @@ +Project Gutenberg's My Mission to London 1912-1914, by Prince Lichnowsky + +This eBook is for the use of anyone anywhere at no cost and with +almost no restrictions whatsoever. You may copy it, give it away or +re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included +with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org + + +Title: My Mission to London 1912-1914 + +Author: Prince Lichnowsky + +Release Date: April 15, 2012 [EBook #39457] + +Language: English + +Character set encoding: ASCII + +*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK MY MISSION TO LONDON 1912-1914 *** + + + + +Produced by James Wright and the Online Distributed +Proofreading Canada Team at http://www.pgdpcanada.net (This +file was produced from images generously made available +by The Internet Archive/American Libraries.) + + + + + + + + + + + REVELATIONS OF THE LAST GERMAN + AMBASSADOR IN ENGLAND + + MY MISSION TO + LONDON + + 1912-1914 + + _By_ + PRINCE LICHNOWSKY + + _With a Preface by_ + PROFESSOR GILBERT MURRAY + + + NEW YORK: GEORGE H. DORAN COMPANY + +PRICE TEN CENTS + + + + + MY MISSION TO + LONDON + + 1912-1914 + + BY + + PRINCE LICHNOWSKY + + _Late German Ambassador in England_ + + WITH A PREFACE BY + PROFESSOR GILBERT MURRAY + + _Author of "The Policy of Sir Edward Grey," etc._ + + + NEW YORK + GEORGE H. DORAN COMPANY + + + + + WITH THE COMPLIMENTS + OF + + PROFESSOR W. MACNEILE DIXON + + (UNIVERSITY OF GLASGOW) + + +Address: + 8, BUCKINGHAM GATE, + LONDON, S. W., ONE, + ENGLAND. + + + + +BIOGRAPHICAL NOTE + + +The author of the following pages, Karl Max, Prince Lichnowsky, is a +member of a family which holds estates both in German and Austrian +Silesia, and has an hereditary seat in the Upper House of the Prussian +Diet. The father of the present Prince and his predecessor in the title +was a Prussian cavalry general, who, at the end of his life, sat for +some years in the Reichstag as a member of the Free Conservative Party. + +His uncle, Prince Felix, was elected in 1848 to represent Ratibor in the +German National Assembly at Frankfort-on-Main; he was an active member +of the Conservative wing, and during the September rising, while riding +with General Auerswald in the neighbourhood of the city, was attacked +and murdered by the mob. + +The present Prince, after serving in the Prussian army, in which he +holds the rank of Major, entered the diplomatic service. He was in 1885 +for a short time attached to the German Embassy in London, and +afterwards became Councillor of Embassy in Vienna. From 1899 to 1904 he +was employed in the German Foreign Office, and received the rank and +title of Minister Plenipotentiary. + +In 1904 he retired to his Silesian estates, and, as he states, lived for +eight years the life of a country gentleman, but read industriously and +published occasional political articles. He himself recounts the +circumstances in which he was appointed Ambassador in London on the +death of Baron Marschall von Bieberstein. + +Baron Marschall, who had been Secretary for Foreign Affairs under the +Chancellorships of Count Caprivi and for a time under Prince Hohenlohe, +had achieved great success as Ambassador at Constantinople, and also, +from the German point of view, as chief German Plenipotentiary at the +Second Hague Conference in 1907. Baron Marschall was, to use an +expression of Bismarck's, "the best horse in Germany's diplomatic +stable." And great things were expected of him in London. But he lived +only a few months after his appointment. + +Prince Lichnowsky's high social rank, his agreeable manners, and the +generous hospitality which he showed in Carlton House Terrace gave him a +position in English society which facilitated the negotiations between +England and Germany, and did much to diminish the friction that had +arisen during the time that Prince Buelow held the post of German +Chancellor. + +The pamphlet which is here translated gives an account of his London +mission; after his return to Germany he has lived in retirement in the +country, but has contributed occasional articles to the Press. The +pamphlet, which was written in August, 1916, was not intended for +publication, but was distributed confidentially to a few friends. The +existence of it had long been known, but it was only in March of this +year that for the first time extracts from it were published in the +Swedish paper _Politiken_. Longer extracts have since appeared in the +London Press; for the first time a complete translation made from the +German original is now placed before the public. + + + + +PREFACE + + +Never perhaps in history has the world seen so great an exhibition, as +at the outbreak of this war, of the murderous and corrupting power of +the organised lie. All Germany outside the governmental circles was +induced to believe that the war was a treacherous attack, plotted in the +dark by "revengeful France, barbaric Russia, and envious England," +against the innocent and peace-loving Fatherland. And the centre of the +plot was the Machiavellian Grey, who for long years had been encircling +and strangling Germany in order at the chosen moment to deal her a +death-blow from behind. The Emperor, the princes, the ministers, the +bishops and chaplains, the historians and theologians, in part +consciously and in part innocently, vied with one another in solemn +attestations and ingenious forgeries of evidence; and the people, docile +by training and long indoctrinated to the hatred of England, inevitably +believed and passionately exaggerated what they were told. From this +belief, in large part, came the strange brutalities and ferocities of +the common people of Germany at the opening of the war, whether towards +persons who had a right to courtesy, like the Ambassadors, or a claim on +common human sympathy, like the wounded and the prisoners. The German +masses could show no mercy towards people guilty of so hideous a +world-crime. + +And now comes evidence, which in normal times would convince even the +German nation, that the whole basis of their belief was a structure of +deliberate falsehood; which shows that it was the Kaiser and his +Ministers who plotted the war; while it was England, and especially Sir +Edward Grey, who strove hardest for the preservation of peace. + +It is the evidence of the German Ambassador in London during the years +1912-1914, Prince Lichnowsky, corroborated rather than confuted by the +comments of Herr von Jagow, who was Foreign Minister at the time, and +carried further by the recently published Memoranda of Herr Muehlon, one +of the directors of the Krupp armament factory at Essen. One could +hardly imagine more convincing testimony. Will the German people believe +it? Would they believe now if one rose from the dead? + +We cannot yet guess at the answer. Indeed, there is another question +which must be answered first: For what motive, and with what possible +change of policy in view, has the German Government permitted the +publication of these papers and the circulation of Lichnowsky's +Memorandum as a pamphlet at 30 pfennig? Do the militarists think their +triumph is safe, and the time come for them to throw off the mask? Or +have the opponents of militarism, who seemed so crushed, succeeded in +asserting their power? Is it a plan to induce the ever docile German +populace to hate England less? + +It must be a startling story for the Germans, but for us it contains +little that is new. It is an absolute confirmation, in spirit and in +letter, of the British Blue Book and of English books such as Mr. +Headlam's "History of Twelve Days" and Mr. Archer's "Thirteen Days." +Prince Lichnowsky's summing-up agrees exactly with the British +conclusions: The Germans encouraged Count Berchtold to attack Serbia, +well knowing the consequences to expect; between the 23rd and 30th July +they rejected all forms of mediation; and on the 30th July, when Austria +wished to withdraw, they hastily sent an ultimatum to Russia so as to +make withdrawal impossible (pp. 39-40). A ghastly story of blindness and +crime; but we knew it all before. + +Equally interesting is Prince Lichnowsky's account of the policy of +Germany and England before the war. He confirms our knowledge of the +"sinister vagueness" of German policy in Morocco, the steady desire of +England to come to an understanding and of Germany to elude an +understanding. As for our alleged envy of German trade, it was in +English commercial circles that the desire for an understanding with +Germany was strongest. As for our "policy of encirclement," it was the +deliberate aim of our policy, continuing the line of Lord Salisbury and +Mr. Chamberlain, to facilitate rather than hinder the legitimate and +peaceful expansion of a great force, which would become dangerous if +suppressed and confined. + +The test cases were the Bagdad Railway and the Portuguese Colonies. We +agreed to make no objection to Germany's buying them when Portugal was +willing to sell; we agreed in the meantime to treat them as a German +sphere of interest and not to compete for influence there. We agreed, +subject to the conservation of existing British rights and to certain +other safeguards, to the completion of the great railway from the +Bosphorus to Basra, and to the recognition of the whole district tapped +by the railway as a German sphere of interest. The two treaties, though +completed, were never signed; why? Because Grey would sign no secret +treaty. He insisted that they must be published. And the German +Government would not allow them to be published! To Lichnowsky this +seemed like mere spite on the part of rivals who grudged his success, +but we see now that it was a deliberate policy. The war-makers could not +afford to let their people know the proof of England's goodwill. + +Lichnowsky was a friend of England, but he was no pacifist or "little +German." His policy was to favour the peaceful expansion of Germany, in +good understanding with England and France, on the seas and in the +colonies. He aimed at "imperial development" on British lines; he +abhorred the "Triple Alliance policy" of espousing Austria's quarrels, +backing Turkey against the Balkan States, intriguing against Russia, and +seeing all politics in the terms of European rivalries with a background +of war. His own policy was one which, if followed loyally by the German +Government, would have avoided the war and saved Europe. + +There are one or two traits in Lichnowsky's language which show that, +with all his liberality of thought, he is still a German. He accepts at +once, on the report of a German secret agent, the false statement that +Grey had concluded a secret treaty with France. He mentions, as if it +were a natural thing, the strange opinion that the _Standard_ was +"apparently bought by Austria." He describes Mr. Asquith as a pacifist +and Sir Edward Grey as both a pacifist and, ideally and practically, a +Socialist. One must remember the sort of views he was accustomed to at +Potsdam. + +There can be no doubt that Lichnowsky was deliberately deceived by his +Government, and not much that he was chosen for his post in London with +a view to deceiving us. These things are all in gospel according to +Bernhardi. Lichnowsky himself was both an honest and an able +diplomatist, and there is the ring of sincerity in his words of +self-reproach: "I had to support in London a policy the heresy of which +I recognised. That brought down vengeance on me, for it was a sin +against the Holy Ghost." + +If Grey, in the tangle of terrific problems that surrounded him, ever +erred, his sin was not against the Holy Ghost. The attack made on him at +the outset of the war by Radical idealists was easy to confute. If ever +a statesman strove, with due prudence, for peace, for friendship between +nations, for a transformation of armed rivalries into cordial and +democratic understandings, our great English Minister was that man. He +was accused as a maker of secret treaties; and we find him all through +the times of peace, and through all times when choice was still +possible, a steady