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+The Project Gutenberg EBook of The Life and Letters of Walter H. Page,
+Volume II, by Burton J. Hendrick
+
+This eBook is for the use of anyone anywhere at no cost and with
+almost no restrictions whatsoever. You may copy it, give it away or
+re-use it under the terms of the Project Gutenberg License included
+with this eBook or online at www.gutenberg.org
+
+
+Title: The Life and Letters of Walter H. Page, Volume II
+
+Author: Burton J. Hendrick
+
+Release Date: November 6, 2005 [EBook #17018]
+
+Language: English
+
+Character set encoding: ISO-8859-1
+
+*** START OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE LIFE AND LETTERS OF ***
+
+
+
+
+Produced by Rick Niles, Charlie Kirschner and the Online
+Distributed Proofreading Team at https://www.pgdp.net
+
+
+
+
+
+
+[Illustration: Sir Edward Grey (now Viscount Grey of Fallodon),
+Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, 1905-1916]
+
+
+
+
+ THE
+ LIFE AND LETTERS OF
+ WALTER H. PAGE
+
+ BY
+
+ BURTON J. HENDRICK
+
+ VOLUME
+ II
+
+ GARDEN CITY NEW YORK
+ DOUBLEDAY, PAGE & COMPANY
+ 1924
+
+
+
+
+ PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES
+ AT
+ THE COUNTRY LIFE PRESS, GARDEN CITY, N.Y.
+
+
+
+
+CONTENTS
+
+VOLUME II
+
+
+ CHAPTER PAGE
+ XIV. THE "LUSITANIA" AND AFTER 1
+ XV. THE AMBASSADOR AND THE LAWYERS 53
+ XVI. DARK DAYS FOR THE ALLIES 81
+ XVII. CHRISTMAS IN ENGLAND, 1915 103
+ XVIII. A PERPLEXED AMBASSADOR 128
+ XIX. WASHINGTON IN THE SUMMER OF 1916 148
+ XX. "PEACE WITHOUT VICTORY" 189
+ XXI. THE UNITED STATES AT WAR 215
+ XXII. THE BALFOUR MISSION TO THE UNITED STATES 248
+ XXIII. PAGE--THE MAN 295
+ XXIV. A RESPITE AT ST. IVES 321
+ XXV. GETTING THE AMERICAN TROOPS TO FRANCE 349
+ XXVI. LAST DAYS IN ENGLAND 374
+ XXVII. THE END 404
+ APPENDIX 407
+ INDEX 425
+
+
+
+
+LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
+
+
+ Sir Edward Grey _Frontispiece_
+
+ FACING PAGE
+
+ Col. Edward M. House. From a painting by P.A.
+ Laszlo 88
+
+ The Rt. Hon. Herbert Henry Asquith, Prime Minister
+ of Great Britain, 1908-1916 89
+
+ Herbert C. Hoover, in 1914 104
+
+ A facsimile page from the Ambassador's letter of
+ November 24, 1916, resigning his Ambassadorship 105
+
+ Walter H. Page, at the time of America's entry into
+ the war, April, 1917 216
+
+ Resolution passed by the two Houses of Parliament,
+ April 18, 1917, on America's entry into the war 217
+
+ The Rt. Hon. David Lloyd George, Prime Minister
+ of Great Britain, 1916-- 232
+
+ The Rt. Hon. Arthur James Balfour (now the Earl of
+ Balfour), Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs,
+ 1916-1919 233
+
+ Lord Robert Cecil, Minister of Blockade, 1916-1918,
+ Assistant Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs,
+ 1918 344
+
+ General John J. Pershing, Commander-in-Chief of
+ the American Expeditionary Force in the Great
+ War 345
+
+ Admiral William Sowden Sims, Commander of
+ American Naval Forces operating in European
+ waters during the Great War 360
+
+ A silver model of the _Mayflower_, the farewell gift
+ of the Plymouth Council to Mr. Page 361
+
+
+
+
+THE
+
+LIFE AND LETTERS
+
+OF
+
+WALTER H. PAGE
+
+
+
+
+THE LIFE AND LETTERS OF
+
+WALTER H. PAGE
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XIV
+
+THE "LUSITANIA"--AND AFTER
+
+
+I
+
+The news of the _Lusitania_ was received at the American Embassy at four
+o'clock on the afternoon of May 7, 1915. At that time preparations were
+under way for a dinner in honour of Colonel and Mrs. House; the first
+_Lusitania_ announcement declared that only the ship itself had been
+destroyed and that all the passengers and members of the crew had been
+saved; there was, therefore, no good reason for abandoning this dinner.
+
+At about seven o'clock, the Ambassador came home; his manner showed that
+something extraordinary had taken place; there were no outward signs of
+emotion, but he was very serious. The first news, he now informed Mrs.
+Page, had been a mistake; more than one thousand men, women, and
+children had lost their lives, and more than one hundred of these were
+American citizens. It was too late to postpone the dinner but that
+affair was one of the most tragic in the social history of London. The
+Ambassador was constantly receiving bulletins from his Chancery, and
+these, as quickly as they were received, he read to his guests. His
+voice was quiet and subdued; there were no indications of excitement in
+his manner or in that of his friends, and hardly of suppressed emotion.
+The atmosphere was rather that of dumb stupefaction. The news seemed to
+have dulled everyone's capacity for thought and even for feeling. If any
+one spoke, it was in whispers. Afterward, in the drawing room, this same
+mental state was the prevailing one; there was little denunciation of
+Germany and practically no discussion as to the consequences of the
+crime; everyone's thought was engrossed by the harrowing and
+unbelievable facts which the Ambassador was reading from the little
+yellow slips that were periodically brought in. An irresistible
+fascination evidently kept everybody in the room; the guests stayed
+late, eager for every new item. When they finally left, one after
+another, their manner was still abstracted and they said their
+good-nights in low voices. There were two reasons for this behaviour.
+The first was that the Ambassador and his guests had received the
+details of the greatest infamy which any supposedly civilized state had
+perpetrated since the massacre of Saint Bartholomew. The second was the
+conviction that the United States would at once declare war on Germany.
+
+On this latter point several of the guests expressed their ideas and one
+of the most shocked and outspoken was Colonel House. For a month the
+President's personal representative had been discussing with British
+statesmen possible openings for mediation, but all his hopes in this
+direction now vanished. That President Wilson would act with the utmost
+energy Colonel House took for granted. This act, he evidently believed,
+left the United States no option. "We shall be at war with Germany
+within a month," he declared.
+
+The feeling that prevailed in the Embassy this evening was the one that
+existed everywhere in London for several days. Emotionally the event
+acted like an anæsthetic. This was certainly the condition of all
+Americans associated with the American Embassy, especially Page
+himself. A day or two after the sinking the Ambassador went to Euston
+Station, at an early hour in the morning, to receive the American
+survivors. The hundred or more men and women who shambled from the train
+made a listless and bedraggled gathering. Their grotesque clothes, torn
+and unkempt--for practically none had had the opportunity of obtaining a
+change of dress--their expressionless faces, their lustreless eyes,
+their uncertain and bewildered walk, faintly reflected an experience
+such as comes to few people in this world. The most noticeable thing
+about these unfortunates was their lack of interest in their
+surroundings; everything had apparently been reduced to a blank; the
+fact that practically none made any reference to their ordeal, or could
+be induced to discuss it, was a matter of common talk in London. And
+something of this disposition now became noticeable in Page himself. He
+wrote his dispatches to Washington in an abstracted mood; he went
+through his duties almost with the detachment of a sleep-walker; like
+the _Lusitania_ survivors, he could not talk much at that time about the
+scenes that had taken place off the coast of Ireland. Yet there were
+many indications that he was thinking about them, and his thoughts, as
+his letters reveal, were concerned with more things than the tragedy
+itself. He believed that his country was now face to face with its
+destiny. What would Washington do?
+
+Page had a characteristic way of thinking out his problems. He performed
+his routine work at the Chancery in the daytime, but his really serious
+thinking he did in his own room at night. The picture is still a vivid
+one in the recollection of his family and his other intimates. Even at
+this time Page's health was not good, yet he frequently spent the
+evening at his office in Grosvenor Gardens, and when the long day's
+labours were finished, he would walk rather wearily to his home at No. 6
+Grosvenor Square. He would enter the house slowly--and his walk became
+slower and more tired as the months went by--go up to his room and cross
+to the fireplace, so apparently wrapped up in his own thoughts that he
+hardly greeted members of his own family. A wood fire was kept burning
+for him, winter and summer alike; Page would put on his dressing gown,
+drop into a friendly chair, and sit there, doing nothing, reading
+nothing, saying nothing--only thinking. Sometimes he would stay for an
+hour; not infrequently he would remain till two, three, or four o'clock
+in the morning; occasions were not unknown when his almost motionless
+figure would be in this same place at daybreak. He never slept through
+these nights, and he never even dozed; he was wide awake, and his mind
+was silently working upon the particular problem that was uppermost in
+his thoughts. He never rose until he had solved it or at least until he
+had decided upon a course of action. He would then get up abruptly, go
+to bed, and sleep like a child. The one thing that made it possible for
+a man of his delicate frame, racked as it was by anxiety and over work,
+to keep steadily at his task, was the wonderful gift which he possessed
+of sleeping.
+
+Page had thought out many problems in this way. The tension caused by
+the sailing of the _Dacia_, in January, 1915, and the deftness with
+which the issue had been avoided by substituting a French for a British
+cruiser, has already been described. Page discovered this solution on
+one of these all-night self-communings. It was almost two o'clock in the
+morning that he rose, said to himself, "I've got it!" and then went
+contentedly to bed. And during the anxious months that followed the
+_Lusitania_, the _Arabic_, and those other outrages which have now
+taken their place in history, he spent night after night turning the
+matter over in his mind. But he found no way out of the humiliations
+presented by the policy of Washington.
+
+"Here we are swung loose in time," he wrote to his son Arthur, a few
+days after the first _Lusitania_ note had been sent to Germany, "nobody
+knows the day or the week or the month or the year--and we are caught on
+this island, with no chance of escape, while the vast slaughter goes on
+and seems just beginning, and the degradation of war goes on week by
+week; and we live in hope that the United States will come in, as the
+only chance to give us standing and influence when the reorganization of
+the world must begin. (Beware of betraying the word 'hope'!) It has all
+passed far beyond anybody's power to describe. I simply go on day by day
+into unknown experiences and emotions, seeing nothing before me very
+clearly and remembering only dimly what lies behind. I can see only one
+proper thing: that all the world should fall to and hunt this wild beast
+down.
+
+"Two photographs of little Mollie[1] on my mantelpiece recall persons
+and scenes and hopes unconnected with the war: few other things can.
+Bless the baby, she couldn't guess what a sweet purpose she serves."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+The sensations of most Americans in London during this crisis are almost
+indescribable. Washington's failure promptly to meet the situation
+affected them with astonishment and humiliation. Colonel House was
+confident that war was impending, and for this reason he hurried his
+preparations to leave England; he wished to be in the United States, at
+the President's side, when the declaration was made. With this feeling
+about Mr. Wilson, Colonel House received a fearful shock a day or two
+after the _Lusitania_ had gone down: while walking in Piccadilly, he
+caught a glimpse of one of the famous sandwich men, bearing a poster of
+an afternoon newspaper. This glaring broadside bore the following
+legend: "We are too proud to fight--Woodrow Wilson." The sight of that
+placard was Colonel House's first intimation that the President might
+not act vigorously. He made no attempt to conceal from Page and other
+important men at the American Embassy the shock which it had given him.
+Soon the whole of England was ringing with these six words; the
+newspapers were filled with stinging editorials and cartoons, and the
+music halls found in the Wilsonian phrase materials for their choicest
+jibes. Even in more serious quarters America was the subject of the most
+severe denunciation. No one felt these strictures more poignantly than
+President Wilson's closest confidant. A day or two before sailing home
+he came into the Embassy greatly depressed at the prevailing revulsion
+against the United States. "I feel," Colonel House said to Page, "as
+though I had been given a kick at every lamp post coming down
+Constitution Hill." A day or two afterward Colonel House sailed for
+America.
+
+
+II
+
+And now came the period of distress and of disillusionment. Three
+_Lusitania_ notes were sent and were evasively answered, and Washington
+still seemed to be marking time. The one event in this exciting period
+which gave Page satisfaction was Mr. Bryan's resignation as Secretary of
+State. For Mr. Bryan personally Page had a certain fondness, but as head
+of the State Department the Nebraska orator had been a cause of endless
+vexation. Many of Page's letters, already printed, bear evidence of the
+utter demoralization which existed in this branch of the Administration
+and this demoralization became especially glaring during the _Lusitania_
+crisis. No attempt was made even at this momentous period to keep the
+London Embassy informed as to what was taking place in Washington;
+Page's letters and cablegrams were, for the most part, unacknowledged
+and unanswered, and the American Ambassador was frequently obliged to
+obtain his information about the state of feeling in Washington from Sir
+Edward Grey. It must be said, in justice to Mr. Bryan, that this
+carelessness was nothing particularly new, for it had worried many
+ambassadors before Page. Readers of Charles Francis Adams's
+correspondence meet with the same complaints during the Civil War; even
+at the time of the _Trent_ crisis, when for a fortnight Great Britain
+and the United States were living on the brink of war, Adams was kept
+entirely in the dark about the plans of Washington[2]. The letters of
+John Hay show a similar condition during his brief ambassadorship to
+Great Britain in 1897-1898[3].
+
+But Mr. Bryan's incumbency was guilty of diplomatic vices which were
+peculiarly its own. The "leaks" in the State Department, to which Page
+has already referred, were constantly taking place; the Ambassador would
+send the most confidential cipher dispatches to his superior, cautioning
+the Department that they must be held inviolably secret, and then he
+would pick up the London newspapers the next morning and find that
+everything had been cabled from Washington. To most readers, the
+informal method of conducting foreign business, as it is disclosed in
+these letters, probably comes as something of a shock. Page is here
+discovered discussing state matters, not in correspondence with the
+Secretary of State, but in private unofficial communications to the
+President, and especially to Colonel House--the latter at that time not
+an official person at all. All this, of course, was extremely irregular
+and, in any properly organized State Department, it would have been even
+reprehensible. But the point is that there was no properly organized
+State Department at that time, and the impossibility of conducting
+business through the regular channels compelled Page to adopt other
+means. "There is only one way to reform the State Department," he
+informed Colonel House at this time. "That is to raze the whole
+building, with its archives and papers, to the ground, and begin all
+over again."
+
+This state of affairs in Washington explains the curious fact that the
+real diplomatic history of the United States and Great Britain during
+this great crisis is not to be found in the archives of the State
+Department, for the official documents on file there consist of the most
+routine telegrams, which are not particularly informing, but in the
+Ambassador's personal correspondence with the President, Colonel House,
+and a few other intimates. The State Department did not have the first
+requisite of a properly organized foreign office, for it could not be
+trusted with confidential information. The Department did not tell Page
+what it was doing, but it apparently told the whole world what Page was
+doing. It is an astonishing fact that Page could not write and cable the
+most important details, for he was afraid that they would promptly be
+given to the reporters.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+"I shall not send another confidential message to the State Department,"
+Page wrote to Colonel House, September 15, 1914; "it's too dangerous.
+Time and time again now the Department has leaked. Last week, I sent a
+dispatch and I said in the body of it, '_this is confidential and under
+no condition to be given out or made public, but to be regarded as
+inviolably secret_.' The very next morning it was telegraphed from
+Washington to the London newspapers. Bryan telegraphed me that he was
+sure it didn't get out from the Department and that he now had so fixed
+it that there could be no leak. He's said that at least four times
+before. The Department swarms with newspaper men, I hear. But whether it
+does or not the leak continues. I have to go with my tail between my
+legs and apologize to Sir Edward Grey and to do myself that shame and to
+do my very best to keep his confidence--against these unnecessary odds.
+The only way to be safe is to do the job perfunctorily, to answer the
+questions the Department sends and to do nothing on your own account.
+That's the reason so many of our men do their jobs in that way--or _one_
+reason and a strong one. We can never have an alert and energetic and
+powerful service until men can trust the Department and until they can
+get necessary information from it. I wrote the President that of course
+I'd go on till the war ended and all the questions growing out of it
+were settled, and that then he must excuse me, if I must continue to be
+exposed to this danger and humiliation. In the meantime, I shall send
+all my confidential matter in private letters to him."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Page did not regard Mr. Bryan's opinions and attitudes as a joke: to him
+they were a serious matter and, in his eyes, Bryan was most interesting
+as a national menace. He regarded the Secretary as the extreme
+expression of an irrational sentimentalism that was in danger of
+undermining the American character, especially as the kind of thought
+he represented was manifest in many phases of American life. In a moment
+of exasperation, Page gave expression to this feeling in a letter to his
+son:
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ London, June 6, 1915.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... We're in danger of being feminized and fad-ridden--grape juice
+ (God knows water's good enough: why grape juice?); pensions;
+ Christian Science; peace cranks; efficiency-correspondence schools;
+ aid-your-memory; women's clubs; co-this and co-t'other and coddling
+ in general; Billy Sunday; petticoats where breeches ought to be and
+ breeches where petticoats ought to be; white livers and soft heads
+ and milk-and-water;--I don't want war: nobody knows its horrors or
+ its degradations or its cost. But to get rid of hyphenated
+ degenerates perhaps it's worth while, and to free us from 'isms and
+ soft folk. That's the domestic view of it. As for being kicked by a
+ sauerkraut caste--O Lord, give us backbone!
+
+ Heartily yours,
+ W.H.P.
+
+In the bottom of this note, Page has cut a notch in the paper and
+against it he has written: "This notch is the place to apply a match to
+this letter."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+"Again and ever I am reminded," Page also wrote in reference to Bryan's
+resignation, "of the danger of having to do with cranks. A certain
+orderliness of mind and conduct seems essential for safety in this short
+life. Spiritualists, bone-rubbers, anti-vivisectionists, all sort of
+anti's in fact, those who have fads about education or fads against it,
+Perfectionists, Daughters of the Dove of Peace, Sons of the Roaring
+Torrent, itinerant peace-mongers--all these may have a real genius
+among them once in forty years; but to look for an exception to the
+common run of yellow dogs and damfools among them is like opening
+oysters with the hope of finding pearls. It's the common man we want and
+the uncommon common man when we can find him--never the crank. This is
+the lesson of Bryan."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+At one time, however, Mr. Bryan's departure seemed likely to have
+important consequences for Page. Colonel House and others strongly urged
+the President to call him home from London and make him Secretary of
+State. This was the third position in President Wilson's Cabinet for
+which Page had been considered. The early plans to make him Secretary of
+the Interior or Secretary of Agriculture have already been described. Of
+all cabinet posts, however, the one that would have especially attracted
+him would have been the Department of State. But President Wilson
+believed that the appointment of an Ambassador at one of the belligerent
+capitals, especially of an Ambassador whose sympathies for the Allies
+were so pronounced as were Page's, would have been an "un-neutral" act,
+and, therefore, Colonel House's recommendation was not approved.
+
+ _From Edward M. House_
+
+ Roslyn, Long Island,
+ June 25th, 1915.
+
+ DEAR PAGE:
+
+ The President finally decided to appoint Lansing to succeed Mr.
+ Bryan. In my opinion, he did wisely, though I would have preferred
+ his appointing you.
+
+ The argument against your appointment was the fact that you are an
+ Ambassador at one of the belligerent capitals. The President did
+ not think it would do, and from what I read, when your name was
+ suggested I take it there would have been much criticism. I am
+ sorry--sorrier than I can tell you, for it would have worked
+ admirably in the general scheme of things.
+
+ However, I feel sure that Lansing will do the job, and that you
+ will find your relations with him in every way satisfactory.
+
+ The President spent yesterday with me and we talked much of you. He
+ is looking well and feeling so. I read the President your letter
+ and he enjoyed it as much as I did.
+
+ I am writing hastily, for I am leaving for Manchester,
+ Massachusetts, where I shall be during July and August.
+
+ Your sincere friend,
+ E.M. HOUSE.
+
+
+III
+
+But, in addition to the _Lusitania_ crisis, a new terror now loomed on
+the horizon. Page's correspondence reveals that Bryan had more reasons
+than one for his resignation; he was now planning to undertake a
+self-appointed mission to Europe for the purpose of opening peace
+negotiations entirely on his own account.
+
+ _From Edward M. House_
+
+ Manchester, Massachusetts,
+ August 12th, 1915.
+
+ DEAR PAGE:
+
+ The Bryans have been stopping with the X's. X writes me that Bryan
+ told him that he intended to go to Europe soon and try peace
+ negotiations. He has Lloyd George in mind in England, and it is
+ then his purpose to go to Germany.
+
+ I take it he will want credentials from the President which, of
+ course, he will not want to give, but just what he will feel
+ obliged to give is another story. I anticipated this when he
+ resigned. I knew it was merely a matter of time when he would take
+ this step.
+
+ He may find encouragement in Germany, for he is in high favour now
+ in that quarter. It is his purpose to oppose the President upon the
+ matter of "preparedness," and, from what we can learn, it will not
+ be long before there will be open antagonism between the
+ Administration and himself.
+
+ It might be a good thing to encourage his going to Europe. He would
+ probably come back a sadder and wiser man. I take it that no one in
+ authority in England would discuss the matter seriously with him,
+ and, in France, I do not believe he could even get a hearing.
+
+ Please let me have your impressions upon this subject.
+
+ I wish I could be near you to-day for there are so many things I
+ could tell that I cannot write.
+
+ Your friend,
+ E.M. House.
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ American Embassy, London [Undated].
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ Never mind about Bryan. Send him over here if you wish to get rid
+ of him. He'll cut no more figure than a tar-baby at a Negro
+ camp-meeting. If he had come while he was Secretary, I should have
+ jumped off London Bridge and the country would have had one
+ ambassador less. But I shall enjoy him now. You see some peace
+ crank from the United States comes along every week--some crank or
+ some gang of cranks. There've been two this week. Ever since the
+ Daughters of the Dove of Peace met at The Hague, the game has
+ become popular in America; and I haven't yet heard that a single
+ one has been shot--so far. I think that some of them are likely
+ soon to be hanged, however, because there are signs that they may
+ come also from Germany. The same crowd that supplies money to buy
+ labour-leaders and the press and to blow up factories in the United
+ States keeps a good supply of peace-liars on tap. It'll be fun to
+ watch Bryan perform and never suspect that anybody is lying to him
+ or laughing at him; and he'll go home convinced that he's done the
+ job and he'll let loose doves all over the land till they are as
+ thick as English sparrows. Not even the President could teach him
+ anything permanently. He can do no harm on this side the world.
+ It's only your side that's in any possible danger; and, if I read
+ the signs right, there's a diminishing danger there.
+
+ No, there's never yet come a moment when there was the slightest
+ chance of peace. Did the Emperor not say last year that peace would
+ come in October, and again this year in October? Since he said it,
+ how can it come?
+
+ The ambitions and the actions of men, my friend, are determined by
+ their antecedents, their surroundings, and their opportunities--the
+ great deeds of men before them whom consciously or unconsciously
+ they take for models, the codes they are reared by, and the chances
+ that they think they see. These influences shaped Alexander and
+ Cæsar, and they shaped you and me. Now every monarch on the
+ Continent has behind him the Napoleonic example. "Can I do that?"
+ crosses the mind of every one. Of course every one thinks of
+ himself as doing it beneficently--for the good of the world.
+ Napoleon, himself, persuaded himself of his benevolent intentions,
+ and the devil of it was he persuaded other people also. Now the
+ only monarch in Europe in our time who thought he had a chance is
+ your friend in Berlin. When he told you last year (1914) that of
+ course he didn't want war, but that he was "ready," that's what he
+ meant. A similar ambition, of course, comes into the mind of every
+ professional soldier of the continent who rises to eminence. In
+ Berlin you have both--the absolute monarch and the military class
+ of ambitious soldiers and their fighting machine. Behind these men
+ walks the Napoleonic ambition all the time, just as in the United
+ States we lie down every night in George Washington's feather-bed
+ of no entangling alliances.
+
+ Then remember, too, that the German monarchy is a cross between the
+ Napoleonic ambition and its inheritance from Frederick the Great
+ and Bismarck. I suppose the three damnedest liars that were ever
+ born are these three--old Frederick, Napoleon, and Bismarck--not, I
+ take it, because they naturally loved lying, but because the game
+ they played constantly called for lying. There was no other way to
+ play it: they _had_ to fool people all the time. You have abundant
+ leisure--do this: Read the whole career of Napoleon and write down
+ the startling and exact parallels that you will find there to what
+ is happening to-day. The French were united and patriotic, just as
+ the Germans now are. When they invaded other people's territory,
+ they said they were attacked and that the other people had brought
+ on war. They had their lying diplomats, their corruption funds;
+ they levied money on cities and states; they took booty; and they
+ were God's elect. It's a wonderful parallel--not strangely, because
+ the game is the same and the moral methods are the same. Only the
+ tools are somewhat different--the submarine, for example. Hence the
+ _Lusitania_ disaster (not disavowed, you will observe), the
+ _Arabic_ disaster, the propaganda, underground and above, in the
+ United States. And there'll be more. The Napoleonic Wars were
+ about eleven years long. I fancy that we shall have war and wars
+ from this attempt to dominate Europe, for perhaps as long a period.
+ The Balkans can't be quieted by this war only, nor Russia and Italy
+ perhaps. And Germany may have a series of earthquakes
+ herself--internal explosions. Then Poland and perhaps some of the
+ Scandinavian States. Nobody can tell.
+
+ I cannot express my admiration of the President's management, so
+ far at least, of his colossal task of leading us right. He has
+ shown his supreme wisdom up to this point and I have the
+ profoundest confidence in his judgment. But I hope he doesn't fool
+ himself about the future; I'm sure he doesn't. I see no possible
+ way for us to keep out, because I know the ignorance and falseness
+ of the German leaders. They'll drown or kill more Americans--on the
+ sea and in America. They _may_ at last even attack one of our own
+ passenger ships, or do something that will dramatically reveal them
+ to the whole American people. Then, of course, the tune will be
+ called. It's only a question of time; and I am afraid the war will
+ last long enough to give them time. An early peace is all that can
+ prevent them from driving us at last into war; and I can see no
+ chance of an early peace. You had as well prepare as fast as the
+ condition of public opinion will permit.
+
+ There could be no better measure of the immeasurable moral advance
+ that the United States has made over Europe than the incredulity of
+ our people. They simply can't comprehend what the Napoleonic legend
+ can do, nor the low political morality of the Continent--of Berlin
+ in particular. Hence they don't believe it. We have gone on for 100
+ years working might and main to better our condition and the
+ condition of people about us--the greatest effort made by the
+ largest number of people since the world began to further the mood
+ and the arts of peace. There is no other such chapter in human
+ history as our work for a hundred years. Yet just a hundred years
+ ago the Capitol at Washington was burned by--a political oligarchy
+ in the freest country of Europe--as damnable an atrocity as you
+ will find in history. The Germans are a hundred years behind the
+ English in political development and political morality.
+
+ So, let Willum J. come. He can't hurt Europe--nor help it; and you
+ can spare him. Let all the Peace-gang come. You can spare _them_,
+ too; and they can do no harm here. Let somebody induce Hoke Smith
+ to come, too. You have hit on a great scheme--friendly deportation.
+
+ And Bryan won't be alone. Daughters of the Dove of Peace and Sons
+ of the Olive Branch come every week. The latest Son came to see me
+ to-day. He said that the German Chancellor told him that he wanted
+ peace--wants it now and wants it bad, and that only one thing stood
+ in the way--if England would agree not to take Belgium, Germany
+ would at once make peace! This otherwise sensible American wanted
+ me to take him to see Sir Edward to tell him this, and to suggest
+ to him to go over to Holland next week to meet the German
+ Chancellor and fix it up. A few days ago a pious preacher chap
+ (American) who had come over to "fix it all up," came back from
+ France and called on me. He had seen something in France--he was
+ excited and he didn't quite make it clear what he had seen; but he
+ said that if they'd only let him go home safely and quickly he'd
+ promise not to mention peace any more--did I think the American
+ boats _entirely_ safe?--So, you see, I do have some fun even in
+ these dark days.
+
+ Yours heartily,
+ W.H. PAGE.
+
+
+IV
+
+This letter discloses that Page was pinning his faith in President
+Wilson, and that he still had confidence in the President's
+determination to uphold the national honour. Page was not one of those
+who thought that the United States should declare war immediately after
+the _Lusitania_. The President's course, in giving Germany a chance to
+make amends, and to disavow the act, met with his approval, and he
+found, also, much to admire in Mr. Wilson's first _Lusitania_ note. His
+judgment in this matter was based first of all upon the merits of the
+case; besides this, his admiration for Mr. Wilson as a public man was
+strong. To think otherwise of the President would have been a great
+grief to the Ambassador and to differ with his chief on the tremendous
+issue of the war would have meant for Page the severance of one of the
+most cherished associations of his life. The interest which he had shown
+in advocating Wilson's presidential candidacy has already been set
+forth; and many phases of the Wilson administration had aroused his
+admiration. The President's handling of domestic problems Page regarded
+as a masterpiece in reconciling statesmanship with practical politics,
+and his energetic attitude on the Panama Tolls had introduced new
+standards into American foreign relations. Page could not sympathize
+with all the details of the Wilsonian Mexican policy, yet he saw in it a
+high-minded purpose and a genuine humanitarianism. But the outbreak of
+war presented new aspects of Mr. Wilson's mind. The President's attitude
+toward the European struggle, his conception of "neutrality," and his
+failure to grasp the meaning of the conflict, seemed to Page to show a
+lack of fundamental statesmanship; still his faith in Wilson was
+deep-seated, and he did not abandon hope that the President could be
+brought to see things as they really were. Page even believed that he
+might be instrumental in his conversion.
+
+But in the summer and autumn of 1915 one agony followed another. The
+"too proud to fight" speech was in Page's mind nothing less than a
+tragedy. The president's first _Lusitania_ note for a time restored the
+Ambassador's confidence; it seemed to show that the President intended
+to hold Germany to that "strict accountability" which he had threatened.
+But Mr. Wilson's course now presented new difficulties to his
+Ambassador. Still Page believed that the President, in his own way and
+in his own time, would find a path out of his dilemma that would protect
+the honour and the safety of the United States. If any of the Embassy
+subordinates became impatient over the procedure of Washington, he did
+not find a sympathetic listener in the Ambassador. The whole of London
+and of Europe might be resounding with denunciations of the White House,
+but Page would tolerate no manifestations of hostility in his presence.
+"The problem appears different to Washington than it does to us," he
+would say to his confidants. "We see only one side of it; the President
+sees all sides. If we give him all the facts, he will decide the thing
+wisely." Englishmen with whom the Ambassador came into contact soon
+learned that they could not become flippant or critical about Mr. Wilson
+in his presence; he would resent the slightest hostile remark, and he
+had a way of phrasing his rebukes that usually discouraged a second
+attempt. About this time Page began to keep closely to himself, and to
+decline invitations to dinners and to country houses, even those with
+which he was most friendly. The reason was that he could not meet
+Englishmen and Englishwomen, or even Americans who were resident in
+England, on his old easy familiar terms; he knew the ideas which
+everybody entertained about his country, and he knew also what they were
+saying, when he was not among them; the restraint which his presence
+necessarily put upon his friends produced an uncongenial atmosphere, and
+the Ambassador therefore gave up, for a time, those distractions which
+had ordinarily proved such a delightful relief from his duties. For the
+first time since he had come to England he found himself a solitary man.
+He even refused to attend the American Luncheon Club in London because,
+in speeches and in conversation, the members did not hesitate to assail
+the Wilson policies.
+
+Events, however, eventually proved too strong for the most devoted
+supporter of President Wilson. After the _Arabic_ and the _Hesperian_,
+Page's official intimates saw signs that the Ambassador was losing
+confidence in his old friend. He would discuss Mr. Wilson occasionally,
+with those secretaries, such as Mr. Laughlin, in whom his confidence was
+strongest; his expressions, however, were never flippant or violent.
+That Page could be biting as well as brilliant in his comments on public
+personages his letters abundantly reveal, yet he never exercised his
+talent for sarcasm or invective at the expense of the White House. He
+never forgot that Mr. Wilson was President and that he was Ambassador;
+he would still defend the Administration; and he even now continued to
+find consolation in the reflection that Mr. Wilson was living in a
+different atmosphere and that he had difficulties to confront of which a
+man in London could know nothing. The Ambassador's emotion was rather
+one of disappointment and sorrow, mingled with anxiety as to the plight
+into which his country was being led. As to his duty in this situation,
+however, Page never hesitated. In his relations with his Embassy and
+with the British world he maintained this non-critical attitude; but in
+his letters to President Wilson and Colonel House, he was describing the
+situation, and expressing his convictions, with the utmost freedom and
+frankness. In both these attitudes Page was consistent and absolutely
+loyal. It was his duty to carry out the Wilson instructions and he had
+too high a conception of the Ambassadorial office to show to the world
+any unfavourable opinions he may have held about his country's course.
+His duty to his post made it just as imperative that he set forth to the
+President the facts exactly as they were. And this the Ambassador now
+proceeded to do. For the mere ornamental dignities of an Ambassadorship
+Page cared nothing; he was wasting his health in his duties and
+exhausting his private resources; much as he loved the English and
+congenial as were his surroundings, the fear of being recalled for
+"disloyalty" or insubordination never influenced him. The letters which
+he now wrote to Colonel House and to President Wilson himself are
+probably without parallel in the diplomatic annals of this or of any
+other country. In them he told the President precisely what Englishmen
+thought of him and of the extent to which the United States was
+suffering in European estimation from the Wilson policy. His boldness
+sometimes astounded his associates. One day a friend and adviser of
+President Wilson's came into the Ambassador's office just as Page had
+finished one of his communications to Washington.
+
+"Read that!" the Ambassador said, handing over the manuscript to his
+visitor.
+
+As the caller read, his countenance displayed the progressive stages of
+his amazement. When he had finished, his hands dropped helplessly upon
+his knees.
+
+"Is that the way you write to the President?" he gasped.
+
+"Of course," Page replied, quietly. "Why not? Why shouldn't I tell him
+the truth? That is what I am here for."
+
+"There is no other person in the world who dare talk to him like that!"
+was the reply.
+
+This is unquestionably the fact. That President Wilson did not like
+people about him whose views were opposed to his own is now no secret,
+and during the period when his policy was one of the great issues of the
+world there was probably no one except Page who intruded upon his
+solitude with ideas that so abruptly disagreed with the opinions of the
+White House. The letters which Page wrote Colonel House were intended,
+of course, for the President himself, and practically all of them
+Colonel House read aloud to the head of the nation. The two men would
+closet themselves in the old cabinet room on the second floor of the
+White House--that same room in which Lincoln had met his advisers during
+Civil War days; and here Colonel House would quietly read the letters in
+which Page so mercilessly portrayed the situation as it appeared in
+English and European eyes. The President listened impassively, giving no
+sign of approval or disapproval, and hardly, at times, of much interest.
+In the earlier days, when Page's letters consisted of pictures of
+English life and English men, and colourful descriptions of England
+under the stress of war, the President was vastly entertained; he would
+laugh loudly at Page's wit, express his delight at his graphic and
+pungent style and feel deeply the horrors of war as his Ambassador
+unfolded them. "I always found Page compelling on paper," Mr. Wilson
+remarked to Mr. Laughlin, during one of the latter's visits to
+Washington. "I could never resist him--I get more information from his
+letters than from any other single source. Tell him to keep it up." It
+was during this period that the President used occasionally to read
+Page's letters to the Cabinet, expressing his great appreciation of
+their charm and historical importance. "The President quoted from one of
+the Ambassador's letters to the Cabinet to-day," a member of the Cabinet
+wrote to Mrs. Page in February, 1915. "'Some day,' the President said,
+'I hope that Walter Page's letters will be published. They are the best
+letters I have ever read. They make you feel the atmosphere in England,
+understand the people, and see into the motives of the great actors.'"
+The President repeated this statement many times, and his letters to
+Page show how greatly he enjoyed and profited from this correspondence.
+But after the sinking of the _Lusitania_ and the _Arabic_ his attitude
+toward Page and his letters changed.
+
+He now found little pleasure or satisfaction in the Page communications.
+When Mr. Wilson found that one of his former confidants had turned out
+to be a critic, that man instantaneously passed out of his life. And
+this was now Page's fate; the friendship and associations of forty years
+were as though they had never been. Just why Mr. Wilson did not recall
+his Ambassador is a question that has puzzled Page's friends. He would
+sometimes refer to him as a man who was "more British than the British,"
+as one who had been taken completely captive by British blandishments,
+but he never came to the point of dismissing him. Perhaps he did not
+care to face the public scandal that such an act would have caused; but
+a more plausible reason is that Page, despite the causes which he had
+given for irritation, was indispensable to him. Page's early letters had
+furnished the President ideas which had taken shape in Wilson's
+policies, and, disagreeable as the communications now became, there are
+evidences that they influenced the solitary statesman in the White
+House, and that they had much to do in finally forcing Mr. Wilson into
+the war. The alternative question, as to why Page did not retire when he
+found himself so out of sympathy with the President, will be
+sufficiently answered in subsequent chapters; at present it may be said
+that he did resign and only consented to remain at the urgent request of
+Washington. In fact, all during 1915 and 1916, there seemed to be a fear
+in Washington that Page would definitely abandon the London post. On one
+occasion, when the newspapers published rumours to this effect, Page
+received an urgent despatch from Mr. Lansing. The message came at a
+time--the date was October 26, 1915--when Page was especially
+discouraged over the Washington policy. "Representatives of the press,"
+said Mr. Lansing, "have repeated rumours that you are planning to
+resign. These have been brought to the President's attention, and both
+he and I have denied them. Still these rumours persist, and they cause
+both the President and me great anxiety. We cannot believe that they are
+well founded.
+
+"In view of the fact that they are so persistent, we have thought it
+well to inform you of them and to tell you how earnestly we hope that
+they are baseless. We trust that you will set both our minds at rest."
+
+If Page had ever had any compunction about addressing the President in
+blunt phrases these expressions certainly convinced him that he was a
+free agent.
+
+Yet Page himself at times had his doubts as to the value of this
+correspondence. He would frequently discuss the matter with Mr.
+Laughlin. "That's a pretty harsh letter," he would say. "I don't like to
+talk that way to the President, yet it doesn't express half what I
+feel."
+
+"It's your duty to tell the President the real state of affairs," Mr.
+Laughlin would urge.
+
+"But do you suppose it does any good?" Page would ask.
+
+"Yes, it's bound to, and whether it does or not, it's your business to
+keep him informed."
+
+If in these letters Page seems to lay great stress on the judgment of
+Great Britain and Europe on American policy, it must be remembered that
+that was his particular province. One of an Ambassador's most important
+duties is to transmit to his country the public opinion of the country
+to which he is accredited. It was Page's place to tell Washington what
+Great Britain thought of it; it was Washington's business to formulate
+policy, after giving due consideration to this and other matters.
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ July 21, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ I enclose a pamphlet in ridicule of the President. I don't know who
+ wrote it, for my inquiries so far have brought no real information.
+ I don't feel like sending it to him. I send it to you--to do with
+ as you think best. This thing alone is, of course, of no
+ consequence. But it is symptomatic. There is much feeling about the
+ slowness with which he acts. One hundred and twenty people
+ (Americans) were drowned on the _Lusitania_ and we are still
+ writing notes about it--to the damnedest pirates that ever blew up
+ a ship. Anybody who knows the Germans knows, of course, that they
+ are simply playing for time, that they are not going to "come
+ down," that Von Tirpitz is on deck, that they'd just as lief have
+ war with us as not--perhaps had rather--because they don't want any
+ large nation left fresh when the war ends. They'd like to have the
+ whole world bankrupt. There is a fast growing feeling here,
+ therefore, that the American Government is pusillanimous--dallies
+ with 'em, is affected by the German propaganda, etc., etc. Of
+ course, such a judgment is not fair. It is formed without knowing
+ the conditions in the United States. But I think you ought to
+ realize the strength of this sentiment. No doubt before you receive
+ this, the President will send something to Germany that will amount
+ to an ultimatum and there will be at least a momentary change of
+ sentiment here. But looking at the thing in a long-range way, we're
+ bound to get into the war. For the Germans will blow up more
+ American travellers without notice. And by dallying with them we do
+ not change the ultimate result, but we take away from ourselves the
+ spunk and credit of getting in instead of being kicked and cursed
+ in. We've got to get in: they won't play the game in any other way.
+ I have news direct from a high German source in Berlin which
+ strongly confirms this....
+
+ It's a curious thing to say. But the only solution that I see is
+ another _Lusitania_ outrage, which would force war.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. The London papers every day say that the President will send a
+ strong note, etc. And the people here say, "Damn notes: hasn't he
+ written enough?" Writing notes hurts nobody--changes nothing. The
+ Washington correspondents to the London papers say that Burleson,
+ the Attorney-General, and Daniels are Bryan men and are holding the
+ President back.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+The prophecy contained in this letter was quickly fulfilled. A week or
+two after Colonel House had received it, the _Arabic_ was sunk with loss
+of American life.
+
+Page was taking a brief holiday with his son Frank in Rowsley,
+Derbyshire, when this news came. It was telegraphed from the Embassy.
+
+"That settles it," he said to his son. "They have sunk the _Arabic_.
+That means that we shall break with Germany and I've got to go back to
+London."
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ American Embassy, London, August 23, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ The sinking of the _Arabic_ is the answer to the President and to
+ your letter to me. And there'll be more such answers. You said to
+ me one day after you had got back from your last visit to Berlin:
+ "They are impossible." I think you told the truth, and surely you
+ know your German and you know your Berlin--or you did know them
+ when you were here.
+
+ The question is not what we have done for the Allies, not what any
+ other neutral country has done or has failed to do--such
+ comparisons, I think, are far from the point. The question is when
+ the right moment arrives for us to save our self-respect, our
+ honour, and the esteem and fear (or the contempt) in which the
+ world will hold us.
+
+ Berlin has the Napoleonic disease. If you follow Napoleon's
+ career--his excuses, his evasions, his inventions, the wild French
+ enthusiasm and how he kept it up--you will find an exact parallel.
+ That becomes plainer every day. Europe may not be wholly at peace
+ in five years--may be ten.
+
+ Hastily and heartily,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ I have your note about Willum J.... Crank once, crank always. My
+ son, never tie up with a crank.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, September 2nd, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ You write me about pleasing the Allies, the big Ally in particular.
+ That doesn't particularly appeal to me. We don't owe them
+ anything. There's no obligation. I'd never confess for a moment
+ that we are under any obligation to any of them nor to anybody. I'm
+ not out to "please" anybody, as a primary purpose: that's not my
+ game nor my idea--nor yours either. As for England in particular,
+ the account was squared when she twice sent an army against us--in
+ her folly--especially the last time when she burnt our Capitol.
+ There's been no obligation since. The obligation is on the other
+ foot. We've set her an example of what democracy will do for men,
+ an example of efficiency, an example of freedom of opportunity. The
+ future is ours, and she may follow us and profit by it. Already we
+ have three white English-speaking men to every two in the British
+ Empire: we are sixty per cent. of the Anglo-Saxons in the world. If
+ there be any obligation to please, the obligation is on her to
+ please us. And she feels and sees it now.
+
+ My point is not that, nor is it what we or any other neutral nation
+ has done or may do--Holland or any other. This war is the direct
+ result of the over-polite, diplomatic, standing-aloof,
+ bowing-to-one-another in gold lace, which all European nations are
+ guilty of in times of peace--castes and classes and uniforms and
+ orders and such folderol, instead of the proper business of the
+ day. Every nation in Europe knew that Germany was preparing for
+ war. If they had really got together--not mere Hague Sunday-school
+ talk and resolutions--but had really got together for business and
+ had said to Germany, "The moment you fire a shot, we'll all fight
+ against you; we have so many millions of men, so many men-of-war,
+ so many billions of money; and we'll increase all these if you do
+ not change your system and your building-up of armies"--then there
+ would have been no war.
+
+ My point is not sentimental. It is:
+
+ (1) We must maintain our own self-respect and safety. If we submit
+ to too many insults, _that_ will in time bring Germany against us.
+ We've got to show at some time that we don't believe, either, in
+ the efficacy of Sunday-School resolves for peace--that we are
+ neither Daughters of the Dove of Peace nor Sons of the Olive
+ Branch, and
+
+ (2) About nagging and forever presenting technical legal points as
+ lawyers do to confuse juries--the point is the point of efficiency.
+ If we do that, we can't carry our main points. I find it harder and
+ harder to get answers now to important questions because we ask so
+ many unimportant and nagging ones.
+
+ I've no sentiment--perhaps not enough. My gushing days are gone, if
+ I ever had 'em. The cutting-out of the "100 years of peace"
+ oratory, etc., etc., was one of the blessings of the war. But we
+ must be just and firm and preserve our own self-respect and keep
+ alive the fear that other nations have of us; and we ought to have
+ the courage to make the Department of State more than a bureau of
+ complaints. We must learn to say "No" even to a Gawdamighty
+ independent American citizen when he asks an improper or
+ impracticable question. Public Opinion in the United States
+ consists of something more than the threats of Congressmen and the
+ bleating of newspapers; it consists of the judgment of honourable
+ men on courageous and frank actions--a judgment that cannot be made
+ up till action is taken.
