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+ <title>
+ The Project Gutenberg eBook of One-Shot, by James Blish
+ </title>
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+/*<![CDATA[ XML blockout */
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+ font-size: larger; font-weight: bold;}
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+<pre>
+
+The Project Gutenberg EBook of One-Shot, by James Benjamin Blish
+
+This eBook is for the use of anyone anywhere at no cost and with
+almost no restrictions whatsoever. You may copy it, give it away or
+re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included
+with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org
+
+
+Title: One-Shot
+
+Author: James Benjamin Blish
+
+Illustrator: van Dongen
+
+Release Date: October 11, 2007 [EBook #22958]
+
+Language: English
+
+Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1
+
+*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK ONE-SHOT ***
+
+
+
+
+Produced by Greg Weeks, Stephen Blundell and the Online
+Distributed Proofreading Team at http://www.pgdp.net
+
+
+
+
+
+
+</pre>
+
+
+
+
+<div class="figcenter" style="width: 698px;">
+<img src="images/001.png" width="698" height="550" alt="" title="" />
+</div>
+
+
+
+
+
+<h1>ONE-SHOT</h1>
+
+<div class="cpoem">
+<p><big>You</big> can do a great deal if
+you have enough data, and
+enough time to compute on it,
+by logical methods. But given
+the situation that neither data
+nor time is adequate, and an
+answer must be produced ...
+what do you do?</p></div>
+
+<h2>BY JAMES BLISH</h2>
+
+<p class="illo">Illustrated by van Dongen</p>
+
+
+<p>On the day that the Polish freighter
+<i>Ludmilla</i> laid an egg in New
+York harbor, Abner Longmans
+("One-Shot") Braun was in the city
+going about his normal business,
+which was making another million
+dollars. As we found out later, almost
+nothing else was normal about
+that particular week end for Braun.
+For one thing, he had brought his
+family with him&mdash;a complete departure
+from routine&mdash;reflecting the unprecedentedly
+legitimate nature of
+the deals he was trying to make.
+From every point of view it was a
+bad week end for the CIA to mix
+into his affairs, but nobody had explained
+that to the master of the
+<i>Ludmilla</i>.</p>
+
+<p>I had better add here that we
+knew nothing about this until afterward;
+from the point of view of the
+storyteller, an organization like Civilian
+Intelligence Associates gets to
+all its facts backwards, entering the
+tale at the pay-off, working back to
+the hook, and winding up with a
+sheaf of background facts to feed
+into the computer for Next Time. It's
+rough on the various people who've
+tried to fictionalize what we do&mdash;particularly
+for the lazy examples of
+the breed, who come to us expecting
+that their plotting has already been
+done for them&mdash;but it's inherent in
+the way we operate, and there it is.</p>
+
+<p>Certainly nobody at CIA so much
+as thought of Braun when the news
+first came through. Harry Anderton,
+the Harbor Defense chief, called us
+at 0830 Friday to take on the job of
+identifying the egg; this was when
+our records show us officially entering
+the affair, but, of course, Anderton
+had been keeping the wires to
+Washington steaming for an hour before
+that, getting authorization to
+spend some of his money on us (our
+clearance status was then and is now
+C&amp;R&mdash;clean and routine).</p>
+
+<p>I was in the central office when
+the call came through, and had some
+difficulty in making out precisely
+what Anderton wanted of us. "Slow
+down, Colonel Anderton, please," I
+begged him. "Two or three seconds
+won't make that much difference.
+How did you find out about this egg
+in the first place?"</p>
+
+<p>"The automatic compartment bulkheads
+on the <i>Ludmilla</i> were defective,"
+he said. "It seems that this
+egg was buried among a lot of other
+crates in the dump-cell of the
+hold&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>"What's a dump cell?"</p>
+
+<p>"It's a sea lock for getting rid of
+dangerous cargo. The bottom of it
+opens right to Davy Jones. Standard
+fitting for ships carrying explosives,
+radioactives, anything that might act
+up unexpectedly."</p>
+
+<p>"All right," I said. "Go ahead."</p>
+
+<p>"Well, there was a timer on the
+dump-cell floor, set to drop the egg
+when the ship came up the river.