refuser of secret treaties. He was accused as a +seeker for territory; and we find him, both in war and peace, steadily +opposing all territorial aggrandisement. Such was the policy approved by +the leaders of both English parties before the war. + +It is an attack from the other side that now reaches him. If the war had +been short and successful, this would not have occurred. But a long and +bitter and dangerous war of necessity creates its own atmosphere, and +the policy that was wisdom in 1913, when the world was at peace and our +relations with Germany were improving, strikes us now perhaps as +strangely trustful and generous. Yet, if we try to recover that mental +calm without which the nations will never till the end of time be able +to restore their wasted wealth and rebuild the shattered hopes of +civilisation, I think most Englishmen will agree that Grey's policy was, +as we all thought it at the time, the right and the wise policy. To let +all the world know that we would never join in any attack on Germany, +but would never permit any attack on France; to seek to remove all +causes of friction between England and Germany, as they had been removed +between England and France and between England and Russia; to extend the +"Entente Cordiale" by gradual steps to all nations who would come into +it, and to "bring the two groups of Europe nearer." This was the right +policy, whether it succeeded or failed; and it will, in spirit at +least, some day be the right policy again. + +No Englishman, I think, will regret the generous courtesy which sent off +the German Ambassador with a guard of honour, "like a departing +sovereign." No one will regret our Prime Minister's silent tears when +the war became inevitable, or Grey's conviction that it would be "the +greatest catastrophe in history"--not even if mad German militarists +drew the conclusion that the only motive for such grief must be the fear +of defeat. For my own part I am glad that, at the last interview with +Lichnowsky, Grey assured him that, if ever a chance came of mediation +between the combatants, he would take it, and that "we have never wished +to crush Germany." + +Surely, even now in the crisis of the war, it is well to remember these +things. The cleaner our national conscience the keener surely will be +our will to victory. The slower we were to give up the traditions of +generosity and trustfulness that came from our long security the firmer +will be our resolution to hold out, through whatever martyrdom may be +yet in store for us, until we or our children can afford once more to +live generously and to trust our neighbours. In the long run no other +life is worth living. + +G. M. + + + + +CONTENTS + + + PAGE + +MY APPOINTMENT 1 + +MOROCCO POLICY 2 + +SIR EDWARD GREY'S PROGRAMME 4 + +THE ALBANIAN QUESTION 5 + +THE NEAR EAST AND THE POLICY OF THE TRIPLE ALLIANCE 7 + +THE CONFERENCE OF AMBASSADORS 10 + +THE BALKAN CONFERENCE 12 + +THE SECOND BALKAN WAR 13 + +LIMAN VON SANDERS 14 + +THE COLONIAL TREATY 15 + +THE BAGDAD TREATY 20 + +THE QUESTION OF THE NAVY 21 + +COMMERCIAL JEALOUSY 23 + +THE COURT AND SOCIETY 24 + +SIR EDWARD GREY 26 + +MR. ASQUITH 28 + +NICOLSON 29 + +TYRRELL 30 + +ATTITUDE OF THE GERMAN FOREIGN OFFICE 30 + +IN CASE OF WAR 31 + +THE SERBIAN CRISIS 31 + +THE ENGLISH DECLARATION OF WAR 37 + +RETROSPECT 38 + +MY RETURN 40 + +THE QUESTION OF RESPONSIBILITY 40 + +THE ENEMY POINT OF VIEW 41 + +BISMARCK 42 + +OUR FUTURE 43 + + + + +MY MISSION TO LONDON + +1912-14 + + + + +MY APPOINTMENT + + +In September, 1912, Baron Marschall died after he had only been at his +post in London for a few months. His appointment, which no doubt was +principally due to his age and the desire of his junior officer to go to +London, was one of the many mistakes of our policy. + +In spite of his striking personality and great reputation, he was too +old and too tired to adjust himself to the Anglo-Saxon world, which was +completely alien to him; he was rather an official and a lawyer than a +diplomat and statesman. From the very beginning he was at great pains to +convince the English of the harmlessness of our fleet, and naturally +this only produced the contrary effect. + +Much to my surprise, I was offered the post in October. I had retired to +the country as a "Personalreferent" after many years of activity, there +being then no suitable post available for me. I passed my time between +flax and turnips, among horses and meadows, read extensively, and +occasionally published political essays. + +Thus I had spent eight years, and it was thirteen since I had left the +Embassy at Vienna with the rank of Envoy. That had been my last real +sphere of political activity, as in those days such activity was +impossible unless one was prepared to help a half-crazy chief in +drafting his crotchety orders with their crabbed instructions. + +I do not know who was responsible for my being appointed to London. It +was certainly not due to H.M. alone--I was not one of his intimates, +though he was at all times gracious to me. I also know by experience +that his nominees generally met with successful opposition. Herr von +Kiderlen had really wanted to send Herr von Stumm to London! He +immediately manifested unmistakable ill-will towards me, and endeavoured +to intimidate me by his incivility. Herr von Bethmann Hollweg was at +that time kindly disposed towards me, and had paid me a visit at Graetz +only a short time before. I am therefore inclined to think that they all +agreed on me because no other candidate was available at the moment. But +for Baron Marschall's unexpected death, I should no more have been +called out of retirement then than at any other time during all those +previous years. + + + + +MOROCCO POLICY + + +It was certainly the right moment for a new effort to establish better +relations with England. Our enigmatic Morocco policy had repeatedly +shaken confidence in our pacific intentions. At the very least, it had +given rise to the suspicion that we did not quite know what we wanted, +or that it was our object to keep Europe on the _qui vive_, and, when +opportunity offered, to humiliate France. An Austrian colleague, who had +been in Paris for a long time, said to me: "Whenever the French begin to +forget about _revanche_, you always remind them of it with a jack-boot." + +After we had repulsed M. Delcasse's efforts to arrive at an +understanding with us about Morocco, and prior to that had formally +declared that we had no political interests there--which conformed to +the traditions of the Bismarckian policy--we suddenly discovered a +second Krueger in Abdul Aziz. We assured him also, like the Boers, of the +protection of the mighty German Empire, with the same display and the +same result; both demonstrations terminated with our retreat, as they +were bound to do, if we had not already made up our minds to embark on +the world-war. The distressing congress at Algeciras could not change +this in any way, still less the fall of M. Delcasse. + +Our attitude promoted the Russo-Japanese and later the Anglo-Japanese +_rapprochement_. In face of "the German Peril" all other differences +faded into the background. The possibility of a new Franco-German war +had become apparent, and such a war could not, as in 1870, leave either +Russia or England unaffected. + +The uselessness of the Triple Alliance had been shown at Algeciras, +while that of the agreements arrived at there was demonstrated shortly +afterwards by the collapse of the Sultanate, which, of course, could not +be prevented. Among the German people, however, the belief gained ground +that our foreign policy was feeble and was giving way before the +"Encirclement"--that high-sounding phrases were succeeded by +pusillanimous surrender. + +It is to the credit of Herr von Kiderlen, who is otherwise overrated as +a statesman, that he wound up our Moroccan inheritance and accepted as +they were the facts that could no longer be altered. Whether, indeed, it +was necessary to alarm the world by the Agadir incident I will leave +others to say. It was jubilantly acclaimed in Germany, but it had caused +all the more disquiet in England because the Government were kept +waiting for three weeks for an explanation of our intentions. Lloyd +George's speech, which was meant as a warning to us, was the +consequence. Before Delcasse's fall, and before Algeciras, we might +have had a harbour and territory on the West Coast, but after those +events it was impossible. + + + + +SIR EDWARD GREY'S PROGRAMME + + +When I came to London in November, 1912, the excitement over Morocco had +subsided, as an agreement with France had been reached in Berlin. It is +true that Haldane's mission had failed, as we had required the assurance +of neutrality, instead of being content with a treaty securing us +against British attacks and attacks with British support. Yet Sir Edward +Grey had not relinquished the idea of arriving at an agreement with us, +and in the first place tried to do this in colonial and economic +questions. Conversations were in progress with the capable and +business-like Envoy von Kuehlmann concerning the renewal of the +Portuguese colonial agreement and Mesopotamia (Bagdad Railway), the +unavowed object of which was to divide both the colonies and Asia Minor +into spheres of influence. + +The British statesman, after having settled all outstanding points of +difference with France and Russia, wished to make similar agreements +with us. It was not his object to isolate us, but to the best of his +power to make us partners in the existing association. As he had +succeeded in overcoming Anglo-French and Anglo-Russian differences, so +he also wished to do his best to eliminate the Anglo-German, and by a +network of treaties, which would in the end no doubt have led to an +agreement about the troublesome question of naval armaments, to ensure +the peace of the world, after our previous policy had led to an +association--the Entente--which represented a mutual insurance against +the risk of war. + +This was Sir E. Grey's plan. In his own words: Without interfering with +our existing friendship with France and Russia, which has no aggressive +aims and does not entail any binding obligations on England, to arrive +at a friendly _rapprochement_ and understanding with Germany, "to bring +the two groups nearer." + +As with us, there were two parties in England at that time--the +Optimists, who believed in an understanding, and the Pessimists, who +thought that sooner or later war was inevitable. + +The former embraced Messrs. Asquith, Grey, Lord Haldane, and most of the +Ministers in the Radical Cabinet; also the leading Liberal papers, such +as the _Westminster Gazette_, _Manchester Guardian_, _Daily Chronicle_. +The Pessimists were mainly Conservative politicians like Mr. Balfour, +who repeatedly made this clear to me; also leading Army men, like Lord +Roberts, who pointed out the necessity of universal military service +("The Writing on the Wall"); further, the Northcliffe Press and the +eminent English journalist Mr. Garvin, of _The Observer_. During my +period of office, however, they abstained from all attacks, and +maintained both personally and politically a friendly attitude. But our +naval policy and our attitude in 1905, 1908, and 1911 had aroused in +them the conviction that after all it would some day come to war. Just +as it is with us, the former are now being accused in England of +short-sightedness and simplicity, whereas the latter are looked on as +the true prophets. + + + + +THE ALBANIAN QUESTION + + +The first Balkan War had led to the collapse of Turkey and thus to a +defeat for our policy, which had been identified with Turkey for a +number of years. Since Turkey in Europe could no longer be saved, there +were two ways in which we could deal with the inheritance: either we +could declare our complete disinterestedness with regard to the frontier +delimitations and leave the Balkan Powers to settle them, or we could +support our "Allies" and carry on a Triple Alliance policy in the Near +East, thus