+
+ Heartily yours,
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ American Embassy, London, Sept. 8, 1915.
+
+ (This is not prudent. It is only true--nothing more.)
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ I take it for granted that Dumba[4] is going, of course. But I must
+ tell you that the President is being laughed at by our best friends
+ for his slowness in action. I hardly ever pick up a paper without
+ seeing some sarcastic remark. I don't mean they expect us to come
+ into the war. They only hoped we would be as good as our
+ word--would regard another submarine attack on a ship carrying
+ Americans as an unfriendly act and would send Bernstorff home. Yet
+ the _Arabic_ and now the _Hesperian_ have had no effect in action.
+ Bernstorff's personal _note to Lansing[5], even as far as it goes,
+ does not bind his Government_.
+
+ The upshot of all this is that the President is fast losing in the
+ minds of our best friends here all that he gained by his courageous
+ stand on the Panama tolls. They feel that if he takes another
+ insult--keeps taking them--and is satisfied with Bernstorff's
+ personal word, which is proved false in four days--he'll take
+ anything. And the British will pay less attention to what we say.
+ That's inevitable. If the American people and the President accept
+ the _Arabic_ and the _Hesperian_ and do nothing to Dumba till the
+ Government here gave out his letter, which the State Department had
+ (and silently held) for several days--then nobody on this side the
+ world will pay much heed to anything we say hereafter.
+
+ This, as I say, doesn't mean that these (thoughtful) people wish or
+ expect us to go to war. They wish only that we'd prove ourselves as
+ good as the President's word. That's the conservative truth; we're
+ losing influence more rapidly than I supposed it were possible.
+
+ Dumba's tardy dismissal will not touch the main matter, which is
+ the rights of neutrals at sea, and keeping our word in action.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. They say it's Mexico over again--watchful waiting and nothing
+ doing. And the feeling grows that Bryan has really conquered, since
+ his programme seems to prevail.
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, Tuesday night, Sept. 8, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ The Germans seem to think it a good time to try to feel about for
+ peace. They have more to offer now than they may have again. That's
+ all. A man who seriously talks peace now in Paris or in London on
+ any terms that the Germans will consider, would float dead that
+ very night in the Seine or in the Thames. The Germans have for the
+ time being "done-up" the Russians; but the French have shells
+ enough to plough the German trenches day and night (they've been at
+ it for a fortnight now); Joffre has been to see the Italian
+ generalissimo; and the English destroy German submarines now almost
+ as fast as the Germans send them out. I am credibly told that
+ several weeks ago a group of Admiralty men who are in the secret
+ had a little dinner to celebrate the destruction of the 50th
+ submarine.
+
+ While this is going on, you are talking on your side of the water
+ about a change in German policy! The only change is that the number
+ of submarines available becomes smaller and smaller, and that they
+ wish to use Uncle Sam's broad, fat back to crawl down on when they
+ have failed.
+
+ Consequently, they are laughing at Uncle Sam here--it comes near to
+ being ridicule, in fact, for seeming to jump at Bernstorff's
+ unfrank assurances. And, as I have telegraphed the President,
+ English opinion is--well, it is very nearly disrespectful. Men say
+ here (I mean our old friends) that with no disavowal of the
+ _Lusitania_, the _Falaba_, the _Gulflight_, or the _Arabic_ or of
+ the _Hesperian_, the Germans are "stuffing" Uncle Sam, that Uncle
+ Sam is in the clutches of the peace-at-any-price public opinion,
+ that the United States will suffer any insult and do nothing. I
+ hardly pick up a paper that does not have a sarcastic paragraph or
+ cartoon. We are on the brink of convincing the English that we'll
+ not act, whatever the provocation. By the English, I do not mean
+ the lighter, transitory public opinion, but I mean the thoughtful
+ men who do not wish us or expect us to fire a gun. They say that
+ the American democracy, since Cleveland's day, has become a mere
+ agglomeration of different races, without national unity, national
+ aims, and without courage or moral qualities. And (I deeply regret
+ to say) the President is losing here the high esteem he won by his
+ Panama tolls repeal. They ask, why on earth did he raise the issue
+ if under repeated provocation he is unable to recall Gerard or to
+ send Bernstorff home? The _Hesperian_ follows the _Arabic_; other
+ "liners" will follow the _Hesperian_, if the Germans have
+ submarines. And, when Sackville-West[6] was promptly sent home for
+ answering a private citizen's inquiry about the two political
+ parties, Dumba is (yet awhile) retained in spite of a far graver
+ piece of business. There is a tone of sad disappointment here--not
+ because the most thoughtful men want us in the war (they don't),
+ but because for some reason, which nobody here understands, the
+ President, having taken a stand, seems unable to do anything.
+
+ All this is a moderate interpretation of sorrowful public opinion
+ here. And the result will inevitably be that they will pay far less
+ heed to anything we may hereafter say. In fact men now say here
+ every day that the American democracy has no opinion, can form no
+ opinion, has no moral quality, and that the word of its President
+ never gets as far as action even of the mildest form. The
+ atmosphere is very depressing. And this feeling has apparently got
+ beyond anybody's control. I've even heard this said: "The voice of
+ the United States is Mr. Wilson's: its actions are controlled by
+ Mr. Bryan."
+
+ So, you see, the war will go on a long long time. So far as English
+ opinion is concerned, the United States is useful to make
+ ammunition and is now thought of chiefly in this connection. Less
+ and less attention is paid to what we say. Even the American
+ telegrams to the London papers have a languid tone.
+
+ Yet recent revelations have made it clearer than ever that the same
+ qualities that the English accuse us of having are in them and that
+ these qualities are directly to blame for this war. I recall that
+ when I was in Germany a few weeks, six years ago, I became
+ convinced that Germany had prepared to fight England; I didn't
+ know when, but I did know that was what the war-machine had in
+ mind. Of course, I had no opportunities to find out anything in
+ particular. You were told practically that same thing by the
+ Kaiser, before the war began. "We are ready," said he. Of course
+ the English feared it and Sir Edward put his whole life into his
+ effort to prevent it. The day the war began, he told me with tears
+ that it seemed that his life had been wasted--that his life work
+ had gone for naught.--Nobody could keep from wondering why England
+ didn't--
+
+ (Here comes a parenthesis. Word came to me a little while ago that
+ a Zeppelin was on its way to London. Such a remark doesn't arouse
+ much attention. But just as I had finished the fifth line above
+ this, Frank and Mrs. Page came in and challenged me to play a game
+ of cards before we should go to bed. We sat down, the cards were
+ dealt, and bang! bang!--with the deep note of an explosion. A
+ third, a fourth shot. We went into the street. There the Zeppelin
+ was revealed by a searchlight--sailing along. I think it had
+ probably dropped its bombs; but the aircraft guns were cracking
+ away at it. Some of them shot explosive projectiles to find the
+ range. Now and then one such explosive would almost reach the
+ Zeppelin, but it was too high for them and it sailed away, the air
+ guns doing their ineffectual best. I couldn't see whether airplanes
+ were trying to shoot it or not. The searchlight revealed the
+ Zeppelin but nothing else.--While we were watching this battle in
+ the air, the maids came down from the top of the house and went
+ into the cellar. I think they've already gone back. You can't
+ imagine how little excitement it caused. It produces less fright
+ than any other conceivable engine of war.
+
+ We came back as soon as the Zeppelin was out of sight and the
+ firing had ceased; we played our game of cards; and here I am
+ writing you the story-all within about half an hour.--There was a
+ raid over London last night, too, wherein a dozen or two women and
+ children and a few men were killed. I haven't the slightest idea
+ what harm this raid to-night has done. For all I know it may not be
+ all done. But of all imaginable war-experiences this seems the most
+ futile. It interrupted a game of cards for twenty minutes!)
+
+ Now--to go on with my story: I have wondered ever since the war
+ began why the Allies were not better prepared--especially England
+ on land. England has just one _big_ land gun--no more. Now it has
+ turned out, as you have doubtless read, that the British Government
+ were as good as told by the German Government that Germany was
+ going to war pretty soon--this in 1912 when Lord Haldane[7] was
+ sent to make friends with Germany.
+
+ The only answer he brought back was a proposition that England
+ should in any event remain neutral--stand aside while Germany
+ whipped Russia and France. This insulting proposal was kept secret
+ till the other day. Now, why didn't the British Cabinet inform the
+ people and get ready? They were afraid the English people wouldn't
+ believe it and would accuse them of fomenting war. The English
+ people were making money and pursuing their sports. Probably they
+ wouldn't have believed it. So the Liberal Cabinet went on in
+ silence, knowing that war was coming, but not exactly when it was
+ coming, and they didn't make even a second big gun.
+
+ Now here was the same silence in this "democracy" that they now
+ complain of in ours. Rather an interesting and discouraging
+ parallel--isn't it? Public opinion has turned Lord Haldane out of
+ office because he didn't tell the public what he declares they
+ wouldn't have believed. If the English had raised an army in 1912,
+ and made a lot of big guns, Austria would not have trampled Serbia
+ in the earth. There would have been no war now; and the strong
+ European Powers might have made then the same sort of protective
+ peace-insurance combine that they will try to make after this war
+ is ended. Query: A democracy's inability to _act_--how much is this
+ apparently inherent quality of a democracy to blame for this war
+ and for--other things?
+
+ When I am asked every day "Why the United States doesn't _do_
+ something--send Dumba and Bernstorff home?"--Well, it is not the
+ easiest question in the world to answer.
+
+ Yours heartily,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. This is the most comical of all worlds: While I was writing
+ this, it seems the maids went back upstairs and lighted their
+ lights without pulling their shades down--they occupy three rooms,
+ in front. The doorbell rang furiously. Here were more than half a
+ dozen policemen and special constables--must investigate! "One
+ light would be turned on, another would go out; another one
+ on!"--etc., etc. Frank tackled them, told 'em it was only the maids
+ going to bed, forgetting to pull down the shades. Spies and
+ signalling were in the air! So, in the morning, I'll have to send
+ over to the Foreign Office and explain. The Zeppelin did more
+ "frightfulness" than I had supposed, after all. Doesn't this strike
+ you as comical?
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ Friday, September 10, 1915.
+
+ P.S. The news is just come that Dumba is dismissed. That will clear
+ the atmosphere--a little, but only a little. Dumba committed a
+ diplomatic offence. The German Government has caused the death of
+ United States citizens, has defied us, has declared it had changed
+ its policy and yet has gone on with the same old policy. Besides,
+ Bernstorff has done everything that Dumba did except employ
+ Archibald, which was a mere incident of the game. The President
+ took a strong stand: they have disregarded it--no apology nor
+ reparation for a single boat that has been sunk. Now the English
+ opinion of the Germans is hardly a calm, judicial opinion--of
+ course not. There may be facts that have not been made known. There
+ must be good reasons that nobody here can guess, why the President
+ doesn't act in the long succession of German acts against us. _But
+ I tell you with all solemnity that British opinion and the British
+ Government have absolutely lost their respect for us and their
+ former high estimate of the President. And that former respect is
+ gone for good unless he acts now very quickly_[8]. They will pay
+ nothing more than formal and polite attention to anything we may
+ hereafter say. This is not resentful. They don't particularly care
+ for us to get into the war. Their feeling (I mean among our best
+ old friends) is not resentful. It is simply sorrowful. They had the
+ highest respect for our people and our President. The Germans defy
+ us; we sit in silence. They conclude here that we'll submit to
+ anything from anybody. We'll write strong notes--nothing more.
+
+ I can't possibly exaggerate the revulsion of feeling. Members of
+ the Government say (in private, of course) that we'll submit to any
+ insult. The newspapers refuse to publish articles which attempt to
+ make the President's silence reasonable. "It isn't defensible,"
+ they say, "and they would only bring us thousands of insulting
+ letters from our readers." I can't think of a paper nor of a man
+ who has a good word to say for us--except, perhaps, a few Quaker
+ peace-at-any-price people. And our old friends are disappointed and
+ sorrowful. They feel that we have dropped out of a position of
+ influence in the world.
+
+ I needn't and can't write more. Of course there are more important
+ things than English respect. But the English think that every Power
+ has lost respect for us--the Germans most of all. And (unless the
+ President acts very rigorously and very quickly) we'll have to get
+ along a long time without British respect.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. The last Zeppelin raid--which interrupted the game of
+ cards--killed more than twenty persons and destroyed more than
+ seven million dollars' worth of private business property--all
+ non-combatants!
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ 21st of September, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ The insulting cartoon that I enclose (destroy it without showing
+ it) is typical of, I suppose, five hundred that have appeared here
+ within a month. This represents the feeling and opinion of the
+ average man. They say we wrote brave notes and made courageous
+ demands, to none of which a satisfactory reply has come, but only
+ more outrages and no guarantee for the future. Yet we will not even
+ show our displeasure by sending Bernstorff home. We've simply
+ "gone out," like a snuffed candle, in the regard and respect of the
+ vast volume of British opinion. (The last _Punch_ had six
+ ridiculing allusions to our "fall.")
+
+ It's the loneliest time I've had in England. There's a tendency to
+ avoid me.
+
+ They can't understand here the continued declaration in the United
+ States that the British Government is trying to take our trade--to
+ use its blockade and navy with the direct purpose of giving British
+ trade profit out of American detentions. Of course, the Government
+ had no such purpose and has done no such thing--with any such
+ purpose. It isn't thinking about trade but only about war.
+
+ The English think they see in this the effect on our Government and
+ on American opinion of the German propaganda. I have had this
+ trade-accusation investigated half a dozen times--the accusation
+ that this Government is using its military power for its own trade
+ advantage to our detriment: it simply isn't true. They stop our
+ cargoes, not for their advantage, but wholly to keep things from
+ the enemy. Study our own trade reports.
+
+ In a word, our importers are playing (so the English think)
+ directly into the hands of the Germans. So matters go on from bad
+ to worse.
+
+ Bryce[9] is very sad. He confessed to me yesterday the utter
+ hopelessness of the two people's ever understanding one another.
+
+ The military situation is very blue--very blue. The general feeling
+ is that the long war will begin next March and end--nobody dares
+ predict.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. There's not a moral shadow of a doubt (1) that the commander
+ of the submarine that sunk the _Arabic_ is dead--although he makes
+ reports to his government! nor (2) that the _Hesperian_ was
+ torpedoed. The State Department has a piece of the torpedo.
+
+
+V
+
+The letters which Page sent directly to the President were just as
+frank. "Incidents occur nearly every day," he wrote to President Wilson
+in the autumn of 1915, "which reveal the feeling that the Germans have
+taken us in. Last week one of our naval men, Lieutenant McBride, who has
+just been ordered home, asked the Admiralty if he might see the piece of
+metal found on the deck of the _Hesperian_. Contrary to their habit, the
+British officer refused. 'Take my word for it,' he said. 'She was
+torpedoed. Why do you wish to investigate? Your country will do
+nothing--will accept any excuse, any insult and--do nothing.' When
+McBride told me this, I went at once to the Foreign Office and made a
+formal request that this metal should be shown to our naval attaché, who
+(since Symington is with the British fleet and McBride has been ordered
+home) is Lieutenant Towers. Towers was sent for and everything that the
+Admiralty knows was shown to him and I am sending that piece of metal by
+this mail. But to such a pass has the usual courtesy of a British naval
+officer come. There are many such instances of changed conduct. They are
+not hard to endure nor to answer and are of no consequence in themselves
+but only for what they denote. They're a part of war's bitterness. But
+my mind runs ahead and I wonder how Englishmen will look at this subject
+five years hence, and it runs afield and I wonder how the Germans will
+regard it. A sort of pro-German American newspaper correspondent came
+along the other day from the German headquarters; and he told me that
+one of the German generals remarked to him: 'War with America? Ach no!
+Not war. If trouble should come, we'd send over a platoon of our
+policemen to whip your little army.' (He didn't say just how he'd send
+'em.)"
+
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ American Embassy, London, Oct. 5, 1915.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ I have two letters that I have lately written to you but which I
+ have not sent because they utterly lack good cheer. After reading
+ them over, I have not liked to send them. Yet I should fail of my
+ duty if I did not tell you bad news as well as good.
+
+ The high esteem in which our Government was held when the first
+ _Lusitania_ note to Germany was sent seems all changed to
+ indifference or pity--not hatred or hostility, but a sort of
+ hopeless and sad pity. That ship was sunk just five months ago; the
+ German Government (or its Ambassador) is yet holding conversations
+ about the principle involved, making "concessions" and promises for
+ the future, and so far we have done nothing to hold the Germans to
+ accountability[10]. In the meantime their submarine fleet has been
+ so reduced that probably the future will take care of itself and we
+ shall be used as a sort of excuse for their failure. This is what
+ the English think and say; and they explain our failure to act by
+ concluding that the peace-at-any-price sentiment dominates the
+ Government and paralyzes it. They have now, I think, given up hope
+ that we will ever take any action. So deeply rooted (and, I fear,
+ permanent) is this feeling that every occurrence is made to fit
+ into and to strengthen this supposition. When Dumba was dismissed,
+ they said: "Dumba, merely the abject tool of German intrigue. Why
+ not Bernstorff?" When the Anglo-French loan[11] was oversubscribed,
+ they said: "The people's sympathy is most welcome, but their
+ Government is paralyzed." Their respect has gone--at least for the
+ time being.
+
+ It is not that they expect us to go to war: many, in fact, do not
+ wish us to. They expected that we would be as good as our word and
+ hold the Germans to accountability. Now I fear they think little of
+ our word. I shudder to think what our relations might be if Sir
+ Edward Grey were to yield to another as Foreign Minister, as, of
+ course, he must yield at some time.
+
+ The press has less to say than it had a few weeks ago. _Punch_, for
+ instance, which ridiculed and pitied us in six cartoons and
+ articles in each of two succeeding numbers, entirely forgets us
+ this week. But they've all said their say. I am, in a sense,
+ isolated--lonely in a way that I have never before been. I am not
+ exactly avoided, I hope, but I surely am not sought. They have a
+ polite feeling that they do not wish to offend me and that to make
+ sure of this the safest course is to let me alone. There is no
+ mistaking the great change in the attitude of men I know, both in
+ official and private life.
+
+ It comes down and comes back to this--that for five months after
+ the sinking of the _Lusitania_ the Germans are yet playing with us,
+ that we have not sent Bernstorff home, and hence that we will
+ submit to any rebuff or any indignity. It is under these
+ conditions--under this judgment of us--that we now work--the
+ English respect for our Government indefinitely lessened and
+ instead of the old-time respect a sad pity. I cannot write more.
+
+ Heartily yours,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+
+"I have authoritatively heard," Page writes to President Wilson in early
+September, "of a private conversation between a leading member of the
+Cabinet and a group of important officials all friendly to us in which
+all sorrowfully expressed the opinion that the United States will submit
+to any indignity and that no effect is now to be hoped for from its
+protests against unlawful submarine attacks or against anything else.
+The inactivity of our Government, or its delay, which they assume is the
+same as inactivity, is attributed to domestic politics or to the lack of
+national, consciousness or unity.
+
+"No explanation has appeared in the British press of our Government's
+inactivity or of any regret or promise of reparation by Germany for the
+sinking of the _Lusitania_, the _Falaba_, the _Gulflight_, the
+_Nebraskan_, the _Arabic_, or the _Hesperian_, nor any explanation of a
+week's silence about the Dumba letter; and the conclusion is drawn that,
+in the absence of action by us, all these acts have been practically
+condoned.
+
+"I venture to suggest that such explanations be made public as will
+remove, if possible, the practically unanimous conclusion here that our
+Government will permit these and similar future acts to be explained
+away. I am surprised almost every hour by some new evidence of the loss
+of respect for our Government, which, since the sinking of the _Arabic_,
+has become so great as to warrant calling it a complete revulsion of
+English feeling toward the United States. There is no general wish for
+us to enter the war, but there is genuine sorrow that we are thought to
+submit to any indignity, especially after having taken a firm stand. I
+conceive I should be lacking in duty if I did not report this rapid and
+unfortunate change in public feeling, which seems likely to become
+permanent unless facts are quickly made public which may change it."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+There are many expressions of such feelings in Page's letters of this
+time. They brought only the most perfunctory acknowledgment from the
+White House. On January 3, 1916, Page sent the President a mass of
+clippings from the British press, all criticizing the Wilson
+Administration in unrestrained terms. In his comment on these, he writes
+the President:
+
+"Public opinion, both official and unofficial, is expressed by these
+newspaper comments, with far greater restraint than it is expressed in
+private conversation. Ridicule of the Administration runs through the
+programmes of the theatres; it inspires hundreds of cartoons; it is a
+staple of conversation at private dinners and in the clubs. The most
+serious class of Englishmen, including the best friends of the United
+States, feel that the Administration's reliance on notes has reduced our
+Government to a third-or fourth-rate power. There is even talk of
+spheres of German influence in the United States as in China. No
+government could fall lower in English opinion than we shall fall if
+more notes are sent to Austria or to Germany. The only way to keep any
+shred of English respect is the immediate dismissal without more
+parleying of every German and Austrian official at Washington. Nobody
+here believes that such an act would provoke war.
+
+"I can do no real service by mincing matters. My previous telegrams and
+letters have been purposely restrained as this one is. We have now come
+to the parting of the ways. If English respect be worth preserving at
+all, it can be preserved only by immediate action. Any other course than
+immediate severing of diplomatic relations with both Germany and Austria
+will deepen the English opinion into a conviction that the
+Administration was insincere when it sent the _Lusitania_ notes and that
+its notes and protests need not be taken seriously on any subject. And
+English opinion is allied opinion. The Italian Ambassador[12] said to
+me, 'What has happened? The United States of to-day is not the United
+States I knew fifteen years ago, when I lived in Washington.' French
+officers and members of the Government who come here express themselves
+even more strongly than do the British. The British newspapers to-day
+publish translations of ridicule of the United States from German
+papers."
+
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London,
+ January 5, 1916.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ I wish--an impossible thing of course--that some sort of guidance
+ could be given to the American correspondents of the English
+ newspapers. Almost every day they telegraph about the visits of the
+ Austrian Chargé or the German Ambassador to the State Department to
+ assure Mr. Lansing that their governments will of course make a
+ satisfactory explanation of the latest torpedo-act in the
+ Mediterranean or to "take one further step in reaching a
+ satisfactory understanding about the _Lusitania_." They usually go
+ on to say also that more notes are in preparation to Germany or to
+ Austria. The impression made upon the European mind is that the
+ German and Austrian officials in Washington are leading the
+ Administration on to endless discussion, endless notes, endless
+ hesitation. Nobody in Europe regards their pledges or promises as
+ worth anything at all: the _Arabic_ follows the _Lusitania_, the
+ _Hesperian_ follows the _Arabic_, the _Persia_ follows the
+ _Ancona_. "Still conferences and notes continue," these people say,
+ "proving that the American Government, which took so proper and
+ high a stand in the _Lusitania_ notes, is paralyzed--in a word is
+ hoodwinked and 'worked' by the Germans." And so long as these
+ diplomatic representatives are permitted to remain in the United
+ States, "to explain," "to parley" and to declare that the
+ destruction of American lives and property is disavowed by their
+ governments, atrocities on sea and land will of course continue;
+ and they feel that our Government, by keeping these German and
+ Austrian representatives in Washington, condones and encourages
+ them and their governments.
+
+ This is a temperate and even restrained statement of the English
+ feeling and (as far as I can make out) of the whole European
+ feeling.
+
+ It has been said here that every important journal published in
+ neutral or allied European countries, daily, weekly, or monthly,
+ which deals with public affairs, has expressed a loss of respect
+ for the United States Government and that most of them make
+ continuous severe criticisms (with surprise and regret) of our
+ failure by action to live up to the level of our _Lusitania_ notes.
+ I had (judiciously) two American journalists, resident here--men of
+ judgment and character--to inquire how true this declaration is.
+ After talking with neutral and allied journalists here and with men
+ whose business it is to read the journals of the Continent, they
+ reported that this declaration is substantially true--that the
+ whole European press (outside Germany and its allies) uses the same
+ tone toward our Government that the English press uses--to-day,
+ disappointment verging on contempt; and many of them explain our
+ keeping diplomatic intercourse with Germany by saying that we are
+ afraid of the German vote, or of civil war, or that the
+ peace-at-any-price people really rule the United States and have
+ paralyzed our power to act--even to cut off diplomatic relations
+ with governments that have insulted and defied us.
+
+ Another (similar) declaration is that practically all men of public
+ influence in England and in the European allied and neutral
+ countries have publicly or privately expressed themselves to the
+ same effect. The report that I have about this is less definite
+ than about the newspapers, for, of course, no one can say just what
+ proportion of men of public influence have so expressed themselves;
+ but the number who have so expressed themselves is overwhelming.
+
+ In this Kingdom, where I can myself form some opinion more or less
+ accurate, and where I can check or verify my opinion by various
+ methods--I am afraid, as I have frequently already reported, that
+ the generation now living will never wholly regain the respect for
+ our Government that it had a year ago. I will give you three little
+ indications of this feeling; it would be easy to write down
+ hundreds of them:
+
+ (One) The governing class: Mr. X [a cabinet member] told Mrs. Page
+ a few nights ago that for sentimental reasons only he would be
+ gratified to see the United States in the war along with the
+ Allies, but that merely sentimental reasons were not a sufficient
+ reason for war--by no means; that he felt most grateful for the
+ sympathetic attitude of the large mass of the American people, that
+ he had no right to expect anything from our Government, whose
+ neutral position was entirely proper. Then he added; "But what I
+ can't for the life of me understand is your Government's failure
+ to express its disapproval of the German utter disregard of its
+ _Lusitania_ notes. After eight months, it has done nothing but
+ write more notes. My love for America, I must confess, is offended
+ at this inaction and--puzzled. I can't understand it. You will
+ pardon me, I am sure."
+
+ (Two) "Middle Class" opinion: A common nickname for Americans in
+ the financial and newspaper districts of London is "Too-prouds."
+
+ (Three) The man in the street: At one of the moving picture shows
+ in a large theatre a little while ago they filled in an interval by
+ throwing on the screen the picture of the monarch, or head of
+ state, and of the flag of each of the principal nations. When the
+ American picture appeared, there was such hissing and groaning as
+ caused the managers hastily to move that picture off the screen.
+
+ Some time ago I wrote House of some such incidents and expressions
+ as these; and he wrote me that they were only part and parcel of
+ the continuous British criticism of their own Government--in other
+ words, a part of the passing hysteria of war. This remark shows how
+ House was living in an atmosphere of illusion.
+
+ As the matter stands to-day our Government has sunk lower, as
+ regards British and European opinion, than it has ever been in our
+ time, not as a part of the hysteria of war but as a result of this
+ process of reasoning, whether it be right or wrong:
+
+ We said that we should hold the Germans to strict accountability on
+ account of the _Lusitania_. We have not settled that yet and we
+ still allow the German Ambassador to discuss it after the
+ _Hesperian_ and other such acts showed that his _Arabic_ pledge was
+ worthless.
+
+ The _Lusitania_ grows larger and larger in European memory and
+ imagination. It looks as if it would become the great type of war
+ atrocities and barbarities. I have seen pictures of the drowned
+ women and children used even on Christmas cards. And there is
+ documentary proof in our hands that the warning, which was really
+ an advance announcement, of that disaster was paid for by the
+ German Ambassador and charged to his Government. It is the
+ _Lusitania_ that has caused European opinion to regard our foreign
+ policy as weak. It is not the wish for us to go to war. No such
+ general wish exists.
+
+ I do not know, Mr. President, who else, if anybody, puts these
+ facts before you with this complete frankness. But I can do no less
+ and do my duty.
+
+ No Englishman--except two who were quite intimate friends--has
+ spoken to me about our Government for months, but I detect all the
+ time a tone of pity and grief in their studied courtesy and in
+ their avoidance of the subject. And they talk with every other
+ American in this Kingdom. It is often made unpleasant for Americans
+ in the clubs and in the pursuit of their regular business and
+ occupations; and it is always our inaction about the _Lusitania_.
+ Our controversy with the British Government causes little feeling
+ and that is a sort of echo of the _Lusitania_. They feel that we
+ have not lived up to our promises and professions.
+
+ That is the whole story.
+
+ Believe me always heartily,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+This dismissal of Dumba and of the Attachés has had little more effect
+on opinion here than the dismissal of the Turkish Ambassador[13].
+Sending these was regarded as merely kicking the dogs of the man who
+had stolen our sheep.
+
+
+VI
+
+One of the reasons why Page felt so intensely about American policy at
+this time was his conviction that the severance of diplomatic relations,
+in the latter part of 1915, or the early part of 1916, in itself would
+have brought the European War to an end. This was a conviction from
+which he never departed. Count Bernstorff was industriously creating the
+impression in the United States that his dismissal would immediately
+cause war between Germany and the United States, and there is little
+doubt that the Administration accepted this point of view. But Page
+believed that this was nothing but Prussian bluff. The severance of
+diplomatic relations at that time, in Page's opinion, would have
+convinced the Germans of the hopelessness of their cause. In spite of
+the British blockade, Germany was drawing enormous quantities of food
+supplies from the United States, and without these supplies she could
+not maintain indefinitely her resistance. The severance of diplomatic
+relations would naturally have been accompanied by an embargo suspending
+trade between the United States and the Fatherland. Moreover, the
+consideration that was mainly leading Germany to hope for success was
+the belief that she could embroil the United States and Great Britain
+over the blockade. A break with Germany would of course mean an end to
+that manoeuvre. Page regarded all Mr. Wilson's attempts to make peace in
+1914 and early 1915--before the _Lusitania_--as mistakes, for reasons
+that have already been set forth. Now, however, he believed that the
+President had a real opportunity to end the war and the unparalleled
+suffering which it was causing. The mere dismissal of Bernstorff, in
+the Ambassador's opinion, would accomplish this result.
+
+In a communication sent to the President on February 15, 1916, he made
+this plain.
+
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ February 15, 7 P.M.
+
+ The Cabinet has directed the Censor to suppress, as far as he can
+ with prudence, comment which is unfavourable to the United States.
+ He has taken this action because the public feeling against the
+ Administration is constantly increasing. Because the _Lusitania_
+ controversy has been going on so long, and because the Germans are
+ using it in their renewed U-boat campaign, the opinion of this
+ country has reached a point where only prompt action can bring a
+ turn in the tide. Therefore my loyalty to you would not be complete
+ if I should refrain from sending, in the most respectful terms, the
+ solemn conviction which I hold about our opportunity and our duty.
+
+ If you immediately refuse to have further parley or to yield one
+ jot or tittle of your original _Lusitania_ notes, and if you at
+ once break diplomatic relations with the German Empire, and then
+ declare the most vigorous embargo of the Central Powers, you will
+ quickly end the war. There will be an immediate collapse in German
+ credit. If there are any Allies who are wavering, such action will
+ hold them in line. Certain European neutrals--Sweden, Rumania,
+ Greece, and others--will put up a firm resistance to Germanic
+ influences and certain of them will take part with Great Britain
+ and France. There will be an end at once to the German propaganda,
+ which is now world-wide. The moral weight of our country will be a
+ determining influence and bring an early peace. The credit you
+ will receive for such a decision will make you immortal and even
+ the people of Germany will be forever grateful.
+
+ It is my conviction that we would not be called upon to fire a gun
+ or to lose one human life.
+
+ Above all, such an action will settle the whole question of
+ permanent peace. The absolute and grateful loyalty of the whole
+ British Empire, of the British Fleet, and of all the Allied
+ countries will be ours. The great English-speaking nations will be
+ able to control the details of the peace and this without any
+ formal alliance. There will be an incalculable saving of human life
+ and of treasure. Such an act will make it possible for Germany to
+ give in honourably and with good grace because the whole world will
+ be against her. Her bankrupt and blockaded people will bring such
+ pressure to bear that the decision will be hastened.
+
+ The sympathies of the American people will be brought in line with
+ the Administration.
+
+ If we settle the _Lusitania_ question by compromising in any way
+ your original demands, or if we permit it to drag on longer,
+ America can have no part in bringing the war to an end. The current
+ of allied opinion will run so strongly against the Administration
+ that no censorship and no friendly interference by an allied
+ government can stem the distrust of our Government which is now so
+ strong in Europe.
+
+ We shall gain by any further delay only a dangerous, thankless, and
+ opulent isolation. The _Lusitania_ is the turning point in our
+ history. The time to act is now.
+
+ PAGE.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 1: The Ambassador's granddaughter.]
+
+[Footnote 2: "A Cycle of Adams Letters, 1861-1865," edited by
+Worthington Chauncey Ford. Vol. I, p. 84.]
+
+[Footnote 3: "The Life and Letters of John Hay," by William Roscoe
+Thayer. Vol. II, p. 166.]
+
+[Footnote 4: On September 6th, certain documents seriously compromising
+Dr. Constantin Dumba, Austro-Hungarian Ambassador to the United States,
+were published in the British press. They disclosed that Dr. Dumba was
+fomenting strikes in the United States and conducting other intrigues.
+The American Government gave Dr. Dumba his passports on September 17th.]
+
+[Footnote 5: August 26th, Count Bernstorff gave a pledge to the United
+States Government, that, in future, German submarines would not attack
+liners without warning. This promise was almost immediately violated.]
+
+[Footnote 6: Sir Lionel Sackville-West was British Minister to the
+United States from 1881 to 1888. In the latter year a letter was
+published which he had written to an American citizen of British origin,
+the gist of which was that the reëlection of President Cleveland would
+be of advantage to British interests. For this gross interference in
+American domestic affairs, President Cleveland immediately handed Sir
+Lionel his passports. The incident ended his diplomatic career.]
+
+[Footnote 7: In this passage the Ambassador touches on one of the
+bitterest controversies of the war. In order completely to understand
+the issues involved and to obtain Lord Haldane's view, the reader should
+consult the very valuable book recently published by Lord Haldane:
+"Before the War." Chapter II tells the story of Lord Haldane's visit to
+the Kaiser, and succeeding chapters give the reasons why the creation of
+a huge British army in preparation for the war was not a simple matter.]
+
+[Footnote 8: The italics are Page's.]
+
+[Footnote 9: Viscount Bryce, author of "The American Commonwealth" and
+British Ambassador to the United States, 1907-1913.]
+
+[Footnote 10: In a communication sent February 10, 1915, President
+Wilson warned the German Government that he would hold it to a "strict
+accountability" for the loss of American lives by illegal submarine
+attack.]
+
+[Footnote 11: A reference to the Anglo-French loan for $500,000,000,
+placed in the United States in the autumn of 1915.]
+
+[Footnote 12: The Marquis Imperiali.]
+
+[Footnote 13: Rustem Bey, the Turkish Ambassador to the United States,
+was sent home early in the war, for publishing indiscreet newspaper and
+magazine articles.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XV
+
+THE AMBASSADOR AND THE LAWYERS
+
+
+References in the foregoing letters show that Page was still having his
+troubles over the blockade. In the latter part of 1915, indeed, the
+negotiations with Sir Edward Grey on this subject had reached their
+second stage. The failure of Washington to force upon Great Britain an
+entirely new code of naval warfare--the Declaration of London--has
+already been described. This failure had left both the British Foreign
+Office and the American State Department in an unsatisfactory frame of
+mind. The Foreign Office regarded Washington with suspicion, for the
+American attempt to compel Great Britain to adopt a code of naval
+warfare which was exceedingly unfavourable to that country and
+exceedingly favourable to Germany, was susceptible of a sinister
+interpretation. The British rejection of these overtures, on the other
+hand, had evidently irritated the international lawyers at Washington.
+Mr. Lansing now abandoned his efforts to revolutionize maritime warfare
+and confined himself to specific protests and complaints. His
+communications to the London Embassy dealt chiefly with particular ships
+and cargoes. Yet his persistence in regarding all these problems from a
+strictly legalistic point of view Page regarded as indicating a
+restricted sense of statesmanship.
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, August 4, 1915.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ ... The lawyer-way in which the Department goes on in its dealings
+ with Great Britain is losing us the only great international
+ friendship that we have any chance of keeping or that is worth
+ having. Whatever real principle we have to uphold with Great
+ Britain--that's all right. I refer only to the continuous series of
+ nagging incidents--always criticism, criticism, criticism of small
+ points--points that we have to yield at last, and never anything
+ constructive. I'll illustrate what I mean by a few incidents that I
+ can recall from memory. If I looked up the record, I should find a
+ very, very much larger list.
+
+ (1) We insisted and insisted and insisted, not once but half a
+ dozen times, at the very beginning of the war, on England's
+ adoption of the Declaration of London entire in spite of the fact
+ that Parliament had distinctly declined to adopt it. Of course we
+ had to give in--after we had produced a distinctly unfriendly
+ atmosphere and much feeling.
+
+ (2) We denied the British right to put copper on the contraband
+ list--much to their annoyance. Of course we had at last to
+ acquiesce. They were within their rights.
+
+ (3) We protested against bringing ships into port to examine them.
+ Of course we had to give in--after producing irritation.
+
+ (4) We made a great fuss about stopped telegrams. We have no case
+ at all; but, even after acknowledging that we have no case, every
+ Pouch continues to bring telegrams with the request that I ask an
+ explanation why they were stopped. Such explanations are
+ practically refused. I have 500 telegrams. Periodically I wire the
+ state of the case and ask for more specific instructions. I never
+ get an answer to these requests. But the Department continues to
+ send the telegrams! We confessedly have no case here; and this
+ method can produce nothing but irritation.
+
+ I could extend this list to 100 examples--of mere lawyer-like
+ methods--mere useless technicalities and objections which it is
+ obvious in the beginning cannot be maintained. A similar method is
+ now going on about cotton. Now this is not the way Sir Edward Grey
+ takes up business. It's not the way I've done business all my life,
+ nor that you have, nor other frank men who mean what they say and
+ do not say things they do not mean. The constant continuation of
+ this method is throwing away the real regard and confidence of the
+ British Government and of the British public--very fast, too.
+
+ I sometimes wish there were not a lawyer in the world. I heard the
+ President say once that it took him twenty years to recover from
+ his legal habit of mind. Well, his Administration is suffering from
+ it to a degree that is pathetic and that will leave bad results for
+ 100 years.
+
+ I suspect that in spite of all the fuss we have made we shall at
+ last come to acknowledge the British blockade; for it is pretty
+ nearly parallel to the United States blockade of the South during
+ our Civil War. The only difference is--they can't make the blockade
+ of the Baltic against the traffic from the Scandinavian neutral
+ states effective. That's a good technical objection; but, since
+ practically all the traffic between those States and Germany is in
+ our products, much of the real force of it is lost.
+
+ If a protest is made against cotton being made contraband--it'll
+ amount to nothing and give only irritation. It will only play into
+ Hoke Smith[14]--German hands and accomplish nothing here. We make
+ as much fuss about points which we have silently to yield later as
+ about a real principle. Hence they all say that the State
+ Department is merely captious, and they pay less and less attention
+ to it and care less and less for American opinion--if only they can
+ continue to get munitions. We are reducing English regard to this
+ purely mercenary basis....
+
+ We are--under lawyers' quibbling--drifting apart very rapidly, to
+ our complete isolation from the sympathy of the whole world.
+
+ Yours forever sincerely,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+Page refers in this letter to the "blockade"; this was the term which
+the British Government itself used to describe its restrictive measures
+against German commerce, and it rapidly passed into common speech. Yet
+the truth is that Great Britain never declared an actual blockade
+against Germany. A realization of this fact will clear up much that is
+obscure in the naval warfare of the next two years. At the beginning of
+the Civil War, President Lincoln laid an interdict on all the ports of
+the Confederacy; the ships of all nations were forbidden entering or
+leaving them: any ship which attempted to evade this restriction, and
+was captured doing so, was confiscated, with its cargo. That was a
+blockade, as the term has always been understood. A blockade, it is well
+to keep in mind, is a procedure which aims at completely closing the
+blockaded country from all commercial intercourse with the world. A
+blockading navy, if the blockade is successful, or "effective,"
+converts the whole country into a beleaguered fortress, just as an army,
+surrounding a single town, prevents goods and people from entering or
+leaving it. Precisely as it is the purpose of a besieging army to starve
+a particular city or territory into submission, so it is the aim of a
+blockading fleet to enforce the same treatment on the nation as a whole.
+It is also essential to keep in mind that the question of contraband has
+nothing to do with a blockade, for, under this drastic method of making
+warfare, everything is contraband. Contraband is a term applied to
+cargoes, such as rifles, machine guns, and the like, which are needed in
+the prosecution of war.
+
+That a belligerent nation has the right to intercept such munitions on
+the way to its enemy has been admitted for centuries. Differences of
+opinion have raged only as to the extent to which this right could be
+carried--the particular articles, that is, that constituted contraband,
+and the methods adopted in exercising it. But the important point to be
+kept in mind is that where there is a blockade, there is no contraband
+list--for everything automatically becomes contraband. The seizure of
+contraband on the high seas is a war measure which is availed of only in
+cases in which the blockade has not been established.
+
+Great Britain, when she declared war on Germany, did not follow
+President Lincoln's example and lay the whole of the German coast under
+interdict. Perhaps one reason for this inaction was a desire not unduly
+to offend neutrals, especially the United States; but the more impelling
+motive was geographical. The fact is that a blockade of the German
+seacoast would accomplish little in the way of keeping materials out of
+Germany. A glance at the map of northwestern Europe will make this fact
+clear. In the first place the seacoast of Germany is a small affair. In
+the North Sea the German coast is a little indentation, not more than
+two hundred miles long, wedged in between the longer coastlines of
+Holland and Denmark; in the Baltic it is somewhat more extensive, but
+the entrances to this sea are so circuitous and treacherous that the
+suggestion of a blockade here is not a practicable one. The greatest
+ports of Germany are located on this little North Sea coastline or on
+its rivers--Hamburg and Bremen. It might therefore be assumed that any
+nation which successfully blockaded these North Sea ports would have
+strangled the commerce of Germany. That is far from being the case. The
+point is that the political boundaries of Germany are simply fictions,
+when economic considerations are involved. Holland, on the west, and
+Denmark, on the north, are as much a part of the German transportation
+system as though these two countries were parts of the German Empire.
+Their territories and the territories of Germany are contiguous; the
+railroad and the canal systems of Germany, Holland, and Denmark are
+practically one. Such ports as Rotterdam, Amsterdam, and Copenhagen are
+just as useful to Germany for purposes of commerce as are Hamburg and
+Bremen, and, in fact, a special commercial arrangement with Rotterdam
+has made that city practically a port of Germany since 1868. These
+considerations show how ineffective would be a blockade of the German
+coast which did not also comprehend the coast of Holland and Denmark.
+Germany could still conduct her commerce through these neighbouring
+countries. And at this point the great difficulty arose. A blockade is
+an act of war and can be applied only to a country upon which war has
+been declared. Great Britain had declared war on Germany and could
+therefore legally close her ports; she had not declared war on Holland
+and Denmark, and therefore could not use the same measure against those
+friendly countries. Consequently the blockade was useless to Great
+Britain; and so, in the first six months of the war, the Admiralty fell
+back upon the milder system of declaring certain articles contraband of
+war and seizing ships that were suspected of carrying them to Germany.
+
+A geographical accident had apparently largely destroyed the usefulness
+of the British fleet and had guaranteed Germany an unending supply of
+those foodstuffs without which she could not maintain her resistance for
+any extended period. Was Great Britain called upon to accept this
+situation and to deny herself the use of the blockade in this, the
+greatest struggle in her history? Unless the British fleet could stop
+cargoes which were really destined to Germany but which were bound for
+neutral ports, Great Britain could not win the war; if the British fleet
+could intercept such cargoes, then the chances strongly favoured
+victory. The experts of the Foreign Office searched the history of
+blockades and found something which resembled a precedent in the
+practices of the American Navy during the Civil War. In that conflict
+Nassau, in the Bahamas, and Matamoros, in Mexico, played a part not
+unlike that played by Rotterdam and Copenhagen in the recent struggle.
+These were both neutral ports and therefore outside the jurisdiction of
+the United States, just as Rotterdam and Copenhagen were outside the
+jurisdiction of Great Britain. They were the ports of powers with which
+the United States was at peace, and therefore they could not be
+blockaded, just as Amsterdam and Copenhagen were ports of powers with
+which Great Britain was now at peace.
+
+Trade from Great Britain to the Bahamas and Mexico was ostensibly trade
+from one neutral port to another neutral port in the same sense as was
+trade from the United States to Holland and Denmark. Yet the fact is
+that the "neutrality" of this trade, in the Civil War, from Great
+Britain to the Bahamas and Mexico, was the most transparent subterfuge;
+such trade was not "neutral" in the slightest degree. It consisted
+almost entirely of contraband of war and was intended for the armies of
+the Confederate States, then in arms against the Federal Government.