+That worked fine, but the automatic
+bulkheads that are supposed to keep
+the rest of the ship from being flooded
+while the cell's open, didn't. At
+least they didn't do a thorough job.
+The <i>Ludmilla</i> began to list and the
+captain yelled for help. When the
+Harbor Patrol found the dump-cell
+open, they called us in."</p>
+
+<p>"I see." I thought about it a moment.
+"In other words, you don't
+know whether the <i>Ludmilla</i> really
+laid an egg or not."</p>
+
+<p>"That's what I keep trying to explain
+to you, Dr. Harris. We don't
+know what she dropped and we
+haven't any way of finding out. It
+could be a bomb&mdash;it could be anything.
+We're sweating everybody on
+board the ship now, but it's my guess
+that none of them know anything;
+the whole procedure was designed to
+be automatic."</p>
+
+<p>"All right, we'll take it," I said.
+"You've got divers down?"</p>
+
+<p>"Sure, but&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>"We'll worry about the buts from
+here on. Get us a direct line from
+your barge to the big board here so
+we can direct the work. Better get
+on over here yourself."</p>
+
+<p>"Right." He sounded relieved.
+Official people have a lot of confidence
+in CIA; too much, in my estimation.
+Some day the job will come
+along that we can't handle, and then
+Washington will be kicking itself&mdash;or,
+more likely, some scapegoat&mdash;for
+having failed to develop a comparable
+government department.</p>
+
+<p>Not that there was much prospect
+of Washington's doing that. Official
+thinking had been running in the
+other direction for years. The precedent
+was the Associated Universities
+organization which ran Brookhaven;
+CIA had been started the same way,
+by a loose corporation of universities
+and industries all of which had
+wanted to own an ULTIMAC and
+no one of which had had the money
+to buy one for itself. The Eisenhower
+administration, with its emphasis
+on private enterprise and concomitant
+reluctance to sink federal
+funds into projects of such size, had
+turned the two examples into a nice
+fat trend, which ULTIMAC herself
+said wasn't going to be reversed
+within the practicable lifetime of
+CIA.</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>I buzzed for two staffers, and in
+five minutes got Clark Cheyney and
+Joan Hadamard, CIA's business manager
+and social science division chief
+respectively. The titles were almost
+solely for the benefit of the T/O&mdash;that
+is, Clark and Joan do serve in
+those capacities, but said service takes
+about two per cent of their capacities
+and their time. I shot them a couple
+of sentences of explanation, trusting
+them to pick up whatever else they
+needed from the tape, and checked
+the line to the divers' barge.</p>
+
+<p>It was already open; Anderton had
+gone to work quickly and with decision
+once he was sure we were taking
+on the major question. The television
+screen lit, but nothing showed
+on it but murky light, striped with
+streamers of darkness slowly rising
+and falling. The audio went <i>cloonck</i>
+... <i>oing</i>, <i>oing</i> ... <i>bonk</i> ... <i>oing</i>
+... Underwater noises, shapeless
+and characterless.</p>
+
+<p>"Hello, out there in the harbor.
+This is CIA, Harris calling. Come in,
+please."</p>
+
+<p>"Monig here," the audio said.