giving up the role of mediator. + +From the very beginning I advocated the former course, but the Foreign +Office emphatically favoured the latter. + +The vital point was the Albanian question. Our Allies desired the +establishment of an independent Albanian state, as the Austrians did not +want the Serbs to obtain access to the Adriatic, and the Italians did +not want the Greeks to get to Valona or even to the north of Corfu. As +opposed to this, Russia, as is known, was backing Serbia's wishes and +France those of Greece. + +My advice was to treat this question as outside the scope of the +Alliance, and to support neither the Austrian nor the Italian claims. +Without our aid it would have been impossible to set up an independent +Albania, which, as anyone could foresee, had no prospect of surviving; +Serbia would have extended to the sea, and the present world-war would +have been avoided. France and Italy would have quarrelled over Greece, +and if the Italians had not wanted to fight France unaided they would +have been compelled to acquiesce in Greece's expansion to the north of +Durazzo. The greater part of Albania is Hellenic. The towns in the south +are entirely so; and during the Conference of Ambassadors delegations +from principal towns arrived in London to obtain annexation to Greece. +Even in present-day Greece there are Albanian elements and the so-called +Greek national dress is of Albanian origin. The inclusion of the +Albanians, who are principally Orthodox and Moslem, in the body of the +Greek state was therefore the best and most natural solution, if you +left Scutari and the north to the Serbs and Montenegrins. For dynastic +reasons H.M. was also in favour of this solution. When I supported this +view in a letter to the monarch I received agitated reproaches from the +Chancellor; he said that I had the reputation of being "an opponent of +Austria," and I was to abstain from such interference and direct +correspondence. + + + + +THE NEAR EAST AND THE POLICY OF THE TRIPLE ALLIANCE + + +We ought at last to have broken with the fatal tradition of pursuing a +Triple Alliance policy in the Near East also, and have recognised our +mistake, which lay in identifying ourselves in the south with the Turks +and in the north with the Austro-Magyars. For the continuance of this +policy, upon which we had entered at the Berlin Congress, and which we +had actively pursued ever since, was bound to lead in time to a conflict +with Russia and to the world-war, more especially if the requisite +cleverness were lacking in high places. Instead of coming to terms with +Russia on a basis of the independence of the Sultan, whom even Petrograd +did not wish to eject from Constantinople, and of confining ourselves to +our economic interests in the Near East and to the partitioning of Asia +Minor into spheres of influence while renouncing any intention of +military or political interference, it was our political ambition to +dominate on the Bosphorus. In Russia they began to think that the road +to Constantinople and the Mediterranean lay _via_ Berlin. Instead of +supporting the active development of the Balkan States--which, once +liberated, are anything rather than Russian, and with which our +experiences had been very satisfactory--we took sides with the Turkish +and Magyar oppressors. + +The fatal mistake of our Triple Alliance and Near East policy--which had +forced Russia, our natural best friend and neighbour, into the arms of +France and England and away from its policy of Asiatic expansion--was +the more apparent, as a Franco-Russian attack, which was the _sole_ +hypothesis that justified a Triple Alliance policy, could be left out of +our calculations. + +The value of the Italian alliance needs no further reference. Italy will +want our money and our tourists even after the war, with or without an +alliance. That this latter would fail us in case of war was patent +beforehand. Hence the alliance had _no value_. Austria needs our +protection in war, as in peace, and has no other support. Her dependence +on us is based on political, national, and economic considerations, and +is the greater the more intimate our relations with Russia are. The +Bosnian crisis taught us this. Since the days of Count Beust no Vienna +Minister has adopted such a self-confident attitude towards us as Count +Aehrenthal during the later years of his life. If German policy is +conducted on right lines, cultivating relations with Russia, +Austria-Hungary is our vassal and dependent on us, even without an +alliance or recompense; if it is wrongly conducted, then we are +dependent on Austria. Hence there was _no reason_ for the alliance. + +I knew Austria too well not to be aware that a return to the policy of +Prince Felix Schwarzenberg or Count Moritz Esterhazy was inconceivable +there. Little as the Slavs there love us, just as little do they wish to +return into a German Empire even with a Habsburg-Lorraine emperor at its +head. They are striving for a federation in Austria on national lines, a +state of things which would have even less chance of being realised +within the German Empire than under the Double Eagle. The Germans of +Austria, however, acknowledge Berlin as the centre of German Might and +Culture, and are well aware that Austria can never again be the leading +Power. They wish for as intimate a connection with the German Empire as +possible, not for an anti-German policy. + +Since the 'seventies the position has fundamentally changed in Austria, +as in Bavaria. As, in the latter, a return to Great German separatism +and old Bavarian policy is not to be feared, so with the former a +resuscitation of the policy of Prince Kaunitz and Schwarzenberg was not +to be expected. By a federation with Austria, however, which resembles a +big Belgium, since its population, even without Galicia and Dalmatia, is +only about half Germanic, our interests would suffer as much as if we +subordinated our policy to the views of Vienna or Budapest--thus +espousing Austria's quarrels ("_d'epouser les querelles d'Autriche_"). + +Hence we were not obliged to take any notice of the desires of our ally; +they were not only unnecessary but also dangerous, as they would lead to +a conflict with Russia if we looked at Oriental questions through +Austrian spectacles. + +The development of the alliance, from a union formed on a single +hypothesis for a single specific purpose, into a general and unlimited +association, a pooling of interests in all spheres, was the best way of +producing that which diplomacy was designed to prevent--war. Such an +"alliance policy" was also calculated to alienate from us the sympathies +of the strong, young, rising communities in the Balkans, who were +prepared to turn to us and to open their markets to us. + +The difference between the power of a Ruling House and a National State, +between dynastic and democratic ideas of government, had to be decided, +and as usual we were on the wrong side. + +King Carol told one of our representatives that he had entered into the +alliance with us on the assumption that we retained the leadership; but +if this passed to Austria, that would alter the foundations of the +relationship, and under such circumstances he would not be able to go +on with it. + +Things were similar in Serbia, where, contrary to our own economic +interests, we were supporting the Austrian policy of strangulation. + +Every time we have backed the wrong horse, whose breakdown could have +been foreseen: Krueger, Abdul Aziz, Abdul Hamid, Wilhelm of Wied, +ending--the most fatal of all mistakes--with the great plunge on the +Berchtold stable. + + + + +THE CONFERENCE OF AMBASSADORS + + +Shortly after my arrival in London, at the end of 1912, Sir E. Grey +proposed an informal conversation to prevent the Balkan War developing +into a European one, after we had unfortunately refused, on the outbreak +of the war, to agree to the French proposal of a declaration of +disinterestedness. The British statesman from the very beginning took up +the position that England had no interest in Albania, and had no +intention of going to war over this question. He merely wished to +mediate between the two groups as an "honest broker" and smooth over +difficulties. He therefore by no means took sides with the Entente, and +during the eight months or so of the negotiations his goodwill and his +authoritative influence contributed in no small degree to the attainment +of an agreement. We, instead of adopting an attitude similar to the +English one, invariably took up the position which was prescribed for us +by Vienna. Count Mensdorff was the leader of the Triple Alliance in +London; I was his "second." It was my duty to support his proposals. +That clever and experienced man Count Szoegyenyi was conducting affairs +in Berlin. His refrain was "Then the _casus foederis_ will arise," and +when I once ventured to doubt the truth of this conclusion I was +severely reprimanded for "Austrophobia." It was also said that I had an +"hereditary weakness"--the allusion being to my father. + +On all questions we took sides with Austria and Italy--about Albania, a +Serbian port on the Adriatic, Scutari, and also about the delimitation +of the frontiers of Albania--while Sir E. Grey hardly ever supported the +French or Russian claims. He mostly supported our group in order not to +give a pretext like the one a dead Archduke was to furnish later on. +Thus with his assistance it was possible to coax King Nikita out of +Scutari again. Otherwise this question would already have led to a +world-war, as we should certainly not have ventured to induce "our ally" +to give way. + +Sir E. Grey conducted the negotiations with circumspection, calm, and +tact. When a question threatened to become involved, he sketched a +formula for agreement which was to the point and was always accepted. +His personality inspired equal confidence in all the participants. + +As a matter of fact we had again successfully emerged from one of those +trials of strength which characterise our policy. Russia had been +obliged to give way to us on all points, as she was never in a position +to procure success for the Serbian aims. Albania was established as a +vassal state of Austria and Serbia was pressed back from the sea. Hence +this conference resulted in a fresh humiliation for Russian self-esteem. +As in 1878 and in 1908, we had opposed the Russian plans although no +_German_ interests were involved. Bismarck was clever enough to mitigate +the mistake of the Congress by the secret treaty and by his attitude in +the Battenberg question; but we continued to pursue in London the +dangerous path, upon which we had once more entered in the Bosnian +question, nor did we leave it in time when it led to the precipice. + +The ill-humour which prevailed in Russia at that time was shown during +the conference by attacks in the Russian Press against my Russian +colleague and Russian diplomacy. The dissatisfied circles made capital +of his German descent and Roman Catholicism, his reputation as a friend +of Germany, and the accident that he was related both to Count Mensdorff +and to me. Without possessing a very distinguished personality, Count +Benckendorff is endowed with a number of qualifications that distinguish +a good diplomat--tact, polished manners, experience, courtesy, and a +natural eye for men and matters. He was always at pains to avoid a +brusque attitude, and was supported in this by England and France. + +Later I once remarked to him: "I presume that Russian feeling is very +anti-German." He replied: "There are also very strong and influential +pro-German circles, but in general people are anti-Austrian." + +It is hardly necessary to add that our "Austrophilie a outrance" +(friendship for Austria through thick and thin) was hardly calculated to +loosen the Entente and to direct Russia towards her Asiatic interests! + + + + +THE BALKAN CONFERENCE + + +At the same time the Balkan Conference was sitting in London and I had +occasion to come into contact with the leaders of the Balkan