+What is the reason, our Government asked, that these gentle and
+unwarlike inhabitants of the Bahamas have so suddenly developed such an
+enormous appetite for percussion caps, rifles, cannon, and other
+instruments of warfare? The answer, of course, lay upon the surface; the
+cargoes were intended for reshipment into the Southern States, and they
+were, in fact, immediately so reshipped. The American Government, which
+has always regarded realities as more important than logic, brushed
+aside the consideration that this trade was conducted through neutral
+ports, unhesitatingly seized these ships and condemned both the ships
+and their cargoes. Its action was without legal precedent, but our
+American courts devised a new principle of international law to cover
+the case--that of "continuous voyage" or "ultimate destination." Under
+this new doctrine it was maintained that cargoes of contraband could be
+seized anywhere upon the high seas, even though they were going from one
+neutral port to another, if it could be demonstrated that this
+contraband was really on its way to the enemy. The mere fact that it was
+transshipped at an intermediate neutral port was not important; the
+important point was the "ultimate destination." British shippers
+naturally raged over these decisions, but they met with little sympathy
+from their own government. Great Britain filed no protest against the
+doctrine of "continuous voyage," but recognized its fundamental
+soundness, and since 1865 this doctrine has been a part of international
+law.
+
+Great Britain's good sense in acquiescing in our Civil War practices now
+met its reward; for these decisions of American courts proved a godsend
+in her hour of trial. The one neutral from which trouble was anticipated
+was the United States. What better way to meet this situation than to
+base British maritime warfare upon the decisions of American courts?
+What more ideal solution of the problem than to make Chief Justice
+Chase, of the United States Supreme Court, really the author of the
+British "blockade" against Germany? The policy of the British Foreign
+Office was to use the sea power of Great Britain to crush the enemy, but
+to do it in a way that would not alienate American sympathy and American
+support; clearly the one way in which both these ends could be attained
+was to frame these war measures upon the pronouncements of American
+prize courts. In a broad sense this is precisely what Sir Edward Grey
+now proceeded to do. There was a difference, of course, which Great
+Britain's enemies in the American Senate--such men as Senator Hoke
+Smith, of Georgia, and Senator Thomas Walsh, of Montana--proceeded to
+point out; but it was a difference of degree. Great Britain based her
+blockade measures upon the American principle of "ultimate destination,"
+but it was necessary considerably to extend that doctrine in order to
+meet the necessities of the new situation. President Lincoln had applied
+this principle to absolute contraband, such as powder, shells, rifles,
+and other munitions of war. Great Britain now proceeded to apply it to
+that nebulous class of commodities known as "conditional contraband,"
+the chief of which was foodstuffs. If the United States, while a war was
+pending, could evolve the idea of "ultimate destination" and apply it
+to absolute contraband, could not Great Britain, while another war was
+pending, carry it one degree further and make it include conditional
+contraband? Thus reasoned the British Foreign Office. To this Mr.
+Lansing replied that to stop foodstuffs on the way to Germany through a
+neutral port was simply to blockade a neutral port, and that this was
+something utterly without precedent. Seizing contraband is not an act of
+war against the nation whose ships are seized; blockading a port is an
+act of war; what right therefore had Great Britain to adopt measures
+against Holland, Denmark, and Sweden which virtually amounted to a
+blockade?
+
+This is the reason why Great Britain, in the pronouncement of March 1,
+1915, and the Order in Council of March 11, 1915, did not describe these
+measures as a "blockade." President Wilson described his attack on
+Mexico in 1914 as "measures short of war," and now someone referred to
+the British restrictions on neutral commerce as "measures short of
+blockade." The British sought another escape from their predicament by
+justifying this proceeding, not on the general principles of warfare,
+but on the ground of reprisal. Germany declared her submarine warfare on
+merchant ships on February 4, 1915; Great Britain replied with her
+announcement of March 1st, in which she declared her intention of
+preventing "commodities of any kind from reaching or leaving Germany."
+The British advanced this procedure as a retaliation for the illegal
+warfare which Germany had declared on merchant shipping, both that of
+the enemy and of neutrals. "The British and French governments will
+therefore hold themselves free to detain and take into port ships
+carrying goods of presumed enemy destination, ownership, and origin."
+This sentence accurately describes the purposes of a blockade--to cut
+the enemy off from all commercial relations with the outside world; yet
+the procedure Great Britain now proposed to follow was not that of a
+blockade. When this interdict is classically laid, any ship that
+attempts to run the lines is penalized with confiscation, along with its
+cargo; but such a penalty was not to be exacted in the present instance.
+Great Britain now proposed to purchase cargoes of conditional contraband
+discovered on seized ships and return the ships themselves to their
+owners, and this soon became the established practice. Not only did the
+Foreign Office purchase all cotton which was seized on its way to
+Germany, but it took measures to maintain the price in the markets of
+the world. In the succeeding months Southern statesmen in both Houses of
+Congress railed against the British seizure of their great staple, yet
+the fact was that cotton was all this time steadily advancing in price.
+When Senator Hoke Smith made a long speech advocating an embargo on the
+shipment of munitions as a punishment to Great Britain for stopping
+American cotton on the way to Germany, the acute John Sharp Williams, of
+Mississippi, arose in the Senate and completely annihilated the Georgia
+politician by demonstrating how the Southern planters were growing rich
+out of the war.
+
+That the so-called "blockade" situation was a tortuous one must be
+apparent from this attempt to set forth the salient facts. The basic
+point was that there could be no blockade of Germany unless the neutral
+ports of contiguous countries were also blockaded, and Great Britain
+believed that she had found a precedent for doing this in the operations
+of the American Navy in the Civil War. But it is obvious that the
+situation was one which would provide a great feast for the lawyers.
+That Page sympathized with this British determination to keep foodstuffs
+out of Germany, his correspondence shows. Day after day the "protests"
+from Washington rained upon his desk. The history of our foreign
+relations for 1915 and 1916 is largely made up of an interminable
+correspondence dealing with seized cargoes, and the routine of the
+Embassy was an unending nightmare of "demands," "complaints,"
+"precedents," "cases," "notes," "detentions" of Chicago meats, of
+Southern cotton, and the like. The American Embassy in London contains
+hundreds of volumes of correspondence which took place during Page's
+incumbency; more material has accumulated for those five years than for
+the preceding century and a quarter of the Government's existence. The
+greater part of this mass deals with intercepted cargoes.
+
+The following extract from a letter which Page wrote at this time gives
+a fair idea of the atmosphere that prevailed in London while this
+correspondence was engaging the Ambassador's mind:
+
+ The truth is, in their present depressed mood, the United States is
+ forgotten--everything's forgotten but the one great matter in hand.
+ For the moment at least, the English do not care what we do or what
+ we think or whether we exist--except those critics of
+ things-in-general who use us as a target since they must take a
+ crack at somebody. And I simply cannot describe the curious effect
+ that is produced on men here by the apparent utter lack of
+ understanding in the United States of the phase the war has now
+ entered and of the mood that this phase has brought. I pick up an
+ American paper eight days old and read solemn evidence to show that
+ the British Government is interrupting our trade in order to
+ advance its own at our expense, whereas the truth is that the
+ British Government hasn't given six seconds' thought in six months
+ to anybody's trade--not even its own. When I am asked to inquire
+ why Pfister and Schmidt's telegram from New York to Schimmelpfenig
+ and Johann in Holland was stopped (the reason is reasonably
+ obvious), I try to picture to myself the British Minister in
+ Washington making inquiry of our Government on the day after Bull
+ Run, why the sailing boat loaded with persimmon blocks to make golf
+ clubs is delayed in Hampton Roads.
+
+ I think I have neither heard nor read anything from the United
+ States in three months that didn't seem so remote as to suggest the
+ captain of the sailing ship from Hongkong who turned up at
+ Southampton in February and had not even heard that there was a
+ war. All day long I see and hear women who come to ask if I can
+ make inquiry about their sons and husbands, "dead or missing," with
+ an interval given to a description of a man half of whose body was
+ splashed against a brick wall last night on the Strand when a
+ Zeppelin bomb tore up the street and made projectiles of the
+ pavement; as I walk to and from the Embassy the Park is full of
+ wounded and their nurses; every man I see tells me of a new death;
+ every member of the Government talks about military events or of
+ Balkan venality; the man behind the counter at the cigar store
+ reads me part of a letter just come from his son, telling how he
+ advanced over a pile of dead Germans and one of them grunted and
+ turned under his feet-they (the English alone) are spending
+ $25,000,000 a day to keep this march going over dead Germans; then
+ comes a telegram predicting blue ruin for American importers and a
+ cheerless Christmas for American children if a cargo of German toys
+ be not quickly released at Rotterdam, and I dimly recall the
+ benevolent unction with which American children last Christmas sent
+ a shipload of toys to this side of the world--many of them for
+ German children--to the tune of "God bless us all"--do you wonder
+ we often have to pinch ourselves to find out if we are we; and
+ what year of the Lord is it? What is the vital thing--the killing
+ of fifty people last night by a Zeppelin within sight of St. Paul's
+ on one side and of Westminster Abbey on the other, or is it making
+ representations to Sir Edward Grey, who has hardly slept for a week
+ because his despatches from Sofia, Athens, Belgrade, and Salonika
+ come at all hours, each possibly reporting on which side a new
+ government may throw its army--to decide perhaps the fate of the
+ canal leading to Asia, the vast British Asiatic empire at stake--is
+ it making representations to Sir Edward while his mind is thus
+ occupied, that it is of the greatest importance to the United
+ States Government that a particular German who is somewhere in this
+ Kingdom shall be permitted to go to the United States because he
+ knows how to dye sealskins and our sealskins are yet undyed and the
+ winter is coming? There will be no new sealskins here, for every
+ man and woman must give half his income to keep the cigarman's son
+ marching over dead Germans, some of whom grunt and turn under his
+ feet. Dumba is at Falmouth to-day and gets just two lines in the
+ newspapers. Nothing and nobody gets three lines unless he or it in
+ some way furthers the war. Every morning the Washington despatches
+ say that Mr. Lansing is about to send a long note to England.
+ England won't read it till there comes a lull in the fighting or in
+ the breathless diplomatic struggle with the Balkans. London and the
+ Government are now in much the same mood that Washington and
+ Lincoln's administration were in after Lee had crossed the Potomac
+ on his way to Gettysburg. Northcliffe, the Lord of Yellow Journals,
+ but an uncommonly brilliant fellow, has taken to his bed from sheer
+ nervous worry. "The revelations that are imminent," says he, "will
+ shake the world--the incompetence of the Government, the losses
+ along the Dardanelles, the throwing away of British chances in the
+ Balkans, perhaps the actual defeat of the Allies." I regard Lord
+ Northcliffe less as an entity than as a symptom. But he is always
+ very friendly to us and he knows the United States better than any
+ Englishman that I know except Bryce. He and Bryce are both much
+ concerned about our Note's coming just "at this most distressing
+ time." "If it come when we are calmer, no matter; but now it cannot
+ receive attention and many will feel that the United States has hit
+ on a most unhappy moment--almost a cruel moment--to remind us of
+ our sins."--That's the substance of what they say.
+
+ Overwork, or perhaps mainly the indescribable strain on the nerves
+ and vitality of men, caused by this experience, for which in fact
+ men are not built, puts one of our staff after another in bed. None
+ has been seriously sick: the malady takes some form of "grip." On
+ the whole we've been pretty lucky in spite of this almost regular
+ temporary breakdown of one man after another. I've so far escaped.
+ But I am grieved to hear that Whitlock is abed--"no physical
+ ailment whatever--just worn out," his doctor says. I have tried to
+ induce him and his wife to come here and make me a visit; but one
+ characteristic of this war-malady is the conviction of the victim
+ that he is somehow necessary to hold the world together. About
+ twice a week I get to the golf links and take the risk of the
+ world's falling apart and thus escape both illness and its
+ illusions.
+
+"I cannot begin to express my deep anxiety and even uneasiness about the
+relations of these two great governments and peoples," Page wrote about
+this time. "The friendship of the United States and Great Britain is
+all that now holds the world together. It is the greatest asset of
+civilization left. All the cargoes of copper and oil in the world are
+not worth as much to the world. Yet when a shipper's cargo is held up he
+does not think of civilization and of the future of mankind and of free
+government; he thinks only of his cargo and of the indignity that he
+imagines has been done him; and what is the American Government for if
+not to protect his rights? Of course he's right; but there must be
+somebody somewhere who sees things in their right proportion. The man
+with an injury rushes to the Department of State--quite properly. He is
+in a mood to bring England to book. Now comes the critical stage in the
+journey of his complaint. The State Department hurries it on to me--very
+properly; every man's right must be guarded and defended--a right to get
+his cargo to market, a right to get on a steamer at Queenstown, a right
+to have his censored telegram returned, any kind of a right, if he have
+a right. Then the Department, not wittingly, I know, but humanly, almost
+inevitably, in the great rush of overwork, sends his 'demands' to me,
+catching much of his tone and apparently insisting on the removal of his
+grievance as a right, without knowing all the facts in the case. The
+telegrams that come to me are full of 'protests' and 'demands'--protest
+and demand this, protest and demand that. A man from Mars who should
+read my book of telegrams received during the last two months would find
+it difficult to explain how the two governments have kept at peace. It
+is this serious treatment of trifling grievances which makes us feel
+here that the exactions and dislocations and necessary disturbances of
+this war are not understood at home.
+
+"I assure you (and there are plenty of facts to prove it) that this
+Government (both for unselfish and selfish reasons) puts a higher value
+on our friendship than on any similar thing in the world. They will
+go--they are going--the full length to keep it. But, in proportion to
+our tendency to nag them about little things will the value set on our
+friendship diminish and will their confidence in our sincerity decline."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+The note which Lord Bryce and Lord Northcliffe so dreaded reached the
+London Embassy in October, 1915. The State Department had spent nearly
+six months in preparing it; it was the American answer to the so-called
+blockade established by the Order in Council of the preceding March.
+Evidently its contents fulfilled the worst forebodings:
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, November 12, 1915.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ I have a great respect for the British Navy. Admiral Jellicoe now
+ has under his command 3,000 ships of all sorts-far and away the
+ biggest fleet, I think, that was ever assembled. For the first time
+ since the ocean was poured out, one navy practically commands all
+ the seas: nothing sails except by its grace. It is this fleet of
+ course that will win the war. The beginning of the end--however far
+ off yet the end may be--is already visible by reason of the
+ economic pressure on Germany. But for this fleet, by the way,
+ London would be in ruins, all its treasure looted; every French
+ seacoast city and the Italian peninsula would be as Belgium and
+ Poland are; and thousands of English women would be violated--just
+ as dead French girls are found in many German trenches that have
+ been taken in France. Hence I greatly respect the British fleet.
+
+ We have a good navy, too, for its size, and a naval personnel as
+ good as any afloat. I hear--with much joy--that we are going to
+ make our navy bigger--as much bigger (God save the mark!) as Bryan
+ will permit.
+
+ Now, whatever the future bring, since any fighting enterprise that
+ may ever be thrust on us will be just and justified, we must see to
+ it that we win, as doubtless we shall and as hitherto we always
+ have won. We must be dead sure of winning. Well, whatever fight may
+ be thrust on us by anybody, anywhere, at any time, for any
+ reason--if it only be generally understood beforehand that our
+ fleet and the British fleet shoot the same language, there'll be no
+ fight thrust upon us. The biggest bully in the world wouldn't dare
+ kick the sorriest dog we have. Here, therefore, is a Peace
+ Programme for you--the only basis for a permanent peace in the
+ world. There's no further good in having venerable children build
+ houses of sand at The Hague; there's no further good in peace
+ organizations or protective leagues to enforce peace. We had as
+ well get down to facts. So far as ensuring peace is concerned the
+ biggest fact in the world is the British fleet. The next biggest
+ fact is the American fleet, because of itself and still more
+ because of the vast reserve power of the United States which it
+ implies. If these two fleets perfectly understand one another about
+ the undesirability of wars of aggression, there'll be no more big
+ wars as long as this understanding continues. Such an understanding
+ calls for no treaty--it calls only for courtesy.
+
+ And there is no other peace-basis worth talking about--by men who
+ know how the world is governed.
+
+ Since I have lived here I have spent my days and nights, my poor
+ brain, and my small fortune all most freely and gladly to get some
+ understanding of the men who rule this Kingdom, and of the women
+ and the customs and the traditions that rule these men--to get
+ their trick of thought, the play of their ideals, the working of
+ their imagination, the springs of their instincts. It is impossible
+ for any man to know just how well he himself does such a difficult
+ task--how accurately he is coming to understand the sources and
+ character of a people's actions. Yet, at the worst, I do know
+ something about the British: I know enough to make very sure of the
+ soundness of my conclusion that they are necessary to us and we to
+ them. Else God would have permitted the world to be peopled in some
+ other way. And when we see that the world will be saved by such an
+ artificial combination as England and Russia and France and Japan
+ and Serbia, it calls for no great wisdom to see the natural way
+ whereby it must be saved in the future.
+
+ For this reason every day that I have lived here it has been my
+ conscious aim to do what I could to bring about a condition that
+ shall make sure of this--that, whenever we may have need of the
+ British fleet to protect our shores or to prevent an aggressive war
+ anywhere, it shall he ours by a natural impulse and necessity--even
+ without the asking.
+
+ I have found out that the first step toward that end is courtesy;
+ that the second step is courtesy, and the third step--such a fine
+ and high courtesy (which includes courage) as the President showed
+ in the Panama tolls controversy. We have--we and the
+ British--common aims and character. Only a continuous and sincere
+ courtesy--over periods of strain as well as of calm--is necessary
+ for as complete an understanding as will be required for the
+ automatic guidance of the world in peaceful ways.
+
+ Now, a difference is come between us--the sort of difference that
+ handled as between friends would serve only to bind us together
+ with a sturdier respect. We send a long lawyer's Note, not
+ discourteous but wholly uncourteous, which is far worse. I am
+ writing now only of the manner of the Note, not of its matter.
+ There is not a courteous word, nor a friendly phrase, nor a kindly
+ turn in it, not an allusion even to an old acquaintance, to say
+ nothing of an old friendship, not a word of thanks for courtesies
+ or favours done us, not a hint of sympathy in the difficulties of
+ the time. There is nothing in its tone to show that it came from an
+ American to an Englishman: it might have been from a Hottentot to a
+ Fiji-Islander.
+
+ I am almost sure--I'll say quite sure--that this uncourteous manner
+ is far more important than its endless matter. It has greatly hurt
+ our friends, the real men of the Kingdom. It has made the masses
+ angry--which is of far less importance than the severe sorrow that
+ our discourtesy of manner has brought to our friends--I fear to all
+ considerate and thoughtful Englishmen.
+
+ Let me illustrate: When the Panama tolls controversy arose, Taft
+ ceased to speak the language of the natural man and lapsed into
+ lawyer's courthouse zigzagging mutterings. Knox wrote a letter to
+ the British Government that would have made an enemy of the most
+ affectionate twin brother--all mere legal twists and turns, as
+ agreeable as a pocketful of screws. Then various bovine
+ "international lawyers" wrote books about it. I read them and
+ became more and more confused the further I went: you always do. It
+ took me some time to recover from this word-drunk debauch and to
+ find my own natural intelligence again, the common sense that I was
+ born with. Then I saw that the whole thing went wrong from the
+ place where that Knox legal note came in. Congressmen in the
+ backwoods quoted cryptic passages from it, thought they were saying
+ something, and proceeded to make their audiences believe that
+ somehow England had hit us with a club--or would have hit us but
+ for Knox. That pure discourtesy kept us apart from English sympathy
+ for something like two years.
+
+ Then the President took it up. He threw the legal twaddle into the
+ gutter. He put the whole question in a ten-minutes' speech to
+ Congress, full of clearness and fairness and high courtesy. It won
+ even the rural Congressmen. It was read in every capital and the
+ men who conduct every government looked up and said, "This is a
+ real man, a brave man, a just man." You will recall what Sir Edward
+ Grey said to me: "The President has taught us all a lesson and set
+ us all a high example in the noblest courtesy."
+
+ This one act brought these two nations closer together than they
+ had ever been since we became an independent nation. It was an act
+ of courtesy....
+
+ My dear House, suppose the postman some morning were to leave at
+ your door a thing of thirty-five heads and three appendices, and
+ you discovered that it came from an old friend whom you had long
+ known and greatly valued--this vast mass of legal stuff, without a
+ word or a turn of courtesy in it--what would you do? He had a
+ grievance, your old friend had. Friends often have. But instead of
+ explaining it to you, he had gone and had his lawyers send this
+ many-headed, much-appendiced ton of stuff. It wasn't by that method
+ that you found your way from Austin, Texas, to your present
+ eminence and wisdom. Nor was that the way our friend found his way
+ from a little law-office in Atlanta, where I first saw him, to the
+ White House.
+
+ More and more I am struck with this--that governments are human.
+ They are not remote abstractions, nor impersonal institutions. Men
+ conduct them; and they do not cease to be men. A man is made up of
+ six parts of human nature and four parts of facts and other
+ things--a little reason, some prejudice, much provincialism, and of
+ the particular fur or skin that suits his habitat. When you wish to
+ win a man to do what _you_ want him to do, you take along a few
+ well-established facts, some reasoning and such-like, but you take
+ along also three or four or five parts of human nature--kindliness,
+ courtesy, and such things--sympathy and a human touch.
+
+ If a man be six parts human and four parts of other things, a
+ government, especially a democracy, is seven, or eight, or nine
+ parts human nature. It's the most human thing I know. The best way
+ to manage governments and nations--so long as they are disposed to
+ be friendly--is the way we manage one another. I have a
+ confirmation of this in the following comment which came to me
+ to-day. It was made by a friendly member of Parliament.
+
+ "The President himself dealt with Germany. Even in his severity he
+ paid the Germans the compliment of a most courteous tone in his
+ Note. But in dealing with us he seems to have called in the lawyers
+ of German importers and Chicago pork-packers. I miss the high
+ Presidential courtesy that we had come to expect from Mr. Wilson."
+
+ An American banker here has told me of the experience of an
+ American financial salesman in the city the day after our Note was
+ published. His business is to make calls on bankers and other
+ financial men, to sell them securities. He is a man of good address
+ who is popular with his clients. The first man he called on, on
+ that day, said: "I don't wish to be offensive to you. But I have
+ only one way to show my feeling of indignation toward the United
+ States, and that is, to have nothing more to do with Americans."
+
+ The next man said: "No, nothing to-day, I thank you. No--nor
+ to-morrow either; nor the next day. Good morning."
+
+ After four or five such greetings, the fellow gave it up and is now
+ doing nothing.
+
+ I don't attach much importance to such an incident as this, except
+ as it gives a hint of the general feeling. These financial men
+ probably haven't even read our Note. Few people have. But they have
+ all read the short and sharp newspaper summary which preceded it in
+ the English papers. But what such an incident does indicate is the
+ prevalence of a state of public feeling which would prevent the
+ Government from yielding any of our demands even if the Government
+ so wished. It has now been nearly a week since the Note was
+ published. I have seen most of the neutral ministers. Before the
+ Note came they expressed great eagerness to see it: it would
+ champion their cause. Since it came not one of them has mentioned
+ it to me. The Secretary of one of them remarked, after being
+ invited to express himself: "It is too--too--long!" And, although I
+ have seen most of the Cabinet this week, not a man mentioned it to
+ me. People seem studiously to avoid it, lest they give offense.
+
+ I have, however, got one little satisfaction. An American--a
+ half-expatriated loafer who talks "art"--you know the
+ intellectually affected and degenerate type--screwed his courage up
+ and told me that he felt ashamed of his country. I remarked that I
+ felt sure the feeling was mutual. That, I confess, made me feel
+ better.
+
+ As nearly as I can make out, the highwater mark of English
+ good-feeling toward us in all our history was after the President's
+ Panama tolls courtesy. The low-water mark, since the Civil War, I
+ am sure, is now. The Cleveland Venezuela message came at a time of
+ no nervous strain and did, I think, produce no long-lasting
+ effect. A part of the present feeling is due to the English
+ conviction that we have been taken in by the Germans in the
+ submarine controversy, but a large part is due to the lack of
+ courtesy in this last Note--the manner in which it was written even
+ more than its matter. As regards its matter, I have often been over
+ what I conceive to be the main points with Sir Edward Grey--very
+ frankly and without the least offense. He has said: "We may have to
+ arbitrate these things," as he might say, "We had better take a cab
+ because it is raining." It is easily possible--or it was--to
+ discuss anything with this Government without offense. I have, in
+ fact, stood up before Sir Edward's fire and accused him of stealing
+ a large part of the earth's surface, and we were just as good
+ friends afterward as before. But I never drew a lawyer's indictment
+ of him as a land-thief: that's different.
+
+ I suppose no two peoples or governments ever quite understand one
+ another. Perhaps they never will. That is too much to hope for. But
+ when one government writes to another it ought to write (as men do)
+ with some reference to the personality of the other and to their
+ previous relations, since governments are more human than men. Of
+ course I don't know who wrote the Note. Hence I can talk about it
+ freely to you without implying criticism of anybody in particular.
+ But the man who wrote it never saw the British Government and
+ wouldn't know it if he met it in the road. To him it is a mere
+ legal entity, a wicked, impersonal institution against which he has
+ the task of drawing an indictment--not the task of trying to
+ persuade it to confess the propriety of a certain course of
+ conduct. In his view, it is a wicked enemy to start with--like the
+ Louisiana lottery of a previous generation or the Standard Oil
+ Company of our time.
+
+ One would have thought, since we were six months in preparing it,
+ that a draft of the Note would have been sent to the man on the
+ ground whom our Government keeps in London to study the situation
+ at first hand and to make the best judgment he can about the most
+ effective methods of approach on delicate and difficult matters. If
+ that had been done, I should have suggested a courteous short Note
+ saying that we are obliged to set forth such and such views about
+ marine law and the rights of neutrals, to His Majesty's Government;
+ and that the contention of the United States Government was
+ herewith sent--etc., etc.--Then this identical Note (with certain
+ court-house, strong, shirt-sleeve adjectives left out) could have
+ come without arousing any feeling whatsoever. Of course I have no
+ personal vanity in saying this to you. I am sure I outgrew that
+ foible many years ago. But such a use of an ambassador--of any
+ ambassador--is obviously one of the best and most natural uses he
+ could be put to; and all governments but ours do put their
+ ambassadors to such a use: that's what they have 'em for.
+
+ _Per contra_: a telegram has just come in saying that a certain
+ Lichtenstein in New York had a lot of goods stopped by the British
+ Government, which (by an arrangement made with their attorney here)
+ agreed to buy them at a certain price: will I go and find out why
+ the Government hasn't yet paid Lichtenstein and when he may expect
+ his money? Is it an ambassadorial duty to collect a private bill
+ for Lichtenstein, in a bargain with which our Government has had
+ nothing to do? I have telegraphed the Department, quite calmly,
+ that I don't think it is. I venture to say no ambassador ever had
+ such a request as that before from his Government.
+
+ My dear House, I often wonder if my years of work here--the kind of
+ high good work I've tried to do--have not been thrown away. I've
+ tried to take and to busy myself with a long-range view of great
+ subjects. The British Empire and the United States will be here
+ long after we are dead, and their relations will continue to be one
+ of the most important matters--perhaps the most important
+ matter--in the world. Well, now think of Lichtenstein's bill!
+
+ To get back where I started--I fear, therefore, that, when I next
+ meet the Admiral of the Grand Fleet (with whom I used to discuss
+ everything quite freely before he sailed away to the war), he may
+ forget to mention that we may have his 3,000 ships at our need.
+
+ Since this present difference is in danger of losing the healing
+ influence of a kindly touch--has become an uncourteous monster of
+ 35 heads and 3 appendices--I see no early end of it. The British
+ Foreign Office has a lot of lawyers in its great back offices. They
+ and our lawyers will now butt and rebut as long as a goat of them
+ is left alive on either side. The two governments--the two human,
+ kindly groups--have retired: they don't touch, on this matter, now.
+ The lawyers will have the time of their lives, each smelling the
+ blood of the other.
+
+ If more notes must come--as the English papers report over and over
+ again every morning and every afternoon--the President might do
+ much by writing a brief, human document to accompany the
+ Appendices. If it be done courteously, we can accuse them of
+ stealing sheep and of dyeing the skins to conceal the theft-without
+ provoking the slightest bad feeling; and, in the end, they'll pay
+ another _Alabama_ award without complaint and frame the check and
+ show it to future ambassadors as Sir Edward shows the _Alabama_
+ check to me sometimes.
+
+ And it'll be a lasting shame (and may bring other Great Wars) if
+ lawyers are now permitted to tear the garments with which Peace
+ ought to be clothed as soon as she can escape from her present rags
+ and tatters.
+
+ Yours always heartily,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. My dear House: Since I have--in weeks and months past--both
+ telegraphed and written the Department (and I presume the President
+ has seen what I've sent) about the feeling here, I've written this
+ letter to you and not to the President nor Lansing. I will not run
+ the risk of seeming to complain--nor even of seeming to seem to
+ complain. But if you think it wise to send or show this letter to
+ the President, I'm willing you should. This job was botched:
+ there's no doubt about that. We shall not recover for many a long,
+ long year. The identical indictment could have been drawn with
+ admirable temper and the way laid down for arbitration and for
+ keeping our interpretation of the law and precedents intact--all
+ done in a way that would have given no offense.
+
+ The feeling runs higher and higher every day--goes deeper and
+ spreads wider.
+
+ Now on top of it comes the _Ancona_[15]. The English press,
+ practically unanimously, makes sneering remarks about our
+ Government. After six months it has got no results from the
+ _Lusitania_ controversy, which Bernstorff is allowed to prolong in
+ secret session while factories are blown up, ships supplied with
+ bombs, and all manner of outrages go on (by Germans) in the United
+ States. The English simply can't understand why Bernstorff is
+ allowed to stay. They predict that nothing will come of the
+ _Ancona_ case, nor of any other case. Nobody wants us to get into
+ the war--nobody who counts--but they are losing respect for us
+ because we seem to them to submit to anything.
+
+ We've simply dropped out. No English person ever mentions our
+ Government to me. But they talk to one another all the time about
+ the political anæmia of the United States Government. They think
+ that Bernstorff has the State Department afraid of him and that the
+ Pacifists dominate opinion--the Pacifists-at-any-price. I no longer
+ even have a chance to explain any of these things to anybody I
+ know.
+
+ It isn't the old question we used to discuss of our having no
+ friend in the world when the war ends. It's gone far further than
+ that. It is now whether the United States Government need be
+ respected by anybody.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 14: Senator Hoke Smith, of Georgia, was at this time--and
+afterward--conducting bitter campaign against the British blockade and
+advocating an embargo as a retaliation.]
+
+[Footnote 15: Torpedoed off Sardinia on Nov. 7, 1915, by the Austrians.
+There was a large toss of life, including many Americans.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XVI
+
+DARK DAYS FOR THE ALLIES
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ June 30, 1915.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ There's a distinct wave of depression here--perhaps I'd better say
+ a period of setbacks has come. So far as we can find out only the
+ Germans are doing anything in the war on land. The position in
+ France is essentially the same as it was in November, only the
+ Germans are much more strongly entrenched. Their great plenty of
+ machine guns enables them to use fewer men and to kill more than
+ the Allies. The Russians also lack ammunition and are yielding more
+ and more territory. The Allies--so you hear now--will do well if
+ they get their little army away from the Dardanelles before the
+ German-Turks eat 'em alive, and no Balkan state comes in to help
+ the Allies. Italy makes progress-slowly, of course, over almost
+ impassable mountains--etc., etc. Most of this doleful recital I
+ think is true; and I find more and more men here who have lost hope
+ of seeing an end of the war in less than two or three years, and
+ more and more who fear that the Germans will never be forced out of
+ Belgium. And the era of the giant aeroplane seems about to come--a
+ machine that can carry several tons and several men and go great
+ distances--two engines, two propellers, and the like. It isn't at
+ all impossible, I am told, that these machines may be the things
+ that will at last end the war--possibly, but I doubt it.
+
+ At any rate, it is true that a great wave of discouragement is
+ come. All these events and more seem to prove to my mind the rather
+ dismal failure the Liberal Government made--a failure really to
+ grasp the problem. It was a dead failure. Of course they are waking
+ up now, when they are faced with a certain dread lest many soldiers
+ prefer frankly to die rather than spend another winter in
+ practically the same trenches. You hear rumours, too, of great
+ impending military scandals--God knows whether there be any truth
+ in them or not.
+
+ In a word, while no Englishman gives up or will ever give
+ up--that's all rot--the job he has in hand is not going well. He's
+ got to spit on his hands and buckle up his belt two holes tighter
+ yet. And I haven't seen a man for a month who dares hope for an end
+ of the fight within any time that he can foresee.
+
+ I had a talk to-day with the Russian Ambassador[16]. He wished to
+ know how matters stood between the United States and Great Britain.
+ I said to him: "I'll give you a task if you have leisure. Set to
+ and help me hurry up your distinguished Ally in dealing with our
+ shipping troubles."
+
+ The old man laughed--that seemed a huge joke to him; he threw up
+ his hands and exclaimed--"My God! He is slow about his own
+ business--has always been slow--can't be anything else."
+
+ After more such banter, the nigger in his wood-pile poked his head
+ out: "Is there any danger," he asked, "that munitions may be
+ stopped?"
+
+ The Germans have been preparing northern France for German
+ occupation. No French are left there, of course, except women and
+ children and old men. They must be fed or starved or deported. The
+ Germans put them on trains--a whole village at a time--and run
+ them to the Swiss frontier. Of course the Swiss pass them on into
+ France. The French have their own and--the Germans will have
+ northern France without any French population, if this process goes
+ on long enough.
+
+ The mere bang! bang! frightful era of the war is passed. The
+ Germans are settling down to permanent business with their great
+ organizing machine. Of course they talk about the freedom of the
+ seas and such mush-mush; of course they'd like to have Paris and
+ rob it of enough money to pay what the war has cost them, and
+ London, too. But what they really want for keeps is
+ seacoast--Belgium and as much of the French coast as they can win.
+ That's really what they are out gunning for. Of course, somehow at
+ some time they mean to get Holland, too, and Denmark, if they
+ really need it. Then they'll have a very respectable seacoast--the
+ thing that they chiefly lack now.
+
+ More and more people are getting their nerves knocked out. I went
+ to a big hospital on Sunday, twenty-five miles out of London. They
+ showed me an enormous, muscular Tommy sitting by himself in a chair
+ under the trees. He had had a slight wound which quickly got well.
+ But his speech was gone. That came back, too, later. But then he
+ wouldn't talk and he'd insist on going off by himself. He's just
+ knocked out--you can't find out just how much gumption he has left.
+ That's what the war did for him: it stupefied him. Well, it's
+ stupefied lots of folks who have never seen a trench. That's what's
+ happened. Of all the men who started in with the game, I verily
+ believe that Lloyd George is holding up best. He organized British
+ finance. Now he's organizing British industry.
+
+ It's got hot in London--hotter than I've ever known it. It gets
+ lonelier (more people going away) and sadder--more wounded coming
+ back and more visible sorrow. We seem to be settling down to
+ something that is more or less like Paris--so far less, but it may
+ become more and more like it. And the confident note of an earlier
+ period is accompanied by a dull undertone of much less
+ cheerfulness. The end is--in the lap of the gods.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ American Embassy, London,
+
+ July 25, 1915.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... Many men here are very active in their thought about the future
+ relations of the United States and Great Britain. Will the war
+ bring or leave them closer together? If the German machine be
+ completely smashed (and it may not be completely smashed) the
+ Japanese danger will remain. I do not know how to estimate that
+ danger accurately. But there is such a danger. And, if the German
+ wild beast ever come to life again, there's an eternal chance of
+ trouble with it. For defensive purposes it may become of the very
+ first importance that the whole English-speaking world should stand
+ together--not in entangling alliance, but with a much clearer
+ understanding than we have ever yet had. I'll indicate to you some
+ of my cogitations on this subject by trying to repeat what I told
+ Philip Kerr[17] a fortnight ago--one Sunday in the country. I can
+ write this to you without seeming to parade my own opinions.--Kerr
+ is one of "The Round Table," perhaps the best group of men here for
+ the real study and free discussion of large political subjects.
+ Their quarterly, _The Round Table_, is the best review, I dare
+ say, in the world. Kerr is red hot for a close and perfect
+ understanding between Great Britain and the United States. I told
+ him that, since Great Britain had only about forty per cent. of the
+ white English-speaking people and the United States had about sixty
+ per cent., I hoped in his natural history that the tail didn't wag
+ the dog. I went on:
+
+ "You now have the advantage of us in your aggregation of three
+ centuries of accumulated wealth--the spoil of all the world--and in
+ the talent that you have developed for conserving it and adding to
+ it and in the institutions you have built up to perpetuate it--your
+ merchant ships, your insurance, your world-wide banking, your
+ mortgages on all new lands; but isn't this the only advantage you
+ have? This advantage will pass. You are now shooting away millions
+ and millions, and you will have a debt that is bound to burden
+ industry. On our side, we have a more recently mixed race than
+ yours; you've begun to inbreed. We have also (and therefore) more
+ adaptability, a greater keenness of mind in our masses; we are
+ Old-World men set free--free of classes and traditions and all that
+ they connote. Your so-called democracy is far behind ours. Your
+ aristocracy and your privileges necessarily bring a social and
+ economic burden. Half your people look backward.
+
+ "Your leadership rests on your wealth and on the power that you've
+ built on your wealth."
+
+ When he asked me how we were to come closer together--"closer
+ together, with your old-time distrust of us and with your
+ remoteness?"--I stopped him at "remoteness."
+
+ "That's the reason," I said. "Your idea of our 'remoteness.'
+ 'Remoteness' from what? From you? Are you not betraying the only
+ real difficulty of a closer sympathy by assuming that you are the
+ centre of the world? When you bring yourself to think of the
+ British Empire as a part of the American Union--mind you, I am not
+ saying that you would be formally admitted--but when you are
+ yourselves in close enough sympathy with us to wish to be admitted,
+ the chief difficulty of a real union of thought will be gone. You
+ recall Lord Rosebery's speech in which he pictured the capital of
+ the British Empire being moved to Washington if the American
+ Colonies had been retained under the Crown? Well, it was the Crown
+ that was the trouble, and the capital of English-speaking folk has
+ been so moved and you still remain 'remote.' Drop 'remote' from
+ your vocabulary and your thought and we'll actually be closer
+ together."
+
+ It's an enormous problem--just how to bring these countries closer
+ together. Perhaps nothing can do it but some great common danger or
+ some great common adventure. But this is one of the problems of
+ your lifetime. England can't get itself clean loose from the
+ continent nor from continental mediævalism; and with that we can
+ have nothing to do. Men like Kerr think that somehow a great push
+ toward democracy here will be given by the war. I don't quite see
+ how. So far the aristocracy have made perhaps the best showing in
+ defence of English liberty. They are paying the bills of the war;
+ they have sent their sons; these sons have died like men; and their
+ parents never whimper. It's a fine breed for such great uses as
+ these. There was a fine incident in the House of Lords the other
+ day, which gave the lie to the talk that one used to hear here
+ about "degeneracy." Somebody made a perfectly innocent proposal to
+ complete a list of peers and peers' sons who had fallen in the
+ war--a thing that will, of course, be done, just as a similar list
+ will be compiled of the House of Commons, of Oxford and Cambridge
+ Universities. But one peer after another objected vigorously lest
+ such a list appear immodest. "We are but doing our duty. Let the
+ matter rest there."
+
+ In a time like this the aristocracy proves its worth. In fact, all
+ aristocracies grew chiefly out of wars, and perhaps they are better
+ for wars than a real democracy. Here, you see, you run into one of
+ those contradictions in life and history which make the world so
+ hard to change....
+
+ You know there are some reasons why peace, whenever it may come,
+ will bring problems as bad as the problems of the war itself. I can
+ think of no worse task than the long conferences of the Allies with
+ their conflicting interests and ambitions. Then must come their
+ conferences with the enemy. Then there are sure to be other
+ conferences to try to make peace secure. And, of course, many are
+ going to be dissatisfied and disappointed, and perhaps out of these
+ disappointments other wars may come. The world will not take up its
+ knitting and sit quietly by the fire for many a year to come....
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+One happiness came to Mr. and Mrs. Page in the midst of all these war
+alarums. On August 4, 1915, their only daughter, Katharine, was married
+to Mr. Charles G. Loring, of Boston, Massachusetts. The occasion gave
+the King an opportunity of showing the high regard in which Page and his
+family were held. It had been planned that the wedding should take place
+in Westminster Abbey, but the King very courteously offered Miss Page
+the Royal chapel in St. James's Palace. This was a distinguished
+compliment, as it was the first time that any marriage, in which both
+bride and bridegroom were foreigners, had ever been celebrated in this
+building, which for centuries has been the scene of royal weddings. The
+special place which his daughter had always held in the Ambassador's
+affections is apparent in the many letters that now followed her to her
+new home in the United States. The unique use Page made of the initials
+of his daughter's name was characteristic.
+
+
+ _To Mrs. Charles G. Loring_
+
+ London, September 1, 1915.
+
+ MY DEAR K.A. P-TAIN:
+
+ Here's a joke on your mother and Frank: We three (and Smith) went
+ up to Broadway in the car, to stay there a little while and then to
+ go on into Wales, etc. The hotel is an old curiosity shop; you sit
+ on Elizabethan chairs by a Queen Anne table, on a drunken floor,
+ and look at the pewter platters on the wall or do your best to look
+ at them, for the ancient windows admit hardly any light. "Oh!
+ lovely," cries Frank; and then he and your mother make out in the
+ half-darkness a perfectly wonderful copper mug on the mantelpiece;
+ and you go out and come in the ramshackle door (stooping every
+ time) after you've felt all about for the rusty old iron latch, and
+ then you step down two steps (or fall), presently to step up two
+ more. Well, for dinner we had six kinds of meat and two meat pies
+ and potatoes and currants! My dinner was a potato. I'm old and
+ infirm and I have many ailments, but I'm not so bad off as to be
+ able to live on a potato a day. And since we were having a
+ vacation, I didn't see the point. So I came home where I have seven
+ courses for dinner, all good; and Mrs. Leggett took my place in the
+ car. That carnivorous company went on. They've got to eat six
+ kinds of meat and two meat pies and--currants! I haven't. Your
+ mother calls me up on the phone every morning--me, who am living
+ here in luxury, seven courses at every dinner--and asks anxiously,
+ "And how _are_ you, dear?" I answer: "Prime, and how are _you_?" We
+ are all enjoying ourselves, you see, and I don't have to eat six
+ kinds of meat and two meat pies and--currants! They do; and may
+ Heaven save 'em and get 'em home safe!
+
+ [Illustration: Col. Edward M. House. From a painting by P.A.
+ Laszlo]
+
+ [Illustration: The Rt. Hon. Herbert Henry Asquith, Prime Minister
+ of Great Britain, 1908-1916]
+
+ It's lovely in London now--fine, shining days and showers at night
+ and Ranelagh beautiful, and few people here; but I don't deny its
+ loneliness--somewhat. Yet sleep is good, and easy and long. I have
+ neither an ocean voyage nor six kinds of meat and two meat pies and
+ currants. I congratulate myself and write to you and mother.
+
+ You'll land to-morrow or next day--good; I congratulate you. Salute
+ the good land for me and present my respectful compliments to
+ vegetables that have taste and fruit that is not sour--to the
+ sunshine, in fact, and to everything that ripens and sweetens in
+ its glow.
+
+ And you're now (when this reaches you) fixing up your home--your
+ _own_ home, dear Kitty. Bless your dear life, you left a home
+ here--wasn't it a good and nice one?--left it very lonely for the
+ man who has loved you twenty-four years and been made happy by your
+ presence. But he'll love you twenty-five more and on and
+ on--always. So you haven't lost that--nor can you. And it's very
+ fit and right that you should build your own nest; that adds
+ another happy home, you see. And I'm very sure it will be very
+ happy always. Whatever I can do to make it so, now or ever, you
+ have only to say. But--your mother took your photograph with her
+ and got it out of the bag and put it on the bureau as soon as she
+ went to her room--a photograph taken when you were a little girl.
+
+ Hodson[18] came up to see me to-day and with tears of gratitude in
+ his voice told me of the present that you and Chud had made him. He
+ is very genuinely pleased. As for the rest, life goes on as usual.
+
+ I laugh as I think of all your new aunts and cousins looking you
+ over and wondering if you'll fit, and then saying to one another as
+ they go to bed: "She is lovely--isn't she?" I could tell 'em a
+ thing or two if I had a whack at 'em.
+
+ And you'll soon have all your pretty things in place in your pretty
+ home, and a lot more that I haven't seen. I'll see 'em all before
+ many years--and you, too! Tell me, did Chud get you a dinner book?
+ Keep your record of things: you'll enjoy it in later years. And
+ you'll have a nice time this autumn--your new kinsfolk, your new
+ friends and old and Boston and Cambridge. If you run across Mr.
+ Muffin, William Roscoe Thayer, James Ford Rhodes, President
+ Eliot--these are my particular old friends whose names occur at the
+ moment.
+
+ My love to you and Chud too,
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+The task of being "German Ambassador to Great Britain" was evidently not
+without its irritations.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ September 15, 1915.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ Yesterday was my German day. When the boy came up to my room, I
+ told him I had some official calls to make. "Therefore get out my
+ oldest and worst suit." He looked much confused; and when I got up
+ both my worst and best suits were laid out. Evidently he thought he
+ must have misunderstood me. I asked your mother if she was ready to
+ go down to breakfast. "Yes."--"Well, then I'll leave you." She
+ grunted something and when we both got down she asked: "What _did_
+ you say to me upstairs?" I replied: "I regard the incident as
+ closed." She looked a sort of pitying look at me and a minute or
+ two later asked: "What on earth is the matter with you? Can't you
+ hear at all?" I replied: "No. Therefore let's talk." She gave it
+ up, but looked at me again to make sure I was all there.