+<i>Boink</i> ... <i>oing</i>, <i>oing</i> ...</p>
+
+<p>"Got anything yet?"</p>
+
+<p>"Not a thing, Dr. Harris," Monig
+said. "You can't see three inches in
+front of your face down here&mdash;it's
+too silty. We've bumped into a couple
+of crates, but so far, no egg."</p>
+
+<p>"Keep trying."</p>
+
+<p>Cheyney, looking even more like
+a bulldog than usual, was setting his
+stopwatch by one of the eight clocks
+on ULTIMAC's face. "Want me to
+take the divers?" he said.</p>
+
+<p>"No, Clark, not yet. I'd rather
+have Joan do it for the moment." I
+passed the mike to her. "You'd better
+run a probability series first."</p>
+
+<p>"Check." He began feeding tape
+into the integrator's mouth. "What's
+your angle, Peter?"</p>
+
+<p>"The ship. I want to see how heavily
+shielded that dump-cell is."</p>
+
+<p>"It isn't shielded at all," Anderton's
+voice said behind me. I hadn't
+heard him come in. "But that doesn't
+prove anything. The egg might have
+carried sufficient shielding in itself.
+Or maybe the Commies didn't care
+whether the crew was exposed or not.
+Or maybe there isn't any egg."</p>
+
+<p>"All that's possible," I admitted.
+"But I want to see it, anyhow."</p>
+
+<p>"Have you taken blood tests?"
+Joan asked Anderton.</p>
+
+<p>"Yes."</p>
+
+<p>"Get the reports through to me,
+then. I want white-cell counts, differentials,
+platelet counts, hematocrit
+and sed rates on every man."</p>
+
+<p>Anderton picked up the phone and
+I took a firm hold on the doorknob.</p>
+
+<p>"Hey," Anderton said, putting the
+phone down again. "Are you going
+to duck out just like that? Remember,
+Dr. Harris, we've got to evacuate the
+city first of all! No matter whether
+it's a real egg or not&mdash;we can't take
+the chance on it's <i>not</i> being an egg!"</p>
+
+<p>"Don't move a man until you get
+a go-ahead from CIA," I said. "For
+all we know now, evacuating the city
+may be just what the enemy wants us
+to do&mdash;so they can grab it unharmed.
+Or they may want to start a panic
+for some other reason, any one of
+fifty possible reasons."</p>
+
+<p>"You can't take such a gamble,"
+he said grimly. "There are eight and
+a half million lives riding on it. I
+can't let you do it."</p>
+
+<p>"You passed your authority to us
+when you hired us," I pointed out.
+"If you want to evacuate without our
+O.K., you'll have to fire us first. It'll
+take another hour to get that cleared
+from Washington&mdash;so you might as
+well give us the hour."</p>
+
+<p>He stared at me for a moment, his
+lips thinned. Then he picked up the
+phone again to order Joan's blood
+count, and I got out the door, fast.</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>A reasonable man would have said
+that I found nothing useful on the
+<i>Ludmilla</i>, except negative information.
+But the fact is that anything I
+found would have been a surprise to
+me; I went down looking for surprises.
+I found nothing but a faint
+trail to Abner Longmans Braun, most
+of which was fifteen years cold.</p>
+
+<p>There'd been a time when I'd
+known Braun, briefly and to no
+profit to either of us. As an undergraduate
+majoring in social sciences,
+I'd taken on a term paper on the old
+International Longshoreman's Association,
+a racket-ridden union now
+formally extinct&mdash;although anyone
+who knew the signs could still pick
+up some traces on the docks. In those
+days, Braun had been the business
+manager of an insurance firm, the
+sole visible function of which had
+been to write policies for the ILA
+and its individual dock-wallopers.
+For some reason, he had been amused
+by the brash youngster who'd barged
+in on him and demanded the lowdown,
+and had shown me considerable
+lengths of ropes not normally
+in view of the public&mdash;nothing incriminating,
+but enough to give me
+a better insight into how the union
+operated than I had had any right to
+expect&mdash;or even suspect.</p>
+
+<p>Hence I was surprised to hear
+somebody on the docks remark that
+Braun was in the city over the week
+end. It would never have occurred
+to me that he still interested himself
+in the waterfront, for he'd gone respectable
+with a vengeance. He was
+still a professional gambler, and according
+to what he had told the
+Congressional Investigating Committee
+last year, took in thirty to fifty
+thousand dollars a year at it, but his
+gambles were no longer concentrated
+on horses, the numbers, or shady insurance
+deals. Nowadays what he did
+was called investment&mdash;mostly in real
+estate; realtors knew him well as the
+man who had <i>almost</i> bought the Empire
+State Building. (The <i>almost</i> in
+the equation stands for the moment
+when the shoestring broke.)</p>
+
+<p>Joan had been following his career,
+too, not because she had ever met
+him, but because for her he was a
+type study in the evolution of what
+she called "the extra-legal ego."