States. M. +Venizelos was certainly the most distinguished personality. At that time +he was anything rather than anti-German, and visited me several times; +he was especially fond of wearing the ribbon of the Order of the Red +Eagle--he even wore it at the French Embassy. His prepossessing charm +and ways of a man of the world secured him much sympathy. Next to him M. +Daneff, at that time Bulgarian Premier and confidant of Count Berchtold, +played a great part. He gave the impression of a subtle and energetic +man, and it is probably only due to the influence of his Vienna and +Budapest friends, of whose homage he often made fun, that he was induced +to commit the folly of entering upon the second Balkan War and of +refusing Russian arbitration. + +M. Take Jonescu was also frequently in London and then visited me +regularly. I knew him from the time when I was Secretary at Bucharest. +He was also one of Herr von Kiderlen's friends. In London he was +endeavouring to obtain concessions to Rumania from M. Daneff by means of +negotiations, in which he was assisted by the very able Rumanian +Ambassador Misu. It is known that Bulgarian opposition brought about the +failure of these negotiations. Count Berchtold (and we of course with +him) was entirely on Bulgaria's side, otherwise by putting pressure on +M. Daneff we might have secured the desired satisfaction for Rumania and +placed her under an obligation to us; she was finally estranged from the +Central Powers by Austria's attitude during and after the second Balkan +War. + + + + +THE SECOND BALKAN WAR + + +The defeat of Bulgaria in the second Balkan War and the victory of +Serbia, with the Rumanian invasion, naturally constituted a humiliation +for Austria. The plan to rectify this by an expedition against Serbia +seems to have been evolved in Vienna soon after. The Italian revelations +prove this, and it may be assumed that Marquis San Giuliano, who +described the plan--most aptly--as a _pericolosissima aventura_, saved +us from being involved in a world-war as early as the summer of 1913. + +Owing to the intimacy of Russo-Italian relations, the Vienna plan was +doubtless known in Petrograd. In any case, M. Sazonow openly declared at +Constanza, as M. Take Jonescu told me, that an Austrian attack on Serbia +would be a _casus belli_ for Russia. + +When one of my staff returned from leave in Vienna in the spring of 1914 +he said that Herr von Tschirschky had declared that there would soon be +war. As I, however, was always left in ignorance about important events +I considered this pessimism to be unfounded. + +As a matter of fact it would appear that, ever since the peace of +Bucharest, Vienna was bent on securing a revision of the treaty by her +own effort and was apparently only waiting for a favourable pretext. +Vienna statesmen could, of course, depend on our support. They were +aware of that, as they had been repeatedly accused of lack of firmness. +In fact, Berlin was pressing for a "rehabilitation of Austria." + + + + +LIMAN VON SANDERS + + +When I returned to London in December, 1913, from a lengthy leave, the +Liman von Sanders question had led to a fresh crisis in our relations +with Russia. Sir E. Grey, not without concern, pointed out to me the +excitement there was in Petrograd over it: "I have never seen them so +excited." + +I received instructions from Berlin to request the Minister to exert a +restraining influence in Petrograd, and to assist us in settling the +dispute. Sir Edward gladly did this, and his intervention contributed in +no small degree to smooth the matter over. My good relations with Sir +Edward and his great influence in Petrograd were repeatedly made use of +in similar manner when we wished to attain anything there, as our +representative proved himself quite useless for such a purpose. + +During the fateful days of July, 1914, Sir Edward said to me: "When you +want to obtain anything in Petrograd you always apply to me, but if I +appeal to you for your influence in Vienna you fail me." + + + + +THE COLONIAL TREATY + + +The good and confidential relations which I had succeeded in +establishing, not only with society and the most influential people like +Sir E. Grey and Mr. Asquith, but also with the great public at public +dinners, produced a marked improvement in the relations of the two +countries. Sir Edward honestly tried to confirm this _rapprochement_, +and his intentions were most apparent on two questions--the Colonial and +the Bagdad Railway Treaties. + +In 1898 Count Hatzfeld and Mr. Balfour had signed a secret agreement +dividing the Portuguese colonies into economic spheres of influence +between us and England. As the Government of Portugal had neither the +power nor the means to open up her extended possessions or to administer +them properly, she had already thought of selling them before and thus +relieving her financial burdens. An agreement had been come to between +us and England which defined the interests of both parties, and which +was of the greater value because Portugal is entirely dependent on +England, as is generally known. + +On the face of it this agreement was to safeguard the integrity and +independence of the Portuguese State, and merely declared the intention +of being of financial and economic assistance to the Portuguese. +Literally, therefore, it did not contravene the ancient Anglo-Portuguese +Alliance of the fifteenth century, which was last renewed under Charles +II. and gave a reciprocal territorial guarantee. + +In spite of this, owing to the endeavours of Marquis Soveral, who was +presumably aware of the Anglo-German agreement, a new treaty--the +so-called Treaty of Windsor--was concluded between England and Portugal +in 1899, confirming the old agreements, which had always remained in +force. + +The object of negotiations between us and England, which had commenced +before my arrival, was to amend and improve our agreement of 1898, as it +had proved unsatisfactory on several points as regards geographical +delimitation. Thanks to the accommodating attitude of the British +Government I succeeded in making the new agreement fully accord with our +wishes and interests. The whole of Angola up to the 20th degree of +longitude was assigned to us, so that we stretched up to the Congo State +from the south; we also acquired the valuable islands of San Thome and +Principe, which are north of the Equator and therefore really in the +French sphere of influence, a fact which caused my French colleague to +enter strong but unavailing protests. + +Further, we obtained the northern part of Mozambique; the Licango formed +the border. + +The British Government showed the greatest consideration for our +interests and wishes. Sir E. Grey intended to demonstrate his goodwill +towards us, but he also wished to assist our colonial development as a +whole, as England hoped to divert the German development of strength +from the North Sea and Western Europe to the Ocean and to Africa. "We +don't want to grudge Germany her colonial development," a member of the +Cabinet said to me. + +The British Government originally intended to include the Congo State in +the agreement, which would have given us the right of pre-emption and +enabled us to penetrate it economically. We refused this offer nominally +in view of Belgian susceptibilities. Perhaps we wished to be economical +of successes? With regard also to the practical realisation of its real +though unexpressed intention--the later actual partition of the +Portuguese colonies--the treaty in its new form showed marked +improvements and advantages as compared with the old one. Cases had been +specified which empowered us to take steps to guard our interests in +the districts assigned to us. These were couched in such a manner that +it was really left to us to decide when "vital" interests arose, so +that, with Portugal entirely dependent on England, it was only necessary +to cultivate further good relations with England in order to carry out +our joint intentions at a later date with English assent. + +Sir E. Grey showed the sincerity of the British Government's desire to +respect our rights by referring to us Englishmen who wished to invest +capital and asked for the support of the British Government in the +districts assigned to us by the new agreement, even before this was +completed and signed, and by informing them that their enterprise +belonged to our sphere of influence. + +The agreement was practically completed at the time of the King's visit +to Berlin in May, 1913. At that time a conference took place in Berlin +under the presidency of the Imperial Chancellor; in this conference I +also took part, and certain further wishes of ours were defined. On my +return to London I succeeded, with the assistance of Councillor of +Legation von Kuehlmann, who was working at the agreement with Mr. Parker, +in having our last proposals incorporated, so that the whole agreement +could be paragraphed by Sir E. Grey and by me in August, 1913, before I +went on leave. + +But now fresh difficulties arose which prevented its being signed, and I +did not obtain the authorisation to conclude it till a year later--that +is, shortly before the outbreak of the war. It was, however, never +signed. + +Sir E. Grey was only willing to sign _if the agreement were published +together with those of 1898 and 1899_. England had, as he said, no other +secret treaties besides these, and it was contrary to established +principles to keep binding agreements secret. Therefore he could not +make any agreement without publishing it. He was, however, willing to +accede to our wishes with regard to the time and manner of publication, +provided that such publication took place within one year from the date +of signature. + +At our Foreign Office, where my London successes had caused increasing +dissatisfaction, and where an influential personage, who acted the part +of Herr von Holstein, wanted the London post for himself, I was informed +that the publication would endanger our interests in the colonies, as +the Portuguese would then not give us any more concessions. + +The futility of this objection is apparent from the consideration that +the Portuguese, in view of the closeness of Anglo-Portuguese relations, +were most probably just as well aware of the old agreement as of our new +arrangements, and that the influence which England possesses at Lisbon +renders their Government completely impotent in face of an Anglo-German +agreement. + +Another pretext had therefore to be found for wrecking the treaty. It +was suggested that the publication of the Treaty of Windsor, which had +been concluded during the time of Prince Hohenlohe--though it was only a +renewal of the Treaty of Charles II., which had always remained in +force--might endanger the position of Herr von Bethmann Hollweg, as a +proof of British hypocrisy and perfidy! + +I pointed out that the preamble of our agreement expressed the same +thing as the Treaty of Windsor and as other similar treaties, namely, +that we would protect the sovereign rights of Portugal and the +inviolability of its possessions. In vain! In spite of repeated +discussions with Sir E. Grey, at which he made many fresh suggestions +for the publication, the Foreign Office persisted in its attitude, and +finally arranged with Sir E. Goschen that matters should be left as they +were! + +The treaty, which offered us extraordinary advantages, the result of +more than a year's work, was thus dropped because it would have been a +public success for me. + +When I mentioned the subject to Mr. Harcourt at a dinner at the Embassy +in the spring of 1914, the Minister for the Colonies told me that he was +placed in a difficult position, and did not know how to act. The present +position was intolerable--he wished to safeguard our interests, but was +in doubt whether he should proceed on the terms of the old or the new +treaty. It was therefore urgently desirable to clear up the situation +and to settle the matter, which had dragged on for such a long time. + +In reply to a dispatch