+
+ I stopped at the barber shop, badly needing a shave. The barber got
+ his brush and razor ready. I said: "Cut my hair." He didn't talk
+ for a few minutes, evidently engaged in deep thought.
+
+ When I got to my office, a case was brought to me of a runaway
+ American who was caught trying to send news to Germany. "Very
+ good," said I, "now let it be made evident that it shall appear
+ therefore that his innocence having been duly established he shall
+ be shot."
+
+ "What, sir?"
+
+ "That since it must be evident that his guilt is genuine therefore
+ see that he be acquitted and then shot."
+
+ Laughlin and Bell and Stabler were seen in an earnest conference in
+ the next room for nearly half an hour.
+
+ Shoecraft brought me a letter. "This is the most courteous
+ complaint about the French passport bureau we have yet had. I
+ thought you'd like to see this lady's letter. She says she knows
+ you."
+
+ "Do not answer it, then."
+
+ He went off and conferred with the others.
+
+ Hodson spoke of the dog he sold to Frank. "Yes," said I, "since he
+ was a very nice dog, therefore he was worthless."
+
+ "Sir?"
+
+ And he went off after looking back at me in a queer way.
+
+ The day went on in that fashion. When I came out to go to lunch,
+ the stairs down led upward and I found myself, therefore, stepping
+ out of the roof on to the sidewalk--the house upside down. Smith
+ looked puzzled. "Home, Sir?"
+
+ "No. Go the other way." After he had driven two or three blocks, I
+ told him to turn again and go the other way--home!
+
+ Your mother said almost as soon as I got into the door--"What was
+ the matter with you this morning?"
+
+ "Oh, nothing. You forget that I am the German Ambassador."
+
+ Now this whole narrative is a lie. Nothing in it occurred. If it
+ were otherwise it wouldn't be German.
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Mrs. Charles G. Loring_
+
+ London, 6 Grosvenor Square.
+ Sunday, September 19, 1915.
+
+ DEAR KITTY:
+
+ You never had a finer autumnal day in the land of the free than
+ this day has been in this old kingdom--fresh and fair; and so your
+ mother said to herself and me: "Let's go out to the Laughlins' to
+ lunch," and we went. There never was a prettier drive. We found out
+ among other things that you pleased Mrs. Laughlin very much by your
+ letter. Her garden changes every week or so, and it never was
+ lovelier than it is now.--Then we came back home and dined alone.
+ Well, since we can't have you and Chud and Frank, I don't care if
+ we do dine alone sometimes for some time to come. Your mother's
+ monstrous good company, and sometimes three is a crowd. And now is
+ a good time to be alone. London never was so dull or deserted since
+ I've known it, nor ever so depressed. The military (land)
+ operations are not cheerful; the hospitals are all full; I see more
+ wounded soldiers by far than at any previous time; the Zeppelins
+ came somewhere to this island every night for a week--one of them,
+ on the night of the big raid, was visible from our square for
+ fifteen or twenty minutes--in general it is a dull and depressing
+ time. I have thought that since you were determined to run off with
+ a young fellow, you chose a pretty good time to go away. I'm afraid
+ there'll be no more of what we call "fun" in this town as long as
+ we stay here.
+
+ Worse yet: in spite of the Coalition Government and everybody's
+ wish to get on smoothly and to do nothing but to push the war,
+ since Parliament convened there's been a great row, which doesn't
+ get less. The labour men give trouble; people blame the
+ politicians: Lloyd George is saving the country, say some; Lloyd
+ George ought to be hanged, say others. Down with Northcliffe! They
+ seem likely to burn him at the stake--except those who contend that
+ he has saved the nation. Some maintain that the cabinet is too
+ big--twenty-two. More say that it has no leadership. If you favour
+ conscription, you are a traitor: if you don't favour it, you are
+ pro-German. It's the same sort of old quarrel they had before the
+ war, only it is about more subjects. In fact, nobody seems very
+ clearly to know what it's about. Meantime the Government is
+ spending money at a rate that nobody ever dreamed of before. Three
+ million pounds a day--some days five million. The Germans,
+ meantime are taking Russia; the Allies are not taking the
+ Dardanelles; in France the old deadlock continues. Boston at its
+ worst must be far more cheerful than this.
+
+ Affectionately and with my love to Chud,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London, September 26, 1915.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ The suppression of facts about the military situation is more
+ rigorous than ever since the military facts have become so
+ discouraging. The volume of pretty well authenticated news that I
+ used to hear privately has become sensibly diminished. Rumours that
+ reach me by the back door, in all sorts of indirect ways, are not
+ fewer, but fewer of them are credible. There is great confusion,
+ great fear, very great depression--far greater, I think, than
+ England has felt, certainly since the Napoleonic scare and probably
+ since the threat of the Armada. Nobody, I think, supposes that
+ England herself will be conquered: confidence in the navy is
+ supreme. But the fear of a practical defeat of the Allies on the
+ continent is become general. Russia may have to pay a huge
+ indemnity, going far to reimburse Germany for the cost of the war;
+ Belgium may be permanently held unless Germany receive an indemnity
+ to evacuate, and her seaports may be held anyhow; the Germans may
+ reach Constantinople before the Allies, and Germany may thus hold,
+ when the war ends, an open way to the East; and France may have to
+ pay a large sum to regain her northern territory now held by the
+ Germans. These are not the convictions of men here, but they have
+ distinctly become the fears; and many men's mind are beginning to
+ adjust themselves to the possible end of the war, as a draw, with
+ these results. Of course such an end would be a real German
+ victory and--another war as soon as enough men grow up to fight it.
+
+ When the more cheerful part of public opinion, especially when any
+ member of the Government, affects to laugh at these fears, the
+ people say: "Well, make known the facts that you base your hope on.
+ Precisely how many men have volunteered? Is the voluntary system a
+ success or has it reached its limit? Precisely what is the
+ situation in the Dardanelles? Are the allied armies strong enough
+ to make a big drive to break through the German line in France?
+ Have they big guns and ammunition enough? What are the facts about
+ the chance in the Dardanelles? What have we done with reference to
+ the Balkan States?" Thus an angry and ominous political situation
+ is arising. The censorship on war news apparently becomes severer,
+ and the general fear spreads and deepens. The air, of course,
+ becomes heavily charged with such rumours as these: that if the
+ Government continue its policy of secrecy, Lloyd George will
+ resign, seeing no hope of a real victory: that, if he do resign,
+ his resignation will disrupt the Government--cause a sort of
+ earthquake; that the Government will probably fall and Lloyd George
+ will be asked to form another one, since he is, as the public sees
+ it, the most active and efficient man in political life; that, if
+ all the Balkan States fail the Allies, Sir Edward Grey will be
+ reckoned a failure and must resign; and you even now hear talk of
+ Mr. Balfour's succeeding him.
+
+ It is impossible to say what basis there is for these and other
+ such rumours, but they show the general very serious depression and
+ dissatisfaction. Of that there is no doubt. Nor is there any doubt
+ about grave differences in the Cabinet about conscription nor of
+ grave fear in the public mind about the action of labour unions in
+ hindering the utmost production of ammunition, nor of the
+ increasing feeling that the Prime Minister doesn't lead the nation.
+ Except Lloyd George and the Chancellor of the Exchequer[19] the
+ Cabinet seems to suffer a sort of paralysis. Lord Kitchener's
+ speech in the House of Lords, explaining the military situation,
+ reads like a series of month-old bulletins and was a great
+ disappointment. Mr. Asquith's corresponding speech in the House
+ seemed to lack complete frankness. The nation feels that it is
+ being kept in the dark, and all the military information that it
+ gets is discouraging. Sir Edward Grey, as philosophic and enduring
+ a man as I know, seems much more depressed than I have ever known
+ him to be; Bryce is very very far from cheerful; Plunkett[20], whom
+ also you know, is in the dumps--it's hard to find a cheerful or a
+ hopeful man.
+
+ The secrecy of official life has become so great and successful
+ that prophecy of political changes must be mere guess work. But,
+ unless good news come from the Dardanelles in particular, I have a
+ feeling that Asquith may resign--be forced out by the gradual
+ pressure of public opinion; that Lloyd George will become Prime
+ Minister, and that (probably) Sir Edward Grey may resign. Yet I
+ cannot take the prevailing military discouragement at its face
+ value. The last half million men and the last million pounds will
+ decide the contest, and the Allies will have these. This very
+ depression strengthens the nation's resolution to a degree that
+ they for the moment forget. The blockade and the armies in the
+ field will wear Germany down--not absolutely conquer her, but wear
+ her down--probably in another year.
+
+ In the meantime our prestige (if that be the right word), in
+ British judgment, is gone. As they regard it, we have permitted
+ the Germans to kill our citizens, to carry on a world-wide underhand
+ propaganda from our country (as well as in it), for which they have
+ made no apology and no reparation but only vague assurances for the
+ future now that their submarine fleet has been almost destroyed.
+ They think that we are credulous to the point of simplicity to
+ accept any assurances that Bernstorff may give--in a word, that the
+ peace-at-any-price sentiment so dominates American opinion and the
+ American Government that we will submit to any indignity or
+ insult--that we will learn the Germans' real character when it is
+ too late to save our honour or dignity. There is no doubt of the
+ definiteness or depth of this opinion.
+
+ And I am afraid that this feeling will show itself in our future
+ dealings with this government. The public opinion of the nation as
+ well as the Government accepts their blockade as justified as well
+ as necessary. They will not yield on that point, and they will
+ regard our protests as really inspired by German influence--thus
+ far at least: that the German propaganda has organized and
+ encouraged the commercial objection in the United States, and that
+ this propaganda and the peace-at-any-price sentiment demand a stiff
+ controversy with England to offset the stiff controversy with
+ Germany; and, after all, they ask, what does a stiff controversy
+ with the United States amount to? I had no idea that English
+ opinion could so quickly become practically indifferent as to what
+ the United States thinks or does. And as nearly as I can make it
+ out, there is not a general wish that we should go to war. The
+ prevalent feeling is not a selfish wish for military help. In fact
+ they think that, by the making of munitions, by the taking of
+ loans, and by the sale of food we can help them more than by
+ military and naval action. Their feeling is based on their
+ disappointment at our submitting to what they regard as German
+ dallying with us and to German insults. They believe that, if we
+ had sent Bernstorff home when his government made its
+ unsatisfactory reply to our first _Lusitania_ note, Germany would
+ at once have "come down"; opportunist Balkan States would have come
+ to the help of the Allies; Holland and perhaps the Scandinavian
+ States would have got some consideration at Berlin for their losses
+ by torpedoes; that more attention would have been paid by Turkey to
+ our protest against the wholesale massacre of the Armenians; and
+ that a better settlement with Japan about Pacific islands and
+ Pacific influence would have been possible for the English at the
+ end of the war. Since, they argue, nobody is now afraid of the
+ United States, her moral influence is impaired at every capital;
+ and I now frequently hear the opinion that, if the war lasts
+ another year and the Germans get less and less use of the United
+ States as a base of general propaganda in all neutral countries,
+ especially all American countries, they are likely themselves to
+ declare war on us as a mere defiance of the whole world and with
+ the hope of stirring up internal trouble for our government by the
+ activity of the Germans and the Irish in the United States, which
+ may hinder munitions and food and loans to the Allies.
+
+ I need not remark that the English judgment of the Germans is
+ hardly judicial. But they reply to this that every nation has to
+ learn the real, incredible character of the Prussian by its own
+ unhappy experience. France had so to learn it, and England, Russia,
+ and Belgium; and we (the United States), they say, fail to profit
+ in time by the experience of these. After the Germans have used us
+ to the utmost in peace, they will force us into war--or even flatly
+ declare war on us when they think they can thus cause more
+ embarrassment to the Allies, and when they conclude that the time
+ is come to make sure that no great nation shall emerge from the war
+ with a clear commercial advantage over the others; and in the
+ meantime they will prove to the world by playing with us that a
+ democracy is necessarily pacific and hence (in their view)
+ contemptible. I felt warranted the other day to remark to Lord
+ Bryce on the unfairness of much of the English judgment of us (he
+ is very sad and a good deal depressed). "Yes," he said, "I have
+ despaired of one people's ever really understanding another even
+ when the two are as closely related and as friendly as the
+ Americans and the English."
+
+ You were kind enough to inquire about my health in your last note.
+ If I could live up to the popular conception here of my labours and
+ responsibilities and delicate duties (which is most flattering and
+ greatly exaggerated), I should be only a walking shadow of a man.
+ But I am most inappreciately well. I imagine that in some year to
+ come, I may enjoy a vacation, but I could not enjoy it now. Besides
+ since civilization has gone backward several centuries, I suppose
+ I've gone back with it to a time when men knew no such thing as a
+ vacation. (Let's forgive House for his kindly, mistaken
+ solicitude.) The truth is, I often feel that I do not know
+ myself--body or soul, boots or breeches. This experience is making
+ us all here different from the men we were--but in just what
+ respects it is hard to tell. We are not within hearing of the guns
+ (except the guns that shoot at Zeppelins when they come); but the
+ war crowds itself in on us sensibly more and more. There are more
+ wounded soldiers on the streets and in the parks. More and more
+ families one knows lose their sons, more and more women their
+ husbands. Death is so common that it seems a little thing. Four
+ persons have come to my house to-day (Sunday) in the hope that I
+ may find their missing kinsmen, and two more have appealed to me on
+ the telephone and two more still have sent me notes. Since I began
+ this letter, Mrs. Page insisted on my going out on the edge of the
+ city to see an old friend of many years who has just lost both his
+ sons and whose prospective son-in-law is at home wounded. The first
+ thing he said was: "Tell me, what is America going to do?" As we
+ drove back, we made a call on a household whose nephew is
+ "missing."--"Can't you possibly help us hear definitely about him?"
+
+ This sort of thing all day every day must have some effect on any
+ man. Then--yesterday morning gave promise of a calm, clear day. I
+ never know what sensational experience awaits me around the next
+ corner. Then there was put on my desk the first page of a reputable
+ weekly paper which was filled with an open letter to me written by
+ the editor and signed. After the usual description of my
+ multitudinous and delicate duties, I was called on to insist that
+ my government should protest against Zeppelin raids on London
+ because a bomb might kill me! Humour doesn't bubble much now on
+ this side the world, for the censor had forbidden the publication
+ of this open letter lest it should possibly cause American-German
+ trouble! Then the American correspondents came in to verify a
+ report that a news agency is said to have had that I was deluged
+ with threatening letters!--More widows, more mothers looking for
+ lost sons!... Once in a while--far less often than if I lived in a
+ sane and normal world--I get a few hours off and go to a lonely
+ golf club. Alas! there is seldom anybody there but now and then a
+ pair of girls and now and then a pair of old fellows who have
+ played golf for a century. Yet back in London in the War Office I
+ hear they indulge in disrespectful hilarity at the poor game I
+ play. Now how do they know? (You'd better look to your score with
+ Grayson: the English have spies in America. A major-general in
+ their spy-service department told Mrs. Page that they knew all
+ about Archibaldi[21] before he got on the ship in New York.)
+
+ All this I send you not because it is of the slightest permanent
+ importance (except the English judgment of us) but because it will
+ prove, if you need proof, that the world is gone mad. Everything
+ depends on fighting power and on nothing else. A victory will save
+ the Government. Even distinctly hopeful military news will. And
+ English depression will vanish with a turn of the military tide. If
+ it had been Bernstorff instead of Dumba--_that_ would have affected
+ even the English judgment of us. Tyrrell[22] remarked to me--did I
+ write you? "Think of the freaks of sheer, blind Luck; a man of
+ considerable ability like Dumba caught for taking a risk that an
+ idiot would have avoided, and a fool like Bernstorff escaping!"
+ Then he added: "I hope Bernstorff will be left. No other human
+ being could serve the English as well as he is serving them." So,
+ you see, even in his depression the Englishman has some humour
+ left--e.g., when that old sea dog Lord Fisher heard that Mr.
+ Balfour was to become First Lord of the Admiralty, he cried out:
+ "Damn it! he won't do: Arthur Balfour is too much of a gentleman."
+ So John Bull is now, after all, rather pathetic--depressed as he
+ has not been depressed for at least a hundred years. The nobility
+ and the common man are doing their whole duty, dying on the
+ Bosphorus or in France without a murmur, or facing an insurrection
+ in India; but the labour union man and the commercial class are
+ holding hack and hindering a victory. And there is no great
+ national leader.
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 16: Count Beckendorff.]
+
+[Footnote 17: Afterward private secretary to Premier Lloyd George.]
+
+[Footnote 18: A messenger in the American Embassy.]
+
+[Footnote 19: The Rt. Hon. Reginald McKenna.]
+
+[Footnote 20: Sir Horace Plunkett.]
+
+[Footnote 21: It was Archibald's intercepted baggage that furnished the
+documents which caused Dumba's dismissal.]
+
+[Footnote 22: Sir William Tyrrell, private secretary to Sir Edward
+Grey.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XVII
+
+CHRISTMAS IN ENGLAND, 1915
+
+
+ To Edward M. House
+ London, December 7, 1915.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ I hear you are stroking down the Tammany tiger--an easier job than
+ I have with the British lion. You can find out exactly who your
+ tiger is, you know the house he lives in, the liquor he drinks, the
+ company he goes with. The British lion isn't so easy to find. At
+ times in English history he has dwelt in Downing Street--not so
+ now. So far as our struggle with him is concerned, he's all over
+ the Kingdom; for he is public opinion. The governing crowd in usual
+ times and on usual subjects can here overrun public opinion--can
+ make it, turn it, down it, dodge it. But it isn't so now--as it
+ affects us. Every mother's son of 'em has made up his mind that
+ Germany must and shall be starved out, and even Sir Edward's scalp
+ isn't safe when they suspect that he wishes to be lenient in that
+ matter. They keep trying to drive him out, on two counts: (1) he
+ lets goods out of Germany for the United States "and thereby
+ handicaps the fleet"; and (2) he failed in the Balkans. Sir Edward
+ is too much of a gentleman for this business of rough-riding over
+ all neutral rights and for bribing those Balkan bandits.
+
+ I went to see him to-day about the _Hocking_, etc. He asked me: "Do
+ _you know_ that the ships of this line are really owned, in good
+ faith, by Americans?"
+
+ "I'll answer your question," said I, "if I may then ask you one.
+ No, I don't know of my own knowledge. Now, _do you know_ that they
+ are _not_ owned by Americans?"
+
+ He had to confess that he, of his own knowledge, didn't know.
+
+ "Then," I said, "for the relief of us both, I pray you hurry up
+ your prize court."
+
+ When we'd got done quarrelling about ships and I started to go, he
+ asked me how I liked Wordsworth's war poems. "The best of all war
+ poems," said he, "because they don't glorify war but have to do
+ with its philosophy." Then he told me that some friend of his had
+ just got out a little volume of these war poems selected from
+ Wordsworth; "and I'm going to send you a copy."
+
+ "Just in time," said I, "for I have a copy of 'The Life and Letters
+ of John Hay'[23] that I'm sending to you."
+
+ He's coming to dine with me in a night or two: he'll do anything
+ but discuss our Note with me. And he's the only member of the
+ Government who, I think, would like to meet our views; and he
+ can't. To use the language of Lowell about the campaign of Governor
+ Kent--these British are hell-bent on starving the Germans out, and
+ neutrals have mighty few rights till that job's done.
+
+ The worst of it is that the job won't be done for a very long time.
+ I've been making a sort of systematic round of the Cabinet to see
+ what these fellows think about things in general at this stage of
+ the game. Bonar Law (the Colonies) tells me that the news from the
+ Balkans is worse than the public or the newspapers know, and that
+ still worse news will come. Germany will have it all her own way in
+ that quarter.
+
+ "And take Egypt and the canal?"
+
+ "I didn't say _that_," he replied. But he showed that he fears even
+ that.
+
+ [Illustration: Herbert C. Hoover, in 1914]
+
+ [Illustration: A facsimile page from the Ambassador's letter of
+ November 24. 1916, resigning his Ambassadorship]
+
+ I could go on with a dozen of 'em; but I sat down to write you a
+ Christmas letter, and nothing else. The best news I have for you is
+ not news at all, but I conceive it to be one of the best hopes of
+ the future. In spite of Irishmen past, present, and to come; in
+ spite of Germans, whose fuss will soon be over; in spite of
+ lawyers, who (if left alone) would bankrupt empires as their
+ clients and think they'd won a victory; I'm going to leave things
+ here in a year and a half so that, if wise men wish to lay a plan
+ for keeping the peace of the world, all they need to do will be to
+ say first to Uncle Sam: "This fellow or that must understand that
+ he can't break loose like a wild beast." If Uncle Sam agrees (and
+ has a real navy himself), he'll wink at John Bull, and John will
+ follow after. You see our blackleg tail-twisters have the whole
+ thing backward. They say we truckle to the British. My plan is to
+ lead the British--not for us to go to them but to have them come to
+ us. We have three white men to every two white men in their whole
+ Empire; and, when peace comes, we'll be fairly started on the road
+ to become as rich as the war will leave them. There are four clubs
+ in London which have no other purpose than this; and the best
+ review[24] in the world exists chiefly for this purpose. All we
+ need to do is to be courteous (we can do what we like if we do it
+ courteously). Our manners, our politicians, and our newspapers are
+ all that keep the English-speaking white man, under our lead, from
+ ruling the world, without any treaty or entangling alliance
+ whatsoever. If, when you went to Berlin to talk to your gentle and
+ timid friend, the Emperor, about disarmament before the war--if
+ about 200 American dreadnaughts and cruisers, with real grog on
+ 'em, had come over to make a friendly call, in the North Sea, on
+ the 300 English dreadnaughts and cruisers--just a friendly call,
+ admirals on admirals--the "Star-Spangled Banner" and "God Save the
+ King"--and if General Bell, from the Philippines, had happened in
+ London just when Kitchener happened to be home from Egypt--_then,
+ there wouldn't have been this war now_. Nothing need have been
+ said--no treaty, no alliance, nothing. For then 100 or more British
+ naval ships would have joined the Panama naval procession and any
+ possible enemy would have seen that combined fleet clean across the
+ Pacific.
+
+ Now this may all be a mere Christmas fancy--a mere yarn about what
+ might have been--because we wouldn't have sent ships here in our
+ old mood; the crew would have missed one Sunday School. But it's
+ _this kind_ of thing that does the trick. But this means the
+ practice of courtesy, and we haven't acquired the habit. Two years
+ or more ago the training ships from Annapolis with the cadets
+ aboard anchored down the Thames and stayed several weeks and let
+ the boys loose in England. They go on such a voyage every two years
+ to some country, you know. The English didn't know that fact and
+ they took the visit as a special compliment. Their old admirals
+ were all greatly pleased, and I hear talk about that yet. We ought
+ to have two or three of our rear-admirals here on their fleet now.
+ Symington, of course, is a good fellow; but he's a mere commander
+ and attaché--not an admiral--in other words, not any particular
+ compliment or courtesy to the British Navy. (As soon as the war
+ began, a Japanese admiral turned up here and he is here now.) We
+ sent over two army captains as military observers. The Russians
+ sent a brigadier-general. We ought to have sent General Wood. You
+ see the difference? There was no courtesy in our method. It would
+ be the easiest and prettiest job in the world to swallow the whole
+ British organization, lock, stock, and barrel--King, Primate,
+ Cabinet, Lords, and Commons, feathers and all, and to make 'em
+ follow our _courteous_ lead anywhere. The President had them in
+ this mood when the war started and for a long time after--till the
+ _Lusitania_ seemed to be forgotten and till the lawyers began to
+ write his Notes. He can get 'em back, after the war ends, by
+ several acts of courtesy--if we could get into the habit of doing
+ such things as sending generals and admirals as compliments to
+ them. The British Empire is ruled by a wily use of courtesies and
+ decorations. If I had the President himself to do the
+ correspondence, if I had three or four fine generals and admirals
+ and a good bishop or two, a thoroughbred senator or two and now and
+ then a Supreme Court Justice to come on proper errands and be
+ engineered here in the right way--we could do or say anything we
+ liked and they'd do whatever we'd say. I'd undertake to underwrite
+ the whole English-speaking world to keep peace, under our
+ leadership. Instead whereof, every move we now make is to _follow_
+ them or to _drive_ them. The latter is impossible, and the former
+ is unbecoming to us.
+
+ But to return to Christmas.--I could go on writing for a week in
+ this off-hand, slap-dash way, saying wise things flippantly. But
+ Christmas--that's the thing now. Christmas! What bloody irony it is
+ on this side the world! Still there will be many pleasant and
+ touching things done. An Englishman came in to see me the other day
+ and asked if I'd send $1,000 to Gerard[25] to use in making the
+ English prisoners in Germany as happy as possible on Christmas
+ Day--only I must never tell anybody who did it. A lady came on the
+ same errand--for the British prisoners in Turkey, and with a less
+ but still a generous sum. The heroism, the generosity, the
+ endurance and self-restraint and courtesy of these people would
+ melt a pyramid to tears. Of course there are yellow dogs among 'em,
+ here and there; but the genuine, thoroughbred English man or woman
+ is the real thing--one of the realest things in this world. So
+ polite are they that not a single English person has yet mentioned
+ our Note to me--not one.
+
+ But every one I've met for two days has mentioned the sending of
+ Von Papen and Boy-Ed[26] home--not that they expect us to get into
+ the war, but because they regard this action as maintaining our
+ self-respect.
+
+ Nor do they neglect other things because of the war. I went to the
+ annual dinner of the Scottish Corporation the other night-an
+ organization which for 251 years has looked after Scotchmen
+ stranded in London; and they collected $20,000 then and there.
+ There's a good deal of Christmas in 'em yet. One fellow in a little
+ patriotic speech said that the Government is spending twenty-five
+ million dollars a day to whip the Germans.--"Cheap work, very cheap
+ work. We can spend twice that if necessary. Why, gentlemen, we
+ haven't exhausted our pocket-change yet."
+
+ Somehow I keep getting away from Christmas. It doesn't stay put.
+ It'll be a memorable one here for its sorrows and for its grim
+ determination--an empty chair at every English table. But nowhere
+ in the world will it be different except in the small neutral
+ states here and in the lands on your side the world.
+
+ How many Christmases the war may last, nobody's wise enough to
+ know. That depends absolutely on Germany. The Allies announced
+ their terms ten months ago, and nothing has yet happened to make
+ them change them. That would leave the Germans with Germany and a
+ secure peace--no obliteration or any other wild nonsense, but only
+ a secure peace. Let 'em go back home, pay for the damage they've
+ done, and then stay there. I do hope that the actual fighting will
+ be ended by Christmas of next year. Of course it _may_ end with
+ dramatic suddenness at any time, this being the only way, perhaps,
+ for the Kaiser to save his throne. Or it may go on for two or three
+ years. My guess is that it'll end next year--a guess subject to
+ revision, of course, by events that can't be foreseen.
+
+ But as I said before--to come back to Christmas. Mrs. Page and I
+ send you and Mrs. House our affectionate good wishes and the hope
+ that you keep very well and very happy in your happy, prosperous
+ hemisphere. We do, I thank you. We haven't been better for
+ years--never before so busy, never, I think, so free from care. We
+ get plenty to eat (such as it is in this tasteless wet zone), at a
+ high cost, of course; we have comfortable beds and shoes (we spend
+ all our time in these two things, you know); we have good company,
+ enough to do (!!), no grievances nor ailments, no ill-will, no
+ disappointments, a keen interest in some big things--all the chips
+ are blue, you know; we don't feel ready for halos, nor for other
+ uncomfortable honours; we deserve less than we get and are content
+ with what the gods send. This, I take it, is all that Martin[27]
+ would call a comfortable mood for Christmas; and we are old enough
+ and tough enough to have thick armour against trouble. When Worry
+ knocks at the door, the butler tells him we're not at home.
+
+ And I see the most interesting work in the world cut out for me
+ for the next twenty-five or thirty years--to get such courtesy into
+ our dealings with these our kinsmen here, public and private--as
+ will cause them to follow us in all the developments of democracy
+ and-in keeping the peace of the world secure. I can't impress it on
+ you strongly enough that the English-speaking folk have got to set
+ the pace and keep this world in order. Nobody else is equal to the
+ job. In all our dealings with the British, public and private, we
+ allow it to be assumed that _they_ lead: they don't. _We_ lead.
+ They'll follow, if we do really lead and are courteous to them. If
+ we hold back, the Irishman rears up and says we are surrendering to
+ the English! Suppose we go ahead and the English surrender to us,
+ what can your Irishmen do then? Or your German? The British Navy is
+ a pretty good sort of dog to have to trot under your wagon. If we
+ are willing to have ten years of thoughtful good manners, I tell
+ you Jellicoe will eat out of your hand.
+
+ Therefore, cheer up! It's not at all improbable that Ford[28] and
+ his cargo of cranks, if they get across the ocean, may strike a
+ German mine in the North Sea. Then they'll die happy, as martyrs;
+ and the rest of us will live happy, and it'll be a Merry Christmas
+ for everybody.
+
+ Our love to Mrs. House.
+
+ Always heartily yours,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday and Others_
+
+ London, Christmas, 1915.
+
+ DEAR D.P. & Co.
+
+ ... Now, since we're talking about the war, let me deliver my
+ opinion and leave the subject. They're killing one another all
+ right; you needn't have any doubt about that--so many thousand
+ every day, whether there's any battle or not. When there's "nothing
+ to report" from France, that means the regular 5,000 casualties
+ that happen every day. There isn't any way of getting rid of men
+ that has been forgotten or neglected. Women and children, too, of
+ course, starve in Serbia and Poland and are massacred in Turkey.
+ England, though she has by very much the largest army she ever had,
+ has the smallest of all the big armies and yet I don't know a
+ family that had men of fighting age which hasn't lost one or more
+ members. And the worst is to come. But you never hear a complaint.
+ Poor Mr. Dent[29], for instance (two sons dead), says: "It's all
+ right. England must be saved."
+
+ And this Kingdom alone, as you know, is spending twenty-five
+ million dollars a day. The big loan placed in the United States[30]
+ would last but twenty days! if this pace of slaughter and of
+ spending go on long enough, there won't be any men or any money
+ left on this side the world. Yet there will be both left, of
+ course; for somehow things never quite go to the ultimate smash
+ that seems to come. Read the history of the French Revolution. How
+ did the French nation survive?
+
+ It will go on, unless some unexpected dramatic military event end
+ it, for something like another year at least--many say for two
+ years more, and some, three years more. It'll stop, of course,
+ whenever Germany will propose terms that the Allies can
+ consider--or something near such terms; and it won't stop before.
+ By blockade pressure and by fighting, the Allies are gradually
+ wearing the Germans out. We can see here the gradual pressure of
+ events in that direction. My guess is that they won't go into a
+ third winter.
+
+ Well, dear gentlemen, however you may feel about it, that's enough
+ for me. My day--every day--is divided into these parts: (1) two to
+ three hours listening to Americans or their agents here whose
+ cargoes are stopped, to sorrowing American parents whose boys have
+ run away and gone into the English Army, to nurses and doctors and
+ shell makers who wish to go to France, to bereaved English men and
+ women whose sons are "missing": can I have them found in Germany?
+ (2) to answering letters about these same cheerful subjects; (3) to
+ going over cases and documents prepared about all these sorts of
+ troubles and forty other sorts, by the eight or ten secretaries of
+ the Embassy, and a conference with every one of them; (4) the
+ reading of two books of telegrams, one incoming, the other
+ outgoing, and the preparation of a lot of answers; (5) going to the
+ Foreign Office, not every day but often, to discuss more troubles
+ there; (6) home to dinner at 8 o'clock--at home or somewhere else,
+ and there is more talk about the war or about the political
+ troubles. That for a regular daily routine for pretty nearly a year
+ and a half! As I say, if anybody is keeping the war up for my
+ entertainment, he now has my permission to stop. No time to read,
+ no time to write, little time to think, little or no time to see
+ the people you most wish to see, I often don't know the day of the
+ week or of the month: it's a sort of life in the trenches, without
+ the immediate physical danger. Then I have my cabinet meetings, my
+ financial reports (money we spend for four governments: I had till
+ recently about a million dollars subject to my check); then the
+ commission for the relief of Belgium; then the Ambassadors and
+ Ministers of the other neutral states--our task is worse than war!
+
+ Well, praise God for sleep. I get from seven to nine hours a night,
+ unbroken; and I don't take Armageddon to bed with me.
+
+ I don't mind telling _you_ (nobody else) that the more I see just
+ how great statesmen work and manage great governments--the more I
+ see of them at close range--whether in Washington or London or
+ Berlin or Vienna or Constantinople (for these are _my_ Capitals),
+ the more I admire the methods of the Long Island farmers. Boys, I
+ swear I could take our crowd and do a better job than many of these
+ great men do. I have to spend a lot of time to correct their moves
+ before the other fellow finds out the mistake. For instance I know
+ I spent $2,000 in telegrams before I could make the German
+ Government understand the British military age, and the British
+ Government understand the German military age, for exchanging
+ prisoners who had lost two legs or arms or both eyes; and I've had
+ to send a man to Berlin to get a financial report from one man on
+ one floor of a building there and to take it to another man on the
+ floor above. Just yesterday I was reminded that I had made eighteen
+ requests for the same information of the British Government, when
+ the nineteenth request for it came from Washington; and I have now
+ telegraphed that same thing nineteen times since the war began. Of
+ course everybody's worked to death. But something else ails a lot
+ of 'em all the way from Constantinople to London. Leaving out
+ common gutter lying (and there's much of it) the sheer stupidity of
+ governments is amazing. They are all so human, so mighty human! I
+ wouldn't be a government for any earthly consideration. I'd rather
+ be a brindled dog and trot under the wagon.
+
+ But it has been an inexpressibly interesting experience to find all
+ this out for myself. There's a sort of weary satisfaction in
+ feeling that you've seen too much of them to be fooled by 'em any
+ more. And, although most men now engaged in this game of government
+ are mere common mortals with most of the common mortal weaknesses,
+ now and then a really big man does stumble into the business. I
+ have my doubts whether a really big man ever deliberately goes into
+ it. And most of the men who the crowd for the moment thinks are big
+ men don't really turn out so. It's a game like bull fighting. The
+ bull is likely to kill you--pretty sure to do so if you keep at the
+ business long enough; but in the meantime you have some exciting
+ experiences and the applause of the audience. When you get killed,
+ they forget you--immediately. There are two rather big men in this
+ Government, and you wouldn't guess in three rounds who they are.
+ But in general the war hasn't so far developed very big men in any
+ country. Else we are yet too close to them to recognize their
+ greatness. Joffre seems to have great stuff in him; and (I assure
+ you) you needn't ever laugh at a Frenchman again. They are a great
+ people. As for the British, there was never such a race. It's
+ odd--I hear that it happens just now to be the fashion in the
+ United States to say that the British are not doing their share.
+ There never was a greater slander. They absolutely hold the Seven
+ Seas. They have caught about seventy submarines and some of them
+ are now destroying German ships in the Baltic Sea. They've sent to
+ France by several times the largest army that any people ever sent
+ over the sea. They are financing most of their allies and they have
+ turned this whole island into gun and shell factories. They made a
+ great mistake at the Dardanelles and they are slower than death to
+ change their set methods. But no family in the land, from charcoal
+ burners to dukes, hesitates one moment to send its sons into the
+ army. When the news comes of their death, they never whimper. When
+ you come right down to hard facts, the courage and the endurance of
+ the British and the French excel anything ever before seen on this
+ planet. All the old stories of bravery from Homer down are outdone
+ every day by these people. I see these British at close range,
+ full-dress and undress; and I've got to know a lot of 'em as well
+ as we can ever come to know anybody after we get grown. There is
+ simply no end to the silly sides of their character. But, when the
+ real trial comes, they don't flinch; and (except the thoroughbred
+ American) there are no such men in the world.
+
+ A seven-foot Kansas lawyer (Kansas all over him) came to see me
+ yesterday. He came here a month ago on some legal business. He told
+ me yesterday that he had always despised Englishmen. He's seen a
+ few with stud-horse clothes and white spats and monocles on who had
+ gone through Kansas to shoot in the Rocky Mountains. He couldn't
+ understand 'em and he didn't like 'em. "So infernally uppish," said
+ he.
+
+ "Well, what do you think of 'em now?"
+
+ "The very best people in the world," said he. I think he has a
+ notion of enlisting!
+
+ You're still publishing books, I hear. That's a good occupation.
+ I'd like to be doing it myself. But I can't even get time to read
+ 'em now.
+
+ But, as you know, nobody's writing anything but war books--from
+ Kipling to Hall Caine. Poor Kipling!--his boy's dead. I have no
+ doubt of it. I've had all the German hospitals and prison camps
+ searched for him in vain. These writing men and women, by the way,
+ are as true blue and as thoroughbred as any other class. I can
+ never forget Maurice Hewlett's brave behaviour when he thought that
+ his flying corps son had been killed by the Germans or drowned at
+ sea. He's no prig, but a real man. And the women are as fine as the
+ men....
+
+ To go back to books: Of course nobody can tell what effect the war
+ will have on the writing of them, nor what sort of new writers may
+ come up. You may be sure that everything is stirred to its
+ profoundest depths and will be stirred still more. Some old stagers
+ will be laid on the shelf; that's certain. What sort of new ones
+ will come? I asked H.G. Wells this question. He has promised to
+ think it out and tell me. He has the power to guess some things
+ very well. I'll put that question to Conrad when I next see him.
+
+ Does anybody in the United States take the Prime Minister, Mr.
+ Asquith, to be a great man? His wife is a brilliant woman; and she
+ has kept a diary ever since he became Prime Minister; and he now
+ has passed the longest single term in English history. Mr. Dent
+ thinks he's the biggest man alive, and Dent has some mighty good
+ instincts.
+
+ Talk about troubles! Think of poor Northcliffe. He thinks he's
+ saved the nation from its miserable government, and the government
+ now openly abuses him in the House of Commons. Northcliffe puts on
+ his brass knuckles and turns the _Times_ building upside down and
+ sets all the _Daily Mail_ machine guns going, and has to go to bed
+ to rest his nerves, while the row spreads and deepens. The
+ Government keeps hell in the prayer-book because without it they
+ wouldn't know what to do with Northcliffe; and Northcliffe is just
+ as sure that he has saved England as he is sure the Duke of
+ Wellington did.
+
+ To come back to the war. (We always do.) Since I wrote the first
+ part of this letter, I spent an evening with a member of the
+ Cabinet and he told me so much bad military news, which they
+ prevent the papers from publishing or even hearing, that to-night I
+ almost share this man's opinion that the war will last till 1918.
+ That isn't impossible. If that happens the offer that I heard a
+ noble old buck make to a group of ladies the other night may be
+ accepted. This old codger is about seventy-five, ruddy and saucy
+ yet. "My dear ladies," said he, "if the war goes on and on we shall
+ have no young men left. A double duty will fall on the old fellows.
+ I shall be ready, when the need comes, to take four extra wives,
+ and I daresay there are others of my generation who are as
+ patriotic as I am."
+
+ All of which is only my long-winded, round-about diplomatic way of
+ wishing you every one and every one of yours and all the folk in
+ the office, their assigns, superiors, dependents, companions in
+ labour--all, everyone and sundry, the happiest of Christmases; and
+ when you take stock of your manifold blessings, don't forget to be
+ thankful for the Atlantic Ocean. That's the best asset of safety
+ that we have.
+
+ Affectionately yours,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Mrs. Charles G. Loring_
+
+ 6 Grosvenor Square,
+
+ London, December 7, 1915.
+
+ DEAR KITTY:
+
+ This is my Christmas letter to you and Chud--a poor thing, but the
+ best I have to give you. At least it carries my love, dear, and my
+ wishes that every Christmas under your own roof will be happier
+ than the preceding one. Since your starting point is on the high
+ level of your first Christmas in your own home--that's a good wish:
+ isn't it?
+
+ I'm beginning to think a good deal of your mother and me. Here we
+ are left alone by every one of you--in a foreign land; and,
+ contrary to all predictions that any of you would have made about
+ us four or five years ago, we're faring pretty well, thank you, and
+ not on the edge of dying of loneliness at all. I tell you, I think
+ we're pretty brave and hardy.
+
+ We're even capable of becoming cocky and saucy to every one of you.
+ Be careful, then.
+
+ You see if you have a war to live with you don't necessarily need
+ children: you'll have strife enough without 'em. We'll console
+ ourselves with such reflections as these.
+
+ And the truth is--at least about me--that there isn't time to think
+ of what you haven't got. Of course, I'm working, as always, to
+ soften the relations between these two governments. So far, in
+ spite of the pretty deep latent feeling on both sides--far worse
+ than it ought to be and far worse than I wish it were--I'm working
+ all the time to keep things as smooth as possible. Happily, nobody
+ can prove it, but I believe it, that there is now and there has
+ been all along more danger of a serious misunderstanding than
+ anybody has known. The Germans have, of course, worked in 1000 ways
+ to cause misunderstanding between England and the United States.
+ Then, of course, there has been constant danger in the English
+ bull-headed insularity which sees nothing but the Englishman's
+ immediate need, and in the English slowness. Add to these causes
+ the American ignorance of war and of European conditions. It has
+ been a God's mercy for us that we have so far had a man like Sir
+ Edward Grey in his post. And in my post, while there might well
+ have been a better man, this much at least has been lucky--that I
+ do have a consciousness of English history and of our common
+ origin and some sense of the inevitable destiny of the great
+ English-speaking race--so that, when we have come to sharp corners
+ in the road, I have known that whatever happen we must travel in
+ the right general direction--have known that no temporary
+ difference must be allowed to assume a permanent quality. I have
+ thought several times that we had passed the worst possible place,
+ and then a still worse one would appear. It does look now as if we
+ had faced most of the worst difficulties that can come, but I am
+ not sure what Congress may do or provoke. If we outlast Congress,
+ we shall be safe. Now to come through this enormous war even with
+ no worse feeling than already exists between the two
+ countries--that'll be a big thing to have done. But it's work like
+ the work of the English fleet. Nobody can prove that Jellicoe has
+ been a great admiral. Yet the fleet has done the whole job more
+ successfully than if it had had sea-fights and lost a part of their
+ ships.
+
+ Our Note has left a great deal of bad feeling--suppressed, but
+ existent. A part of it was inevitable and (I'd say) even necessary.
+ But we put in a lot of things that seem to me to be merely
+ disputatious, and we didn't write it in the best form. It
+ corresponds to what you once called _suburban_: do you remember?
+ Not thoroughbred. But we'll get over even that, especially if the
+ Administration and the courts continue to bring the Germans to book
+ who are insulting our dignity and destroying our property and
+ killing Americans. If we can satisfactorily settle the _Lusitania_
+ trouble, the whole outlook will be very good.
+
+ Your mother and I are hearing much interesting political talk. We
+ dined last night with Mr. Bonar Law. Sir Edward Carson was there.
+ To-day we lunched with Lady P.--the other side, you see. There are
+ fundamental differences continually arising. They thought a few
+ weeks ago that they had the Prime Minister's scalp. He proved too
+ nimble for them. Now one person after another says to you:
+ "Kitchener doesn't deserve the reverence the people give him." More
+ and more folks say he's hard to work with--is domineering and
+ selfish. Nobody seems really to know him; and there are some signs
+ that there may be a row about him.
+
+ We've heard nothing from Harold in quite a little while. We have,
+ you know, three of our footmen in the war. Allen was wounded at
+ Loos--a flesh, bullet-wound. He's about well now and is soon going
+ back. Leslie is in the trenches and a postal card came from him the
+ other day. The third one, Philip, is a prisoner in Germany. Your
+ mother sent him a lot of things, but we've never heard whether he
+ received them or not. The general strain--military, political,
+ financial--gets greater. The streets are darker than ever. The
+ number of wounded increases rapidly. More houses are turned into
+ hospitals. The Manchesters', next door, is a hospital now. And
+ everybody fears worse days are to come. But they have no nerves,
+ these English. They grit their teeth, but they go on bravely,
+ enduring everything. We run into experiences every day that melt
+ you, and the heroic things we hear outnumber and outdo all the
+ stories in all the books.
+
+ I keep forgetting Xmas, Kitty, and this is my Xmas letter. You
+ needn't put it in your stocking, but you'd really better burn it
+ up. It would be the ruination of the world if my frank comments got
+ loose. It's for you and Chud only. You may fill your stocking full
+ of the best wishes you ever received--enough to fill the polar bear
+ skin. And I send you both my love.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Ralph W., Arthur 147., and Frank C. Page_[31]
+
+ London, Christmas, 1915.
+
+ DEAR Boys: R.W.P., A.W.P., F.C.P.
+
+ A Merry Christmas to you! Good cheer, good company, good food, good
+ fires, good golf. I suppose (though the Lord only knows) that I'll
+ have to be here another Christmas; but another after that? Not on
+ your life!