+"With personalities like that, respectability
+is a disease," she told me.
+"There's always an almost-open conflict
+between the desire to be powerful
+and the desire to be accepted;
+your ordinary criminal is a moral imbecile,
+but people like Braun are
+damned with a conscience, and sooner
+or later they crack trying to appease
+it."</p>
+
+<p>"I'd sooner try to crack a Timkin
+bearing," I said. "Braun's ten-point
+steel all the way through."</p>
+
+<p>"Don't you believe it. The symptoms
+are showing all over him. Now
+he's backing Broadway plays, sponsoring
+beginning actresses, joining
+playwrights' groups&mdash;he's the only
+member of Buskin and Brush who's
+never written a play, acted in one, or
+so much as pulled the rope to raise
+the curtain."</p>
+
+<p>"That's investment," I said.
+"That's his business."</p>
+
+<p>"Peter, you're only looking at the
+surface. His real investments almost
+never fail. But the plays he backs
+<i>always</i> do. They have to; he's sinking
+money in them to appease his conscience,
+and if they were to succeed it
+would double his guilt instead of
+salving it. It's the same way with the
+young actresses. He's not sexually
+interested in them&mdash;his type never is,
+because living a rigidly orthodox
+family life is part of the effort towards
+respectability. He's backing
+them to 'pay his debt to society'&mdash;in
+other words, they're talismans to
+keep him out of jail."</p>
+
+<p>"It doesn't seem like a very satisfactory
+substitute."</p>
+
+<p>"Of course it isn't," Joan had said.
+"The next thing he'll do is go in for
+direct public service&mdash;giving money
+to hospitals or something like that.
+You watch."</p>
+
+<p>She had been right; within the
+year, Braun had announced the
+founding of an association for clearing
+the Detroit slum area where he
+had been born&mdash;the plainest kind of
+symbolic suicide: <i>Let's not have any
+more Abner Longmans Brauns born
+down here</i>. It depressed me to see it
+happen, for next on Joan's agenda
+for Braun was an entry into politics
+as a fighting liberal&mdash;a New Dealer
+twenty years too late. Since I'm mildly
+liberal myself when I'm off duty,
+I hated to think what Braun's career
+might tell me about my own motives,
+if I'd let it.</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>All of which had nothing to do
+with why I was prowling around the
+<i>Ludmilla</i>&mdash;or did it? I kept remembering
+Anderton's challenge: "You
+can't take such a gamble. There are
+eight and a half million lives riding
+on it&mdash;" That put it up into Braun's
+normal operating area, all right. The
+connection was still hazy, but on the
+grounds that any link might be useful,
+I phoned him.</p>
+
+<p>He remembered me instantly; like
+most uneducated, power-driven men,
+he had a memory as good as any machine's.</p>
+
+<p>"You never did send me that paper
+you was going to write," he said. His
+voice seemed absolutely unchanged,
+although he was in his seventies now.
+"You promised you would."</p>
+
+<p>"Kids don't keep their promises
+as well as they should," I said. "But
+I've still got copies and I'll see to it
+that you get one, this time. Right
+now I need another favor&mdash;something
+right up your alley."</p>
+
+<p>"CIA business?"</p>
+
+<p>"Yes. I didn't know you knew I
+was with CIA."</p>
+
+<p>Braun chuckled. "I still know a
+thing or two," he said. "What's the
+angle?"</p>
+
+<p>"That I can't tell you over the
+phone. But it's the biggest gamble
+there ever was, and I think we need
+an expert. Can you come down to
+CIA's central headquarters right
+away?"</p>
+
+<p>"Yeah, if it's that big. If it ain't,
+I got lots of business here, Andy.