in this sense I received instructions couched in +terms which showed more emotion than civility, telling me to abstain +from any further interference in the matter. + +I now regret that I did not immediately travel to Berlin and place my +post at the disposal of the monarch, and that I had not lost faith in +the possibility of arriving at an understanding with those in authority, +a sinister mistake which was to take its revenge a few months later in +such a tragical way. + +However little I even then enjoyed the goodwill of the highest official +of the Empire, as he feared that I was aspiring to his post, yet I must +in justice to him say that during our last interview before the outbreak +of war, at the end of June, 1914, to which I will refer later, he gave +me his assent for the signature and publication of the treaty. In spite +of this it required repeated applications on my part, which were +supported by Herr Dr. Solf in Berlin, before sanction was finally +obtained at the end of July, 1914. As the Serbian crisis at that time +already imperilled the peace of Europe, the completion of the treaty had +to be postponed. It also is one of the sacrifices of this war. + + + + +THE BAGDAD TREATY + + +At the same time I was negotiating in London, with the able support of +Herr von Kuehlmann, about the so-called Bagdad Treaty. The real object of +this was to divide up Asia Minor into spheres of influence, although +this term was anxiously avoided in view of the rights of the Sultan. Sir +E. Grey also repeatedly stated that there were in existence no +agreements with France and Russia about the partition of Asia Minor. + +In consultation with a Turkish representative, Hakki Pasha, all economic +questions concerning German undertakings were settled in the main +according to the wishes of the Deutsche Bank. The most important +concession Sir E. Grey made to me personally was the continuation of the +railway as far as Basra. We had dropped this point in favour of the +connection to Alexandretta; up to that time Bagdad had been the terminal +point of the railway. An international commission was to regulate +navigation on the Shatt-el-Arab. We were also to have a share in the +harbour works at Basra, and received rights for the navigation of the +Tigris, which hitherto had been a monopoly of the firm of Lynch. + +By this treaty the whole of Mesopotamia as far as Basra was included +within our sphere of influence (without prejudice to already existing +British navigation rights on the Tigris and the rights of the Wilcox +irrigation works), as well as the whole district of the Bagdad and +Anatolian railway. + +The coast of the Persian Gulf and the Smyrna-Aidin railway were +recognised as the British economic sphere, Syria as the French, and +Armenia as the Russian. If both treaties were executed and published, an +agreement with England would be reached which would preclude all doubts +about the possibility of an "Anglo-German co-operation." + + + + +THE QUESTION OF THE NAVY + + +The Naval question was and is the most delicate of all. It is not always +regarded rightly. + +The creation of a powerful fleet on the other side of the North Sea--the +development of the greatest military power of the Continent into the +greatest naval power as well--was bound to be felt in England as at +least "inconvenient." There can be no doubt about this in any reasonable +view. In order to maintain her advantage and not to become dependent, in +order to secure the rule over the seas which is necessary for her if she +is not to starve, she was compelled to undertake armaments and +expenditure which weighed heavily on the tax-payer. England's +international position would be threatened, however, if our policy +created the belief that warlike developments might ensue--a state of +affairs which had almost been reached during the time of the Morocco +crises and the Bosnian problem. + +Great Britain had become reconciled to our fleet _within its then +appointed limits_, but it was certainly not welcome, and was one of the +causes--though not the only cause and perhaps not the most important--of +her adhesion to France and Russia; but on account of the fleet _alone_ +England would not have drawn the sword any more than on account of our +trade, which has been alleged to have produced jealousy and finally war. + +From the very beginning I maintained that, _notwithstanding_ the fleet, +it would be possible to arrive at a friendly understanding and +_rapprochement_ if we did not introduce a new Navy Bill and _our policy +were indubitably pacific_. I also avoided mention of the fleet and the +word never passed between Sir E. Grey and me. On one occasion Sir E. +Grey said at a meeting of the Cabinet, "The present German Ambassador +has never mentioned the fleet to me." + +During my tenure of office Mr. Churchill, then First Lord of the +Admiralty, proposed, as is known, the so-called "Naval holiday" and +suggested for financial reasons, and probably also to meet the pacific +wishes of his party, a year's pause in armaments. Officially Sir E. Grey +did not support the proposal; he never mentioned it to me, but Mr. +Churchill repeatedly spoke to me about it. + +I am convinced that his suggestion was honest, as prevarication is +altogether foreign to English nature. It would have been a great success +for Mr. Churchill if he could have come before the country with +reductions of expenditure and freed it from the nightmare of armaments +that weighed on the people. + +I replied that for technical reasons it would be difficult to agree to +his plan. What was to become of the workmen who were engaged for this +purpose, and what of the technical staff? Our Naval programme had been +decided on, and it would be difficult to alter it in any way. On the +other hand we had no intention of exceeding it. But he reverted to it +again and pointed out that the sums used for enormous armaments might +better be employed for other and useful purposes. I replied that this +expenditure too benefited our home industries. + +Through interviews with Sit W. Tyrrell, Sir E. Grey's principal private +secretary, I managed to have the question removed from the agenda +without causing any ill-feeling, although it was again referred to in +Parliament, and to prevent any official proposal being made. It was, +however, a pet idea of Mr. Churchill's and the Government's, and I think +that by entering upon his plan and the formula 16:10 for battleships we +might have given tangible proof of our goodwill, and strengthened and +encouraged the tendency (which already prevailed in the Government) to +enter into closer relations with us. + +But, as I have said, it was possible to arrive at an understanding _in +spite of the fleet_ and without a "Naval holiday." I had always regarded +my mission from this point of view, and I had also succeeded in +realising my plans when the outbreak of war destroyed everything I had +achieved. + + + + +COMMERCIAL JEALOUSY + + +The "commercial jealousy," about which we hear so much, is based on a +wrong conception of the circumstances. Certainly Germany's rise as a +commercial power after the war of 1870 and during the following decades +was a menace to British commercial circles which, with their industries +and export-houses, had held a virtual monopoly of trade. The increasing +commerce with Germany, which was the leading country in Europe as +regards British exports--a fact to which I invariably referred in my +public speeches--had, however, given rise to the wish to maintain +friendly relations with their best customer and business friend, and had +driven all other considerations into the background. + +The Briton is matter-of-fact--he takes things as they are and does not +tilt against windmills. Notably in commercial circles I encountered the +most friendly spirit and the endeavour to further our common economic +interests. As a matter of fact nobody in them took any interest in the +Russian, Italian, Austrian, or even in the French representative, in +spite of his striking personality and his political successes. Only the +German and American Ambassadors attracted public attention. + +In order to get into touch with important commercial circles, I accepted +invitations from the United Chambers of Commerce, and from the London +and Bradford Chamber, and was the guest of the cities of Newcastle and +Liverpool. I was well received everywhere; Manchester, Glasgow, and +Edinburgh had also invited me, and I intended to go there later. + +People who did not understand British conditions and did not realise the +importance of "public dinners," also people to whom my successes were +unwelcome, reproached me with having done harm with my speeches. I +believe on the contrary that by appearing in public and emphasising +common commercial interests I contributed in no small measure to the +improvement of relations, quite apart from the fact that it would have +been clumsy and churlish to refuse all invitations. + +In all other circles I also met with the most friendly reception and +hearty co-operation--at Court, in society, and from the Government. + + + + +THE COURT AND SOCIETY + + +The King, although not a genius, is a simple and well-meaning man with +sound common sense; he demonstrated his goodwill towards me and was +frankly desirous of furthering my task. Although the British +Constitution leaves only very limited powers to the Crown, yet the +monarch, in virtue of his position, can exercise a considerable +influence on opinion both in society and in the Government. The Crown is +the apex of the social pyramid; it sets the fashion. Society, which is +principally Unionist (Conservative), has always taken an active interest +in politics a habit which the ladies share. It is represented in the +House of Lords, the House of Commons, and hence also in the Cabinet. An +Englishman either is a member of society, or he would like to be one. It +is his constant endeavour to be a "Gentleman," and even people of +undistinguished origin, like Mr. Asquith, delight to mingle in society +and the company of beautiful and fashionable women. + +The British gentlemen of both parties have the same education, go to +the same colleges and universities, have the same recreations--golf, +cricket, lawn-tennis, or polo. All have played cricket and football in +their youth; they have the same habits of life, and spend the week-end +in the country. There is no social cleavage between the parties, but +only a political one; in recent years it has so far developed into a +social cleavage that the politicians of the two camps avoid social +intercourse with one another. Even on the neutral territory of an +Embassy one did not venture to mingle the two parties, as since the Veto +and Home Rule Bills the Unionists have ostracised the Radicals. When the +King and Queen dined with us a few months after my arrival, Lord +Londonderry left the house after dinner, as he did not wish to remain +together with Sir E. Grey. But it is not a difference of caste or +education as in France; they are not two separate worlds, but the same +world, and the opinion about a foreigner is a common one, and not +without influence on his political position, whether Mr. Asquith be +governing or Lord Lansdowne. + +There has been no difference of caste in England since the time of the +Stuarts, and since the Guelphs and Whig oligarchy, in contrast to the +Tory landed gentry encouraged the rise of an urban middle-class. It is +rather a difference of political opinions about questions of +constitutional law and taxation. Especially aristocrats like Grey, +Churchill, Harcourt, Crewe, who joined the people's party--the +Radicals--were most hated by the Unionist aristocracy; one never met any +of these gentlemen at any of the great aristocratic houses, except at +those of a few party friends. + +We were received in London with open arms and both parties rivalled one +another in courtesy towards us. In view of the close relationship +between politics and society in England, it would be wrong to +undervalue social relations, even when