+
+ I think I'm as cheerful and hopeful as I ever was, but this
+ experience here and the war have caused my general confidence in
+ the orderly progress of civilization somewhat to readjust itself. I
+ think that any man who looks over the world and who knows something
+ of the history of human society--I mean any American who really
+ believes in democracy and in human progress--is somewhat saddened
+ to see the exceeding slowness of that progress. In the early days
+ of our Republic hopeful Americans held the opinion that the other
+ countries of the world would follow our example; that is to say,
+ would educate the people, would give the masses a chance to become
+ real men, would make their governments and institutions serve the
+ people, would dispense with kings and gross privileges and become
+ free. Well, they haven't done it. France is nominally a republic,
+ but the masses of its people are far, far backward. Switzerland
+ _is_ a republic, but a very small one. Denmark is a very free
+ state, in spite of its monarchical form of government. In South
+ America they think they have republics, but they haven't the
+ slightest idea of the real education and freedom of the people.
+ Practically, therefore, the United States and the self-governing
+ British colonies are the only really free countries of much
+ importance in the whole world--these and this Kingdom. Our example
+ hasn't been followed. In Europe, Germany and Russia in particular
+ have monarchs who are in absolute command. Thus on both sides the
+ world, so far as government and the danger of war are concerned,
+ there hasn't been very much real progress in five hundred years.
+
+ This is a little disappointing. And it means, of course, that we
+ are likely to have periodical earthquakes like this present one
+ till some radical change come. Republics have their faults, no
+ doubt. But they have at least this virtue: that no country where
+ the people really have the control of their government is likely to
+ start out deliberately on any war of conquest--is not likely to run
+ amuck--and will not regard its population as mere food for shell
+ and powder.
+
+ Nor do I believe that our example of our government has, relatively
+ to our strength and wealth and population, as much influence in the
+ world as we had one hundred years ago. Our people have no foreign
+ consciousness and I know that our government knows almost nothing
+ about European affairs; nor do our people know. As regards foreign
+ affairs our government lacks proper machinery. Take this as an
+ illustration: The President wrote vigorous and proper notes about
+ the _Lusitania_ and took a firm stand with Germany. Germany has
+ paid no attention to the _Lusitania_ outrage. Yet (as I understand
+ it) the people will not run the risk of war--or the Administration
+ thinks they will not--and hence the President can do nothing to
+ make his threat good. Therefore we stand in a ridiculous situation;
+ and nobody cares how many notes we write. I don't know that the
+ President could have done differently--unless, before he sent the
+ _Lusitania_ notes, he had called Congress together and submitted
+ his notes to Congress. But, as the matter stands, the Germans are
+ merely encouraged to blow up factories and practically to carry on
+ war in the United States, because they know we can (or will) do
+ nothing. Mere notes break nobody's skin.
+
+ We don't seem to have any machinery to bring any influence to bear
+ on foreign governments or on foreign opinion; and, this being so,
+ it is little wonder that the rest of the world does not follow our
+ republican example.
+
+ And this sort of impotence in influence has curious effects at
+ home. For example, the ship-purchase bill, as it was at the last
+ session of Congress, was an economic crime. See what has happened:
+ We have waked up to the fact that we must have a big navy. Well, a
+ navy is of no far-fighting value unless we have auxiliary ships and
+ a lot of 'em. Admiral Jellicoe has 3,000 ships under his command;
+ and he couldn't keep his fleet on the job if he didn't have them.
+ Most of them are commandeered merchant, passenger, and fishing
+ ships. Now we haven't merchant, passenger, and fishing ships to
+ commandeer. We've got to build and buy auxiliary ships to our navy.
+ This, to my mind, makes the new ship-purchase bill, or something
+ like it, necessary. Else our navy, when it comes to the scratch,
+ will be of no fighting value, however big it be. It's the price
+ we've got to pay for not having built up a merchant marine. And we
+ haven't built up a merchant marine because we've had no foreign
+ consciousness. While our Irishmen have been leading us to twist the
+ Lion's tail, we've been depending almost wholly on English
+ ships--and, in late years, on German ships. You can't cross the
+ ocean yet in a decent American ship. You see, we've declared our
+ independence; and, so far as individual development goes, we've
+ worked it out. But the governmental machinery for maintaining it
+ and for making it visible to the world--we've simply neglected to
+ build it or to shape it. Hence the President's notes hurt nobody
+ and accomplish nothing; nor could our navy put up a real fight, for
+ lack of colliers and supply ships. It's the same way all around the
+ horizon. And these are the reasons we haven't made our democracy
+ impress the world more.
+
+ A democracy is not a quick-trigger war-engine and can't be made
+ into one. When the quick-trigger engines get to work, they forget
+ that a democracy does not consider fighting the first duty of man.
+ You can bend your energies to peaceful pursuits or you can bend
+ them to war. It's hard to do both at the same time. The Germans are
+ the only people who have done both at the same time; and even they
+ didn't get their navy big enough for their needs.
+
+ When the infernal thing's over--that'll be a glad day; and the
+ European world won't really know what it has cost in men and money
+ and loss of standards till it is over....
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Walter H. Page, Jr._[32].
+
+ London, Christmas, 1915.
+
+ SIR:
+
+ For your first Christmas, I have the honour to send you my most
+ affectionate greetings; and in wishing you all good health, I take
+ the liberty humbly to indicate some of the favours of fortune that
+ I am pleased to think I enjoy in common with you.
+
+ _First_--I hear with pleasure that you are quite well content with
+ yourself--not because of a reasoned conviction of your own worth,
+ which would be mere vanity and unworthy of you, but by reason of a
+ philosophical disposition. It is too early for you to bother over
+ problems of self-improvement--as for me it is too late; wherefore
+ we are alike in the calm of our self-content. What others may think
+ or say about us is a subject of the smallest concern to us.
+ Therefore they generally speak well of us; for there is little
+ satisfaction in speaking ill of men who care nothing for your
+ opinion of them. Then, too, we are content to be where we happen to
+ be--a fact that we did not order in the beginning and need not now
+ concern ourselves about. Consider the eternal coming and going of
+ folk. On every road many are travelling one way and an equal number
+ are travelling the other way. It is obvious that, if they were all
+ content to remain at the places whence they set forth, the
+ distribution of the population would be the same. Why therefore
+ move hither and yon at the cost of much time and labour and money,
+ since nothing is accomplished thereby? We spare ourselves by being
+ content to remain where we are. We thereby have the more time for
+ reflection. Nor can we help observing with a smile that all persons
+ who have good reasons to see us themselves make the necessary
+ journey after they discover that we remain fixed.
+
+ Again, people about us are continually doing this service and that
+ for some other people--running errands, mending fences, bearing
+ messages, building, and tearing down; and they all demand equal
+ service in return. Thus a large part of mankind keeps itself in
+ constant motion like bubbles of water racing around a pool at the
+ foot of a water-fall--or like rabbits hurrying into their warrens
+ and immediately hurrying out again. Whereas, while these antics
+ amuse and sadden us, we for the most part remain where we are.
+ Hence our wants are few; they are generally most courteously
+ supplied without our asking; or, if we happen to be momentarily
+ forgotten, we can quickly secure anything in the neighbourhood by a
+ little judicious squalling. Why, then, should we whirl as bubbles
+ or scurry as rabbits? Our conquering self-possession gives a
+ masterful charm to life that the victims of perpetual locomotion
+ never seem to attain.
+
+ You have discovered, and my experience confirms yours, that a
+ perpetual self-consciousness brings most of the misery of the
+ world. Men see others who are richer than they; or more famous, or
+ more fortunate--so they think; and they become envious. You have
+ not reached the period of such empty vanity, and I have long passed
+ it. Let us, therefore, make our mutual vows not to be disturbed by
+ the good luck or the good graces of others, but to continue,
+ instead, to contemplate the contented cat on the rug and the
+ unenvious sky that hangs over all alike.
+
+ This mood will continue to keep our lives simple. Consider our
+ diet. Could anything be simpler or better? We are not even tempted
+ by the poisonous victuals wherewith mankind destroys itself. The
+ very first sound law of life is to look to the belly; for it is
+ what goes into a man that ruins him. By avoiding murderous food, we
+ may hope to become centenarians. And why not? The golden streets
+ will not be torn up and we need be in no indecent haste to travel
+ even on them. The satisfactions of this life are just beginning for
+ us; and we shall be wise to endure this world for as long a period
+ as possible.
+
+ And sleep is good--long sleep and often; and your age and mine
+ permit us to indulge in it without the sneers of the lark or the
+ cock or the dawn.
+
+ I pray you, sir, therefore, accept my homage as the philosopher
+ that you are and my assurance of that high esteem indicated by my
+ faithful imitation of your virtues. I am,
+
+ With the most distinguished consideration,
+ With the sincerest esteem, and
+ With the most affectionate good wishes,
+ Sir,
+ Your proud,
+ Humble,
+ Obedient
+ GRANDDADDY.
+
+To Master Walter Hines Page,
+
+On Christmas, 1915.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 23: By William Roscoe Thayer, published in 1915.]
+
+[Footnote 24: The Ambassador had in mind _The Round Table_.]
+
+[Footnote 25: James W. Gerard, American Ambassador to Germany, and, as
+such, in charge of British interests in Germany.]
+
+[Footnote 26: The German military and naval attachés, whose persistent
+and outrageous violation of American laws led to their dismissal by
+President Wilson.]
+
+[Footnote 27: E.S. Martin, Editor of _Life_.]
+
+[Footnote 28: Mr. Henry Ford at this time was getting together his
+famous peace ship, which was to sail to Europe "to get the boys out of
+the trenches by Christmas."]
+
+[Footnote 29: J.M. Dent, the London publisher.]
+
+[Footnote 30: $500,000,000.]
+
+[Footnote 31: The Ambassador's Sons.]
+
+[Footnote 32: The Ambassador's infant grandson, son of Arthur W. Page.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XVIII
+
+A PERPLEXED AMBASSADOR
+
+
+The beginning of the new year saw no improvement in German-American
+relations. Germany and Austria continued to violate the pledge given by
+Bernstorff after the sinking of the _Arabic_--if that shifty statement
+could be regarded as a "pledge." On November 7, 1915, the Austrians sank
+the _Ancona_, in the Mediterranean, drowning American citizens under
+conditions of particular atrocity, and submarine attacks on merchant
+ships, without the "warning" or attempt to save passengers and crew
+which Bernstorff had promised, took place nearly every day. On April 18,
+1916, the _Sussex_ was torpedoed in the English Channel, without warning
+and with loss of American life. This caused what seemed to be a real
+crisis; President Wilson sent what was practically an ultimatum to
+Germany, demanding that it "immediately declare and effect an
+abandonment of its present methods of warfare against passenger and
+freight carrying vessels," declaring that, unless it did so, the United
+States would sever diplomatic relations with the German Empire. In
+reply, Germany apparently backed down and gave the promise the President
+had demanded. However, it coupled this concession with an expression of
+its expectation that the United States would compel Great Britain to
+observe international law in the blockade. As this latter statement
+might be interpreted as a qualification of its surrender, the incident
+hardly ended satisfactorily.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ Bournemouth
+
+ May 22, 1916.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ I stick on the back of this sheet a letter that Sydney Brooks wrote
+ from New York (May 1st) to the _Daily Mail_. He formulates a
+ question that we have many times asked ourselves and that, in one
+ way or other, comes into everybody's mind here. Of course the
+ common fellow in Jonesville who has given most of his time and
+ energy to earning a living for his wife and children has no foreign
+ consciousness, whether his Jonesville be in the United States or in
+ England or in France or in Zanzibar. The real question is, _Do_
+ these fellows in Jonesville make up the United States? or has there
+ been such a lack of prompt leadership as to make all the Jonesville
+ people confused? It's hard for me to judge at this distance just
+ how far the President has led and just how far he has waited and
+ been pushed along. Suppose he had stood on the front steps every
+ morning before breakfast for a month after the _Lusitania_ went
+ down and had called to the people in the same tone that he used in
+ his note to Germany--had sounded a bugle call--would we have felt
+ as we now feel? What would the men in Jonesville have done then?
+ Would they have got their old guns down from over the doors? Or do
+ they so want peace and so think that they can have peace always
+ that they've lost their spine? Have they really been Bryanized,
+ Fordized, Janeaddamsized, Sundayschooled, and Chautauquaed into
+ supine creatures to whom the United States and the ideals of the
+ Fathers mean nothing? Who think a German is as good as an
+ Englishman? Who have no particular aims or aspirations for our
+ country and for democracy? When T.R. was in the White House he
+ surely was an active fellow. He called us to exercise ourselves
+ every morning. He bawled "Patriotism" loudly. We surely thought we
+ were awake during those strenuous years. Were we really awake or
+ did we only look upon him and his antics as a sort of good show?
+ All that time Bryan was peace-a-footing and prince-of-peacing. Now
+ did he really have the minds of the people or did T.R.?
+
+ If we've really gone to sleep and if the United States stands for
+ nothing but personal comfort and commercialism to our own people,
+ what a job you and the patriotic men of your generation have cut
+ out for you!
+
+ My own conviction (which I don't set great store by) is that our
+ isolation and prosperity have not gone so far in softening us as it
+ seems. They've gone a good way, no doubt; but I think that even the
+ Jonesville people yet feel their Americanism. What they need
+ is--leadership. Their Congressmen are poor, timid, pork-barrel
+ creatures. Their governors are in training for the Senate. The
+ Vice-President reads no official literature of the war, "because
+ then I might have a conviction about it and that wouldn't be
+ neutral." And so on. If the people had a _real_ leadership, I
+ believe they'd wake up even in Jonesville.
+
+ Well, let's let these things go for the moment. How's the
+ Ambassador[33]? And the Ambassador's mother and sister? They're
+ nice folks of whom and from whom I hear far too little. Give 'em my
+ love. I don't want you to rear a fighting family. But these kids
+ won't and mustn't grow up peace-cranks--not that anybody objects to
+ peace, but I do despise and distrust a crank, a crank about
+ anything. That's the lesson we've got to learn from these troubled
+ times. First, let cranks alone--the other side of the street is
+ good enough for them. Then, if they persist, I see nothing to do
+ but to kill 'em, and that's troublesome and inconvenient.
+
+ But, as I was saying, bless the babies. I can't begin to tell you
+ how very much I long to see them, to make their acquaintance, to
+ chuckle 'em and punch 'em and see 'em laugh, and to see just what
+ sort of kids they be.
+
+ I've written you how in my opinion there's no country in the world
+ fit for a modern gentleman and man-of-character to live in except
+ (1) the United States and (2) this island. And this island is
+ chiefly valuable for the breed of men--the right stock. They become
+ more valuable to the world after they go away from home. But the
+ right blood's here. This island's breed is the best there is. An
+ Englishman or a Scotchman is the best ancestor in this world, many
+ as his shortcomings are. Some Englishman asked me one night in
+ what, I thought, the Englishman appeared at his best. I said, "As
+ an ancestor to Americans!" And this is the fundamental reason why
+ we (two peoples) belong close together. Reasons that flow from
+ these are such as follows: (1) The race is the sea-mastering race
+ and the navy-managing race and the ocean-carrying race; (2) the
+ race is the literary race, (3) the exploring and settling and
+ colonizing race, (4) the race to whom fair play appeals, and (5)
+ that insists on individual development.
+
+ Your mother having read these two days 1,734 pages of memoirs of
+ the Coke family, one of whose members wrote the great law
+ commentaries, another carried pro-American votes in Parliament in
+ our Revolutionary times, refused peerages, defied kings and--begad!
+ here they are now, living in the same great house and saying and
+ doing what they darn please--we know this generation of 'em!--well,
+ your mother having read these two big volumes about the old ones
+ and told me 175 good stories out of these books, bless her soul!
+ she's gone to sleep in a big chair on the other side of the table.
+ Well she may, she walked for two hours this morning over hills and
+ cliffs and through pine woods and along the beach. I guess I'd
+ better wake her up and get her to go to bed--as the properer thing
+ to do at this time o'night, viz. 11. My golf this afternoon was too
+ bad to confess. But I must say that a 650 and a 730 yard hole
+ argues the audacity of some fellow and the despair of many more.
+ Nature made a lot of obstructions there and Man made more. It must
+ be seven or eight miles around that course! It's almost a three
+ hour task to follow my slow ball around it. I suggested we play
+ with howitzers instead of clubs. Good night!
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday and Others_
+
+ Royal Bath and East Cliff Hotel,
+ Bournemouth, May 29, 1916.
+
+ DEAR D.P. & Co.:
+
+ I always have it in mind to write you letters; but there's no
+ chance in my trenches in London; and, since I have not been out of
+ London for nearly two years--since the war began--only an
+ occasional half day and a night--till now--naturally I've concocted
+ no letter. I've been down here a week--a week of sunshine, praise
+ God--and people are not after me every ten minutes, or Governments
+ either; and my most admirable and efficient staff (now grown to one
+ hundred people) permit few letters and telegrams to reach me. There
+ never was a little rest more grateful. The quiet sea out my window
+ shows no sign of crawling submarines; and, in general, it's as
+ quiet and peaceful here as in Garden City itself.
+
+ I'm on the home-stretch now in all my thoughts and plans. Three of
+ my four years are gone, and the fourth will quickly pass. That's
+ not only the limit of my leave, but it's quite enough for me. I
+ shouldn't care to live through another such experience, if the
+ chance should ever come to me. It has changed my whole life and my
+ whole outlook on life; and, perhaps, you'd like to hear some
+ impressions that it has made upon me.
+
+ The first impression--perhaps the strongest--is a loss of permanent
+ interest in Europe, especially all Europe outside of this Kingdom.
+ I have never had the illusion that Europe had many things that we
+ needed to learn. The chief lesson that it has had, in my judgment,
+ is the lesson of the art of living--the comforts and the courtesies
+ of life, the refinements and the pleasures of conversation and of
+ courteous conduct. The upper classes have this to teach us; and we
+ need and can learn much from them. But this seems to me all--or
+ practically all. What we care most for are individual character,
+ individual development, and a fair chance for every human being.
+ Character, of course, the English have--immense character, colossal
+ character. But even they have not the dimmest conception of what we
+ mean by a fair chance for every human being--not the slightest. In
+ one thousand years they _may_ learn it from us. Now on the
+ continent, the only important Nation that has any character worth
+ mentioning is the French. Of course the little nations--some of
+ them--have character, such as Holland, Switzerland, Sweden, etc.
+ But these are all. The others are simply rotten. In giving a free
+ chance to every human creature, we've nothing to learn from
+ anybody. In character, I bow down to the English and Scotch; I
+ respect the Frenchman highly and admire his good taste. But, for
+ our needs and from our point of view, the English can teach us only
+ two great lessons--character and the art of living (if you are
+ rich).
+
+ The idea that we were brought up on, therefore, that Europe is the
+ home of civilization in general--nonsense! It's a periodical
+ slaughter-pen, with all the vices that this implies. I'd as lief
+ live in the Chicago stock-yards. There they kill beeves and pigs.
+ Here they kill men and (incidentally) women and children. I should
+ no more think of encouraging or being happy over a child of mine
+ becoming a European of any Nation than I should be happy over his
+ fall from Grace in any other way.
+
+ Our form of government and our scheme of society--God knows they
+ need improving--are yet so immeasurably superior, as systems, to
+ anything on this side the world that no comparison need be made.
+
+ My first strong impression, then, is not that Europe is
+ "effete"--that isn't it. It is mediæval--far back toward the Dark
+ Ages, much of it yet uncivilized, held back by _inertia_ when not
+ held back by worse things. The caste system is a constant burden
+ almost as heavy as war itself and often quite as cruel.
+
+ The next impression I have is, that, during the thousand years that
+ will be required for Europe to attain real (modern) civilization,
+ wars will come as wars have always come in the past. The different
+ countries and peoples and governments will not and cannot learn the
+ lesson of federation and coöperation so long as a large mass of
+ their people have no voice and no knowledge except of their
+ particular business. Compare the miles of railway in proportion to
+ population with the same proportion in the United States--or the
+ telephones, or the use of the mails, or of bank checks; or make any
+ other practical measure you like. Every time, you'll come back to
+ the discouraging fact that the masses in Europe are driven as
+ cattle. So long as this is true, of course, they'll be driven
+ periodically into wars. So many countries, so many races, so many
+ languages all within so small an area as Europe positively invite
+ deadly differences. If railroads had been invented before each
+ people had developed its own separate language, Europe could
+ somehow have been coordinated, linked up, federated, made to look
+ at life somewhat in the same way. As it is, wars will be bred here
+ periodically for about another thousand years. The devil of this
+ state of things is that they may not always be able to keep their
+ wars at home.
+
+ For me, then, except England and the smaller exceptions that I have
+ mentioned, Europe will cut no big figure in my life. In all the
+ humanities, we are a thousand years ahead of any people here. So
+ also in the adaptabilities and the conveniences of life, in its
+ versatilities and in its enjoyments. Most folk are stolid and sad
+ or dull on this side of the world. Else how could they take their
+ kings and silly ceremonies seriously?
+
+ Now to more immediate and definite impressions. I have for a year
+ had the conviction that we ought to get into the war--into the
+ economic war--for the following among many reasons.
+
+ 1. That's the only way to shorten it. We could cause Germany's
+ credit (such as she has) instantly to collapse, and we could hasten
+ her hard times at home which would induce a surrender.
+
+ 2. That's the only way we can have any real or important influence
+ in adjusting whatever arrangements can be made to secure peace.
+
+ 3. That's the best way we can inspire complete respect for us in
+ the minds of other nations and thereby, perhaps, save ourselves
+ from some wars in the future.
+
+ 4. That's the best way we can assert our own character--our
+ Americanism, and forever get rid of all kinds of hyphens.
+
+ 5. That's the only way we shall ever get a real and sensible
+ preparedness, which will be of enormous educational value even if
+ no military use should ever be made of our preparation.
+
+ 6. That's the only way American consciousness will ever get back to
+ the self-sacrificing and patriotic point of view of the Fathers of
+ the Republic.
+
+ 7. That's the best way to emancipate ourselves from cranks.
+
+ 8. That's the only way we'll ever awaken in our whole people a
+ foreign consciousness that will enable us to assert our natural
+ influence in the world--political, financial, social,
+ commercial--the best way to make the rest of the world our
+ customers and friends and followers.
+
+ All the foregoing I have fired at the Great White Chief for a year
+ by telegraph and by mail; and I have never fired it anywhere else
+ till now. Be very quiet, then. No man with whom I have talked or
+ whose writings I have read seems to me to have an adequate
+ conception of the colossal changes that the war is bringing and
+ will bring. Of course, I do not mean to imply that I have any
+ adequate conception. Nobody can yet grasp it. The loss of (say) ten
+ million men from production of work or wares or children; what a
+ changed world that fact alone will make! The presence in all Europe
+ of (perhaps) fifteen or twenty million more women than men will
+ upset the whole balance of society as regards the sexes. The loss
+ of most of the accumulated capital of Europe and the vast burdens
+ of debt for the future to pay will change the financial relations
+ of the whole world. From these two great losses--men and money--God
+ knows the many kinds of changes that will come. Women are doing and
+ will continue to do many kinds of work hitherto done by men.
+
+ Of course there are some great gains. Many a flabby or abject
+ fellow will come out of the war a real man: he'll be nobody's slave
+ thereafter. The criminal luxury of the rich will not assert itself
+ again for a time. The unparalleled addition to the world's heroic
+ deeds will be to the good of mankind, as the unparalleled suffering
+ has eclipsed all records. The survivors will be in an heroic mood
+ for the rest of their lives. In general, life will start on a new
+ plane and a lot of old stupid habits and old party quarrels and
+ class prejudices will disappear. To get Europe going again will
+ call for new resolution and a new sort of effort. Nobody can yet
+ see what far-reaching effects it will have on government.
+
+ If I could make the English and Scotch over, I could greatly
+ improve them. I'd cut out the Englishman's arrogance and key him up
+ to a quicker gait. Lord! he's a slow beast. But he's worked out the
+ germ and the beginning of all real freedom, and he has character.
+ He knows how to conserve and to use wealth. He's a great John Bull,
+ after all. And as for commanding the sea, for war or trade, you may
+ properly bow down to him and pay him homage. The war will, I think,
+ quicken him up. It will lessen his arrogance--to _us_, at least. I
+ think it will make him stronger and humbler. And, whatever his
+ virtues and his faults, he's the only Great Power we can go hand in
+ hand with....
+
+ These kinds of things have been going on now nearly two years, and
+ not till these ten days down here have I had time or chance or a
+ free mind to think them over; and now there's nothing in particular
+ to think--nothing but just to go on, doing these 40,000 things (and
+ they take a new turn every day) the best I can, without the
+ slightest regard to consequences. I've long ago passed the place
+ where, having acted squarely according to my best judgment, I can
+ afford to pay the slightest attention to what anybody thinks. I see
+ men thrown on the scrap heap every day. Many of them deserve it,
+ but a good many do not. In the abnormal state of mind that
+ everybody has, there are inevitable innocent misunderstandings,
+ which are as fatal as criminal mistakes. The diplomatic service is
+ peculiarly exposed to misunderstandings: and, take the whole
+ diplomatic service of all nations as shown up by this great strain,
+ it hasn't stood the test very well. I haven't the respect for it
+ that I had when I started. Yet, God knows, I have a keen sympathy
+ for it. I've seen some of 'em displaced; some of 'em lie down; some
+ of 'em die.
+
+ As I've got closer and closer to big men, as a rule they shrink up.
+ They are very much like the rest of us--many of 'em more so. Human
+ nature is stripped in these times of most of its disguises, and men
+ have to stand and be judged as a rule by their real qualities.
+ Among all the men in high place here, Sir Edward Grey stands out in
+ my mind bigger, not smaller, than he stood in the beginning. He's a
+ square, honourable gentleman, if there is one in this world. And it
+ is he, of course, with whom I have had all my troubles. It's been a
+ truly great experience to work and to quarrel with such a man.
+ We've kept the best friendship--a constantly ripening one. There
+ are others like him--only smaller.
+
+ Yet they are all in turn set upon by the press or public opinion
+ and hounded like criminals. They try (somebody tries) to drive 'em
+ out of office every once in a while. If there's anything I'm afraid
+ of, it's the newspapers. The correspondents are as thick as flies
+ in summer--all hunting sensations--especially the yellow American
+ press. I play the game with these fellows always squarely,
+ sometimes I fear indiscreetly. But what is discretion? That's the
+ hardest question of all. We have regular meetings. I tell 'em
+ everything I can--always on the condition that I'm kept out of the
+ papers. If they'll never mention me, I'll do everything possible
+ for them. Absolute silence of the newspapers (as far as I can
+ affect it) is the first rule of safety. So far as I know, we've
+ done fairly well; but always in proportion to silence. I don't want
+ any publicity. I don't want any glory. I don't want any office. I
+ don't want nothin'--but to do this job squarely, to get out of this
+ scrape, to go off somewhere in the sunshine and to see if I can
+ slip back into my old self and see the world sane again. Yet I'm
+ immensely proud that I have had the chance to do some good--to keep
+ our record straight--as far as I can, and to be of what service I
+ can to these heroic people.
+
+ Out of it all, one conviction and one purpose grows and becomes
+ clearer. The world isn't yet half-organized. In the United States
+ we've lived in a good deal of a fool's paradise. The world isn't
+ half so safe a place as we supposed. Until steamships and
+ telegraphs brought the nations all close together, of course we
+ could enjoy our isolation. We can't do so any longer. One mad fool
+ in Berlin has turned the whole earth topsy-turvy. We'd forgotten
+ what our forefathers learned--the deadly dangers of real monarchs
+ and of castes and classes. There are a lot of 'em left in the world
+ yet. We've grown rich and-weak; we've let cranks and old women
+ shape our ideas. We've let our politicians remain provincial and
+ ignorant.
+
+ And believe me, dear D.P. & Co. with affectionate greeting to every
+ one of you and to every one of yours, collectively and singly,
+
+ Yours heartily,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _Memorandum written after attending the service at St. Paul's in
+ memory of Lord Kitchener_[34].
+
+ American Embassy, London.
+
+ There were two Kitcheners, as every informed person knows--(1) the
+ popular hero and (2) the Cabinet Minister with whom it was
+ impossible for his associates to get along. He made his
+ administrative career as an autocrat dealing with dependent and
+ inferior peoples. This experience fixed his habits and made it
+ impossible for him to do team work or to delegate work or even to
+ inform his associates of what he had done or was doing. While,
+ therefore, his name raised a great army, he was in many ways a
+ hindrance in the Cabinet. First one thing and then another was
+ taken out of his hands--ordnance, munitions, war plans. When he
+ went to Gallipoli, some persons predicted that he would never come
+ back. There was a hot meeting of the Cabinet at which he was asked
+ to go to Russia, to make a sort of return visit for the visit that
+ important Russians had made here, and to link up Russia's military
+ plans with the plans of the Western Allies. He is said to have
+ remarked that he was going only because he had been ordered to go.
+ There was a hope and a feeling again that he might not come back
+ till after the war.
+
+ Now just how much truth there is in all this, one has to guess; but
+ undoubtedly a good deal. He did much in raising the army, but his
+ name did more. What an extraordinary situation! The great hero of
+ the Nation an impossible man to work with. The Cabinet could not
+ tell the truth about him: the people would not believe it and would
+ make the Cabinet suffer. Moreover, such a row would have given
+ comfort to the enemy. Kitchener, on his part, could not afford to
+ have an open quarrel. The only solution was to induce him to go
+ away for a long time. Both sides saw that. Such thoughts were in
+ everybody's mind while the impressive funeral service was said and
+ sung in St. Paul's. The Great Hero, who had failed, was celebrated
+ of course as a Great Hero--quite truly and yet far from true. For
+ him his death came at a lucky time: his work was done.
+
+ There is even a rumour, which I don't for a moment believe, that he
+ is alive on the Orkney Islands and prefers to disappear there till
+ the war ends. This is fantastic, and it was doubtless suggested by
+ the story that he did disappear for several years while he was a
+ young officer.
+
+ I could not help noticing, when I saw all the Cabinet together at
+ the Cathedral, how much older many of them look than they looked
+ two years ago. Sir Edward Grey, Mr. Asquith, Mr. Balfour, who is
+ really an old man, Lloyd George--each of these seems ten years
+ older. And so does the King. The men in responsible places who are
+ not broken by the war will be bent. General French, since his
+ retirement to command of the forces in England, seems much older.
+ So common is this quick aging that Lady Jellicoe, who went to
+ Scotland to see her husband after the big naval battle, wrote to
+ Mrs. Page in a sort of rhapsody and with evident surprise that the
+ Admiral really did not seem older! The weight of this thing is so
+ prodigious that it is changing all men who have to do with it. Men
+ and women (who do not wear mourning) mention the death of their
+ sons in a way that a stranger might mistake for indifference. And
+ it has a curious effect on marriages. Apparently every young fellow
+ who gets a week's leave from the trenches comes home and marries
+ and, of course, goes straight back--especially the young officers.
+ You see weddings all day as you pass the favourite churches; and
+ already the land is full of young widows.
+
+ _To Edwin A. Alderman_[35]
+
+ Embassy of the U.S.A., London,
+
+ June 22, 1916.
+
+ MY DEAR ED ALDERMAN:
+
+ I shall not forget how good you were to take time to write me a
+ word about the meeting of the Board--_the_ Board: there's no other
+ one in that class--at Hampton[36], and I did most heartily
+ appreciate the knowledge that you all remembered me. Alas! it's a
+ long, long time ago when we all met--so long ago that to me it
+ seems a part of a former incarnation. These three years--especially
+ these two years of the war--have changed my whole outlook on life
+ and foreshortened all that came before. I know I shall never link
+ back to many things (and alas! too, to many people) that once
+ seemed important and surely were interesting. Life in these
+ trenches (five warring or quarrelling governments mining and
+ sapping under me and shooting over me)--two years of universal
+ ambassadorship in this hell are enough--enough I say, even for a
+ man who doesn't run away from responsibilities or weary of toil.
+ And God knows how it has changed me and is changing me: I sometimes
+ wonder, as a merely intellectual and quite impersonal curiosity.
+
+ Strangely enough I keep pretty well--very well, in fact. Perhaps
+ I've learned how to live more wisely than I knew in the old days;
+ perhaps again, I owe it to my old grandfather who lived (and
+ enjoyed) ninety-four years. I have walked ten miles to-day and I
+ sit down as the clock strikes eleven (P.M.) to write this letter.
+
+ You will recall more clearly than I certain horrible, catastrophic,
+ universal-ruin passages in Revelation--monsters swallowing the
+ universe, blood and fire and clouds and an eternal crash, rolling
+ ruin enveloping all things--well, all that's come. There are,
+ perhaps, ten million men dead of this war and, perhaps, one hundred
+ million persons to whom death would be a blessing. Add to these as
+ many millions more whose views of life are so distorted that blank
+ idiocy would be a better mental outlook, and you'll get a hint (and
+ only a hint) of what the continent has already become--a bankrupt
+ slaughter-house inhabited by unmated women. We have talked of
+ "problems" in our day. We never had a problem; for the worst task
+ we ever saw was a mere blithe pastime compared with what these
+ women and the few men that will remain here must face. The hills
+ about Verdun are not blown to pieces worse than the whole social
+ structure and intellectual and spiritual life of Europe. I wonder
+ that anybody is sane.
+
+ Now we have swung into a period and a state of mind wherein all
+ this seems normal. A lady said to me at a dinner party (think of a
+ dinner party at all!), "Oh, how I shall miss the war when it ends!
+ Life without it will surely be dull and tame. What can we talk
+ about? Will the old subjects ever interest us again?" I said,
+ "Let's you and me try and see." So we talked about books--not war
+ books--old country houses that we both knew, gardens and gold and
+ what not; and in fifteen minutes we swung back to the war before we
+ were aware.
+
+ I get out of it, as the days rush by, certain fundamental
+ convictions, which seem to me not only true--true beyond any
+ possible cavil--truer than any other political things are true--and
+ far more important than any other contemporary facts whatsoever in
+ any branch of endeavour, but better worth while than anything else
+ that men now living may try to further:
+
+ 1. The cure for democracy is more democracy. The danger to the
+ world lies in autocrats and autocracies and privileged classes; and
+ these things have everywhere been dangerous and always will be.
+ There's no security in any part of the world where people cannot
+ think of a government without a king, and there never will be. You
+ cannot conceive of a democracy that will unprovoked set out on a
+ career of conquest. If all our religious missionary zeal and cash
+ could be turned into convincing Europe of this simple and obvious
+ fact, the longest step would be taken for human advancement that
+ has been taken since 1776. If Carnegie, or, after he is gone, his
+ Peace People could see this, his Trust might possibly do some good.
+
+ 2. As the world stands, the United States and Great Britain must
+ work together and stand together to keep the predatory nations in
+ order. A League to Enforce Peace and the President's idea of
+ disentangling alliances are all in the right direction, but vague
+ and general and cumbersome, a sort of bastard children of
+ Neutrality. _The_ thing, the _only_ thing is--a perfect
+ understanding between the English-speaking peoples. That's
+ necessary, and that's all that's necessary. We must boldly take the
+ lead in that. I frankly tell my friends here that the English have
+ got to throw away their damned arrogance and their insularity and
+ that we Americans have got to throw away our provincial ignorance
+ ("What is abroad to us?"), hang our Irish agitators and shoot our
+ hyphenates and bring up our children with reverence for English
+ history and in the awe of English literature. This is the only job
+ now in the world worth the whole zeal and energy of all
+ first-class, thoroughbred English-speaking men. _We_ must lead. We
+ are natural leaders. The English must be driven to lead. Item: We
+ must get their lads into our universities, ours into theirs. They
+ don't know how to do it, except the little driblet of Rhodes men.
+ Think this out, remembering what fools we've been about exchange
+ professors with Germany! How much good could Fons Smith[37] do in a
+ thousand years, on such an errand as he went on to Berlin? And the
+ English don't know _how_ to do it. They are childish (in some
+ things) beyond belief. An Oxford or Cambridge man never thinks of
+ going back to his university except about twice a lifetime when his
+ college formally asks him to come and dine. Then he dines as
+ docilely as a scared Freshman. I am a D.C.L. of Oxford. I know a
+ lot of their faculty. They are hospitality itself. But I've never
+ yet found out one important fact about the university. They never
+ tell me. I've been down at Cambridge time and again and stayed with
+ the Master of one of the colleges. I can no more get at what they
+ do and how they do it than I could get at the real meaning of a
+ service in a Buddhist Temple. I have spent a good deal of time with
+ Lord Rayleigh, who is the Chancellor of Cambridge University. He
+ never goes there. If he were to enter the town, all the men in the
+ university would have to stop their work, get on their parade-day
+ gowns, line-up by precedent and rank and go to meet him and go
+ through days of ceremony and incantations. I think the old man has
+ been there once in five years. Now this mediævalism must go--or be
+ modified. You fellers who have universities must work a real
+ alliance--a big job here. But to go on.
+
+ The best informed English opinion is ripe for a complete working
+ understanding with us. We've got to work up our end--get rid of our
+ ignorance of foreign affairs, our shirt-sleeve, complaining kind of
+ diplomacy, our sport of twisting the lion's tail and such things
+ and fall to and bring the English out. It's the _one_ race in this
+ world that's got the guts.
+
+ Hear this in confirmation: I suppose 1,000 English women have been
+ to see me--as a last hope--to ask me to have inquiries made in
+ Germany about their "missing" sons or husbands, generally sons.
+ They are of every class and rank and kind, from marchioness to
+ scrubwoman. Every one tells her story with the same dignity of
+ grief, the same marvellous self-restraint, the same courtesy and
+ deference and sorrowful pride. Not one has whimpered--but one. And
+ it turned out that she was a Belgian. It's the breed. Spartan
+ mothers were theatrical and pinchbeck compared to these women.
+
+ I know a lady of title, very well to do, who for a year got up at
+ 5:30 and drove herself in her own automobile from her home in
+ London to Woolwich where she worked all day long in a shell factory
+ as a volunteer and got home at 8 o'clock at night. At the end of a
+ year they wanted her to work in a London place where they keep the
+ records of the Woolwich work. "Think of it," said she, as she shook
+ her enormous diamond ear-rings as I sat next to her at dinner one
+ Sunday night not long ago, "think of it--what an easy time I now
+ have. I don't have to start till half-past seven and I get home at
+ half-past six!"
+
+ I could fill forty pages with stories like these. This very Sunday
+ I went to see a bedridden old lady who sent me word that she had
+ something to tell me. Here it was: An English flying man's machine
+ got out of order and he had to descend in German territory. The
+ Germans captured him and his machine. They ordered him to take two
+ of their flying men in his machine to show them a particular place
+ in the English lines. He declined. "Very well, we'll shoot you,
+ then." At last he consented. The three started. The Englishman
+ quietly strapped himself in. There were no straps for the two
+ Germans. The Englishman looped-the-loop. The Germans fell out. The
+ Englishman flew back home. "My son has been to see me from France.
+ He told me that. He knows the man"--thus said the old lady and
+ thanked me for coming to hear it! She didn't know that the story
+ has been printed.
+
+ But the real question is, "How are you?" Do you keep strong? Able,
+ without weariness, to keep up your good work? I heartily hope so,
+ old man. Take good care of yourself--very.
+
+ My love to Mrs. Alderman. Please don't quote me--yet. I have to be
+ very silent publicly about everything. After March 4th, I shall
+ again be free.
+
+ Yours always faithfully,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 33: A playful reference to the Ambassador's infant grandson,
+Walter H. Page, Jr.]
+
+[Footnote 34: Drowned on the Hampshire, June 5, 1916, off the coast of
+Scotland.]
+
+[Footnote 35: President of the University of Virginia.]
+
+[Footnote 36: Hampton Institute, at Hampton, Va.]
+
+[Footnote 37: C. Alphonso Smith, Professor of English, U.S. Naval
+Academy; Roosevelt Professor at Berlin, 1910-11.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XIX
+
+WASHINGTON IN THE SUMMER OF 1916
+
+
+I
+
+In July Page received a cablegram summoning him to Washington. This
+message did not explain why his presence was desired, nor on this point
+was Page ever definitely enlightened, though there were more or less
+vague statements that a "change of atmosphere" might better enable the
+Ambassador to understand the problems which were then engrossing the
+State Department.
+
+The President had now only a single aim in view. From the date of the
+so-called _Sussex_ "pledge," May 4, 1916, until the resumption of
+submarine warfare on February 1, 1917, Mr. Wilson devoted all his
+energies to bringing the warring powers together and establishing peace.
+More than one motive was inspiring the president in this determination.
+That this policy accorded with his own idealistic tendencies is true,
+and that he aspired to a position in history as the great "peace maker"
+is probably the fact, but he had also more immediate and practical
+purposes in mind. Above all, Mr. Wilson was bent on keeping the United
+States out of the war; he knew that there was only one certain way of
+preserving peace in this country, and that was by bringing the war
+itself to an end. "An early peace is all that can prevent the Germans
+from driving us at last into the war," Page wrote at about this time;
+and this single sentence gives the key to the President's activities for
+the succeeding nine months. The negotiations over the _Sussex_ had
+taught Mr. Wilson this truth. He understood that the pledge which the
+German Government had made was only a conditional one; that the
+submarine campaign had been suspended only for the purpose of giving the
+United States a breathing spell during which it could persuade Great
+Britain and France to make peace.
+
+"I repeat my proposal," Bernstorff cabled his government on April
+26,[38] "to suspend the submarine war at least for the period of
+negotiations. This would remove all danger of a breach [with the United
+States] and also enable Wilson to continue his labours in his great plan
+of bringing about a peace based upon the freedom of the seas--i.e., that
+for the future trade shall be free from all interference in time of war.
+According to the assurances which Wilson, through House, has given me,
+he would in that case take in hand measures directly against England. He
+is, however, of the opinion that it would be easier to bring about peace
+than to cause England to abandon the blockade. This last could only be
+brought about by war and it is well known that the means of war are
+lacking here. A prohibition of exports as a weapon against the blockade
+is not possible as the prevailing prosperity would suffer by it.
+
+"The inquiries made by House have led Wilson to believe that our enemies
+would not be unwilling to consider peace. In view of the present
+condition of affairs, I repeat that there is only one possible course,
+namely, that Your Excellency [Von Jagow] empower me to declare that we
+will enter into negotiations with the United States touching the conduct
+of the submarine war while the negotiations are proceeding. This would
+give us the advantage that the submarine war, being over Mr. Wilson's
+head, like the sword of Damocles, would compel him at once to take in
+hand the task of mediation."
+
+This dispatch seems sufficiently to explain all the happenings of the
+summer and winter of 1916-1917. It was sent to Berlin on April 26th; the
+German Government gave the _Sussex_ "pledge" on May 4th, eight days
+afterward. In this reply Germany declared that she would now expect Mr.
+Wilson to bring pressure upon Great Britain to secure a mitigation or
+suspension of the British blockade, and to this Mr. Wilson promptly and
+energetically replied that he regarded the German promise as an
+unconditional one and that the Government of the United States "cannot
+for a moment entertain, much less discuss, a suggestion that respect by
+German naval authorities for the rights of citizens of the United States
+upon the high seas should in any way or in the slightest degree be made
+contingent upon the conduct of any other government affecting the rights
+of neutrals and non-combatants. Responsibility in such matters is single
+not joint; absolute not relative."
+
+This reply gave satisfaction to both the United States and the countries
+of the Allies, and Page himself regarded it as a master stroke. "The
+more I think of it," he wrote on May 17th, "the better the strategy of
+the President appears, in his latest (and last) note to Germany. They
+laid a trap for him and he caught them in their own trap. The Germans
+had tried to 'put it up' to the President to commit the first unfriendly
+act. He now 'puts it up' to them. And this is at last bound to end the
+controversy if they sink another ship unlawfully. The French see this
+clearly and so do the best English, and it has produced a most
+favourable impression. The future? The German angling for peace will
+prove futile. They'll have another fit of fury. Whether they will again
+become reckless or commit 'mistakes' with their submarines will depend
+partly on their fury, partly on their fear to make a breach with the
+United States, but mainly on the state of their submarine fleet. How
+many have the English caught and destroyed? That's the main question,
+after all. The English view may not be fair to them. But nobody here
+believes that they will long abstain from the luxury of crime."
+
+It is thus apparent that when the Germans practically demanded, as a
+price of their abstention from indiscriminate submarine warfare, that
+Mr. Wilson should move against Great Britain in the matter of the
+blockade, they realized the futility of any such step, and that what
+they really expected to obtain was the presidential mediation for peace.
+President Wilson at once began to move in this direction. On May 27th,
+three weeks after the Sussex "pledge," he made an address in Washington
+before the League to Enforce Peace, which was intended to lay the basis
+for his approaching negotiations. It was in this speech that he made the
+statement that the United States was "not concerned with the causes and
+the objects" of the war. "The obscure fountains from which its
+stupendous flood has burst forth we are not interested to search for or
+to explain." This was another of those unfortunate sentences which made
+the President such an unsympathetic figure in the estimation of the
+Allies and seemed to indicate to them that he had no appreciation of the
+nature of the struggle. Though this attitude of non-partisanship, of
+equal balance between the accusations of the Allies and Germany, was
+intended to make the President acceptable as a mediator, the practical
+result was exactly the reverse, for Allied statesmen turned from Wilson
+as soon as those sentences appeared in print. The fact that this same
+oration specified the "freedom of the seas" as one of the foundation
+rocks of the proposed new settlement only accentuated this unfavourable
+attitude.