+And I ain't going to be in town long.
+You're sure it's top stuff?"</p>
+
+<p>"My word on it."</p>
+
+<p>He was silent a moment. Then he
+said, "Andy, send me your paper."</p>
+
+<p>"The paper? Sure, but&mdash;" Then I
+got it. I'd given him my word.
+"You'll get it," I said. "Thanks, Mr.
+Braun."</p>
+
+<p>I called headquarters and sent a
+messenger to my apartment to look
+for one of those long-dusty blue folders
+with the legal-length sheets inside
+them, with orders to scorch it over
+to Braun without stopping to breathe
+more than once. Then I went back
+myself.</p>
+
+<p>The atmosphere had changed. Anderton
+was sitting by the big desk,
+clenching his fists and sweating; his
+whole posture telegraphed his controlled
+helplessness. Cheyney was
+bent over a seismograph, echo-sounding
+for the egg through the river
+bottom. If that even had a prayer of
+working, I knew, he'd have had the
+trains of the Hudson &amp; Manhattan
+stopped; their rumbling course
+through their tubes would have
+blanked out any possible echo-pip
+from the egg.</p>
+
+<p>"Wild goose chase?" Joan said,
+scanning my face.</p>
+
+<p>"Not quite. I've got something, if
+I can just figure out what it is. Remember
+One-Shot Braun?"</p>
+
+<p>"Yes. What's he got to do with
+it?"</p>
+
+<div class="figright" style="width: 174px;">
+<img src="images/002.png" width="174" height="550" alt="" title="" />
+</div>
+
+<p>"Nothing," I said. "But I want
+to bring him in. I don't think we'll
+lick this project before deadline without
+him."</p>
+
+<p>"What good is a professional
+gambler on a job like this? He'll just
+get in the way."</p>
+
+<p>I looked toward the television
+screen, which now showed an
+amorphous black mass, jutting up
+from a foundation of even deeper
+black. "Is that operation getting you
+anywhere?"</p>
+
+<p>"Nothing's gotten us anywhere,"
+Anderton interjected harshly. "We
+don't even know if that's the egg&mdash;the
+whole area is littered with crates.
+Harris, you've got to let me get that
+alert out!"</p>
+
+<p>"Clark, how's the time going?"</p>
+
+<p>Cheyney consulted the stopwatch.
+"Deadline in twenty-nine minutes,"
+he said.</p>
+
+<p>"All right, let's use those minutes.
+I'm beginning to see this thing
+a little clearer. Joan, what we've got
+here is a one-shot gamble; right?"</p>
+
+<p>"In effect," she said cautiously.</p>
+
+<p>"And it's my guess that we're
+never going to get the answer by
+diving for it&mdash;not in time, anyhow.
+Remember when the Navy lost a
+barge-load of shells in the harbor,
+back in '52? They scrabbled for them
+for a year and never pulled up a one;
+they finally had to warn the public
+that if it found anything funny-looking
+along the shore it shouldn't bang
+said object, or shake it either. We're
+better equipped than the Navy was
+then&mdash;but we're working against a
+deadline."</p>
+
+<p>"If you'd admitted that earlier,"
+Anderton said hoarsely, "we'd have
+half a million people out of the city
+by now. Maybe even a million."</p>
+
+<p>"We haven't given up yet, colonel.
+The point is this, Joan: what
+we need is an inspired guess. Get
+anything from the prob series, Clark?