the majority of the upper ten +thousand are in opposition to the Government. + +There is not the same unbridgeable gulf between Mr. Asquith and the Duke +of Devonshire that there is between, say, M. Briand and the Due de +Doudeauville. Certainly they do not consort together in times of great +tension; they belong to two separate social groups, but these are parts +of the _same_ society, though of different grades, the centre of which +is the Court. They have common friends and habits of life; mostly they +have known each other from their youth up and also are frequently +related to one another either by blood or marriage. + +Phenomena like Mr. Lloyd George--the man of the people, petty attorney, +and self-made man--are the exception. Even Mr. Burns, the Socialist +Labour leader, and self-educated man, sought contact with society. In +view of the prevailing attempt to rank as a gentleman, whose unattained +prototype is still the great aristocrat, the value of the verdict of +society and its attitude must not be underestimated. + +Hence the social adaptability of a representative nowhere plays a +greater role than in England. A hospitable house with pleasant hosts is +worth more than the most profound scientific knowledge; a savant with +provincial manners and small means would gain no influence, in spite of +all his learning. + +The Briton loathes a bore, a schemer, and a prig; he likes a good +fellow. + + + + +SIR EDWARD GREY + + +Sir Edward Grey's influence in all matters of foreign policy was almost +unlimited. On important occasions he used indeed to say, "I must first +bring it before the Cabinet"; but this always agreed to his views. His +authority was undisputed. Although he does not know foreign countries +at all, and had never left England except for a short visit to Paris, he +was fully conversant with all the important questions owing to his long +parliamentary experience and his natural insight. He understands French, +but does not speak it. He was returned to Parliament as a young man, and +soon began to interest himself in foreign affairs. Under Lord Rosebery +he was Under-Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, and became +Secretary of State in 1906, under Mr. Campbell-Bannerman; he has now +held the post for some ten years. + +The scion of an old north country family, which had already furnished +Grey, the well-known statesman, he joined the left wing of his party and +sympathised with Socialists and pacifists. You may call him a Socialist +in the ideal sense, as he carries the theory into his private life and +lives very simply and unpretentiously, although he has extensive means. +Ostentation is foreign to him. In London he only had a small house, and +never gave dinners, except the one official dinner at the Foreign Office +on the King's Birthday. On the few occasions when he entertained guests +it was at a simple dinner or lunch with maidservants to wait. Also he +avoided large functions and banquets. + +Like his colleagues, he regularly spends his week-ends in the country, +but not with large or fashionable parties. He is mostly by himself in +his cottage in the New Forest, where he takes long walks to study birds +and their ways, as he is a passionate lover of nature and an +ornithologist. Or sometimes he goes to his estate in the north, where he +feeds the squirrels that come in at the windows, and breeds different +species of waterfowl. + +He was very fond of going to the Norfolk marshes to watch in their +breeding season the rare kinds of herons, which nest only there. + +In his youth he was a well-known cricket and racquet player; now his +favourite pastime is salmon and trout-fishing in Scottish rivers in +company with his friend Lord Glenconner, Mr. Asquith's brother-in-law. +"All the rest of the year I am looking forward to it." He has published +a book on fishing. + +On one occasion, when we spent a week-end with him alone at Lord +Glenconner's, near Salisbury, he arrived on a bicycle and returned to +his cottage about thirty miles distant in the same way. + +The simplicity and honesty of his ways secured him the esteem even of +his opponents, who were to be found rather in the sphere of home affairs +than of foreign policy. Lies and intrigue are equally repugnant to him. + +His wife, to whom he was devotedly attached and from whom he was +inseparable, died in consequence of being thrown from a trap she was +driving. As is generally known, one of his brothers was killed by a +lion. + +Wordsworth is his favourite poet, and he could quote much of his poetry. + +The calm quiet of his British nature is not lacking in a sense of +humour. Once when he was lunching with us and the children, and heard +them talking German, he said, "I can't help thinking how clever these +children are to talk German so well," and was pleased with his joke. + +This is a true picture of the man who is decried as "Liar-Grey" and +instigator of the world-war. + + + + +MR. ASQUITH + + +Mr. Asquith is a man of an entirely different stamp. A jovial +_bon-vivant_, fond of the ladies, especially the young and pretty ones, +he is partial to cheerful society and good cooking; and his zest for +enjoyment is shared by his wife. Formerly a well-known barrister with a +large income, and for a number of years in Parliament, then a Minister +under Mr. Gladstone, a pacifist like his friend Grey, and favouring an +understanding with Germany, he treated all questions with the cheery +calm and assurance of an experienced man of business, whose good health +and excellent nerves were steeled by devotion to the game of golf. + +His daughters were at school in Germany and spoke German fluently. In a +short time we got on friendly terms with him and his family, and were +his guests in his small country house on the Thames. + +Only on rare occasions did he concern himself with foreign politics, +when important questions arose; then of course his decision was final. +During the critical days of July Mrs. Asquith repeatedly came to us to +warn us, and in the end she was quite distraught at the tragic turn of +events. Mr. Asquith also, when I called on him on the 2nd August to make +a last effort in the direction of expectant neutrality, was quite +broken, though absolutely calm. Tears were coursing down his cheeks. + + + + +NICOLSON + + +Sir A. Nicolson and Sir W. Tyrrell were the two most influential men at +the Foreign Office after the Minister. The former was no friend of ours, +but his attitude towards me was absolutely correct and courteous. Our +personal relations were excellent. He too did not want war; but when we +advanced against France, he no doubt worked in the direction of an +immediate intervention. He was the confidant of my French colleague, +with whom he was in constant touch; also he wished to relieve Lord +Bertie in Paris. + +Sir Arthur, who had been Ambassador at Petrograd, had concluded the +treaty of 1907, which had enabled Russia again to turn her attention to +the West and to the Near East. + + + + +TYRRELL + + +Sir W. Tyrrell, Sir Edward's private secretary, possessed far greater +influence than the Permanent Under-Secretary. This highly intelligent +man had been at school in Germany, and had then turned to diplomacy, but +had only been abroad for a short time. At first he favoured the +anti-German policy, which was then in fashion amongst the younger +British diplomatists, but later he became a convinced advocate of an +understanding. He influenced Sir E. Grey, with whom he was very +intimate, in this direction. Since the outbreak of war he has left the +Office and found a place in the Home Office, probably because of the +criticisms passed on him for his Germanophil tendency. + + + + +ATTITUDE OF THE GERMAN FOREIGN OFFICE + + +Nothing can describe the rage of certain gentlemen at my London +successes and the position which I had managed to make for myself in a +short time. They devised vexatious instructions to render my office more +difficult. I was left in complete ignorance of the most important +matters, and was restricted to the communication of dull and unimportant +reports. Secret agents' reports, on matters about which I could not +learn without espionage and the necessary funds, were never available to +me; and it was not till the last days of July, 1914, that I learnt, +quite by chance, from the Naval Attache of the secret Anglo-French +agreement concerning the co-operation of the two fleets in case of war. +The knowledge of other important events which had been known to the +Office for a long time, like the correspondence between Grey and Cambon, +was kept from me. + + + + +IN CASE OF WAR + + +Soon after my arrival I obtained the conviction that under _no_ +circumstances had we to fear a British attack or British support for any +foreign attack, but that _under any circumstances England would protect +the French_. I expressed this view in repeated dispatches, with minute +proof and great emphasis, but did not obtain any credence, although Lord +Haldane's refusal to assent to the neutrality formula and England's +attitude during the Morocco crisis had been pretty obvious indications. +In addition there were the secret agreements which I have referred to, +and which were known to the Office. + +I always pointed out that in the event of a war between European Powers, +England as a commercial state would suffer enormously, and would +therefore do her best to prevent a conflict; but, on the other hand, she +would never tolerate a weakening or annihilation of France; because of +the necessity of maintaining the European balance of power and of +preventing a German superiority of force. Lord Haldane had told me this +shortly after my arrival, and all the leading people had expressed +themselves in the same sense. + + + + +THE SERBIAN CRISIS + + +At the end of June I went to Kiel by command of the Emperor. A few weeks +prior to this I had been made an honorary D.C.L. of Oxford, an honour +which had not been conferred on any German Ambassador since Herr von +Bunsen. On board the _Meteor_ we learned of the death of the Archduke. +H.M. regretted that his efforts to win him over to his way of thinking +had thus been rendered vain. I do not know whether the plan of an active +policy against Serbia had already been decided on at Konopischt. + +As I was not instructed about views and events in Vienna, I did not +attach very great importance to this occurrence. Later on I could only +remark that amongst Austrian aristocrats a feeling of relief outweighed +other sentiments. On board the _Meteor_ there was also an Austrian guest +of the Emperor's, Count Felix Thun. He had remained in his cabin all the +time suffering from sea-sickness, in spite of the splendid weather; but +on receiving the news he was well. The fright or joy had cured him. + +On my arrival in Berlin I saw the Chancellor and told him that I +considered the state of our foreign relations very satisfactory, as we +were on better terms with England than we had been for a long time, +whilst in France also the government was in the hands of a pacifist +Ministry. + +Herr von Bethmann Hollweg did not appear to share my optimism, and +complained about Russian armaments. I sought to reassure him, +emphasising the fact that Russia had no interest in attacking us, and +that such an attack would never receive Anglo-French support, as both +countries wanted peace. Thereupon I went to Dr. Zimmermann, who was +acting for Herr von Jagow, and he told me that Russia was about to raise +900,000 additional troops. His language betrayed unmistakable annoyance +with Russia, which was "everywhere in our way." There were also +difficulties in economic policy. Of course, I was not told that General +von Moltke was pressing for war; but I learned that Herr von Tschirschky +had been reprimanded because he reported that he had counselled +moderation towards Serbia in Vienna. + +On my return from Silesia to London I stopped only a few hours in +Berlin, where I heard that Austria intended to take steps against Serbia +in order to put an end to an impossible situation. + +I