+
+This then was clearly the "atmosphere" which prevailed in Washington at
+the time that Page was summoned home. But Page's letters of this period
+indicate how little sympathy he entertained for such negotiations. "It
+is quite apparent," he had recently written to Colonel House, "that
+nobody in Washington understands the war. Come over and find out."
+Extracts from a letter which he wrote to his brother, Mr. Henry A. Page,
+of Aberdeen, North Carolina, are especially interesting when placed side
+by side with the President's statements of this particular time. These
+passages show that a two years' close observation of the Prussians in
+action had not changed Page's opinion of their motives or of their
+methods; in 1916, as in 1914, Page could see in this struggle nothing
+but a colossal buccaneering expedition on the part of Germany. "As I
+look at it," he wrote, "our dilly-dallying is likely to get us into war.
+The Germans want somebody to rob--to pay their great military bills.
+They've robbed Belgium and are still robbing it of every penny they can
+lay their hands on. They robbed Poland and Serbia--two very poor
+countries which didn't have much. They set out to rob France and have so
+far been stopped from getting to Paris. If they got to Paris there
+wouldn't be thirty cents' worth of movable property there in a week, and
+they'd levy fines of millions of francs a day. Their military scheme and
+teaching and open purpose is to make somebody pay for their vast
+military outlay of the last forty years. They must do that or go
+bankrupt. Now it looks as if they would go bankrupt. But in a little
+while they may be able to bombard New York and demand billions of
+dollars to refrain from destroying the city. That's the richest place
+left to spoil.
+
+"Now they say that--quite openly and quite frankly. Now if we keep
+'neutral' to a highwayman--what do we get for our pains? That's the
+mistake we are making. If we had sent Bernstorff home the day after the
+_Lusitania_ was sunk and recalled Gerard and begun to train an army we'd
+have had no more trouble with them. But since they have found out that
+they can keep us discussing things forever and a day, they will keep us
+discussing things till they are ready. We are very simple; and we'll get
+shot for it yet....
+
+"The prestige and fear of the United States has gone down, down,
+down-disappeared; and we are regarded as 'discussors,' incapable of
+action, scared to death of war. That's all the invitation that robbers,
+whose chief business is war, want--all the invitation they need. These
+devils are out for robbery--and you don't seem to believe it in the
+United States: that's the queer thing. This neutrality business makes us
+an easy mark. As soon as they took a town in Belgium, they asked for all
+the money in the town, all the food, all the movable property; and
+they've levied a tax every month since on every town and made the town
+government borrow the money to pay it. If a child in a town makes a
+disrespectful remark, they fine the town an extra $1,000. They haven't
+got enough so far to keep them going flush; and they won't unless they
+get Paris--which they can't do now. If they got London, they'd be rich;
+they wouldn't leave a shilling and they'd make all the rich English get
+all the money they own abroad. This is the reason that Frenchmen and
+Englishmen prefer to be killed by the 100,000. In the country over which
+their army has passed a crow would die of starvation and no human being
+has ten cents of real money. The Belgian Commission is spending more
+than 100 million dollars a year to keep the Belgians alive--only because
+they are robbed every day. They have a rich country and could support
+themselves but for these robbers. That's the meaning of the whole thing.
+And yet we treat them as if they were honourable people. It's only a
+question of time and of power when they will attack us, or the Canal, or
+South America. Everybody on this side the world knows that. And they are
+'yielding' to keep us out of this war so that England will not help us
+when they (the Germans) get ready to attack America.
+
+"There is the strangest infatuation in the United States with Peace--the
+strangest illusion about our safety without preparation."
+
+Several letters to Colonel House show the state of the British mind on
+the subject of the President's peace proposals:
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ Royal Bath and East Cliff Hotel,
+ Bournemouth,
+ 23 May, 1916.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ The motor trip that the Houses, the Wallaces, and the Pages took
+ about a year ago was the last trip (three days) that I had had out
+ of London; and I'd got pretty tired. The _China_ case having been
+ settled (and settled as we wanted it), I thought it a good time to
+ try to get away for a week. So here Mrs. Page and I are--very much
+ to my benefit. I've spent a beautiful week out of doors, on this
+ seashore; and I have only about ten per cent. of the fatal diseases
+ that I had a week ago. That is to say, I'm as sound as a dollar and
+ feel like a fighting cock.
+
+ Sir Edward was fine about the China[39] case. He never disputed the
+ principle of the inviolability of American ships on the high seas;
+ but the Admiralty maintained that some of these men are officers in
+ the German Army and are now receiving officers' pay. I think that
+ that is probably true. Nevertheless, the Admiralty had bungled the
+ case badly and Sir Edward simply rode over them. They have a fine
+ quarrel among themselves and we got all we wanted and asked for.
+
+ Of course, I can't make out the Germans but I am afraid some huge
+ deviltry is yet coming. When the English say that the Germans must
+ give up their militarism, I doubt if the Germans yet know what they
+ mean. They talk about conquered territory--Belgium, Poland, and the
+ rest. It hasn't entered their heads that they've got to give up
+ their armies and their military system. When this does get into
+ their heads, if it ever do, I think they may so swell with rage at
+ this "insult" that they may break loose in one last desperate
+ effort, ignoring the United States, defying the universe, running
+ amuck. Of course it would be foolhardy to predict this, but the
+ fear of it keeps coming into my mind. The fear is the more
+ persistent because, if the worst comes to them, the military caste
+ and perhaps the dynasty itself will prefer to die in one last
+ terrific onslaught rather than to make a peace on terms which will
+ require the practical extinction of their supreme power. This, I
+ conceive, is the really great danger that yet awaits the world--if
+ the Allies hold together till defeat and famine drive the Germans
+ to the utmost desperation.
+
+ In the meantime, the Allies still holding together as they are,
+ there's no peace yet in the British and French minds. They're after
+ the militarism of Prussia--not territory or other gains; and they
+ seem likely to get it, as much by the blockade as by victories on
+ land. Do you remember how in the Franco-Prussian War, Bismarck
+ refused to deal with the French Emperor? He demanded that
+ representatives of the French people should deal with him. He got
+ what he asked for and that was the last of the French Emperor.
+ Neither the French nor the English have forgotten that. You will
+ recall that the Germans starved Paris into submission. Neither the
+ French nor the English have forgotten that. These two leaves out of
+ the Germans' own book of forty-five years ago--these two and no
+ more--_may_ be forced on the Germans themselves. They are both
+ quite legitimate, too. You can read a recollection of both these
+ events between the lines of the interviews that Sir Edward and Mr.
+ Balfour recently gave to American newspapers.
+
+ There is nothing but admiration here for the strategy of the
+ President's last note to Germany. That was the cleverest play made
+ by anybody since the war began--clever beyond praise. Now he's "got
+ 'em." But nobody here doubts that they will say, sooner or later,
+ that the United States, not having forced the breaking of the
+ British blockade, has not kept its bargain--that's what they'll
+ say--and it is in order again to run amuck. This is what the
+ English think--provided the Germans have enough submarines left to
+ keep up real damage. By that time, too, it will be clear to the
+ Germans that the President can't bring peace so long as only one
+ side wishes peace. The Germans seem to have counted much on the
+ Irish uprising, which came to pass at all only because of the
+ customary English stupid bungling; and the net result has been only
+ to put the mass of the Irish on their mettle to show that they are
+ not Sinn Feiners. The final upshot will be to strengthen the
+ British Army. God surely is good to this bungling British
+ Government. Wind and wave and the will of High Heaven seem to work
+ for them. I begin to understand their stupidity and their
+ arrogance. If your enemies are such fools in psychological tactics
+ and Heaven is with you, why take the trouble to be alert? And why
+ be modest? Whatever the reason, these English are now more cocky
+ and confident than they've been before since the war began. They
+ are beginning to see results. The only question seems to be to hold
+ the Allies together, and they seem to be doing that. In fact, the
+ battle of Verdun has cemented them. They now have visible proof
+ that the German Army is on the wane. And they have trustworthy
+ evidence that the blockade is telling severely on the Germans.
+ Nobody, I think, expects to thrash 'em to a frazzle; but the almost
+ universal opinion here is that the hold of militarism will be
+ shaken loose. And the German High Canal Navy--what's to become of
+ that? Von Tirpitz is down and out, but there are thousands of
+ Germans, I hear, who complain of their naval inactivity. But God
+ only knows the future--I don't. I think that I do well if I keep
+ track of the present....
+
+ My kindest regards to Mrs. House,
+
+ Yours very heartily,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, 25 May, 1916.
+
+ DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ No utterance by anybody has so stirred the people of this kingdom
+ for many months as Sir Edward Grey's impromptu speech last night in
+ the House of Commons about Peace, when he called the German
+ Chancellor a first-class liar. I sent you to-day a clipping from
+ one of the morning papers. Every paper I pick up compliments Sir
+ Edward. Everyone says, "We must fight to a finish." The more
+ sensational press intimates that any Englishman who uses the word
+ "peace" ought to be shot. You have never seen such a rally as that
+ which has taken place in response to Sir Edward's cry. In the first
+ place, as you know, he is the most gentle of all the Cabinet, the
+ last man to get on a "war-rampage," the least belligerent and
+ rambunctious of the whole lot. When he felt moved to say that there
+ can be no peace till the German military despotism is broken,
+ everybody from one end of the Kingdom to the other seems to have
+ thrown up his hat and applauded. Except the half-dozen peace-cranks
+ in the House (Bryan sort of men) you can't find a man, woman,
+ child, or dog that isn't fired with the determination to see the
+ war through. The continued talk about peace which is reported
+ directly and indirectly from Germany--coming from Switzerland, from
+ Rome, from Washington--has made the English and the French very
+ angry: no, "angry" isn't quite the right word. It has made them
+ very determined. They feel insulted by the impudence of the
+ Germans, who, since they know they are bound to lose, seem to be
+ turning heaven and earth to induce neutrals to take their view of
+ peace. People are asking here, "If they are victorious, why doesn't
+ their fleet come out of the canal and take the seas, and again open
+ their commerce? Why do they whimper about the blockade when they
+ will not even risk a warship to break it?" You'll recall how the
+ talk here used to be that the English wouldn't wake up. You
+ wouldn't know 'em now. Your bulldog has got his grip and even
+ thunder doesn't disturb him.
+
+ Incidentally, all the old criticism of Sir Edward Grey seems to
+ have been forgotten. You hear nothing but praise of him now. I am
+ told that he spoke his impromptu speech last night with great fire
+ and at once left the House. His speech has caused a greater stir
+ than the Irish rebellion, showing that every Englishman feels that
+ Sir Edward said precisely what every man feels.
+
+ The Germans have apparently overdone and overworked their premature
+ peace efforts and have made things worse for them. They've
+ overplayed their hand.
+
+ In fact, I see no end of the war. The Allies are not going to quit
+ prematurely. They won't even discuss the subject yet with one
+ another, and the Germans, by their peace-talk of the sort that they
+ inspire, simply postpone the day when the Allies will take the
+ subject up.
+
+ All the while, too, the Allies work closer and closer together.
+ They'll soon be doing even their diplomatic work with neutrals, as
+ a unit--England and France as one nation, and (on great subjects)
+ Russia and Italy also with them.
+
+ I've talked lately not only with Sir Edward but with nearly half
+ the other members of the Cabinet, and they are all keyed up to the
+ same tune. The press of both parties, too, are (for once) wholly
+ agreed: Liberal and Conservative papers alike hold the same
+ war-creed.
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+Before leaving for Washington Page discussed the situation personally
+with Sir Edward Grey and Lord Bryce. He has left memoranda of both
+interviews.
+
+_Notes of a Private and Informal Conversation with Sir Edward Grey, at
+his residence, on July 27, 1916, when I called to say good-bye before
+sailing on leave to the United States_
+
+... Sir Edward Grey went on to say quite frankly that two thoughts
+expressed in a speech by the President some months ago had had a very
+serious influence on British opinion. One thought was that the causes or
+objects of the war were of no concern to him, and the other was his (at
+least implied) endorsement of "the freedom of the seas," which the
+President did not define. Concerning the first thought, he understood of
+course that a neutral President could not say that he favoured one side
+or the other: everybody understood that and nobody expected him to take
+sides. But when the President said that the objects of the war did not
+concern him, that was taken by British public opinion as meaning a
+condemnation of the British cause, and it produced deep feeling.
+
+Concerning the "freedom of the seas," he believed that the first use of
+the phrase was made by Colonel House (on his return from one of his
+visits to Berlin)[40], but the public now regarded it as a German
+invention and it meant to the British mind a policy which would render
+British supremacy at sea of little value in time of war; and public
+opinion resented this. He knew perfectly well that at a convenient time
+new rules must be made governing the conduct of war at sea and on the
+land, too. But the German idea of "the freedom of the seas" ("freedom"
+was needed on land also) is repulsive to the British mind.
+
+He mentioned these things because they had produced in many minds an
+unwillingness, he feared, to use the good offices of the President
+whenever any mediatorial service might be done by a neutral. The
+tendency of these remarks was certainly in that direction. Yet Sir
+Edward carefully abstained from expressing such an unwillingness on his
+own part, and the inference from his tone and manner, as well as from
+his habitual attitude, is that he feels no unwillingness to use the
+President's good office, if occasion should arise.
+
+I asked what he meant by "mediatorial"--the President's offering his
+services or good offices on his own initiative? He said--No, not that.
+But the Germans might express to the President their willingness or even
+their definite wish to have an armistice, on certain terms, to discuss
+conditions of peace coupled with an intimation that he might sound the
+Allies. He did not expect the President to act on his own initiative,
+but at the request or at least at the suggestion of the German
+Government, he might conceivably sound the Allies--especially, he added,
+"since I am informed that the notion is wide-spread in America that the
+war will end inconclusively--as a draw." He smiled and remarked, as an
+aside, that he didn't think that this notion was held by any
+considerable group of people in any other country, certainly not in
+Great Britain.
+
+In further talk on this subject he said that none of the Allies could
+mention peace or discuss peace till France should express such a wish;
+for it is the very vitals of France that have received and are receiving
+the shock of such an assault as was never before launched against any
+nation. Unless France was ready to quit, none of France's Allies could
+mention peace, and France showed no mood to quit. Least of all could the
+English make or receive any such suggestion at least till her new great
+army had done its best; for until lately the severest fighting had not
+been done by the British, whose army had practically been held in
+reserve. There had for a long time been a perfect understanding between
+Joffre and Haig--that the English would wait to begin their offensive
+till the moment arrived when it best suited the French.
+
+The impression that I got from this part of the conversation was that
+Sir Edward hoped that I might convey to the President (as, of course, he
+could not) Sir Edward's idea of the effect of these parts of the
+President's speech on feeling in England toward him. Nowhere in the
+conversation did he make any request of me. Any one, overhearing it,
+might have supposed it to be a conversation between two men, with no
+object beyond expressing their views. But, of course, he hoped and meant
+that I should, in my own way, make known to the President what he said.
+He did not say that the President's good offices, when the time should
+come, would be unwelcome to him or to his government; and he meant, I am
+sure, to convey only the fear that by these assertions the President had
+planted an objection to his good offices in a large section of British
+opinion.
+
+Among the conditions of peace that Sir Edward himself personally would
+like to see imposed (he had not yet discussed the subject with any of
+his colleagues in the Government) was this: that the German Government
+should agree to submit to an impartial (neutral) commission or court the
+question, Who began the war and who is responsible for it? The German
+Chancellor and other high German officials have put it about and
+continue to put it about that England is responsible, and doubtless the
+German people at least believe it. All the governments concerned must
+(this is his idea) submit to the tribunal all its documents and other
+evidence bearing on the subject; and of course the finding of the
+tribunal must be published.
+
+Then he talked a good deal about the idea that lies behind the League
+for Enforcing Peace--in a sympathetic mood. He went on to point out how
+such a league--with force behind it--would at any one of three stages
+have prevented this war--(1) When England proposed a conference to
+France, Germany, Italy, and Russia, all agreed to it but Germany.
+Germany alone prevented a discussion. If the League to Enforce Peace had
+included England, France, Italy, and Russia--there would have been no
+war; for Germany would have seen at once that they would all be against
+her. (2) Later, when the Czar sent the Kaiser a personal telegram
+proposing to submit their differences to some tribunal, a League to
+Enforce Peace would have prevented war. And (3) when the question of the
+invasion of Belgium came up, every signatory to the treaty guaranteeing
+Belgium's integrity gave assurance of keeping the treaty--but Germany,
+and Germany gave an evasive answer. A league would again have prevented
+a war--or put all the military force of all its members against Germany.
+
+Throughout the conversation, which lasted about an hour, Sir Edward said
+more than once, as he has often said to me, that he hoped we should be
+able to keep the friction between our governments at the minimum. He
+would regard it as the greatest calamity if the ill-feeling that various
+events have stirred up in sections of public opinion on each side should
+increase or should become permanent. His constant wish and effort were
+to lessen and if possible to remove all misunderstandings.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Lord Bryce was one of the Englishmen with whom Page was especially
+inclined to discuss pending problems.
+
+ _Notes on a conversation with Lord Bryce, July 31, 1916_
+
+Lord Bryce spoke of the President's declaration that we were not
+concerned with the causes or objects of the war and he said that that
+remark had caused much talk--all, as he thought, on a misunderstanding
+of Mr. Wilson's meaning. "He meant, I take it, only that he did not
+propose at that time to discuss the causes or the objects of the war;
+and it is a pity that his sentence was capable of being interpreted to
+mean something else; and the sentence was published and discussed here
+apart from its context--a most unfair proceeding. I can imagine that the
+President and his friends may be much annoyed by this improper
+interpretation."
+
+I remarked that the body of the speech in which this remark occurred
+might have been written in Downing Street, so friendly was it to the
+Allies.
+
+"Quite, quite," said he.
+
+This was at dinner, Lady Bryce and Mrs. Page and he and I only being
+present.
+
+When he and I went into the library he talked more than an hour.
+
+"And what about this blacklist?" he asked. I told him. He had been in
+France for a week and did not know just what had been done. He said that
+that seemed to him a mistake. "The Government doesn't know
+America--neither does the British public. Neither does the American
+Government (no American government) know the British. Hence your
+government writes too many notes--all governments are likely to write
+too many notes. Everybody gets tired of seeing them and they lose their
+effect."
+
+He mentioned the blockade and said that it had become quite
+effective--wonderfully effective, in fact; and he implied that he did
+not see why we now failed to recognize it. Our refusal to recognize it
+had caused and doubtless is now causing such ill-feeling as exists in
+England.
+
+Then he talked long about peace and how it would probably be arranged.
+He judged, from letters that he receives from the United States as well
+as from Americans who come over here, that there was an expectation in
+America that the President would be called in at the peace settlement
+and that some persons even expected him to offer mediation. He did not
+see how that could be. He knew no precedent for such a proceeding. The
+President might, of course, on the definite request of either side, make
+a definite inquiry of the other side; but such a course would be, in
+effect, merely the transmission of an inquiry.
+
+But after peace was made and the time came to set up a League for
+Enforcing Peace, or some such machinery, of course the United States
+would be and would have to be a party to that if it were to succeed. He
+reminded me that a little group of men here, of whom he was one, early
+in the war sketched substantially the same plan that the American League
+to Enforce Peace has worked out. It had not seemed advisable to have any
+general public discussion of it in England till the war should end:
+nobody had time now to give to it.
+
+As he knew no precedent for belligerents to call in a third party when
+they met to end a war, so he knew no precedent for any outside
+government to protest against the invasion of a country by a Power that
+had signed a treaty to guarantee the integrity of the invaded
+country--no precedent, that is to say, for the United States to protest
+against the invasion of Belgium. "That precedent," I said, "was found in
+Hysteria."
+
+Lord Bryce, who had just returned from a visit to the British
+headquarters in France, hardly dared hope for the end of the war till
+next year; and the intervening time between now and the end would be a
+time, he feared, of renewed atrocities and increasing hatred. He cited
+the killing of Captain Fryatt of the _Brussels_ and the forcible
+deportation of young women from Lille and other towns in the provinces
+of France occupied by the Germans.
+
+The most definite idea that he had touching American-British relations
+was the fear that the anti-British feeling in the United States would
+become stronger and would outlast the war. "It is organized," he said.
+"The disaffected Germans and the disaffected Irish are interested in
+keeping it up." He asked what effect I thought the Presidential campaign
+would have on this feeling. He seemed to have a fear that somehow the
+campaign would give an occasion for stirring it up even more.
+
+"Good-bye. Give my regards to all my American friends; and I'm proud to
+say there are a good many of them."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+One episode that was greatly stirring both Great Britain and the United
+States at this time was the trial of Sir Roger Casement, the Irish
+leader who had left Wilhelmshaven for Ireland in a German submarine and
+who had been captured at Tralee in the act of landing arms and munitions
+for an Irish insurrection. Casement's subsequent trial and conviction on
+a charge of high treason had inspired a movement in his favour from
+Irish-Americans, the final outcome of which was that the Senate, in
+early August, passed a resolution asking the British Government for
+clemency and stipulating that this resolution should be presented to the
+Foreign Office. Page was then on the ocean bound for the United States
+and the delicate task of presenting this document to Sir Edward Grey
+fell upon Mr. Laughlin, who was now Chargé d'affaires. Mr. Laughlin is a
+diplomat of great experience, but this responsibility at first seemed to
+be something of a poser even for him. He had received explicit
+instructions from Washington to present this resolution, and the one
+thing above all which a diplomatic officer must do is to carry out the
+orders of his government, but Mr. Laughlin well knew that, should he
+present this paper in the usual manner, the Foreign Secretary might
+decline to receive it; he might regard it as an interference with
+matters that exclusively concerned the sovereign state. Mr. Laughlin,
+however, has a technique all his own, and, in accordance with this, he
+asked for an interview with Sir Edward Grey to discuss a matter of
+routine business. However, the Chargé d'affaires carried the Casement
+resolution tucked away in an inside pocket when he made his call.
+
+Like Mr. Page, Mr. Laughlin was on the friendliest terms with Sir Edward
+Grey, and, after the particular piece of business had been transacted,
+the two men, as usual, fell into casual conversation. Casement then
+loomed large in the daily press, and the activities of the American
+Senate had likewise caused some commotion in London. In round-about
+fashion Mr. Laughlin was able to lead Sir Edward to make some reference
+to the Casement case.
+
+"I see the Senate has passed a resolution asking clemency," said the
+Foreign Secretary--exactly the remark which the American wished to
+elicit.
+
+"Yes," was the reply. "By the way, I happen to have a copy of the
+resolution with me. May I give it to you?"
+
+"Yes, I should like to have it."
+
+The Foreign Secretary read it over with deliberation.
+
+"This is a very interesting document," he said, when he had finished.
+"Would you have any objection if I showed it to the Prime Minister?"
+
+Of course that was precisely what Mr. Laughlin did wish, and he replied
+that this was the desire of his government. The purpose of his visit had
+been accomplished, and he was able to cable Washington that its
+instructions had been carried out and that the Casement resolution had
+been presented to the British Government. Simultaneously with his
+communication, however, he reported also that the execution of Roger
+Casement had taken place. In fact, it was being carried out at the time
+of the interview. This incident lends point to Page's memorandum of the
+last interview which he had before leaving England.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+August 1st. I lunched with Mr. Asquith. One does not usually bring away
+much from his conversations, and he did not say much to-day worth
+recording. But he showed a very eager interest in the Presidential
+campaign, and he confessed that he felt some anxiety about the
+anti-British feeling in the United States. This led him to tell me that
+he could not in good conscience interfere with Casement's execution, in
+spite of the shoals of telegrams that he was receiving from the United
+States. This man, said he, visited Irish prisoners in German camps and
+tried to seduce them to take up arms against Great Britain--their own
+country. When they refused, the Germans removed them to the worst places
+in their Empire and, as a result, some of them died. Then Casement came
+to Ireland in a German man-of-war (a submarine) accompanied by a ship
+loaded with guns. "In all good conscience to my country and to my
+responsibilities I cannot interfere." He hoped that thoughtful opinion
+in the United States would see this whole matter in a fair and just way.
+
+I asked him about anti-American feeling in Great Britain. He said: "Do
+not let that unduly disturb you. At bottom we understand you. At bottom
+the two people surely understand one another and have unbreakable bonds
+of sympathy. No serious breach is conceivable." He went on quite
+earnestly: "Mr. Page, after any policy or plan is thought out on its
+merits my next thought always is how it may affect our relations with
+the United States. That is always a fundamental consideration."
+
+I ventured to say that if he would keep our relations smooth on the
+surface, I'd guarantee their stability at the bottom. It's the surface
+that rolls high at times, and the danger is there. Keep the surface
+smooth and the bottom will take care of itself.
+
+Then he asked about Mexico, as he usually has when I have talked with
+him. I gave him as good a report as I could, reminding him of the great
+change in the attitude of all Latin-America caused by the President's
+patient policy with Mexico. When he said, "Mexico is a bad problem," I
+couldn't resist the impulse to reply: "When Mexico troubles you, think
+of--Ireland. As there are persons in England who concern themselves with
+Mexico, so there are persons in the United States who concern themselves
+about Ireland. Ireland and Mexico have each given trouble for two
+centuries. Yet these people talk about them as if they could remove all
+trouble in a month."
+
+"Quite true," he said, and smiled himself into silence. Then he talked
+about more or less frivolous subjects; and, as always, he asked about
+Mr. Bryan and Mr. Roosevelt, "alike now, I suppose, in their present
+obscure plight." I told him I was going from his house to the House of
+Lords to see Sir Edward Grey metamorphosed into Viscount Grey of
+Fallodon.
+
+"The very stupidest of the many stupid ceremonies that we have," said
+he--very truly.
+
+He spoke of my "onerous duties" and so on and so on--tut, tut! talk that
+gets nowhere. But he did say, quite sincerely, I think, that my
+frankness called forth frankness and avoided misunderstanding; for he
+has said that to other people about me.
+
+Such is the Prime Minister of Great Britain in this supreme crisis in
+English history, a remarkable man, of an abnormally quick mind, pretty
+nearly a great man, but now a spent force, at once nimble and weary.
+History may call him Great. If it do, he will owe this judgment to the
+war, with the conduct of which his name will be forever associated.
+
+
+II
+
+Mr. and Mrs. Page's homecoming was a tragedy. They sailed from Liverpool
+on August 3rd, and reached New York on the evening of August 11th. But
+sad news awaited them upon the dock. About two months previously their
+youngest son, Frank, had been married to Miss Katherine Sefton, of
+Auburn, N.Y., and the young couple had settled down in Garden City, Long
+Island. That was the summer when the epidemic of infantile paralysis
+swept over the larger part of the United States. The young bride was
+stricken; the case was unusually rapid and unusually severe; at the
+moment of the Pages' arrival, they were informed that there was
+practically no hope; and Mrs. Frank Page died at two o'clock on the
+afternoon of the following day. The Pages had always been a particularly
+united and happy family; this was the first time that they had suffered
+from any domestic sorrow of this kind, and the Ambassador was so
+affected that it was with difficulty that he could summon himself for
+the task that lay ahead.
+
+In a few days, however, he left for Washington. He has himself
+described his experience at the Capital in words that must inevitably
+take their place in history. To appreciate properly the picture which
+Page gives, it must be remembered that the city and the officialdom
+which he portrays are the same city and the same men who six months
+afterward declared war on Germany. When Page reached Washington, the
+Presidential campaign was in full swing, with Mr. Wilson as the
+Democratic candidate and Mr. Charles E. Hughes as the Republican. But
+another crisis was absorbing the nation's attention: the railway unions,
+comprising practically all the 2,000,000 railway employees in the United
+States, were threatening to strike--ostensibly for an eight-hour day, in
+reality for higher wages.
+
+ _Mr. Page's memorandum of his visit to Washington in August, 1916_
+
+The President was very courteous to me, in his way. He invited me to
+luncheon the day after I arrived. Present: the President, Mrs. Wilson,
+Miss Bones, Tom Bolling, his brother-in-law, and I. The conversation was
+general and in the main jocular. Not a word about England, not a word
+about a foreign policy or foreign relations.
+
+He explained that the threatened railway strike engaged his whole mind.
+I asked to have a talk with him when his mind should be free. Would I
+not go off and rest and come back?--I preferred to do my minor errands
+with the Department, but I should hold myself at his convenience and at
+his command.
+
+Two weeks passed. Another invitation to lunch. Sharp, the Ambassador to
+France, had arrived. He, too, was invited. Present: the President, Mrs.
+Wilson, Mrs. Wallace, the Misses Smith of New Orleans, Miss Bones,
+Sharp, and I. Not one word about foreign affairs.
+
+After luncheon, the whole party drove to the Capitol, where the
+President addressed Congress on the strike, proposing legislation to
+prevent it and to forestall similar strikes. It is a simple ceremony and
+somewhat impressive. The Senators occupy the front seats in the House,
+the Speaker presides and the President of the Senate sits on his right.
+An escorting committee is sent out to bring the President in. He walks
+to the clerk's or reader's desk below the presiding officer's, turns and
+shakes hands with them both and then proceeds to read his speech, very
+clearly and audibly. Some passages were applauded. When he had done, he
+again shook hands with the presiding officer and went out, preceded and
+followed by the White House escort. I sat in the Presidential (or
+diplomatic?) gallery with the White House party, higgledy-piggledy.
+
+The speech ended, the President drove to the White House with his escort
+in his car. The crowds in the corridors and about the doors waited and
+crowded to see Mrs. Wilson, quite respectful but without order or
+discipline. We had to push our way through them. Now and then a
+policeman at a distance would yell loudly, "Make way there!"
+
+When we reached the White House, I asked the doorman if the President
+had arrived.
+
+"Yes."
+
+"Does he expect me to go in and say good-bye?"
+
+"No."
+
+Thus he had no idea of talking with me now, if ever. Not at lunch nor
+after did he suggest a conversation about American-British affairs or
+say anything about my seeing him again.
+
+This threatened strike does hold his whole mind--bothers him greatly.
+It seems doubtful if he can avert a general strike. The Republicans are
+trying "to put him in a political hole," and they say he, too, is
+playing politics. Whoever be to blame for it, it is true that politics
+is in the game. Nobody seems to foresee who will make capital out of it.
+Surely I can't.
+
+There's no social sense at the White House. The President has at his
+table family connections only--and they say few or no distinguished men
+and women are invited, except the regular notables at the set
+dinners--the diplomatic, the judiciary, and the like. His table is his
+private family affair--nothing more. It is very hard to understand why
+so intellectual a man doesn't have notable men about him. It's the
+college professor's village habit, I dare say. But it's a great
+misfortune. This is one way in which Mr. Wilson shuts out the world and
+lives too much alone, feeding only on knowledge and subjects that he has
+already acquired and not getting new views or fresh suggestions from men
+and women.
+
+He sees almost nobody except members of Congress for whom he sends for
+special conferences, and he usually sees these in his office. The
+railroad presidents and men he met in formal conference--no social
+touch.
+
+A member of his Cabinet told me that Mr. Wilson had shown confidence in
+him, given him a wide range of action in his own Department and that he
+relies on his judgment. This Cabinet member of course attends the
+routine state dinners and receptions, as a matter of required duty. But
+as for any social recognition of his existence--he had never received a
+hint or nod. Nor does any member of the Cabinet (except, no doubt, Mr.
+McAdoo, his son-in-law). There is no social sense nor reason in this. In
+fact, it works to a very decided disadvantage to the President and to
+the Nation.
+
+By the way, that a notable man in our educational life could form such a
+habit does not speak well for our educational life.
+
+What an unspeakably lamentable loss of opportunity! This is the more
+remarkable and lamentable because the President is a charming
+personality, an uncommonly good talker, a man who could easily make
+personal friends of all the world. He does his own thinking, untouched
+by other men's ideas. He receives nothing from the outside. His domestic
+life is spent with his own, nobody else, except House occasionally. His
+contact with his own Cabinet is a business man's contact with his
+business associates and kind--at his office.
+
+He declined to see Cameron Forbes[41] on his return from the
+Philippines.
+
+The sadness of this mistake!
+
+Another result is--the President doesn't hear the frank truth about the
+men about him. He gives nobody a chance to tell him. Hence he has
+several heavy encumbrances in his official family.
+
+The influence of this lone-hand way of playing the game extends very
+far. The members of the Cabinet do not seem to have the habit of
+frankness with one another. Each lives and works in a water-tight
+compartment. I sat at luncheon (at a hotel) with Lansing, Secretary of
+State; Lane, Secretary of the Interior; Gregory, Attorney-General;
+Baker, Secretary of War; Daniels, Secretary of the Navy; and Sharp,
+Ambassador to France; and all the talk was jocular or semi-jocular, and
+personal--mere cheap chaff. Not a question was asked either of the
+Ambassador to France or of the Ambassador to Great Britain about the war
+or about our foreign relations. The war wasn't mentioned. Sharp and I
+might have come from Bungtown and Jonesville and not from France and
+England. We were not encouraged to talk--the local personal joke held
+the time and conversation. This astounding fact must be the result of
+this lone-hand, water-tight compartment method and--of the neutrality
+suppression of men. The Vice-President confessed to his neighbour at a
+Gridiron dinner that he had read none of the White Papers, or Orange
+Papers, etc., of the belligerent governments--confessed this with
+pride--lest he should form an opinion and cease to be neutral! Miss X, a
+member of the President's household, said to Mrs. Y, the day we lunched
+there, that she had made a remark privately to Sharp showing her
+admiration of the French.
+
+"Was that a violation of neutrality?" she asked in all seriousness.
+
+I can see it in no other way but this: the President suppressed free
+thought and free speech when he insisted upon personal neutrality. He
+held back the deliberate and spontaneous thought and speech of the
+people except the pro-Germans, who saw their chance and improved it! The
+mass of the American people found themselves forbidden to think or talk,
+and this forbidding had a sufficient effect to make them take refuge in
+indifference. It's the President's job. He's our leader. He'll attend to
+this matter. We must not embarrass him. On this easy cushion of
+non-responsibility the great masses fell back at their intellectual and
+moral ease--softened, isolated, lulled.
+
+That wasn't leadership in a democracy. Right here is the President's
+vast failure. From it there is now no escape unless the Germans commit
+more submarine crimes. They have kept the United States for their own
+exploiting after the war. They have thus had a real triumph of us.
+
+I have talked in Washington with few men who showed any clear conception
+of the difference between the Germans and the British. To the minds of
+these people and high Government officials, German and English are alike
+foreign nations who are now foolishly engaged in war. Two of the men who
+look upon the thing differently are Houston[42] and Logan Waller
+Page[43]. In fact, there is no realization of the war in Washington.
+Secretary Houston has a proper perspective of the situation. He would
+have done precisely what I recommended--paved the way for claims and let
+the English take their course. "International law" is no strict code and
+it's all shot to pieces anyhow.
+
+The Secretary [of State] betrayed not the slightest curiosity about our
+relations with Great Britain. I saw him several times--(1) in his
+office; (2) at his house; (3) at the French Ambassador's; (4) at
+Wallace's; (5) at his office; (6) at Crozier's[44]--this during my first
+stay in Washington. The only remark he made was that I'd find a
+different atmosphere in Washington from the atmosphere in London. Truly.
+All the rest of his talk was about "cases." Would I see Senator Owen?
+Would I see Congressman Sherley? Would I take up this "case" and that?
+His mind ran on "cases."
+
+Well, at Y's, when I was almost in despair, I rammed down him a sort of
+general statement of the situation as I saw it; at least, I made a
+start. But soon he stopped me and ran off at a tangent on some
+historical statement I had made, showing that his mind was not at all on
+the real subject, the large subject. When I returned to Washington, and
+he had read my interviews with Grey, Asquith, and Bryce[45], and my own
+statement, he still said nothing, but he ceased to talk of "cases." At
+my final interview he said that he had had difficulty in preventing
+Congress from making the retaliatory resolution mandatory. He had tried
+to keep it back till the very end of the session, etc.
+
+This does not quite correspond with what the President told me--that the
+State Department asked for this retaliatory resolution.
+
+I made specific suggestions in my statement to the President and to
+Lansing. They have (yet) said nothing about them. I fancy they will not.
+I have found nowhere any policy--only "cases."
+
+I proposed to Baker and Daniels that they send a General and an Admiral
+as attachés to London. They both agreed. Daniels later told me that
+Baker mentioned it to the President and he "stepped on the suggestion
+with both feet." I did not bring it up. In the Franco-Prussian War of
+1870, both General McClellan (or Sheridan[46]?) and General Forsythe
+were sent to the German Army. Our military ideas have shrunk since then!
+
+I find at this date (a month before the Presidential election), the
+greatest tangle and uncertainty of political opinion that I have ever
+observed in our country. The President, in spite of his unparalleled
+leadership and authority in domestic policy, is by no means certain of
+election. He has the open hostility of the Germans--all very well, if he
+had got the fruits of a real hostility to them; but they have, in many
+ways, directed his foreign policy. He has lost the silent confidence of
+many men upon whose conscience this great question weighs heavily. If he
+be defeated he will owe his defeat to the loss of confidence in his
+leadership on this great subject. His opponent has put forth no
+clear-cut opinion. He plays a silent game on the German "issue." Yet he
+will command the support of many patriotic men merely as a lack of
+confidence in the President.
+
+Nor do I see any end of the results of this fundamental error. In the
+economic and political readjustment of the world we shall be "out of the
+game," in any event--unless we are yet forced into the war by Hughes's
+election or by the renewal of the indiscriminate use of submarines by
+the Germans.
+
+There is a great lesson in this lamentable failure of the President
+really to lead the Nation. The United States stands for democracy and
+free opinion as it stands for nothing else and as no other nation stands
+for it. Now when democracy and free opinion are at stake as they have
+not before been, we take a "neutral" stand--we throw away our very
+birthright. We may talk of "humanity" all we like: we have missed the
+largest chance that ever came to help the large cause that brought us
+into being as a Nation....
+
+And the people, sitting on the comfortable seats of neutrality upon
+which the President has pushed them back, are grateful for Peace, not
+having taken the trouble to think out what Peace has cost us and cost
+the world--except so many as have felt the uncomfortable stirrings of
+the national conscience.
+
+There is not a man in our State Department or in our Government who has
+ever met any prominent statesmen in any European Government--except the
+third Assistant Secretary of State, who has no authority in forming
+policies; there is not a man who knows the atmosphere of Europe. Yet
+when I proposed that one of the under Secretaries should go to England
+on a visit of a few weeks for observation, the objection arose that
+such a visit would not be "neutral."
+
+
+III
+
+The extraordinary feature of this experience was that Page had been
+officially summoned home, presumably to discuss the European situation,
+and that neither the President nor the State Department apparently had
+the slightest interest in his visit.
+
+"The President," Page wrote to Mr. Laughlin, "dominates the whole show
+in a most extraordinary way. The men about him (and he sees them only on
+'business') are very nearly all very, very small fry, or worse--the
+narrowest twopenny lot I've ever come across. He has no real companions.
+Nobody talks to him freely and frankly. I've never known quite such a
+condition in American life." Perhaps the President had no desire to
+discuss inconvenient matters with his Ambassador to Great Britain, but
+Page was certainly determined to have an interview with the President.
+"I'm not going back to London," he wrote Mr. Laughlin, "till the
+President has said something to me or at least till I have said
+something to him. I am now going down to Garden City and New York till
+the President send for me; or, if he do not send for me, I'm going to
+his house and sit on his front steps till he come out!" Page had brought
+from England one of the medals which the Germans had struck in honour of
+the _Lusitania_ sinking, and one reason why he particularly wished to
+see the President alone was to show him this memento.
+
+Another reason was that in early September Page had received important
+news from London concerning the move which Germany was making for peace
+and the attitude of Great Britain in this matter. The several plans
+which Germany had had under consideration had now taken the form of a
+definite determination to ask for an armistice before winter set in. A
+letter from Mr. Laughlin, Chargé d'affaires in Page's absence, tells the
+story.
+
+ _From Irwin Laughlin_
+
+ Embassy of the United States of America.
+ London, August 30, 1916.
+
+ DEAR MR. PAGE:
+
+ For some little time past I have heard persistent rumours, which
+ indeed are more than rumours, since they have come from important
+ sources, of an approaching movement by Germany toward an early
+ armistice. They have been so circumstantial and so closely
+ connected--in prospect--with the President, that I have examined
+ them with particular attention and I shall try to give you the
+ results, and my conclusions, with the recommendation that you take
+ the matter up directly with the President and the Secretary of
+ State. I have been a little at a loss to decide how to communicate
+ what I have learned to the Government in Washington, for the
+ present conditions make it impossible to set down what I want to
+ say in an official despatch, but the fortunate accident of your
+ being in the United States gives me the safe opportunity I want,
+ and so I send my information to you, and by the pouch, as time is
+ of less importance than secrecy.
+
+ There seems to be no doubt that Germany is casting about for an
+ opportunity to effect an armistice, if possible before the winter
+ closes in. She hopes it may result in peace--a peace more or less
+ favourable to her, of course--but even if such a result should fail
+ of accomplishment she would have gained a breathing space; have
+ secured an opportunity to improve her strategic position in a
+ military sense, perhaps by shortening her line in Flanders: have
+ stiffened the resistance of her people; and probably have
+ influenced a certain body of neutral opinion not only in her favour
+ but against her antagonists.
+
+ I shall not try to mention the various sources from which the
+ threads that compose this fabric have been drawn, but I finally
+ fastened on X of the Admiralty as a man with whom I could talk
+ profitably and confidentially, and he told me positively that his
+ information showed that Germany was looking in the direction I have
+ indicated, and that she would soon approach the President on the
+ subject--even if she had not already taken the first steps toward
+ preparing her advance to him.
+
+ I asked X if he thought it well for me to broach the subject to
+ Lord Grey and he suggested that I first consult Y, which I did. The
+ latter seemed very wary at the outset, but he warmed up at last and
+ in the course of the conversation told me he had reliable
+ information that when Bethmann-Hollweg went to Munich just before
+ the beginning of the allied offensive in the west in June he told
+ the King of Bavaria that he was confident the Allies would be
+ obliged to begin overtures for peace next October; adding that if
+ they didn't Germany would have to do so. The King, it appears,
+ asked him how Germany could approach the Allies if it proved to be
+ advisable and he replied: "Through our good friend Wilson."
+
+ I asked Y if the King of Spain's good offices would not be enlisted
+ jointly with those of the President in attempting to arrange an
+ armistice, but he thought not, and said that the King of Spain was
+ very well aware that the Allies would not consider anything short
+ of definite peace proposals from Germany and that His Majesty knew
+ the moment for them had not arrived. I then finally asked him point
+ blank if he thought the Germans would approach the President for an
+ armistice, and, if so, when. He said he was inclined to think they
+ might do so perhaps about October. On my asking him if he was
+ disposed to let me communicate his opinion privately to the
+ Government in Washington he replied after some hesitation that he
+ had no objection, but he quickly added that I must make it clear at
+ the same time that the British Government would not listen to any
+ such proposals.
+
+ These conversations took place during the course of last week, and
+ on Sunday--the 27th--I invited the Spanish Ambassador to luncheon
+ at Tangley when I was able to get him to confirm what Y had said of
+ his Sovereign's attitude and opinions.
+
+ I may mention for what it is worth that on Hoover's last trip to
+ Germany he was told by Bullock, of the Philadelphia _Ledger_, that
+ Zimmermann of the Berlin Foreign Office had told him that the
+ Germans had intended in June to take steps for an armistice which
+ were prevented by the preparations for the allied offensive in the
+ west.
+
+ Y was very emphatic in what he said of the attitude of his
+ government and the British people toward continuing the war to an
+ absolutely conclusive end, and I was much impressed. He said among
+ other things that the execution of Captain Fryatt had had a
+ markedly perceptible effect in hardening British public opinion
+ against Germany and fixing the determination to fight to a
+ relentless finish. This corresponds exactly with my own
+ observations.
+
+ I leave this letter entirely in your hands. You will know what use
+ to make of it. It is meant as an official communication in
+ everything but the usual form from which I have departed for
+ reasons I need not explain further.
+
+ I look forward eagerly to your return,
+
+ Very sincerely yours,
+
+ IRWIN LAUGHLIN.
+
+Page waited five weeks before he succeeded in obtaining his interview
+with Mr. Wilson.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ The New Willard, Washington, D.C.
+
+ Thursday, September 21, 1916.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ While I am waiting for a convenient time to come when you will see
+ me for a conference and report, I send you notes on conversations
+ with Lord Grey and Lord Bryce[47]. They are, in effect, though of
+ course not in form, messages to you.
+
+ The situation between our government and Great Britain seems to me
+ most alarming; and (let me add) easily removable, if I can get the
+ ear of anybody in authority. But I find here only an atmosphere of
+ suspicion--unwarranted by facts and easily dissipated by straight
+ and simple friendly methods. I am sure of this.
+
+ I have, besides, a most important and confidential message for you
+ from the British Government which they prefer should be orally
+ delivered.
+
+ And I have written out a statement of my own study of the situation
+ and of certain proposals which, I think, if they commend themselves
+ to you, will go far to remove this dangerous tension. I hope to go
+ over them with you at your convenience.