+I thought not. On a one-shot gamble
+of this kind, the 'laws' of chance are
+no good at all. For that matter, the
+so-called ESP experiments showed us
+long ago that even the way we construct
+random tables is full of holes&mdash;and
+that a man with a feeling for
+the essence of a gamble can make a
+monkey out of chance almost at will.</p>
+
+<p>"And if there ever was such a
+man, Braun is it. That's why I asked
+him to come down here. I want him
+to look at that lump on the screen
+and&mdash;play a hunch."</p>
+
+<p>"You're out of your mind," Anderton
+said.</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>A decorous knock spared me the
+trouble of having to deny, affirm or
+ignore the judgment. It was Braun;
+the messenger had been fast, and
+the gambler hadn't bothered to read
+what a college student had thought
+of him fifteen years ago. He came
+forward and held out his hand, while
+the others looked him over frankly.</p>
+
+<p>He was impressive, all right. It
+would have been hard for a stranger
+to believe that he was aiming at respectability;
+to the eye, he was already
+there. He was tall and spare,
+and walked perfectly erect, not without
+spring despite his age. His clothing
+was as far from that of a
+gambler as you could have taken it
+by design: a black double-breasted
+suit with a thin vertical stripe, a gray
+silk tie with a pearl stickpin just
+barely large enough to be visible at
+all, a black Homburg; all perfectly
+fitted, all worn with proper casualness&mdash;one
+might almost say a formal
+casualness. It was only when he
+opened his mouth that One-Shot
+Braun was in the suit with him.</p>
+
+<p>"I come over as soon as your runner
+got to me," he said. "What's the
+pitch, Andy?"</p>
+
+<p>"Mr. Braun, this is Joan Hadamard,
+Clark Cheyney, Colonel Anderton.
+I'll be quick because we need
+speed now. A Polish ship has dropped
+something out in the harbor.
+We don't know what it is. It may be
+a hell-bomb, or it may be just somebody's
+old laundry. Obviously we've
+got to find out which&mdash;and we want
+you to tell us."</p>
+
+<p>Braun's aristocratic eyebrows went
+up. "Me? Hell, Andy, I don't know
+nothing about things like that. I'm
+surprised with you. I thought CIA
+had all the brains it needed&mdash;ain't
+you got machines to tell you answers
+like that?"</p>
+
+<p>I pointed silently to Joan, who had
+gone back to work the moment the
+introductions were over. She was still
+on the mike to the divers. She was
+saying: "What does it look like?"</p>
+
+<p>"It's just a lump of something,
+Dr. Hadamard. Can't even tell its
+shape&mdash;it's buried too deeply in the
+mud." <i>Cloonk</i> ... <i>Oing</i>, <i>oing</i> ...</p>
+
+<p>"Try the Geiger."</p>
+
+<p>"We did. Nothing but background."</p>
+
+<p>"Scintillation counter?"</p>
+
+<p>"Nothing, Dr. Hadamard. Could
+be it's shielded."</p>
+
+<p>"Let us do the guessing, Monig.
+All right, maybe it's got a clockwork
+fuse that didn't break with the impact.
+Or a gyroscopic fuse. Stick a
+stethoscope on it and see if you pick
+up a ticking or anything that sounds
+like a motor running."</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>There was a lag and I turned back
+to Braun. "As you can see, we're
+stymied. This is a long shot, Mr.
+Braun. One throw of the dice&mdash;one
+show-down hand. We've got to have
+an expert call it for us&mdash;somebody
+with a record of hits on long shots.
+That's why I called you."</p>
+
+<p>"It's no good," he said. He took
+off the Homburg, took his handkerchief
+from his breast pocket, and
+wiped the hatband. "I can't do it."</p>
+
+<p>"Why not?"</p>
+
+<p>"It ain't my <i>kind</i> of thing," he
+said. "Look, I never in my life run
+odds on anything that made any difference.
+But this makes a difference.