regret that at the moment I underestimated the importance of the news. +I thought that nothing would come of it this time either, and that +matters could easily be settled, even if Russia became threatening. I +now regret that I did not stay in Berlin and at once declare that I +would not co-operate in a policy of this kind. + +Subsequently I ascertained that, at the decisive conference at Potsdam +on the 5th July, the Vienna enquiry received the unqualified assent of +all the leading people, and with the rider that no harm would be done if +a war with Russia should result. Thus it was expressed, at any rate, in +the Austrian protocol which Count Mensdorff received in London. Soon +afterwards Herr von Jagow was in Vienna to consult Count Berchtold about +all these matters. + +At that time I received instructions to induce the British Press to +adopt a friendly attitude should Austria administer the _coup de grace_ +to the "Great Serbia" movement, and to exert my personal influence to +prevent public opinion from becoming inimical to Austria. If one +remembered England's attitude during the annexation crisis, when public +opinion showed sympathy for the Serbian rights in Bosnia, as well as her +benevolent furtherance of national movements in the days of Lord Byron +and Garibaldi, the probability that she would support the intended +punitive expedition against the murderers of the prince happened so +remote, that I found myself obliged to give an urgent warning. But I +also warned them against the whole plan, which I characterised as +adventurous and dangerous, and advised them to counsel the Austrians to +_moderation_, as I did not believe that the conflict could be localised. + +Herr von Jagow replied to me that Russia was not ready; there would +probably be some fuss, but the more firmly we took sides with Austria +the more would Russia give way. As it was, Austria was accusing us of +weakness and therefore we dare not leave her in the lurch. Public +opinion in Russia, on the other hand, was becoming more and more +anti-German, so we must just risk it. + +In view of this attitude, which, as I found later, was based on reports +from Count Pourtales that Russia would not move under any circumstances, +and which caused us to spur Count Berchtold on to the utmost energy, I +hoped for salvation through British mediation, as I knew that Sir E. +Grey's great influence in Petrograd could be used in the direction of +peace. I therefore availed myself of my friendly relations with the +Minister to request him in confidence to advise moderation in Russia in +case Austria, as seemed likely, demanded satisfaction from Serbia. + +At first the English Press preserved calm and was friendly to Austria, +because the murder was generally condemned. But gradually more and more +voices were heard insisting emphatically that, however much the crime +merited punishment, its exploitation for political purposes could not be +justified. Austria was strongly exhorted to use moderation. + +When the ultimatum was published, all the papers with the exception of +the _Standard_--the ever-necessitous, which had apparently been bought +by Austria--were unanimous in condemnation. The whole world, excepting +Berlin and Vienna, realised that it meant war--indeed, "the world-war." +The British Fleet, which happened to have assembled for a naval review, +was not demobilised. + +My efforts were in the first place directed towards obtaining as +conciliatory a reply from Serbia as was possible, since the attitude of +the Russian Government left room for no doubts about the gravity of the +situation. + +Serbia responded favourably to the British efforts, as M. Pasitch had +really agreed to everything, excepting two points, about which, however, +he declared his willingness to negotiate. If Russia and England had +wanted the war, in order to attack us, a hint to Belgrade would have +been enough, and the unprecedented Note would not have been answered. + +Sir E. Grey went through the Serbian reply with me, and pointed out the +conciliatory attitude of the Government of Belgrade. Thereupon we +discussed his proposal of mediation, which was to include a formula +acceptable to both parties for clearing up the two points. His proposal +was that a committee, consisting of M. Cambon, the Marquis Imperiali, +and myself, should assemble under his presidency, and it would have been +an easy matter for us to find an acceptable formula for the points at +issue, which mainly concerned the collaboration of Austrian Imperial +officials at the investigations in Belgrade. Given goodwill, everything +could have been settled at one or two sittings, and the mere acceptance +of the British proposal would have brought about a relaxation of the +tension, and would have further improved our relations with England. I +therefore strongly backed the proposal, on the ground that otherwise +there was danger of the world-war, through which we stood to gain +nothing and lose all; but in vain. It was derogatory to the dignity of +Austria--we did not intend to interfere in Serbian matters--we left +these to our ally. I was to work for "the localisation of the conflict." + +Needless to say a mere hint from Berlin would have decided Count +Berchtold to content himself with a diplomatic success, and to accept +the Serbian reply. This hint was not given; on the contrary they urged +in the direction of war. It would have been such a splendid success. + +After our refusal Sir Edward requested us to submit a proposal. We +insisted on war. I could not obtain any reply but that Austria had shown +an exceedingly "accommodating spirit" by not demanding an extension of +territory. + +Sir Edward rightly pointed out that even without an extension of +territory it is possible to reduce a state to a condition of vassalage, +and that Russia would see a humiliation in this, and would not suffer +it. + +The impression grew stronger and stronger that we wanted war under any +circumstances. It was impossible to interpret our attitude, on a +question which did not directly concern us, in any other way. The urgent +requests and definite assurances of M. Sazonow, followed by the Czar's +positively humble telegrams, the repeated proposals of Sir E. Grey, the +warnings of the Marquis San Giuliano and Signor Bollati, my urgent +counsels, all were of no avail. Berlin persisted; Serbia must be +massacred. + +The more I pressed the less were they inclined to come round, if only +that I might not have the success of averting war in conjunction with +Sir Edward Grey. + +Finally, on the 29th, the latter decided on the famous warning. I +replied that I had invariably reported that we should have to reckon +with English opposition if it came to a war with France. Repeatedly the +Minister said to me: "If war breaks out, it will be the greatest +catastrophe the world has ever seen." + +After that, events followed each other rapidly. When at last Count +Berchtold, who up till then had, at the behest of Berlin, played the +strong man, decided to come round, we replied to the Russian +mobilisation, after Russia had negotiated and waited for a whole week in +vain, with the ultimatum and the declaration of war. + + + + +THE ENGLISH DECLARATION OF WAR + + +Sir Edward was still looking for new ways of avoiding the catastrophe. +Sir W. Tyrrell called on me on the morning of the 1st August to tell me +that his chief still hoped to find a way out. Would we remain neutral if +France did? I understood that we should then agree to spare France, but +he had meant that we should remain altogether neutral--towards Russia +also. That was the well-known "misunderstanding." Sir Edward had asked +me to call in the afternoon. As he was at a meeting of the Cabinet, he +called me up on the telephone, Sir W. Tyrrell having hurried to him at +once. In the afternoon, however, he talked only about Belgian neutrality +and the possibility that we and France might face one another in arms +without attacking. + +Thus this was not a proposal at all, but a question without any +guarantee, as our interview, which I have mentioned before, was to take +place soon afterwards. Berlin, however, without waiting for the +interview, made this report the foundation for far-reaching measures. +Then there came M. Poincare's letter, Bonar Law's letter, King Albert's +telegram. The waverers in the Cabinet--excepting three members who +resigned--were converted. + +Till the very last moment I had hoped that England would adopt a waiting +attitude. Nor did my French colleague feel at all confident, as I heard +from a private source. Even on the 1st August the King had given the +President an evasive reply. But England was already mentioned as an +opponent in the telegram from Berlin announcing the imminent danger of +war. Berlin was therefore already reckoning on war with England. + +Before my departure Sir E. Grey received me, on the 5th, at his house. I +had called at his request. He was deeply moved. He told me he would +always be prepared to mediate. "We don't want to crush Germany." +Unfortunately this confidential interview was made public, and Herr von +Bethmann Hollweg thus destroyed the last chance of gaining peace through +England. + +The arrangements for our departure were perfectly dignified and calm. +The King had previously sent his equerry, Sir E. Ponsonby, to express +his regrets at my departure and that he could not see me himself. +Princess Louise wrote to me that the whole family were sorry we were +leaving. Mrs. Asquith and other friends came to the Embassy to take +leave. + +A special train took us to Harwich, where a guard of honour was drawn up +for me. I was treated like a departing Sovereign. Such was the end of my +London mission. It was wrecked, not by the wiles of the British, but by +the wiles of our policy. + +Count Mensdorff and his staff had come to the station in London. He was +cheerful, and gave me to understand that perhaps he would remain there, +but he told the English that we, and not Austria, had wanted the war. + + + + +RETROSPECT + + +Looking back after two years, I come to the conclusion that I realised +too late that there was no room for me in a system that for years had +lived on routine and traditions alone, and that only tolerated +representatives who reported what their superiors wished to read. +Absence of prejudice and an independent judgment are resented. Lack of +ability and want of character are praised and esteemed, while successes +meet with disfavour and excite alarm. + +I had given up my opposition to the insane Triple Alliance policy, as I +realised that it was useless, and that my warnings were attributed to +"Austrophobia," to my _idee fixe_. In politics, which are neither +acrobatics nor a game, but the main business of the firm, there is no +"phil" or "phobe," but only the interest of the community. A policy, +however, that is based only on Austrians, Magyars, and Turks must come +into conflict with Russia, and finally lead to a catastrophe. + +In spite of former mistakes, all might still have been put right in +July, 1914. An agreement with England had been arrived at. We ought to +have sent a representative to Petrograd who was at least of average +political capacity, and to have convinced Russia that we wished neither +to control the straits nor to strangle Serbia. "_Lachez l'Autriche et +nous lacherons les Francais_" ("Drop Austria and we will drop the +French"), M. Sazonow said to us. And M. Cambon told Herr von Jagow, +"_Vous n'avez pas besoin de suivre l'Autriche partout_" ("You need not +follow Austria everywhere"). + +We wanted _neither wars nor alliances_; we wanted only treaties that +would safeguard us and others, and secure our economic development, +which was without its like in history. If Russia had been freed in the +West, she could again turn to the East, and the Anglo-Russian rivalry +would have been re-established automatically and without our +intervention, and not less certainly also the Russo-Japanese. + +We could also have considered the question of the reduction of +armaments, and need no longer