+
+ Yours faithfully,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+The situation was alarming for more reasons than the determination of
+Germany to force the peace issue. The State Department was especially
+irritated at this time over the blockade. Among the "trade advisers"
+there was a conviction, which all Page's explanations had not destroyed,
+that Great Britain was using the blockade as a means of destroying
+American commerce and securing America's customers for herself. Great
+Britain's regulations on the blacklist and "bunker coal" had intensified
+this feeling. In both these latter questions Page regarded the British
+actions as tactless and unjust; he had had many sharp discussions at the
+Foreign Office concerning them, but had not made much headway in his
+efforts to obtain their abandonment. The purpose of the "blacklist" was
+to strike at neutral firms with German affiliations which were trading
+with Germany. The Trading with the Enemy Act provided that such firms
+could not trade with Great Britain; that British vessels must refuse to
+accept their cargoes, and that any neutral ship which accepted such
+cargoes would be denied bunker coal at British ports. Under this law the
+Ministry of Blockade issued a "blacklist" of more than 1,000 proscribed
+exporting houses in the United States. So great was the indignation
+against this boycott in the United States that Congress, in early
+September, had passed a retaliatory act; this gave the President the
+authority at any time to place an embargo upon the exports to the United
+States of countries which discriminated against American firms and also
+to deny clearance to ships which refused to accept American cargoes. The
+two countries indeed seemed to be hastening toward a crisis.
+
+Page's urgent letter to Mr. Wilson brought a telegram from Mr. Tumulty
+inviting the Ambassador to spend the next evening and night with the
+President at Shadow Lawn, the seaside house on the New Jersey coast in
+which Mr. Wilson was spending the summer. Mr. Wilson received his old
+friend with great courtesy and listened quietly and with apparent
+interest to all that he had to say. The written statement to which Page
+refers in his letter told the story of Anglo-American relations from the
+time of the Panama tolls repeal up to the time of Page's visit to Shadow
+Lawn. Quotations have already been made from it in preceding chapters,
+and the ideas which it contains have abundantly appeared in letters
+already printed. The document was an eloquent plea for American
+coöperation with the Allies--for the dismissal of Bernstorff, for the
+adoption of a manly attitude toward Germany, and for the vindication of
+a high type of Americanism.
+
+Page showed the President the _Lusitania_ medal, but that did not
+especially impress him. "The President said to me," wrote Page in
+reference to this visit, "that when the war began he and all the men he
+met were in hearty sympathy with the Allies; but that now the sentiment
+toward England had greatly changed. He saw no one who was not vexed and
+irritated by the arbitrary English course. That is, I fear, true--that
+he sees no one but has a complaint. So does the Secretary of State, and
+the Trade Bureau and all the rest in Washington. But in Boston, in New
+York, and in the South and in Auburn, N.Y., I saw no one whose sympathy
+with the Allies had undergone any fundamental change. I saw men who felt
+vexed at such an act as the blacklist, but that was merely vexation, not
+a fundamental change of feeling. Of course, there came to see me men who
+had 'cases.' Now these are the only kind of men, I fear, whom the
+Government at Washington sees--these and the members of Congress whom
+the Germans have scared or have 'put up' to scare the Government--who
+are 'twisting the lion's tail,' in a word."
+
+"The President said," wrote Page immediately after coming from Shadow
+Lawn, "Tell those gentlemen for me'--and then followed a homily to the
+effect that a damage done to any American citizen is a damage to him,
+etc. He described the war as a result of many causes, some of long
+origin. He spoke of England's having the earth and of Germany wanting
+it. Of course, he said, the German system is directly opposed to
+everything American. But I do not gather that he thought that this
+carried any very great moral reprehensibility.
+
+"He said that he wouldn't do anything with the retaliatory act till
+after election lest it might seem that he was playing politics. But he
+hinted that if there were continued provocation afterward (in case he
+were elected) he would. He added that one of the worst provocations was
+the long English delay in answering our Notes. Was this delay due to
+fear or shame? He evidently felt that such a delay showed contempt. He
+spoke of the Bryan treaty[48]. But on no question had the British
+'locked horns' with us--on no question had they come to a clear issue so
+that the matter might be referred to the Commission."
+
+Page delivered his oral message about the German determination to obtain
+an armistice. This was to the effect that Great Britain would not grant
+it. Page intimated that Britain would be offended if the President
+proposed it.
+
+"If an armistice, no," answered Mr. Wilson. "That's a military matter
+and is none of my business. But if they propose an armistice looking
+toward peace--yes, I shall be glad."
+
+The experience was an exceedingly trying one for both men. The
+discussion showed how far apart were the President and his Ambassador on
+practically every issue connected with the crisis. Naturally the
+President's reference to the causes of the war--that there were many
+causes, some of them of long persistence, and that Great Britain's
+domination of the "earth" was one of them--conflicted with the judgment
+of a man who attributed the origin of the struggle to German aggression.
+The President's statement that American sympathy for the Allies had now
+changed to irritation, and the tolerant attitude toward Germany which
+Mr. Wilson displayed, affected Page with the profoundest discouragement.
+The President's intimation that he would advance Germany's request for
+an armistice, if it looked toward peace--this in reply to Page's message
+that Great Britain would not receive such a proposal in a kindly
+spirit--seemed to lay the basis of further misunderstandings. The
+interview was a disheartening one for Page. Many people whom the
+Ambassador met in the course of this visit still retain memories of his
+fervour in what had now become with him a sacred cause. With many
+friends and officials he discussed the European situation almost like a
+man inspired. The present writer recalls two long conversations with
+Page at this time: the recollection of his brilliant verbal portraiture,
+his description of the determination of Englishmen, his admiration for
+the heroic sacrifice of Englishwomen, remain as about the most vivid
+memories of a life-time. And now the Ambassador had brought this same
+eloquence to the President's ear at Shadow Lawn. It was in this
+interview that Page had hoped to show Mr. Wilson the real merits of the
+situation, and persuade him to adopt the course to which the national
+honour and safety pointed; he talked long and eloquently, painting the
+whole European tragedy with that intensity and readiness of utterance
+and that moral conviction which had so moved all others with whom he had
+come into contact during this memorable visit to the United States; but
+Mr. Wilson was utterly cold, utterly unresponsive, interested only in
+ending the war. The talk lasted for a whole morning; its nature may be
+assumed from the many letters already printed; but Page's voice, when it
+attempted to fire the conscience of the President, proved as ineffective
+as his pen. However, there was nothing rasping or contentious about the
+interview. The two men discussed everything with the utmost calmness and
+without the slightest indications of ill-nature. Both men had in mind
+their long association, both inevitably recalled the hopes with which
+they had begun their official relationship three years before, at that
+time neither having the faintest intimation of the tremendous problems
+that were to draw them asunder. Mr. Wilson at this meeting did not
+impress his Ambassador as a perverse character, but as an extremely
+pathetic one. Page came away with no vexation or anger, but with a real
+feeling for a much suffering and a much perplexed statesman. The fact
+that the President's life was so solitary, and that he seemed to be so
+completely out of touch with men and with the living thoughts of the
+world, appealed strongly to Page's sympathies. "I think he is the
+loneliest man I have ever known," Page remarked to his son Frank after
+coming away from this visit.
+
+Page felt this at the time, for, as he rose to say good-bye to the
+President, he put his hand upon his shoulder. At this Mr. Wilson's eyes
+filled with tears and he gave Page an affectionate good-bye. The two men
+never met again.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 38: This is quoted from a hitherto unpublished despatch of
+Bernstorff's to Berlin which is found among Page's papers.]
+
+[Footnote 39: The _China_ case was a kind of _Trent_ case reversed. In
+1861 the American ship _San Jacinto_ stopped the British vessel _Trent_
+and took off Mason and Slidell, Confederate commissioners to Great
+Britain. Similarly a British ship, in 1916, stopped an American ship,
+the _China_, and removed several German subjects. As the British quickly
+saw the analogy, and made suitable amends, the old excitement over the
+_Trent_ was not duplicated in the recent war.]
+
+[Footnote 40: See Chapter XIII, page 434.]
+
+[Footnote 41: Mr. Forbes had been Governor-General of the Philippines
+from 1909 to 1913. His work had been extraordinarily successful.]
+
+[Footnote 42: Secretary of Agriculture.]
+
+[Footnote 43: In charge of government road building, a distant relative
+of the Ambassador.]
+
+[Footnote 44: Major General William Crozier, U.S.A., Chief of Ordnance.]
+
+[Footnote 45: See Chapter XIX, pages 160-164.]
+
+[Footnote 46: It was General Sheridan.]
+
+[Footnote 47: See Chapter XIX, pages 160 and 164.]
+
+[Footnote 48: The treaty between the United States and Great Britain,
+adopted through the urgency of Mr. Bryan, providing for the arbitration
+of disputes between the two countries.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XX
+
+"PEACE WITHOUT VICTORY"
+
+
+"Of one thing I am sure," Page wrote to his wife from Washington, while
+waiting to see President Wilson. "We wish to come home March 4th at
+midnight and to go about our proper business. There's nothing here that
+I would for the world be mixed up with. As soon as I can escape with
+dignity I shall make my bow and exit.... But I am not unhappy or
+hopeless for the long run. They'll find out the truth some day, paying,
+I fear, a heavy penalty for delay. But the visit here has confirmed me
+in our previous conclusions--that if we can carry the load until March
+4th, midnight, we shall be grateful that we have pulled through."
+
+Soon after President Wilson's reëlection, therefore, Page sent his
+resignation to Washington. The above quotation shows that he intended
+this to be more than a "courtesy resignation," a term traditionally
+applied to the kind of leave-takings which Ambassadors usually send on
+the formation of a new administration, or at the beginning of a new
+Presidential term, for the purpose of giving the President the
+opportunity of reorganizing his official family. Page believed that his
+work in London had been finished, that he had done everything in his
+power to make Mr. Wilson see the situation in its true light and that he
+had not succeeded. He therefore wished to give up his post and come
+home. This explains the fact that his resignation did not consist of the
+half dozen perfunctory lines which most diplomatic officers find
+sufficient on such an occasion, but took the form of a review of the
+reasons why the United States should align itself on the side of the
+Allies.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London, November 24, 1916.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ We have all known for many years that the rich and populous and
+ organized states in which the big cities are do not constitute the
+ political United States. But, I confess, I hardly expected so soon
+ to see this fact proclaimed at the ballot-box. To me that's the
+ surprise of the election. And your popular majority as well as your
+ clear majority in the Electoral College is a great personal triumph
+ for you. And you have remade the ancient and demoralized Democratic
+ party. Four years ago it consisted of a protest and of the wreck
+ wrought by Mr. Bryan's long captaincy. This rebirth, with a popular
+ majority, is an historical achievement--of your own.
+
+ You have relaid the foundation and reset the pillars of a party
+ that may enjoy a long supremacy for domestic reasons. Now, if you
+ will permit me to say so, from my somewhat distant view (four years
+ make a long period of absence) the big party task is to build up a
+ clearer and more positive foreign policy. We are in the world and
+ we've got to choose what active part we shall play in it--I fear
+ rather quickly. I have the conviction, as you know, that this whole
+ round globe now hangs as a ripe apple for our plucking, if we use
+ the right ladder while the chance lasts. I do not mean that we want
+ or could get the apple for ourselves, but that we can see to it
+ that it is put to proper uses. What we have to do, in my judgment,
+ is to go back to our political fathers for our clue. If my longtime
+ memory be good, they were sure that their establishment of a great
+ free Republic would soon be imitated by European peoples--that
+ democracies would take the place of autocracies in all so-called
+ civilized countries; for that was the form that the fight took in
+ their day against organized Privilege. But for one reason or
+ another--in our life-time partly because we chose so completely to
+ isolate ourselves--the democratic idea took root in Europe with
+ disappointing slowness. It is, for instance, now perhaps for the
+ first time, in a thoroughgoing way, within sight in this Kingdom.
+ The dream of the American Fathers, therefore, is not yet come true.
+ They fought against organized Privilege exerted from over the sea.
+ In principle it is the same fight that we have made, in our
+ domestic field, during recent decades. Now the same fight has come
+ on a far larger scale than men ever dreamed of before.
+
+ It isn't, therefore, for merely doctrinal reasons that we are
+ concerned for the spread of democracy nor merely because a
+ democracy is the only scheme of organization yet wrought out that
+ keeps the door of opportunity open and invites all men to their
+ fullest development. But we are interested in it because under no
+ other system can the world be made an even reasonably safe place to
+ live in. For only autocracies wage aggressive wars. Aggressive
+ autocracies, especially military autocracies, must be softened down
+ by peace (and they have never been so softened) or destroyed by
+ war. The All-Highest doctrine of Germany to-day is the same as the
+ Taxation-without-Representation of George III--only more virulent,
+ stronger, and farther-reaching. Only by its end can the German
+ people recover and build up their character and take the permanent
+ place in the world that they--thus changed--will be entitled to.
+ They will either reduce Europe to the vassalage of a military
+ autocracy, which may then overrun the whole world or drench it in
+ blood, or they must through stages of Liberalism work their way
+ toward some approach to a democracy; and there is no doubt which
+ event is impending. The Liberal idea will win this struggle, and
+ Europe will be out of danger of a general assault on free
+ institutions till some other autocracy which has a military caste
+ try the same Napoleonic game. The defeat of Germany, therefore,
+ will make for the spread of the doctrine of our Fathers and our
+ doctrine yet.
+
+ An interesting book might be made of concrete evidences of the
+ natural antipathy that the present German autocracy has for
+ successful democracy and hence for us. A new instance has just come
+ to me. My son, Arthur, who succeeded to most of my activities at
+ home, has been over here for a month and he has just come from a
+ visit to France. In Paris he had a long conversation with Delcassé,
+ who told him that the Kaiser himself once made a proposal to him to
+ join in producing "the complete isolation" of the United States.
+ What the Kaiser meant was that if the great Powers of Europe would
+ hold off, he would put the Monroe Doctrine to the test and smash
+ it.
+
+ The great tide of the world will, by reason of the war, now flow
+ toward democracy--at present, alas! a tide of blood. For a century
+ democracies and Liberal governments have kept themselves too much
+ isolated, trusting prematurely and too simply to international law
+ and treaties and Hague conventions. These things have never been
+ respected, except as springs to catch woodcock, where the Divine
+ Right held sway. The outgrowing or the overthrow of the Divine
+ Right is a condition precedent to the effectiveness of
+ international law and treaties.
+
+ It has seemed to me, looking at the subject only with reference to
+ our country's duty and safety, that somehow and at some early time
+ our championship of democracy must lead us to redeclare our faith
+ and to show that we believe in our historic creed. Then we may
+ escape falling away from the Liberal forces of the Old World and
+ escape the suspicion of indifference to the great scheme of
+ government which was set up by our fathers' giving their blood for
+ it. I see no other way for us to take the best and biggest
+ opportunity that has ever come to prove true to our faith as well
+ as to secure our own safety and the safety of the world. Only some
+ sort of active and open identification with the Allies can put us
+ in effective protest against the assassins of the Armenians and the
+ assassins of Belgium, Poland, and Serbia, and in a friendly
+ attitude to the German people themselves, as distinguished from
+ their military rulers. This is the attitude surely that our fathers
+ would have wished us to take--and would have expected us to
+ take--and that our children will be proud of us for taking; for it
+ is our proper historic attitude, whether looked at from the past or
+ looked back at from the future. There can be no historic approval
+ of neutrality for years, while the world is bleeding to death.
+
+ The complete severance of relations, diplomatic at first and later
+ possibly economic as well, with the Turks and the Germans, would
+ probably not cost us a man in battle nor any considerable treasure;
+ for the moral effect of withdrawing even our formal approval of
+ their conduct--at least our passive acquiescence--would be--that
+ the Germans would see that practically all the Liberal world stands
+ against their system, and the war would end before we should need
+ to or could put an army in the field. The Liberal Germans are
+ themselves beginning to see that it is not they, but the German
+ system, that is the object of attack because it is _the_ dangerous
+ thing in the world. Maximilian Harden presents this view in his
+ Berlin paper. He says in effect that Germany must get rid of its
+ predatory feudalism. That was all that was the matter with George
+ III.
+
+ Among the practical results of such action by us would, I believe,
+ be the following:
+
+ 1. The early ending of the war and the saving of, perhaps, millions
+ of lives and of incalculable treasure;
+
+ 2. The establishment in Germany of some form of more liberal
+ government;
+
+ 3. A league to enforce peace, ready-made, under our guidance--i.e.,
+ the Allies and ourselves;
+
+ 4. The sympathetic coöperation and the moral force of every Allied
+ Government in dealing with Mexico:
+
+ 5. The acceptance--and even documentary approval--of every Allied
+ Government of the Monroe Doctrine;
+
+ 6. The warding off and no doubt the final prevention of danger from
+ Japan, and, most of all, the impressive and memorable spectacle of
+ our Great Democracy thus putting an end to this colossal crime,
+ merely from the impulse and necessity to keep our own ideals and to
+ lead the world right on. We should do for Europe on a large scale
+ essentially what we did for Cuba on a small scale and thereby usher
+ in a new era in human history.
+
+ I write thus freely, Mr. President, because at no time can I write
+ in any other way and because I am sure that all these things can
+ quickly be brought to pass under your strong leadership. The United
+ States would stand, as no other nation has ever stood in the
+ world--predominant and unselfish--on the highest ideals ever
+ reached in human government. It is a vision as splendid as the Holy
+ Grael. Nor have I a shadow of doubt of the eager and faithful
+ following of our people, who would thereby reëstablish once for all
+ our weakened nationality. We are made of the stuff that our Fathers
+ were made of.
+
+ And I write this now for the additional reason that I am within
+ sight of the early end of my service here. When you called me I
+ answered, not only because you did me great honour and laid a
+ definite patriotic duty on me, but because also of my personal
+ loyalty to you and my pride in helping forward the great principles
+ in which we both believe. But I understood then (and I am sure the
+ subject lay in your mind in the same way) that my service would be
+ for four years at the most. I made all my arrangements,
+ professional and domestic, on this supposition. I shall, therefore,
+ be ready to lay down my work here on March 4th or as soon
+ thereafter as meets your pleasure.
+
+ I am more than proud of the confidence that you have shown in me.
+ To it I am indebted for the opportunity I have had to give such
+ public service to my country as I could, as well as for the most
+ profitable experience of my life. A proper and sympathetic
+ understanding between the two English-speaking worlds seems to me
+ the most important duty of far-seeing men in either country. It has
+ taken such a profound hold on me that I shall, in whatever way I
+ can, work for its complete realization as long as I can work for
+ anything.
+
+ I am, Mr. President, most faithfully and gratefully yours,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+This letter was written at a time when President Wilson was exerting his
+best energies to bring about peace. The Presidential campaign had caused
+him to postpone these efforts, for he believed that neither Germany nor
+Great Britain could take seriously the activities of a President whose
+own political position was insecure. At the time Page's letter was
+received, the President was thinking only of a peace based upon a
+stalemate; it was then his apparent conviction that both sides to the
+struggle were about equally in the wrong and that a decisive victory of
+either would not be a good thing for the world. Yet it is interesting to
+compare this letter with the famous speech which the President made six
+months afterward when he asked Congress to declare the existence of a
+state of war with Germany. Practically all the important reasons which
+Mr. Wilson then advanced for this declaration are found in Page's letter
+of the preceding November. That autocracies are a constant menace to
+world peace, that the United States owes it to its democratic tradition
+to take up arms against the enemy of free government, that in doing
+this, it was not making war upon the German people, but upon its
+imperialistic masters--these were the arguments which Page laid before
+the President in his letter of resignation, and these were the leading
+ideas in Mr. Wilson's address of April 2nd. There are even sentences in
+Page's communication which seem to foreshadow Mr. Wilson's assertion
+that "The world must be made safe for democracy." This letter in itself
+sufficiently makes it clear that Page's correspondence, irritating in
+its later phases as it may have been, strongly influenced Mr. Wilson in
+his final determination on war.
+
+On one point, indeed, Colonel House afterward called the Ambassador to
+account. When America was preparing to raise armies by the millions and
+to spend its treasure by the billions, he reminded Page of his statement
+that the severance of diplomatic relations "would probably not cost us a
+man in battle nor any considerable treasure." Page's statement in this
+November letter merely reiterated a conviction which for more than a
+year he had been forcing upon the President and Colonel House--that the
+dismissal of Bernstorff would not necessarily imply war with Germany,
+but that it would in itself be enough to bring the war to an end. On
+this point Page never changed his mind, as is evident from the letter
+which he wrote to Colonel House when this matter was called to his
+attention:
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ London, June 29, 1917.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ I never put any particular value on my own prophecies nor on
+ anybody else's. I have therefore no pride as a prophet. Yet I do
+ think that I hit it off accurately a year or a year and a half ago
+ when I said that we could then have ended the war without any
+ appreciable cost. And these are my reasons:
+
+ If we had then come in and absolutely prevented supplies from
+ reaching Germany, as we are now about to do, the war would then
+ have been much sooner ended than it can now be ended:
+
+ (1) Our supplies enabled her to go on.
+
+ (2) She got time in this way to build her great submarine fleet.
+ She went at it the day she promised the President to reform.
+
+ (3) She got time and strength to overrun Rumania whence she got
+ food and oil; and continues to get it.
+
+ (4) During this time Russia fell down as a military force and gave
+ her more time, more armies for France and more supplies. Russian
+ guns have been sold to the Germans.
+
+ If a year and a half ago we had starved her out, it would have been
+ over before any of these things happened. This delay is what will
+ cost us billions and billions and men and men.
+
+ And it cost us one thing more. During the neutrality period we
+ were as eager to get goods to the little neutral states which were
+ in large measure undoubtedly bound to Germany as we are now eager
+ to keep them out. Grey, who was and is our best friend, and who was
+ unwilling to quarrel with us more than he was obliged to, was
+ thrown out of office and his career ended because the blockade,
+ owing to his consideration for us, was not tight enough. Our delay
+ caused his fall.
+
+ But most of all, it gave the Germans time (and to some extent
+ material) to build their present fleet of submarines. They were at
+ work on them all the while and according to the best opinion here
+ they continue to build them faster than the British destroy them;
+ and the submarines are destroying more merchant ships than all the
+ shipbuilding docks of all the world are now turning out. This is
+ the most serious aspect of the war--by far the most serious. I am
+ trying to get our Government to send over hundreds of improvised
+ destroyers--armed tugs, yachts, etc., etc. Admiral Sims and the
+ British Admiralty have fears that unless such help come the full
+ fruits of the war may never be gathered by the Allies--that some
+ sort of a compromise peace may have to be made.
+
+ It is, therefore, true that the year and a half we waited after the
+ _Lusitania_ will prove to be the most costly year and a half in our
+ history; and for once at least my old prophecy was quite a good
+ guess. But that water has flowed over the dam and it is worth
+ mentioning now only because you challenged me....
+
+That part of Page's letter which refers to his retirement had a curious
+history. It was practically a resignation and therefore called for an
+immediate reply, but Mr. Wilson did not even acknowledge its receipt.
+For two months the Ambassador was left in the dark as to the attitude
+of Washington. Finally, in the latter part of January, 1917, Page wrote
+urgently to Mr. Lansing, asking him to bring the matter to the
+President's attention. On February 5, 1917, Mr. Lansing's reply was
+received. "The President," he said, "under extreme pressure of the
+present situation, has been unable to consider your communication in
+regard to your resignation. He desires me to inform you that he hopes
+that, at the present time, you will not press to be relieved from
+service; that he realizes that he is asking you to make a personal
+sacrifice, but he believes that you will appreciate the importance, in
+the crisis which has developed, that no change should be made. I hardly
+need to add my personal hope that you will put aside any thought of
+resigning your post for the present."
+
+At this time, of course, any idea of retiring was out of the question.
+The President had dismissed Bernstorff and there was every likelihood
+that the country would soon be at war. Page would have regarded his
+retirement at this crisis as little less than the desertion of his post.
+Moreover, since Mr. Wilson had adopted the policy which the Ambassador
+had been urging for nearly two years, and had sent Bernstorff home, any
+logical excuse that may have existed for his resignation existed no
+longer. Mr. Wilson had now adopted a course which Page could
+enthusiastically support.
+
+"I am happy to serve here at any sacrifice"--such was his reply to Mr.
+Lansing--"until after the end of the war, and I am making my
+arrangements to stay for this period."
+
+The months that intervened between the Presidential election and the
+declaration of war were especially difficult for the American Embassy in
+London. Page had informed the President, in the course of his interview
+of September 22nd, how unfavourably Great Britain regarded his efforts
+in the direction of peace; he had in fact delivered a message from the
+Foreign Office that any Presidential attempt to "mediate" would be
+rejected by the Allies. Yet his earnest representation on this point had
+produced no effect upon Mr. Wilson. The pressure which Germany was
+bringing to bear upon Washington was apparently irresistible. Count
+Bernstorff's memoirs, with their accompanying documents, have revealed
+the intensity of the German efforts during this period; the most
+startling fact revealed by the German Ambassador is that the Kaiser, on
+October 9th, notified the President, almost in so many words, that,
+unless he promptly moved in the direction of peace, the German
+Government "would be forced to regain the freedom of action which it has
+reserved to itself in the note of May 4th last[49]." It is unlikely that
+the annals of diplomacy contain many documents so cool and insolent as
+this one. It was a notification from the Kaiser to the President that
+the so-called "Sussex pledge" was not regarded as an unconditional one
+by the Imperial Government; that it was given merely to furnish Mr.
+Wilson an opportunity to bring the war to an end; and that unless the
+Presidential attempt to accomplish this were successful, there would be
+a resumption of the indiscriminate submarine campaign. The curious
+developments of the next two months are now a familiar story. Possibly
+because the British Government had notified him, through Page, that his
+proffer of mediation would be unacceptable, Mr. Wilson moved cautiously
+and slowly, and Germany became impatient. The successful campaign
+against Rumania, resulting in the capture of Bucharest on December 6th,
+and the new vista which it opened to Germany of large food supplies,
+strengthened the Teutonic purpose. Perhaps Germany, with her
+characteristic lack of finesse, imagined that her own open efforts would
+lend emphasis to Mr. Wilson's pacific exertions. At any rate, on
+December 12th, just as Mr. Wilson was preparing to launch his own
+campaign for mediation, Germany herself approached her enemies with a
+proposal for a peace conference. A few days afterward Page, as the
+representative of Germany, called at the Foreign Office to deliver the
+large white envelope which contained the Kaiser's "peace proposal." In
+delivering this to Lord Robert Cecil, who was acting as Foreign
+Secretary in the temporary absence of Mr. Balfour, Page emphasized the
+fact that the American Government entirely disassociated itself from its
+contents and that he was acting merely in his capacity of "German
+Ambassador." Two communications from Lord Robert to Sir Cecil Spring
+Rice, British Ambassador at Washington, tell the story and also reveal
+that it was almost impossible for Page, even when engaged in an official
+proceeding, to conceal his contempt for the whole enterprise:
+
+ _Lord R. Cecil to Sir C. Spring Rice_
+
+ Foreign Office,
+
+ December 18, 1916.
+
+ SIR:
+
+ The American Ambassador came to see me this morning and presented
+ to me the German note containing what is called in it the "offer of
+ peace." He explained that he did so on instructions of his
+ Government as representing the German Government, and not in any
+ way as representing their own opinions. He also explained that the
+ note must be regarded as coming from the four Central Powers, and
+ as being addressed to all the Entente Powers who were represented
+ by the United States.
+
+ He then read to me a telegram from his Government, but declined to
+ leave me a copy of it. The first part of the telegram explained
+ that the Government of the United States would deeply appreciate a
+ confidential intimation of the response to be made to the German
+ note and that they would themselves have certain representations to
+ make to the Entente Powers, to which they urgently begged the
+ closest consideration. The telegram went on to explain that the
+ Government of the United States had had it in mind for some time
+ past to make such representations on behalf of neutral nations and
+ humanity, and that it must not be thought that they were prompted
+ by the Governments of the Central Powers. They wished us to
+ understand that the note of the Central Powers created a good
+ opportunity for making the American representations, but was not
+ the cause of such representations being made.
+
+ I replied that I could of course say nothing to him on such an
+ important matter without consulting my colleagues.
+
+ I am, etc.,
+
+ ROBERT CECIL.
+
+ _Lord R. Cecil to Sir C. Spring Rice_
+
+ Foreign Office,
+
+ 19 December, 1916.
+
+ SIR:
+
+ The American Ambassador came to see me this afternoon.
+
+ I asked him whether he could tell me why his government were
+ anxious to have confidential information as to the nature of our
+ response to the German peace note. He replied that he did not know,
+ but he imagined it was to enable them to frame the representations
+ of which he had spoken to me.
+
+ I then told him that we had asked the French to draft a reply, and
+ that it would then be considered by the Allies, and in all
+ probability an identic note would be presented in answer to the
+ German note. I thought it probable that we should express our view
+ that it was impossible to deal with the German offer, since it
+ contained no specific proposals.
+
+ He said that he quite understood this, and that we should in fact
+ reply that it was an offer "to buy a pig in a poke" which we were
+ not prepared to accept. He added that he thought his Government
+ would fully anticipate a reply in this sense, and he himself
+ obviously approved it.
+
+ Then, speaking quite seriously, he said that he had heard people in
+ London treating the German offer with derision, but that no doubt
+ the belligerent governments would treat it seriously.
+
+ I said that it was certainly a serious thing, and no doubt would be
+ treated seriously.
+
+ I asked him if he knew what would be contained in the proposed
+ representations from his government.
+
+ He said that he did not; but as he understood that they were to be
+ made to all the belligerents, he did not think that they could be
+ much more than a pious aspiration for peace; since that was the
+ only thing that was equally applicable to the Germans and to us.
+
+ As he was leaving he suggested that the German note might be
+ published in our press.
+
+ I am, etc.,
+
+ ROBERT CECIL.
+
+This so-called German "peace proposal" began with the statement that the
+war "had been forced" upon Germany, contained the usual reference to the
+military might of the Central Powers, and declared that the Fatherland
+was fighting for "the honour and liberty of national evolution." It is
+therefore not surprising that Lord Robert received it somewhat
+sardonically, especially as the communication contained no specific
+proposals, but merely a vague suggestion of "negotiations." But another
+spectacular performance now drove the German manoeuvre out of
+everybody's mind. That President Wilson resented this German
+interference with his own plans is well known; he did not drop them,
+however, but on December 18th, he sent his long-contemplated peace
+communication to all the warring Powers. His appeal took the form of
+asking that they state the objects for which they were fighting, the
+Presidential belief evidently being that, if they did this, a common
+meeting ground might possibly be found. The suggestion that the Allied
+war aims were not public property, despite the fact that British
+statesmen had been broadly proclaiming them for three years, caused a
+momentary irritation in England, but this was not a serious matter,
+especially as the British Cabinet quickly saw that this request gave
+them a position of advantage over Germany, which had always refused to
+make public the terms on which it would end the war. The main substance
+in this Presidential approach, therefore, would have produced no
+ill-feeling; as usual, it was a few parenthetical phrases--phrases which
+were not essential to the main argument--which set the allied countries
+seething with indignation. The President, this section of his note ran,
+"takes the liberty of calling attention to the fact that the objects
+which the statesmen of the belligerents on both sides have in mind in
+this war, are virtually the same, as stated in general terms to their
+own people and to the world. Each side desires to make the rights and
+privileges of weak peoples and small states as secure against aggression
+and denial in the future as the rights and privileges of the great and
+powerful states now at war." This idea was elaborated in several
+sentences of a similar strain, the general purport of the whole passage
+being that there was little to choose between the combatants, inasmuch
+as both were apparently fighting for about the same things. Mr. Wilson's
+purpose in this paragraph is not obscure; he was making his long
+expected appearance as a mediator, and he evidently believed that it was
+essential to this rôle that he should not seem to be prejudiced in
+favour of either side, but should hold the balance impartially between
+them.
+
+It is true that a minute reading indicates that Mr. Wilson was merely
+quoting, or attempting to paraphrase, the statements of the leaders of
+both sides, but there is such a thing as quoting with approval, and no
+explanation could convince the British public that the ruler of the
+greatest neutral nation had not declared that the Allies and the Central
+Powers stood morally upon the same level. The popular indignation which
+this caused in Great Britain was so intense that it alarmed the British
+authorities. The publication of this note in the British press was
+withheld for several hours, in order to give the Government an
+opportunity to control the expression of editorial opinion; otherwise it
+was feared that this would be so unrestrained in its bitterness that
+relations with the United States might be imperilled. The messages which
+the London correspondents were permitted to send to the United States
+were carefully censored for the same reason. The dispatch sent by the
+Associated Press was the product of a long struggle between the Foreign
+Office and its London correspondent. The representatives spent half an
+hour considering whether the American correspondents could cable their
+country that the note had been received in England with "surprise and
+irritation." After much discussion it was decided that "irritation"
+could not be used, and the message of the Associated Press, after
+undergoing this careful editing by the Foreign Office, was a weak and
+ridiculous description of the high state of excitement which prevailed
+in Great Britain. The fact that the British Foreign Office should have
+given all this trouble over the expressions sent to American newspapers
+and should even have spent half an hour debating whether a particular
+word should be used, almost pathetically illustrates the great care
+taken by the British Government not to influence American opinion
+against the Allies.
+
+The Government took the same precautions with its own press in England.
+When the note was finally released the Foreign Office explicitly
+directed the London newspapers to comment with the utmost caution and in
+no case to question the President's sincerity. Most of them acquiesced
+in these instructions by maintaining silence. There was only one London
+newspaper, the _Westminster Gazette_, which made even a faint-hearted
+attempt to explain away the President's statement. From the first day of
+the war the British people had declared that President Wilson did not
+understand the issues at stake; and they now declared that this note
+confirmed their worst forebodings. The comments of the man-in-the-street
+were unprintable, but more serious than these was the impression which
+Mr. Wilson's dubious remarks made upon those Englishmen who had always
+been especially friendly to the United States and who had even defended
+the President in previous crises. Lord Bryce, who had accepted
+philosophically the Presidential statement that the United States was
+not "concerned with the causes" of the war, could not regard so
+indulgently this latest judgment of Great Britain and Germany. "Bryce
+came to see me in a state of great depression," wrote Page. "He has sent
+Mr. Wilson a personal letter on this matter." Northcliffe commanded his
+newspapers, the _Times_ and the _Daily Mail_, to discuss the note in a
+judicial spirit, but he himself told Mr. Page that "everybody is as
+angry as hell." When someone attempted to discuss the Wilson note with
+Mr. Asquith, he brushed the subject away with a despairing gesture.
+"Don't talk to me about it," he said. "It is most disheartening." But
+the one man in England who was perhaps the most affected was King
+George. A man who had attended luncheon at Buckingham Palace on December
+21st gave Page a description of the royal distress. The King, expressing
+his surprise and dismay that Mr. Wilson should think that Englishmen
+were fighting for the same things in this war as the Germans, broke
+down.
+
+The world only now understands the dreadful prospect which was opening
+before Europe at the moment when this Presidential note added a new
+cause for general despondency. Rumania had collapsed, the first inkling
+of the Russian revolution had been obtained, the British well knew that
+the submarine warfare was to be resumed, and British finances were also
+in a desperate plight. More and more it was becoming evident to the
+British statesmen that they needed the intervention of the United
+States. This is the reason why they could not destroy the chances of
+American help by taking official offense even at what Page, in a
+communication to the Secretary of State, did not hesitate to call
+President Wilson's "insulting words"; and hence their determination to
+silence the press and to give no outward expression of what they felt.
+Page's interview with Lord Robert Cecil on December 26th, while the
+Presidential communication was lying on his desk, discloses the real
+emotions of Englishmen. Apparently Page's frank cables concerning the
+reception of this paragraph had caused a certain interest in the State
+Department; at least the Ambassador was instructed to call at the
+Foreign Office and explain that the interpretation which had been
+commonly put upon the President's words was not the one which he had
+intended. At the same time Page was instructed to request the British
+Foreign Office, in case its reply were "favourable," not to publish it,
+but to communicate it secretly to the American Government. The purpose
+of this request is a little obscure; possibly it was the President's
+plan to use such a favourable reply to force Germany likewise to display
+an acquiescent mood. The object of Page's call was to present this
+disclaimer.
+
+Lord Robert Cecil, the son of the late Lord Salisbury,--that same Lord
+Salisbury whose combats with Secretary Blaine and Secretary Olney form
+piquant chapters in British-American history--is one of the most able
+and respected of British statesmen. In his earlier life Lord Salisbury
+had been somewhat overbearing in his attitude toward the United States;
+in his later years, however, perhaps owing to the influence of his
+nephew, Mr. Balfour, his manner had changed. In his attitude toward the
+United States Lord Robert Cecil reflected only the later phases of his
+father's career. To this country and to its peaceful ideals he had
+always been extremely sympathetic, and to Page especially he had never
+manifested anything but cordiality. Yet it was evident, as Page came
+into his office this morning, that to Lord Robert, as to every member of
+the Government, the President's note, with its equivocal phrases, had
+been a terrible shock. His manner was extremely courteous, as always,
+but he made no attempt to conceal his feelings. Ordinarily Lord Robert
+did not wear his emotions on the surface; but he took occasion on this
+visit to tell Page how greatly the President's communication had grieved
+him.
+
+"The President," he said, "has seemed to pass judgment on the allied
+cause by putting it on the same level as the German. I am deeply hurt."
+
+Page conveyed Mr. Lansing's message that no such inference was
+justified. But this was not reassuring.
+
+"Moreover," Lord Robert added, "there is one sentence in the note--that
+in which the President says that the position of neutrals is becoming
+intolerable--that seems almost a veiled threat."
+
+Page hastened to assure Lord Robert that no threat was intended.
+
+Lord Robert's manner became increasingly serious.
+
+"There is nothing that the American Government or any other human power
+can do," he remarked slowly and solemnly, "which will bring this war to
+a close before the Allies have spent their utmost force to secure a
+victory. A failure to secure such a victory will leave the world at the
+mercy of the most arrogant and the bloodiest tyranny that has ever been
+organized. It is far better to die in an effort to defeat that tyranny
+than to perish under its success."
+
+On any occasion Lord Robert is an impressive or at least a striking and
+unusual figure; he is tall, lank, and ungainly, almost Lincolnesque in
+the carelessness of his apparel and the exceeding awkwardness of his
+postures and manners. His angular features, sharp nose, pale face, and
+dark hair suggest the strain of ascetism, almost of fanaticism, which
+runs in the present generation of his family. And the deep sincerity and
+power of his words on this occasion made an impression which Page never
+forgot; they transformed the British statesman into an eloquent, almost
+an heroic figure. If we are to understand the full tragedy of this
+moment we must remember that, incredible as it now seems, there was a
+fear in British officialdom that the United States might not only not
+pursue a course favourable to the Allies, but that it might even throw
+its support to Germany. The fear, of course, was baseless; any
+suggestion of such a policy in the United States would have destroyed
+any official who had brought it forward; but Lord Robert knew and Page
+knew that there were insidious influences at work at that time, both in
+the United States and in Great Britain, which looked in this direction.
+A group of Americans, whom Page used to refer to as "peace spies," were
+associated with English pacifists, for the purpose of bringing about
+peace on almost any terms. These "peace spies" had worked out a
+programme all their own. The purpose was to compel Great Britain to
+accept the German terms for ending the war. Unless she did accept them,
+then it was intended that the American Government should place an
+embargo on the shipment of foodstuffs and munitions to the Allies. There
+is little question that the United States, by taking such action, could
+have ended the war almost instantaneously. Should the food of her people
+and the great quantities of munitions which were coming from this
+country be suddenly cut off, there is little likelihood that Great
+Britain could have long survived. The possibility that an embargo might
+shut out these supplies had hung over the heads of British statesmen
+ever since the war began; they knew that the possession of this mighty
+power made the United States the potential dictator of events; and the
+fear that it might be used had never ceased to influence their thoughts
+or their actions. Even while this interview was taking place, certain
+anti-British forces in the United States, such as Senator Hoke Smith of
+Georgia, were urging action of this kind.
+
+"I have always been almost a Pacifist," Lord Robert continued. "No man
+has ever hated war worse than I. No man has ever had a more earnest
+faith that war can be abolished. But European civilization has been
+murderously assaulted and there is nothing now to do but to defeat this
+desperate enemy or to perish in the effort. I had hoped that the United
+States understood what is at stake."
+
+Lord Robert went on:
+
+"I will go so far as to say that if the United States will come into the
+war it will decide which will win, freedom or organized tyranny. If the
+United States shall help the Germans, civilization will perish and it
+will be necessary to build it up slowly again--if indeed it will ever
+appear again. If the United States will help the Allies, civilization
+will triumph[50]."
+
+As to the proposal that the British terms should be conveyed
+confidentially to Mr. Wilson, Lord Robert said that that would be a
+difficult thing to do. The President's note had been published, and it
+therefore seemed necessary that the reply should also be given to the
+press. This was the procedure that was ultimately adopted.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Startling as was the sensation caused by the President's December note,
+it was mild compared with that which was now to come. Page naturally
+sent prompt reports of all these conversations to the President and
+likewise kept him completely informed as to the state of public feeling,
+but his best exertions apparently did not immediately affect the Wilson
+policy. The overwhelming fact is that the President's mind was fixed on
+a determination to compel the warring powers to make peace and in this
+way to keep the United States out of the conflict. Even the disturbance
+caused by his note of December 18th did not make him pause in this peace
+campaign. To that note the British sent a manly and definite reply,
+drafted by Mr. Balfour, giving in detail precisely the terms upon which
+the Allies would compose their differences with the Central Powers. The
+Germans sent a reply consisting of ten or a dozen lines, which did not
+give their terms, but merely asked again for a conference. Events were
+now moving with the utmost rapidity. On January 9th, a council of German
+military chieftains was held at Pless; in this it was decided to resume
+unrestricted submarine warfare. On January 16th the Zimmermann-Mexico
+telegram was intercepted; this informed Bernstorff, among other things,
+that this decision had been made. On January 16th, at nine o'clock in
+the morning, the American Embassy in London began receiving a long
+cipher despatch from Washington. The preamble announced that the
+despatch contained a copy of an address which the President proposed to
+deliver before the Senate "in a few days." Page was directed to have
+copies of the address "secretly prepared" and to hand them to the
+British Foreign Office and to newspapers of the type of the Nation, the
+Daily News, and the Manchester Guardian--all three newspapers well known
+for their Pacifist tendencies. As the speech approached its end, this
+sentence appeared: "It must be a peace without victory." The words
+greatly puzzled the secretary in charge, for they seemed almost
+meaningless. Suspecting that an error had been made in transmission, the
+secretary directed the code room to cable Washington for a verification
+of the cipher groups. Very soon the answer was received; there had been
+no mistake; the Presidential words were precisely those which had been
+first received: "Peace without victory." The slips were then taken to
+Page, who read the document, especially these fateful syllables, with a
+consternation which he made no effort to conceal. He immediately wrote a
+cable to President Wilson, telling him of the deplorable effect this
+sentence would produce and imploring him to cut it out of his
+speech--with what success the world now knows.
+
+An astonishing feature of this episode is that Page had recently
+explained to the Foreign Office, in obedience to instructions from
+Washington, that Mr. Wilson's December note should not be interpreted as
+placing the Allies and the Central Powers on the same moral level. Now
+Mr. Wilson, in this "peace without victory" phrase, had repeated
+practically the same idea in another form. On the day the speech was
+received at the Embassy, about a week before it was delivered in the
+Senate, Page made the following memorandum:
+
+ The President's address to the Senate, which was received to-day
+ (January 16th)[51], shows that he thinks he can play peace-maker.
+ He does not at all understand, (or, if he do, so much the worse for
+ him) that the Entente Powers, especially Great Britain and France,
+ cannot make "peace without victory." If they do, they will become
+ vassals of Germany. In a word, the President does not know the
+ Germans; and he is, unconsciously, under their influence in his
+ thought. His speech plays into their hands.
+
+ This address will give great offense in England, since it puts each
+ side in the war on the same moral level.
+
+ I immediately saw the grave danger to our relations with Great
+ Britain by the Peace-without-Victory plan; and I telegraphed the
+ President, venturing to advise him to omit that phrase--with no
+ result.
+
+Afterward Page added this to the above:
+
+ Compare this Senate speech with his speech in April calling for
+ war: Just when and how did the President come to see the true
+ nature of the German? What made him change from Peace-Maker to
+ War-Maker? The Zimmermann telegram, or the February U-boat renewal
+ of warfare? Had he been so credulous as to believe the German
+ promise? This promise had been continuously and repeatedly broken.
+
+ Or was it the pressure of public opinion, the growing impatience of
+ the people that pushed him in?
+
+ This distressing peace-move--utterly out of touch with the facts of
+ the origin of the war or of its conduct or of the mood and
+ necessities of Great Britain--a remote, academic deliverance, while
+ Great Britain and France were fighting for their very lives--made a
+ profoundly dejected feeling; and it made my place and work more
+ uncomfortable than ever. "Peace without victory" brought us to the
+ very depths of European disfavour.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 49: "My Three Years in America," by Count Bernstorff, p. 294.]
+
+[Footnote 50: This narrative is based upon memoranda made by Page.]