+If I guess wrong&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>"Then we're all dead ducks. But
+why should you guess wrong? Your
+hunches have been working for sixty
+years now."</p>
+
+<p>Braun wiped his face. "No. You
+don't get it. I wish you'd listen to
+me. Look, my wife and my kids are
+in the city. It ain't only my life, it's
+theirs, too. That's what I care about.
+That's why it's no good. On things
+that matter to me, <i>my hunches don't
+work</i>."</p>
+
+<p>I was stunned, and so, I could see,
+were Joan and Cheyney. I suppose I
+should have guessed it, but it had
+never occurred to me.</p>
+
+<p>"Ten minutes," Cheyney said.</p>
+
+<p>I looked up at Braun. He was
+frightened, and again I was surprised
+without having any right to
+be. I tried to keep at least my voice
+calm.</p>
+
+<p>"Please try it anyhow, Mr. Braun&mdash;as
+a favor. It's already too late to
+do it any other way. And if you guess
+wrong, the outcome won't be any
+worse than if you don't try at all."</p>
+
+<p>"My kids," he whispered. I don't
+think he knew that he was speaking
+aloud. I waited.</p>
+
+<p>Then his eyes seemed to come back
+to the present. "All right," he said.
+"I told you the truth, Andy. Remember
+that. So&mdash;is it a bomb or ain't it?
+That's what's up for grabs, right?"</p>
+
+<p>I nodded. He closed his eyes. An
+unexpected stab of pure fright went
+down my back. Without the eyes,
+Braun's face was a death mask.</p>
+
+<p>The water sounds and the irregular
+ticking of a Geiger counter
+seemed to spring out from the audio
+speaker, four times as loud as before.
+I could even hear the pen of
+the seismograph scribbling away, until
+I looked at the instrument and
+saw that Clark had stopped it, probably
+long ago.</p>
+
+<p>Droplets of sweat began to form
+along Braun's forehead and his upper
+lip. The handkerchief remained
+crushed in his hand.</p>
+
+<p>Anderton said, "Of all the fool&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>"Hush!" Joan said quietly.</p>
+
+<hr style='width: 45%;' />
+
+<p>Slowly, Braun opened his eyes.
+"All right," he said. "You guys
+wanted it this way. <i>I say it's a bomb.</i>"
+He stared at us for a moment more&mdash;and
+then, all at once, the Timkin
+bearing burst. Words poured out of
+it. "Now you guys do something, do
+your job like I did mine&mdash;get my
+wife and kids out of there&mdash;empty
+the city&mdash;do something, <i>do something</i>!"</p>
+
+<p>Anderton was already grabbing
+for the phone. "You're right, Mr.
+Braun. If it isn't already too late&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>Cheyney shot out a hand and
+caught Anderton's telephone arm by
+the wrist. "Wait a minute," he said.</p>
+
+<p>"What d'you mean, 'wait a minute'?
+Haven't you already shot
+enough time?"</p>
+
+<p>Cheyney did not let go; instead,
+he looked inquiringly at Joan and
+said, "One minute, Joan. You might
+as well go ahead."</p>
+
+<p>She nodded and spoke into the
+mike. "Monig, unscrew the cap."</p>
+
+<p>"Unscrew the cap?" the audio
+squawked. "But Dr. Hadamard, if
+that sets it off&mdash;"</p>
+
+<p>"It won't go off. That's the one
+thing you can be sure it won't do."</p>
+
+<p>"What is this?" Anderton demanded.
+"And what's this deadline
+stuff, anyhow?"</p>
+
+<p>"The cap's off," Monig reported.
+"We're getting plenty of radiation
+now. Just a minute&mdash; Yeah. Dr.
+Hadamard, it's a bomb, all right.
+But it hasn't got a fuse. Now how
+could they have made a fool mistake
+like that?"</p>
+
+<p>"In other words, it's a dud," Joan
+said.</p>
+
+<p>"That's right, a dud."</p>
+
+<p>Now, at last, Braun wiped his face,
+which was quite gray. "I told you
+the truth," he said grimly. "My
+hunches don't work on stuff like
+this."</p>
+
+<p>"But they do," I said. "I'm sorry
+we put you through the wringer&mdash;and
+you too, colonel&mdash;but we couldn't
+let an opportunity like this slip.