have troubled ourselves about Austrian +complications. Then Austria would have become the vassal of the German +Empire, without any alliance--and especially without our seeking her +good graces, a proceeding ultimately leading to war for the liberation +of Poland and the destruction of Serbia, although German interest +demanded the exact contrary. + +I had to support in London a policy the heresy of which I recognised. +That brought down vengeance on me, because it was a sin against the Holy +Ghost. + + + + +MY RETURN + + +As soon as I arrived in Berlin I saw that I was to be made the scapegoat +for the catastrophe for which our Government had made itself responsible +against my advice and warnings. + +The report was deliberately circulated in official quarters that I had +allowed myself to be deceived by Sir E. Grey, because, if he had not +wanted war, Russia would not have mobilised. Count Pourtales, whose +reports could be relied on, was to be protected, not least on account of +his relationship. He had conducted himself "magnificently," he was +praised enthusiastically, and I was blamed the more severely. + +"What does Serbia matter to Russia?" this statesman said to me after +eight years in office at Petrograd. The whole thing was a British trick +that I had not noticed. At the Foreign Office they told me that war +would in any case have come in 1916. Then Russia would have been ready; +therefore it was better now. + + + + +THE QUESTION OF RESPONSIBILITY + + +As is evident from all official publications--and this is not refuted by +our White Book, which, owing to the poverty of its contents and to its +omissions, is a gravely self-accusing document-- + + 1. We encouraged Count Berchtold to attack Serbia, although German + interests were not involved and the danger of a world-war must have + been known to us. Whether we were aware of the wording of the + Ultimatum is completely immaterial. + + 2. During the time between the 23rd and 30th July, 1914, when M. + Sazonow emphatically declared that he would not tolerate any attack + on Serbia, we rejected the British proposals of mediation, although + Serbia, under Russian and British pressure, had accepted almost + the whole of the Ultimatum, and although an agreement about the two + points at issue could easily have been reached, and Count Berchtold + was even prepared to content himself with the Serbian reply. + + 3. On the 30th July, when Count Berchtold wanted to come to terms, + we sent an ultimatum to Petrograd merely because of the Russian + mobilisation, although Austria had not been attacked; and on the + 31st July we declared war on Russia, although the Czar pledged his + word that he would not order a man to march as long as negotiations + were proceeding--thus deliberately destroying the possibility of a + peaceful settlement. + +In view of the above undeniable facts it is no wonder that the whole of +the civilised world outside Germany places the entire responsibility for +the world-war upon our shoulders. + + + + +THE ENEMY POINT OF VIEW + + +Is it not intelligible that our enemies should declare that they will +not rest before a system is destroyed which is a constant menace to our +neighbours? Must they not otherwise fear that in a few years' time they +will again have to take up arms and again see their provinces overrun +and their towns and villages destroyed? Have not they proved to be right +who declared that the spirit of Treitschke and Bernhardi governed the +German people, that spirit which glorified war as such, and did not +loathe it as an evil, that with us the feudal knight and Junker, the +warrior caste, still rule and form ideals and values, not the civilian +gentleman; that the love of the duel which animates our academic youth +still persists in those who control the destinies of the people? Did not +the Zabern incident and the parliamentary discussions about it clearly +demonstrate to foreign countries the value we place on the rights and +liberties of the citizen if these collide with questions of military +power? + +That intelligent historian Cramb, who has since died, an admirer of +Germany, clothed the German conception in the words of Euphorion: + + Dream ye of peace?[1] + Dream he that will-- + War is the rallying cry! + Victory is the refrain. + +[Footnote 1: The original has "war," presumably owing to a +misprint.--TRANSLATOR.] + +Militarism, which by rights is an education for the people and an +instrument of policy, turns policy into the instrument of military power +when the patriarchal absolutism of the soldier-kingdom makes possible an +attitude which a democracy, remote from military Junker influence, would +never have permitted. + +So think our enemies, and so they must think when they see that, in +spite of capitalistic industrialisation and in spite of socialist +organisation, "the living are still ruled by the dead," as Friedrich +Nietzsche says. The principal war aim of our enemies, the +democratisation of Germany, will be realised! + + + + +BISMARCK + + +Bismarck, like Napoleon, loved conflict for itself. As a statesman he +avoided fresh wars, the folly of which he recognised. He was content +with bloodless battles. After he had, in rapid succession, vanquished +Christian, Francis Joseph, and Napoleon, it was the turn of Arnim, Pius, +and Augusta. That did not suffice him. Gortschakow, who thought himself +the greater, had repeatedly annoyed him. The conflict was carried almost +to the point of war--even by depriving him of his railway saloon. This +gave rise to the miserable Triple Alliance. At last came the conflict +with William, in which the mighty one was vanquished, as Napoleon was +vanquished by Alexander. + +Political life-and-death unions only prosper if founded on a +constitutional basis and not on an international one. They are all the +more questionable if the partner is feeble. Bismarck never meant the +Alliance to take this form. + +He always treated the English with forbearance; he knew that this was +wiser. He always paid marked respect to the old Queen Victoria, despite +his hatred of her daughter and of political Anglomania; the learned +Beaconsfield and the worldly-wise Salisbury he courted; and even that +strange Gladstone, whom he did not like, really had nothing to complain +about. + +The Ultimatum to Serbia was the culminating point of the policy of the +Berlin Congress, the Bosnian crisis, the Conference of London: but there +was yet time to turn back. + +We were completely successful in achieving that which above all other +things should have been avoided--the breach with Russia and England. + + + + +OUR FUTURE + + +After two years' fighting it is obvious that we dare not hope for an +unconditional victory over the Russians, English, French, Italians, +Rumanians, and Americans, or reckon on being able to wear our enemies +down. But we can obtain a peace by compromise only by evacuating the +occupied territory, the retention of which would in any event be a +burden and cause of weakness to us, and would involve the menace of +further wars. Therefore everything should be avoided which would make it +more difficult for those enemy groups who might possibly still be won +over to the idea of a peace by compromise to come to terms, viz., the +British Radicals and the Russian Reactionaries. From this point of view +alone the Polish scheme is to be condemned, as is also any infringement +of Belgian rights, or the execution of British citizens--to say nothing +of the insane U-boat plan. + +"Our future lies on the water." Quite right; therefore it is not in +Poland and Belgium, in France and Serbia. This is a return to the days +of the Holy Roman Empire and the mistakes of the Hohenstaufens and +Habsburgs. It is the policy of the Plantagenets, not that of Drake and +Raleigh, Nelson and Rhodes. The policy of the Triple Alliance is a +return to the past, a turning aside from the future, from imperialism +and a world-policy. "Middle Europe" belongs to the Middle Ages, +Berlin-Bagdad is a blind alley and not the way into the open country, to +unlimited possibilities, to the world-mission of the German nation. + +I am no enemy of Austria, or Hungary, or Italy, or Serbia, or any other +state, but only of the Triple Alliance policy, which was bound to divert +us from our aims and bring us onto the inclined plane of a Continental +policy. It was not the German policy, but that of the Austrian Imperial +House. The Austrians had come to regard the Alliance as an umbrella +under the shelter of which they could make excursions to the Near East +when they thought fit. + +And what must we expect as the result of this war of nations? The United +States of Africa will be British, like those of America, Australia and +Oceania. And the Latin states of Europe, as I predicted years ago, will +enter into the same relations with the United Kingdom that their Latin +sisters in America maintain with the United States. The Anglo-Saxon will +dominate them. France, exhausted by the war, will only attach herself +still more closely to Great Britain. Nor will Spain continue to resist +for long. + +And in Asia the Russians and the Japanese will spread and will carry +their customs with their frontiers, and the South will remain to the +British. + +The world will belong to the Anglo-Saxons, Russians, and Japanese, and +the German will remain alone with Austria and Hungary. His rule will be +that of thought and of commerce, not that of the bureaucrat and the +soldier. He made his appearance too late, and his last chance of making +good the past, that of founding a Colonial Empire, was annihilated by +the world-war. + +For we shall not supplant the sons of Ichwe. Then will be realised the +plan of the great Rhodes, who saw the salvation of humanity in the +expansion of Britondom--in British Imperialism. + + Tu regere imperio populos, Romane, memento. + Hae tibi erunt artes: pacisque imponere morem, + Parcere subjectis et debellare superbos. + + + + +_Important Books of the Day_ + + +THE CRIME _By a German. Author of "I Accuse!"_ + +An arraignment in even more cogent form than "I Accuse!" of the +rulers and governments of Germany and Austria. + Two vols. 8vo. Vol. I. Net, $2.50 + + +THE GREAT CRIME AND ITS MORAL _By J. Selden Willmore_ + +A volume which is an invaluable library. An illuminating summary of the +immense documentary literature of the war. 8vo. Net, $2.00 + + +BELGIUM IN WAR TIME _By Commandant De Gerlache De Gomery_ +Translated from the French Edition by Bernard Miall + +The authoritative book essential to an understanding of the history, the +position and the sufferings of the country that will not die, the title +of the Norwegian and Swedish editions of this famous work set up under +fire. Illustrations, maps and facsimiles. 8vo. Net, $2.00 + + +THE BATTLE OF THE SOMME _By John Buchan_ + +"Mr. Buchan's account is a clear and brilliant presentation of the whole +vast manoeuver and its tactical and strategic development through all +four stages."--Springfield _Republican_. Illustrated. 12mo. Net, $1.50 + + +THE LAND OF DEEPENING SHADOW _By D. Thomas Curtin_ + +Revealing the Germany of _fact_ in place of the Germany of _tradition_; +telling the truth about Germany-in-the-third-year-of-the-war. + 12mo. Net, $1.50 + + +I ACCUSE! (J'ACCUSE!) _By a German_ + +An arraignment of Germany by a German of the German War Party. +Facts every neutral should know. 12mo. Net, $1.50 + + +THE GERMAN TERROR IN FRANCE _By Arnold J. Toynbee_ +THE GERMAN TERROR IN BELGIUM _By Arnold J. Toynbee_ + +"From the facts he places before his readers, it appears conclusive that +the horrors were perpetrated systematically, deliberately, under orders, +upon a people whose country was invaded without just cause."--Philadelphia +_Public Ledger_. Each 8vo. Net, $1.00 + + +TRENCH PICTURES FROM FRANCE _By Major William Redmond, M.P._ +Biographical Introduction by Miss E. M. Smith-Dampier + +A glowing book, filled with a deep love of Ireland, by one of the most +attractive British figures of the war. 12mo. 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