+It was too good a chance for us to
+test how our facilities would stand
+up in a real bomb-drop."</p>
+
+<p>"A real drop?" Anderton said.
+"Are you trying to say that CIA
+staged this? You ought to be shot,
+the whole pack of you!"</p>
+
+<p>"No, not exactly," I said. "The
+enemy's responsible for the drop, all
+right. We got word last month from
+our man in Gdynia that they were
+going to do it, and that the bomb
+would be on board the <i>Ludmilla</i>. As
+I say, it was too good an opportunity
+to miss. We wanted to find out just
+how long it would take us to figure
+out the nature of the bomb&mdash;which
+we didn't know in detail&mdash;after it
+was dropped here. So we had our
+people in Gdynia defuse the thing
+after it was put on board the ship,
+but otherwise leave it entirely alone.</p>
+
+<p>"Actually, you see, your hunch was
+right on the button as far as it went.
+We didn't ask you whether or not
+that object was a live bomb. We
+asked whether it was a bomb or not.
+You said it was, and you were right."</p>
+
+<p>The expression on Braun's face
+was exactly like the one he had worn
+while he had been searching for his
+decision&mdash;except that, since his eyes
+were open, I could see that it was
+directed at me. "If this was the old
+days," he said in an ice-cold voice,
+"I might of made the colonel's idea
+come true. I don't go for tricks like
+this, Andy."</p>
+
+<p>"It was more than a trick," Clark
+put in. "You'll remember we had
+a deadline on the test, Mr. Braun.
+Obviously, in a real drop we wouldn't
+have all the time in the world
+to figure out what kind of a thing
+had been dropped. If we had still
+failed to establish that when the
+deadline ran out, we would have
+had to allow evacuation of the city,
+with all the attendant risk that that
+was exactly what the enemy wanted
+us to do."</p>
+
+<p>"So?"</p>
+
+<p>"So we failed the test," I said. "At
+one minute short of the deadline,
+Joan had the divers unscrew the cap.
+In a real drop that would have resulted
+in a detonation, if the bomb
+was real; we'd never risk it. That
+we did do it in the test was a concession
+of failure&mdash;an admission that
+our usual methods didn't come
+through for us in time.</p>
+
+<p>"And that means that you were
+the only person who did come
+through, Mr. Braun. If a real bomb-drop
+ever comes, we're going to have
+to have you here, as an active part of
+our investigation. Your intuition for
+the one-shot gamble was the one
+thing that bailed us out this time.
+Next time it may save eight million
+lives."</p>
+
+<p>There was quite a long silence. All
+of us, Anderton included, watched
+Braun intently, but his impassive
+face failed to show any trace of how
+his thoughts were running.</p>
+
+<p>When he did speak at last, what
+he said must have seemed insanely
+irrelevant to Anderton, and maybe
+to Cheyney too. And perhaps it
+meant nothing more to Joan than
+the final clinical note in a case history.</p>
+
+<p>"It's funny," he said, "I was
+thinking of running for Congress
+next year from my district. But maybe
+this is more important."</p>
+
+<p>It was, I believe, the sigh of a man
+at peace with himself.</p>
+
+
+<div class="figcenter" style="width: 240px;">
+<img src="images/003.png" width="240" height="100" alt="FIN" title="" />
+</div>
+
+
+
+
+<div class="trans1"><b>Transcriber's Note:</b><br />
+This etext was produced from <i>Astounding Science Fiction</i> August
+1955. Extensive research did not uncover any evidence that the U.S.
+copyright on this publication was renewed. Minor spelling and
+typographical errors have been corrected without note.</div>
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+<pre>
+
+
+
+
+
+End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of One-Shot, by James Benjamin Blish
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