+
+[Footnote 51: It was delivered and published on January 22nd.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXI
+
+THE UNITED STATES AT WAR
+
+
+I
+
+The United States broke off diplomatic relations with Germany on
+February 3, 1917. The occasion was a memorable one in the American
+Embassy in London, not unrelieved by a touch of the ridiculous. All day
+long a nervous and rather weary company had waited in the Ambassador's
+room for the decisive word from Washington. Mr. and Mrs. Page, Mr. and
+Mrs. Laughlin, Mr. Shoecraft, the Ambassador's secretary, sat there hour
+after hour, hardly speaking to one another in their tense excitement,
+waiting for the news that would inform them that Bernstorff's course had
+been run and that their country had taken its decision on the side of
+the Allies. Finally, at nine o'clock in the evening, the front door bell
+rang. Mr. Shoecraft excitedly left the room; half way downstairs he met
+Admiral William Reginald Hall, the head of the British Naval
+Intelligence, who was hurrying up to the Ambassador. Admiral Hall, as he
+spied Mr. Shoecraft, stopped abruptly and uttered just two words:
+
+"Thank God!"
+
+He then went into the Ambassador's room and read a secret code message
+which he had just received from Captain Gaunt, the British naval attaché
+at Washington. It was as follows:
+
+"Bernstorff has just been given his passports. I shall probably get
+drunk to-night!"
+
+It was in this way that Page first learned that the long tension had
+passed.
+
+Page well understood that the dismissal of Bernstorff at that time meant
+war with the Central Empires. Had this dismissal taken place in 1915,
+after the sinking of the _Lusitania_, or in 1916, after the sinking of
+the _Sussex_, Page believed that a simple break in relations would in
+itself have brought the war to an early end. But by February, 1917,
+things had gone too far. For Germany had now decided to stake everything
+upon the chance of winning a quick victory with the submarine. Our
+policy had persuaded the Kaiser's advisers that America would not
+intervene; and the likelihood of rapidly starving Great Britain was so
+great--indeed the Germans had reduced the situation to a mathematical
+calculation of success--that an American declaration of war seemed to
+Berlin to be a matter of no particular importance. The American
+Ambassador in London regarded Bernstorff's dismissal much more
+seriously. It justified the interpretations of events which he had been
+sending to Mr. Wilson, Colonel House, and others for nearly three years.
+If Page had been inclined to take satisfaction in the fulfilment of his
+own prophecies, Germany's disregard of her promises and the American
+declaration of war would have seemed an ample justification of his
+course as ambassador.
+
+[Illustration: Walter H. Page, at the time of America's entry into the
+war, April, 1917]
+
+[Illustration: Resolution passed by the two Houses of Parliament, April
+18, 1917, on America's entry into the war]
+
+But Page had little time for such vain communings. "All that water," as
+he now wrote, "has flowed over the dam." Occasionally his mind would
+revert to the dreadful period of "neutrality," but in the main his
+activities, mental and physical, were devoted to the future. A letter
+addressed to his son Arthur shows how quickly and how sympathetically he
+was adjusting himself to the new prospect. His mind was now occupied
+with ships, food, armies, warfare on submarines, and the approaching
+resettlement of the world. How completely he foresaw the part that
+the United States must play in the actual waging of hostilities, and to
+what an extent he himself was responsible for the policies that
+ultimately prevailed, appears in this letter:
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ 25 March, 1917, London.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ It's very hard, not to say impossible, to write in these swiftly
+ moving days. Anything written to-day is out of date to-morrow--even
+ if it be not wrong to start with. The impression becomes stronger
+ here every day that we shall go into the war "with both feet"--that
+ the people have pushed the President over in spite of his vision of
+ the Great Peacemaker, and that, being pushed over, his idea now
+ will be to show how he led them into a glorious war in defense of
+ democracy. That's my reading of the situation, and I hope I am not
+ wrong. At any rate, ever since the call of Congress for April 2nd,
+ I have been telegraphing tons of information and plans that can be
+ of use only if we go to war. Habitually they never acknowledge the
+ receipt of anything at Washington. I don't know, therefore, whether
+ they like these pieces of information or not. I have my staff of
+ twenty-five good men getting all sorts of warlike information; and
+ I have just organized twenty-five or thirty more--the best business
+ Americans in London--who are also at work. I am trying to get the
+ Government at Washington to send over a committee of conference--a
+ General, an Admiral, a Reserve Board man, etc., etc. If they do
+ half the things that I recommend we'll be in at the final lickin'
+ big, and will save our souls yet.
+
+ There's lots of human nature in this world. A note is now
+ sometimes heard here in undertone (Northcliffe strikes it)--that
+ they don't want the Americans in the war. This means that if we
+ come in just as the Allies finish the job we'll get credit, in
+ part, for the victory, which we did little to win! But that's a
+ minor note. The great mass of people do want us in, quick, hard,
+ and strong--our money and our guns and our ships.
+
+ A gift of a billion dollars[52] to France will fix Franco-American
+ history all right for several centuries. Push it through. Such a
+ gift could come to this Kingdom also but for the British stupidity
+ about the Irish for three hundred years. A big loan to Great
+ Britain at a low rate of interest will do the work here.
+
+ My mind keeps constantly on the effect of the war and especially of
+ our action on our own country. Of course that is the most important
+ end of the thing for us. I hope that--
+
+ 1. It will break up and tear away our isolation;
+
+ 2. It will unhorse our cranks and soft-brains.
+
+ 3. It will make us less promiscuously hospitable to every kind of
+ immigrant;
+
+ 4. It will reëstablish in our minds and conscience and policy our
+ true historic genesis, background, kindred, and destiny--i.e., kill
+ the Irish and the German influence.
+
+ 5. It will revive our real manhood--put the molly-coddles in
+ disgrace, as idiots and dandies are;
+
+ 6. It will make our politics frank and manly by restoring our true
+ nationality;
+
+ 7. It will make us again a great sea-faring people. It is this that
+ has given Great Britain its long lead in the world;
+
+ 8. Break up our feminized education--make a boy a vigorous animal
+ and make our education rest on a wholesome physical basis;
+
+ 9. Bring men of a higher type into our political life.
+
+ We need waking up and shaking up and invigorating as much as the
+ Germans need taking down.
+
+ There is no danger of "militarism" in any harmful sense among any
+ English race or in any democracy.
+
+ By George! all these things open an interesting outlook and series
+ of tasks--don't they?
+
+ My staff and I are asking everybody what the Americans can best do
+ to help the cause along. The views are not startling, but they are
+ interesting.
+
+ _Jellicoe_: More ships, merchant ships, any kind of ships, and take
+ over the patrol of the American side of the Atlantic and release
+ the British cruisers there.
+
+ _Balfour_: American credits in the United States big enough to keep
+ up the rate of exchange.
+
+ _Bonar Law_: Same thing.
+
+ _The military men_: An expeditionary force, no matter how small,
+ for the effect of the American Flag in Europe. If one regiment
+ marched through London and Paris and took the Flag to the front,
+ that would be worth the winning of a battle.
+
+ Think of the vast increase of territory and power Great Britain
+ will have--her colonies drawn closer than ever, the German
+ colonies, or most of them, taken over by her, Bagdad hers--what a
+ way Germany chose to lessen the British Empire! And these gains of
+ territory will be made, as most of her gains have been, not by any
+ prearranged, set plan, but as by-products of action for some other
+ purpose. The only people who have made a deliberate plan to conquer
+ the earth--now living--are the Germans. And from first to last the
+ additions to the British Empire have been made because she has been
+ a first-class maritime power.
+
+ And that's the way she has made her trade and her money, too.
+
+ On top of this the President speculates about the danger of the
+ white man losing his supremacy because a few million men get
+ killed! The truth is every country that is playing a big part in
+ the war was overpopulated. There will be a considerable productive
+ loss because the killed men were, as a rule, the best men; but the
+ white man's control of the world hasn't depended on any few million
+ of males. This speculation is far up in the clouds. If Russia and
+ Germany really be liberated from social and political and
+ industrial autocracy, this liberation will bring into play far more
+ power than all the men killed in the war could have had under the
+ pre-war régime. I observe this with every year of my
+ observation--there's no substitute for common-sense.
+
+ The big results of the war will, after all, be the freedom and the
+ stimulation of men in these weary Old-World lands--in Russia,
+ Germany itself, and in England. In five or ten years (or sooner,
+ alas!) the dead will be forgotten.
+
+ If you wish to make a picture of the world as it will be when the
+ war ends, you must conjure up such scenes as these--human bones
+ along the Russian highways where the great retreat took place and
+ all that such a sight denotes; Poland literally starved; Serbia,
+ blasted and burned and starved; Armenia butchered; the horrible
+ tragedy of Gallipoli, where the best soldiers in the world were
+ sacrificed to politicians' policies; Austria and Germany starved
+ and whipped but liberalized--perhaps no king in either country;
+ Belgium--belgiumized; northern France the same and worse; more
+ productive Frenchmen killed in proportion to the population perhaps
+ than any other country will have lost; Great Britain--most of her
+ best men gone or maimed; colossal debts; several Teutonic countries
+ bankrupt; every atrocity conceivable committed somewhere--a
+ hell-swept great continent having endured more suffering in three
+ years than in the preceding three hundred. Then, ten years later,
+ most of this suffering a mere memory; governments reorganized and
+ liberalized; men made more efficient by this strenuous three years'
+ work; the fields got back their bloom, and life going on much as it
+ did before--with this chief difference--some kings have gone and
+ many privileges have been abolished. The lessons are two--(1) that
+ no government can successfully set out and conquer the world; and
+ (2) that the hold that privilege holders acquire costs more to
+ dislodge than any one could ever have guessed. That's the sum of
+ it. Kings and privilege mongers, of course, have held the parts of
+ the world separate from one another. They fatten on provincialism,
+ which is mistaken for patriotism. As they lose their grip, human
+ sympathy has its natural play between nations, and civilization has
+ a chance. With any Emperor of Germany left the war will have been
+ half in vain.
+
+ If we (the U.S.A.) cultivate the manly qualities and throw off our
+ cranks and read our own history and be true to our traditions and
+ blood and get some political vigour; then if we emancipate
+ ourselves from the isolation theory and from the landlubber
+ theory--get into the world and build ships, ships, ships, ships,
+ and run them to the ends of the seas, we can dominate the world in
+ trade and in political thought.
+
+ You know I have moments when it occurs to me that perhaps I'd
+ better give whatever working years I may have to telling this
+ story--the story of the larger meaning of the war. There's no
+ bigger theme--never was one so big.
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+On April 1st, the day before President Wilson made his great address
+before Congress requesting that body to declare the existence of a state
+of war with Germany, Page committed to paper a few paragraphs which
+summed up his final judgment of President Wilson's foreign policy for
+the preceding two and a half years.
+
+ Embassy of the United States of America,
+ April 1, 1917.
+
+ In these last days, before the United States is forced into war--by
+ the people's insistence--the preceding course of events becomes
+ even clearer than it was before; and it has been as clear all the
+ time as the nose on a man's face.
+
+ The President began by refusing to understand the meaning of the
+ war. To him it seemed a quarrel to settle economic rivalries
+ between Germany and England. He said to me last September[53] that
+ there were many causes why Germany went to war. He showed a great
+ degree of toleration for Germany; and he was, during the whole
+ morning that I talked with him, complaining of England. The
+ controversies we had with England were, of course, mere by-products
+ of the conflict. But to him they seemed as important as the
+ controversy we had with Germany. In the beginning he had made--as
+ far as it was possible--neutrality a positive quality of mind. He
+ would not move from that position.
+
+ That was his first error of judgment. And by insisting on this he
+ soothed the people--sat them down in comfortable chairs and said,
+ "Now stay there." He really suppressed speech and thought.
+
+ The second error he made was in thinking that he could play a
+ great part as peacemaker--come and give a blessing to these erring
+ children. This was strong in his hopes and ambitions. There was a
+ condescension in this attitude that was offensive.
+
+ He shut himself up with these two ideas and engaged in what he
+ called "thought." The air currents of the world never ventilated
+ his mind.
+
+ This inactive position he has kept as long as public sentiment
+ permitted. He seems no longer to regard himself nor to speak as a
+ leader--only as the mouthpiece of public opinion after opinion has
+ run over him.
+
+ He has not breathed a spirit into the people: he has encouraged
+ them to supineness. He is _not_ a leader, but rather a stubborn
+ phrasemaker.
+
+ And now events and the aroused people seem to have brought the
+ President to the necessary point of action; and even now he may act
+ timidly.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+"One thing pleases me," Page wrote to his son Arthur, "I never lost
+faith in the American people. It is now clear that I was right in
+feeling that they would have gladly come in any time after the
+_Lusitania_ crime. Middle West in the front, and that the German hasn't
+made any real impression on the American nation. He was made a bug-a-boo
+and worked for all he was worth by Bernstorff; and that's the whole
+story. We are as Anglo-Saxon as we ever were. If Hughes had had sense
+and courage enough to say: 'I'm for war, war to save our honour and to
+save democracy,' he would now be President. If Wilson had said that,
+Hughes would have carried no important states in the Union. The
+suppressed people would have risen to either of them. That's God's truth
+as I believe it. The real United States is made up of you and Frank and
+the Page boys at Aberdeen and of the 10,000,000 other young fellows who
+are ready to do the job and who instinctively see the whole truth of the
+situation. But of course what the people would not have done under
+certain conditions--that water also has flowed over the dam; and I
+mention it only because I have resolutely kept my faith in the people
+and there has been nothing in recent events that has shaken it."
+
+Two letters which Page wrote on this same April 1st are interesting in
+that they outline almost completely the war policy that was finally
+carried out:
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday_
+
+ Embassy of the United States of America,
+ April 1, 1917.
+
+ DEAR EFFENDI:
+
+ Here's the programme:
+
+ (1) Our navy in immediate action in whatever way a conference with
+ the British shows we can best help.
+
+ (2) A small expeditionary force to France immediately--as large as
+ we can quickly make ready, if only 10,000 men--as proof that we are
+ ready to do some fighting.
+
+ (3) A large expeditionary force as soon as the men can be organized
+ and equipped. They can be trained into an effective army in France
+ in about one fourth of the time that they could be trained anywhere
+ else.
+
+ (4) A large loan to the Allies at a low rate of interest.
+
+ (5) Ships, ships, ships--troop ships, food ships, munition ships,
+ auxiliary ships to the navy, wooden ships, steel ships, little
+ ships, big ships, ships, ships, ships without number or end.
+
+ (6) A clear-cut expression of the moral issue involved in the war.
+ Every social and political ideal that we stand for is at stake. If
+ we value democracy in the world, this is the chance to further it
+ or--to bring it into utter disrepute. After Russia must come
+ Germany and Austria; and then the King-business will pretty nearly
+ be put out of commission.
+
+ (7) We must go to war in dead earnest. We must sign the Allies'
+ agreement not to make a separate peace, and we must stay in to the
+ end. Then the end will be very greatly hastened.
+
+ It's been four years ago to-day since I was first asked to come
+ here. God knows I've done my poor best to save our country and to
+ help. It'll be four years in the middle of May since I sailed. I
+ shall still do my best. I'll not be able to start back by May 15th,
+ but I have a feeling, if we do our whole duty in the United States,
+ that the end may not be very many months off. And how long off it
+ may be may depend to a considerable degree on our action.
+
+ We are faring very well on army rations. None of us will live to
+ see another time when so many big things are at stake nor another
+ time when our country can play so large or important a part in
+ saving the world. Hold up your end. I'm doing my best here.
+
+ I think of you engaged in the peaceful work of instructing the
+ people, and I think of the garden and crocuses and the smell of
+ early spring in the air and the earth and--push on; I'll be with
+ you before we grow much older or get much grayer; and a great and
+ prosperous and peaceful time will lie before us. Pity me and hold
+ up your end for real American participation. Get together? Yes; but
+ the way to get together is to get in!
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To David F. Houston_[54]
+
+ Embassy of the United States of America,
+ April 1, 1917.
+
+ DEAR HOUSTON:
+
+ The Administration can save itself from becoming a black blot on
+ American history only by vigorous action--acts such as these:
+
+ Putting our navy to work--vigorous work--wherever and however is
+ wisest. I have received the Government's promise to send an Admiral
+ here at once for a conference. We must work out with the British
+ Navy a programme whereby we can best help; and we must carry it
+ without hesitancy or delay.
+
+ Sending over an expeditionary military force immediately--a small
+ one, but as large as we can, as an earnest of a larger one to come.
+ This immediate small one will have a good moral effect; and we need
+ all the moral reinstatement that we can get in the estimation of
+ the world; our moral stock is lower than, I fear, any of you at
+ home can possibly realize. As for a larger expeditionary force
+ later--even that ought to be sent quite early. It can and must
+ spend some time in training in France, whatever its training
+ beforehand may have been. All the military men agree that soldiers
+ in France back of the line can be trained in at least half the time
+ that they can be trained anywhere else. The officers at once take
+ their turn in the trenches, and the progress that they and their
+ men make in close proximity to the fighting is one of the
+ remarkable discoveries of the war. The British Army was so trained
+ and all the colonial forces. Two or three or four hundred thousand
+ Americans could be sent over as soon almost as they are organized
+ and equipped-provided transports and a continuous supply of food
+ and munition ships can be got. They can be trained into fighting
+ men--into an effective army--in about one third of the time that
+ would be required at home.
+
+ I suppose, of course, we shall make at once a large loan to the
+ Allies at a low rate of interest. That is most important, but that
+ alone will not save us. We must also _fight_.
+
+ All the ships we can get--build, requisition, or confiscate--are
+ needed immediately.
+
+ Navy, army, money, ships--these are the first things, but by no
+ means all. We must make some expression of a conviction that there
+ is a moral question of right and wrong involved in this war--a
+ question of humanity, a question of democracy. So far we have
+ (officially) spoken only of the wrongs done to our ships and
+ citizens. Deep wrongs have been done to all our moral ideas, to our
+ ideals. We have sunk very low in European opinion because we do not
+ seem to know even yet that a German victory would be less desirable
+ than (say) a Zulu victory of the world.
+
+ We must go in with the Allies, not begin a mere single fight
+ against submarines. We must sign the pact of London--not make a
+ separate peace.
+
+ We mustn't longer spin dreams about peace, nor leagues to enforce
+ peace, nor the Freedom of the Seas. These things are mere
+ intellectual diversions of minds out of contact with realities.
+ Every political and social ideal we have is at stake. If we make
+ them secure, we'll save Europe from destruction and save ourselves,
+ too. I pray for vigour and decision and clear-cut resolute action.
+
+ (1) The Navy--full strength, no "grapejuice" action.
+
+ (2) An immediate expeditionary force.
+
+ (3) A larger expeditionary force very soon.
+
+ (4) A large loan at a low interest.
+
+ (5) Ships, ships, ships.
+
+ (6) A clear-cut expression of the moral issue. Thus (and only thus)
+ can we swing into a new era, with a world born again.
+
+ Yours in strictest confidence,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+A memorandum, written on April 3rd, the day after President Wilson
+advised Congress to declare a state of war with Germany:
+
+ _The Day_
+
+ When I went to see Mr. Balfour to-day he shook my hand warmly and
+ said: "It's a great day for the world." And so has everybody said,
+ in one way or another, that I have met to-day.
+
+ The President's speech did not appear in the morning papers--only a
+ very brief summary in one or two of them; but the meaning of it was
+ clear. The fact that the House of Representatives organized itself
+ in one day and that the President addressed Congress on the evening
+ of that day told the story. The noon papers had the President's
+ speech in full; and everybody applauds.
+
+ My "Cabinet" meeting this morning was unusually interesting; and
+ the whole group has never before been so delighted. I spoke of the
+ suggestive, constructive work we have already done in making
+ reports on various war preparations and activities of this kingdom.
+ "Now we have greater need than ever, every man to do constructive
+ work--to think of plans to serve. We are in this excellent
+ strategical position in the capital of the greatest belligerent--a
+ position which I thank my stars, the President, and all the powers
+ that be for giving us. We can each strive to justify our
+ existence."
+
+ Few visitors called; but enthusiastic letters have begun to come
+ in.
+
+ Nearly the whole afternoon was spent with Mr. Balfour and Lord
+ Robert Cecil. Mr. Balfour had a long list of subjects. Could we
+ help in (1)--(2)--(3)?--Every once in a while he stopped his
+ enumeration of subjects long enough to tell me how the action of
+ the United States had moved him.
+
+ To Lord Robert I said: "I pray you, give the Black List a decent
+ burial: It's dead now, but through no act of yours. It insulted
+ every American because you did not see that it was insulting:
+ that's the discouraging fact to me." He thanked me earnestly. He'll
+ think about that.
+
+
+II
+
+These jottings give only a faint impression of the change which the
+American action wrought in Page. The strain which he had undergone for
+twenty-nine months had been intense; it had had the most unfortunate
+effect upon his health; and the sudden lifting might have produced that
+reaction for the worse which is not unusual after critical experiences
+of this kind. But the gratification which Page felt in the fact that the
+American spirit had justified his confidence gave him almost a certain
+exuberance of contentment. Londoners who saw him at that time describe
+him as acting like a man from whose shoulders a tremendous weight had
+suddenly been removed. For more than two years Page had been compelled,
+officially at least, to assume a "neutrality" with which he had never
+had the slightest sympathy, but the necessity for this mask now no
+longer existed. A well-known Englishman happened to meet Page leaving
+his house in Grosvenor Square the day after the Declaration of War. He
+stopped and shook the Ambassador's hand.
+
+"Thank God," the Englishman said, "that there is one hypocrite less in
+London to-day."
+
+"What do you mean?" asked Page.
+
+"I mean you. Pretending all this time that you were neutral! That isn't
+necessary any longer."
+
+"You are right!" the Ambassador answered as he walked on with a laugh
+and a wave of the hand.
+
+A few days after the Washington Declaration, the American Luncheon Club
+held a feast in honour of the event. This organization had a membership
+of representative American business men in London, but its behaviour
+during the war had not been based upon Mr. Wilson's idea of neutrality.
+Indeed its tables had so constantly rung with denunciations of the
+_Lusitania_ notes that all members of the American Embassy, from Page
+down, had found it necessary to refrain from attending its proceedings.
+When Page arose to address his compatriots on this occasion, therefore,
+he began with the significant words, "I am glad to be back with you
+again," and the mingled laughter and cheers with which this remark was
+received indicated that his hearers had caught the point.
+
+The change took place not only in Page, but in London and the whole of
+Great Britain. An England that had been saying harsh things of the
+United States for nearly two years now suddenly changed its attitude.
+Both houses of Parliament held commemorative sessions in honour of
+America's participation; in the Commons Mr. Lloyd George, Mr. Asquith,
+and other leaders welcomed their new allies, and in the Upper Chamber
+Lord Curzon, Lord Bryce, the Archbishop of Canterbury, and others
+similarly voiced their admiration. The Stars and Stripes almost
+instantaneously broke out on private dwellings, shops, hotels, and
+theatres; street hucksters did a thriving business selling rosettes of
+the American colours, which even the most stodgy Englishmen did not
+disdain to wear in their buttonholes; wherever there was a band or an
+orchestra, the Star Spangled Banner acquired a sudden popularity; and
+the day even came when the American and the British flags flew side by
+side over the Houses of Parliament--the first occasion in history that
+any other than the British standard had received this honour. The
+editorial outgivings of the British press on America's entrance form a
+literature all their own. The theatres and the music halls, which had
+found in "notes" and "nootrality" an endless theme of entertainment for
+their patrons, now sounded Americanism as their most popular refrain.
+Churches and cathedrals gave special services in honour of American
+intervention, and the King and the President began to figure side by the
+side in the prayer book. The estimation in which President Wilson was
+held changed overnight. All the phrases that had so grieved Englishmen
+were instantaneously forgotten. The President's address before Congress
+was praised as one of the most eloquent and statesmanlike utterances in
+history. Special editions of this heartening document had a rapid sale;
+it was read in school houses, churches, and at public gatherings, and it
+became a most influential force in uplifting the hopes of the Allies and
+inspiring them to renewed activities. Americans everywhere, in the
+streets, at dinner tables, and in general social intercourse, could feel
+the new atmosphere of respect and admiration which had suddenly become
+their country's portion. The first American troops that passed through
+London--a company of engineers, an especially fine body of men--aroused
+a popular enthusiasm which was almost unprecedented in a capital not
+celebrated for its emotional displays. Page himself records one
+particularly touching indication of the feeling for Americans which was
+now universal. "The increasing number of Americans who come through
+England," he wrote, "most of them on their way to France, but some of
+them also to serve in England, give much pleasure to the British
+public--nurses, doctors, railway engineers, sawmill units, etc. The
+sight of every American uniform pleases London. The other morning a
+group of American nurses gathered with the usual crowd in front of
+Buckingham Palace while the Guards band played inside the gates. Man
+after man as they passed them and saw their uniforms lifted their hats."
+
+[Illustration: The Rt. Hon. David Lloyd George, Chancellor of the
+Exchequer, 1908-1915, Minister of Munitions, 1915-1916, Prime Minister
+of Great Britain, 1916-1922]
+
+[Illustration: The Rt. Hon. Arthur James Balfour (now the Earl of
+Balfour) Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, 1916-1919]
+
+The Ambassador's mail likewise underwent a complete transformation. His
+correspondence of the preceding two years, enormous in its extent, had
+contained much that would have disturbed a man who could easily get
+excited over trifles, but this aspect of his work never caused Page the
+slightest unhappiness. Almost every crank in England who disliked the
+American policy had seemed to feel it his duty to express his opinions
+to the American Ambassador. These letters, at times sorrowful, at others
+abusive, even occasionally threatening, varying in their style from
+cultivated English to the grossest illiteracy, now written in red ink to
+emphasize their bitterness, now printed in large block letters to
+preserve their anonymity, aroused in Page only a temporary amusement.
+But the letters that began to pour in upon him after our Declaration,
+many of them from the highest placed men and women in the Kingdom,
+brought out more vividly than anything else the changed position of his
+country. Sonnets and verses rained upon the Embassy, most of them
+pretty bad as poetry, but all of them commendable for their admiring and
+friendly spirit. Of all these letters those that came from the steadfast
+friends of America perhaps gave Page the greatest satisfaction. "You
+will have been pleased at the universal tribute paid to the spirit as
+well as to the lofty and impressive terms of the President's speech,"
+wrote Lord Bryce. "Nothing finer in our time, few things so fine." But
+probably the letter which gave Page the greatest pleasure was that which
+came from the statesman whose courtesy and broad outlook had eased the
+Ambassador's task in the old neutrality days. In 1916, Sir Edward
+Grey--now become Viscount Grey of Fallodon--had resigned office, forced
+out, Page says in one of his letters, mainly because he had refused to
+push the blockade to a point where it might produce a break with the
+United States. He had spent the larger part of the time since that event
+at his country place in Northumberland, along the streams and the
+forests which had always given him his greatest pleasure, attempting to
+recover something of the health that he had lost in the ten years which
+he had spent as head of the British Foreign Office and bearing with
+characteristic cheerfulness and fortitude the tragedy of a gradually
+failing eyesight. The American Declaration of War now came to Lord Grey
+as the complete justification of his policy. The mainspring of that
+policy, as already explained, had been a determination to keep the
+friendship of the United States, and so shape events that the support of
+this country would ultimately be cast on the side of the Allies. And now
+the great occasion for which he had prepared had come, and in Grey's
+mind this signified more than a help to England in soldiers and ships;
+it meant bringing together the two branches of a common race for the
+promotion of common ideals.
+
+ _From Viscount Grey of Fallodon_
+
+ Rosehall Post Office,
+
+ Sutherland,
+
+ April 8, 1917.
+
+ DEAR MR. PAGE:
+
+ This is a line that needs no answer to express my congratulations
+ on President Wilson's address. I can't express adequately all that
+ I feel. Great gratitude and great hope are in my heart. I hope now
+ that some great and abiding good to the world will yet be wrought
+ out of all this welter of evil. Recent events in Russia, too,
+ stimulate this hope: they are a good in themselves, but not the
+ power for good in this war that a great and firmly established free
+ country like the United States can be. The President's address and
+ the way it has been followed up in your country is a splendid
+ instance of great action finely inspired. I glow with admiration.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+
+ GREY OF FALLODON
+
+One Englishman who was especially touched by the action of the United
+States was His Majesty the King. Few men had watched the course of
+America during the war with more intelligent interest than the head of
+the British royal house. Page had had many interviews with King George
+at Buckingham Palace and at Windsor, and his notes contain many
+appreciative remarks on the King's high character and conscientious
+devotion to his duties. That Page in general did not believe in kings
+and emperors as institutions his letters reveal; yet even so profound a
+Republican as he recognized sterling character, whether in a crowned
+head or in a humble citizen, and he had seen enough of King George to
+respect him. Moreover, the peculiar limitations of the British monarchy
+certainly gave it an unusual position and even saved it from much of the
+criticism that was fairly lavished upon such nations as Germany and
+Austria. Page especially admired King George's frankness in recognizing
+these limitations and his readiness to accommodate himself to the
+British Constitution. On most occasions, when these two men met, their
+intercourse was certainly friendly or at least not formidable. After all
+formalities had been exchanged, the King would frequently draw the
+Ambassador aside; the two would retire to the smoking room, and there,
+over their cigars, discuss a variety of matters--submarines,
+international politics, the Irish question and the like. His Majesty was
+not averse even to bringing up the advantages of the democratic and the
+monarchical system. The King and Ambassador would chat, as Page himself
+would say, like "two human beings"; King George is an emphatic and
+vivacious talker, fond of emphasizing his remarks by pounding the table;
+he has the liveliest sense of humour, and enjoys nothing quite so much
+as a good story. Page found that, on the subject of the Germans, the
+King entertained especially robust views. "They are my kinsmen," he
+would say, "but I am ashamed of them."
+
+Probably most Englishmen, in the early days of the war, preferred that
+the United States should not engage in hostilities; even after the
+_Lusitania_, the majority in all likelihood held this view. There are
+indications, however, that King George favoured American participation.
+A few days after the _Lusitania_ sinking, Page had an audience for the
+purpose of presenting a medal sent by certain societies in New Orleans.
+Neither man was thinking much about medals that morning. The thoughts
+uppermost in their minds, as in the minds of most Americans and
+Englishmen, were the _Lusitania_ and the action that the United States
+was likely to take concerning it. After the formalities of presentation,
+the King asked Page to sit down and talked with him for more than half
+an hour. "He said that Germany was evidently trying to force the United
+States into the war; that he had no doubt we would soon be in it and
+that, for his part, he would welcome us heartily. The King also said he
+had reliable information from Germany, that the Emperor had wished to
+return a conciliatory answer to our _Lusitania_ note, but that Admiral
+von Tirpitz had prevented it, even going so far as to 'threaten' the
+Kaiser. It appears that the Admiral insisted that the submarine was the
+only weapon the Germans could use with effect against England and that
+they could not afford to give it up. He was violent and the Kaiser
+finally yielded[55]."
+
+The statement from the King at that crisis, that he would "heartily
+welcome the United States into the war," was interpreted by the
+Ambassador as amounting practically to an invitation--and certainly as
+expressing a wish that such an intervention should take place.
+
+That the American participation would rejoice King George could
+therefore be taken for granted. Soon after this event, the Ambassador
+and Mrs. Page were invited to spend the night at Windsor.
+
+"I arrived during the middle of the afternoon," writes Page, "and he
+sent for me to talk with him in his office.
+
+"'I've a good story on you,' said he. 'You Americans have a queer use of
+the word "some," to express mere bigness or emphasis. We are taking that
+use of the word from you over here. Well, an American and an Englishman
+were riding in the same railway compartment. The American read his
+paper diligently--all the details of a big battle. When he got done, he
+put the paper down and said: "Some fight!" "And some don't!" said the
+Englishman.'
+
+"And the King roared. 'A good one on you!'
+
+"'The trouble with that joke, sir,' I ventured to reply, 'is that it's
+out of date.'
+
+"He was in a very gay mood, surely because of our entry into the war.
+After the dinner--there were no guests except Mrs. Page and me, the
+members of his household, of course, being present--he became even
+familiar in the smoking room. He talked about himself and his position
+as king. 'Knowing the difficulties of a limited monarch, I thank heaven
+I am spared being an absolute one.'
+
+"He went on to enumerate the large number of things he was obliged to
+do, for example, to sign the death warrant of every condemned man--and
+the little real power that he had--not at all in a tone of complaint,
+but as a merely impersonal explanation.
+
+"Just how much power--perhaps 'influence' is a better word--the King
+has, depends on his personality. The influence of the throne--and of him
+on the throne, being a wholly thoughtful, industrious, and conscientious
+man--is very great--greatest of all in keeping the vested interests of
+the aristocratic social structure secure.
+
+"Earlier than this visit to Windsor he sent for me to go to Buckingham
+Palace very soon after we declared war. He went over the whole course of
+events--and asked me many questions. After I had risen and said
+'good-bye' and was about to bow myself out the door, he ran toward me
+and waving his hand cried out, 'Ah--Ah!--we knew where _you_ stood all
+the time.'
+
+"When General Pershing came along on his way to France, the King
+summoned us to luncheon. The luncheon was eaten (here, as everywhere,
+strict war rations are observed) to a flow of general talk, with the
+Queen, Princess Mary, and one of the young Princes. When they had gone
+from the luncheon room, the King, General Pershing, and I stood smoking
+by the window; and the King at once launched into talk about guns,
+rifles, ammunition, and the American place in the battle line. Would our
+place be with the British or with the French or between the two?
+
+"General Pershing made a diplomatic reply. So far as he knew the
+President hadn't yet made a final decision, but there was a feeling
+that, since we were helping the British at sea, perhaps we ought to help
+the French on land.
+
+"Then the King expressed the earnest hope that our guns and ammunition
+would match either the British or the French. Else if we happened to run
+out of ammunition we could not borrow from anybody. He thought it most
+unfortunate that the British and French guns and rifles were of
+different calibres."
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ Brighton, England,
+
+ April 28, 1917.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... Well, the British have given us a very good welcome into the
+ war. They are not very skillful at such a task: they do not know
+ how to say "Welcome" very vociferously. But they have said it to
+ the very best of their ability. My speeches (which I send you, with
+ some comment) were very well received indeed. Simple and obvious as
+ they were, they meant a good deal of work.
+
+ I cannot conceal nor can I express my gratification that we are in
+ the war. I shall always wonder but never find out what influence I
+ had in driving the President over. All I know is that my letters
+ and telegrams for nearly two years--especially for the last twelve
+ months--have put before him every reason that anybody has expressed
+ why we should come in--in season and out of season. And there is no
+ new reason--only more reason of the same old sort--why we should
+ have come in now than there was why we should have come in a year
+ ago. I suspect that the pressure of the press and of public opinion
+ really became too strong for him. And, of course, the Peace-Dream
+ blew up--was torpedoed, mined, shot, captured, and killed. I trust,
+ too, much enlightenment will be furnished by the two Commissions
+ now in Washington[56]. Yet it's comical to think of the attitude of
+ the poor old Department last September and its attitude now. But
+ thank God for it! Every day now brings a confession of the blank
+ idiocy of its former course and its long argument! Never mind that,
+ so long as we are now right.
+
+ I have such a sense of relief that I almost feel that my job is now
+ done. Yet, I dare say, my most important work is still to come.
+
+ The more I try to reach some sort of rational judgment about the
+ war, the more I find myself at sea. It does look as if the very
+ crisis is near. And there can be no doubt now--not even, I hope, in
+ the United States--about the necessity of a clear and decisive
+ victory, nor about punishment. All the devastation of Northern
+ France, which outbarbarizes barbarism, all the ships sunk,
+ including hospital ships, must be paid for; that's all. There'll be
+ famine in Europe whenever it end. Not only must these destructions
+ be paid for, but the Hohenzollerns and all they stand for must go.
+ Trust your Frenchman for that, if nobody else!
+
+ If Europe had the food wasted in the United States, it would make
+ the difference between sustenance and famine. By the way, the
+ submarine has made every nation a danger zone except those few that
+ have self-feeding continents, such as ours. It can bring famine to
+ any other kind of a country.
+
+ You are now out in the country again--good. Give Mollie my love and
+ help her with the garden. I envy you the fresh green things to eat.
+ Little Mollie, kiss her for granddaddy. The Ambassador, I suppose,
+ waxes even sturdier, and I'm glad to hear that A.W.P., Jr., is
+ picking up. Get him fed right at all costs. If Frank stays at home
+ and Ralph and his family come up, you'll all have a fine summer.
+ We've the very first hint of summer we've had, and it's cheerful to
+ see the sky and to feel the sunshine.
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday_
+
+ American Embassy,
+
+ London, May 3, 1917.
+
+ DEAR EFFENDI:
+
+ I aim this at you. It may hit a German submarine. But we've got to
+ take our chances in these days of risk. Your letter from the
+ tropics--a letter from you from any place is as scarce as
+ peace!--gave me a pleasant thrill and reminder of a previous state
+ of existence, a long way back in the past. I wonder if, on your
+ side the ocean you are living at the rate of a century a year, as
+ we are here? Here in bountiful England we are living on rations. I
+ spent a night with the King a fortnight ago, and he gave us only so
+ much bread, one egg apiece, and--lemonade. We are to begin bread
+ tickets next week. All this is perfectly healthful and wholesome
+ and as much as I ever eat. But the hard part of it is that it's
+ necessary. We haven't more than six weeks' food supply and the
+ submarines sunk eighty-eight ships--237,000 tons--last week. These
+ English do not publish these harrowing facts, and nobody knows them
+ but a few official people. And they are destroying the submarines
+ at a most beggarly slow rate. They work far out at sea--100 to 200
+ miles--and it's as hard to find them as it would be to find whales.
+ The simple truth is we are in a dangerous plight. If they could
+ stop this submarine warfare, the war would pretty quickly be won,
+ for the Germans are in a far worse plight for food and materials
+ and they are getting much the worst of it on land. The war would be
+ won this summer or autumn if the submarine could be put out of
+ business. If it isn't, the Germans may use this success to keep
+ their spirits up and go on till next year.
+
+ We (the United States) have about 40 destroyers. We are sending
+ over 6! I'm doing my best to persuade the Government at Washington
+ to send every one we have. But, since the British conceal the facts
+ from their own press and the people and from all the world, the
+ full pressure of the situation is hard to exert on Washington. Our
+ Admiral (Sims) and I are trying our best, and we are spending
+ enough on cables to build a destroyer. All this, you must, of
+ course, regard as a dark secret; but it's a devilish black secret.
+
+ I don't mean that there's any danger of losing the war. Even if the
+ British armies have to have their food cut down and people here go
+ hungry, they'll win; but the winning may be a long time off.
+ Nothing but their continued success can keep the Germans going.
+ Their people are war-weary and hungry. Austria is knocked out and
+ is starving. Turkey is done up but can go on living on nothing,
+ but not fighting much more. When peace comes, there'll be a general
+ famine, on the continent at least, and no ships to haul food. This
+ side of the world will have to start life all over again--with
+ insufficient men to carry things on and innumerable maimed men
+ who'll have (more or less) to be cared for. The horror of the whole
+ thing nobody realizes. We've all got used to it here; and nobody
+ clearly remembers just what the world was like in peace times;
+ those times were so far away. All this I write not to fill you with
+ horrors but to prove that I speak the literal truth when I say that
+ it seems a hundred years since I had before heard from you.
+
+ Just how all this affects a man, no man can accurately tell. Of how
+ much use I'll be when I can get home, I don't know. Sometimes I
+ think that I shall be of vastly greater use than ever. Plans and
+ publishing ambitions pop up in my mind at times which look good and
+ promising. I see books and series of books. I see most useful
+ magazine stuff. Then, before I can think anything out to a clear
+ plan or conclusion, the ever-increasing official duties and
+ responsibilities here knock everything else out of my head, perhaps
+ for a whole month. It's a literal fact that many a month I do not
+ have an hour to do with as I please nor to think about what I
+ please, from the time I wake up till I go to bed. In spite of
+ twenty-four secretaries (the best fellows that ever were and the
+ best staff that any Embassy ever had in the world) more and more
+ work comes to me. I thank Heaven we no longer have the interests of
+ Germany, Austria, and Turkey to look after; but with our coming
+ into the war, work in general has increased enormously. I have to
+ spend very much more time with the different departments of the
+ British Government on war plans and such like things. They have
+ welcomed us in very handsomely; and one form of their welcome is
+ consulting with me about--navy plans, war plans, loans of billions,
+ ships, censorship, secret service--everything you ever heard of. At
+ first it seemed a little comical for the admirals and generals and
+ the Governor of the Bank of England to come and ask for advice. But
+ when I gave it and it worked out well, I went on and, after all,
+ the thing's easier than it looks. With a little practice you can
+ give these fellows several points in the game and play a pretty
+ good hand. They don't know half as much as you might suppose they'd
+ know. All these years of lecturing the State Department and the
+ President got my hand in! The whole game is far easier than any
+ small business. You always play with blue chips better than you
+ play with white ones.
+
+ This country and these people are not the country and the people
+ they were three years ago. They are very different. They are much
+ more democratic, far less cocksure, far less haughty, far humbler.
+ The man at the head of the army rose from the ranks. The Prime
+ Minister is a poor Welsh schoolteacher's son, without early
+ education. The man who controls all British shipping began life as
+ a shipping "clark," at ten shillings a week. Yet the Lords and
+ Ladies, too, have shown that they were made of the real stuff. This
+ experience is making England over again. There never was a more
+ interesting thing to watch and to be part of.
+
+ There are about twenty American organizations here--big, little,
+ rag-tag, and bobtail. When we declared war, every one of 'em
+ proceeded to prepare for some sort of celebration. There would have
+ been an epidemic of Fourth-of-July oratory all over the
+ town--before we'd done anything--Americans spouting over the edges
+ and killing Kruger with their mouths. I got representatives of 'em
+ all together and proposed that we hold our tongues till we'd won
+ the war--then we can take London. And to give one occasion when we
+ might all assemble and dedicate ourselves to this present grim
+ business, I arranged for an American Dedicatory Service at St.
+ Paul's Cathedral. The royal family came, the Government came, the
+ Allied diplomats came, my Lords and Ladies came, one hundred
+ wounded American (Canadian) soldiers came--the pick of the Kingdom;
+ my Navy and Army staff went in full uniform, the Stars and Stripes
+ hung before the altar, a double brass band played the Star Spangled
+ Banner and the Battle Hymn of the Republic, and an American bishop
+ (Brent) preached a red-hot American sermon, the Archbishop of
+ Canterbury delivered the benediction; and (for the first time in
+ English history) a foreign flag (the Stars and Stripes) flew over
+ the Houses of Parliament. It was the biggest occasion, so they say,
+ that St. Paul's ever had. And there's been no spilling of American
+ oratory since! If you had published a shilling edition of the words
+ and music of the Star Spangled Banner and the Battle Hymn you could
+ have sent a cargo of 'em here and sold them. There isn't paper
+ enough in this Kingdom to get out an edition here.
+
+ Give my love to all the Doubledays and to all the fellows in the
+ shop, and (I wonder if you will) try your hand at another letter.
+ You write very legibly these days!
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+"Curiously enough," Page wrote about this time, "these most exciting
+days of the war are among the most barren of exciting topics for private
+correspondence. The 'atmosphere' here is unchanging--to us--and the
+British are turning their best side to us continuously. They are
+increasingly appreciative, and they see more and more clearly that our
+coming into the war is all that saved them from a virtual defeat--I mean
+the public sees this more and more clearly, for, of course, the
+Government has known it from the beginning. I even find a sort of morbid
+fear lest they do not sufficiently show their appreciation. The
+Archbishop last night asked me in an apprehensive tone whether the
+American Government and public felt that the British did not
+sufficiently show their gratitude. I told him that we did not come into
+the war to win compliments but to whip the enemy, and that we wanted all
+the help the British can give: that's the main thing; and that
+thereafter of course we liked appreciation, but that expressions of
+appreciation had not been lacking. Mr. Balfour and Sir Edward Carson
+also spoke to me yesterday much in the same tone as the Archbishop of
+Canterbury.
+
+"Try to think out any line of action that one will, or any future
+sequence of events or any plan touching the war, one runs into the
+question whether the British are doing the best that could be done or
+are merely plugging away. They are, as a people, slow and unimaginative,
+given to over-much self-criticism; but they eternally hold on to a task
+or to a policy. Yet the question forever arises whether they show
+imagination, to say nothing of genius, and whether the waste of a slow,
+plodding policy is the necessary price of victory.
+
+"Of course such a question is easy to ask and it is easy to give
+dogmatic answers. But it isn't easy to give an answer based on facts.
+Our General Lassiter[57], for instance--a man of sound judgment--has in
+general been less hopeful of the military situation in France than most
+of the British officers. But he is just now returned from the front,
+much cheered and encouraged. 'Lassiter,' I asked, 'have the British in
+France or has any man among them what we call genius, or even wide
+vision; or are they merely plodding along at a mechanical task? His
+answer was, 'We don't see genius till it has done its job. It is a
+mechanical task--yes, that's the nature of the struggle--and they surely
+do it with intelligence and spirit. There is waste. There is waste in
+all wars. But I come back much more encouraged.'
+
+"The same sort of questions and answers are asked and given continuously
+about naval action. Every discussion of the possibility of attacking the
+German naval bases ends without a plan. So also with preventing the
+submarines from coming out. These subjects have been continuously under
+discussion by a long series of men who have studied them; and the total
+effect so far has been to leave them among the impossible tasks. So far
+as I can ascertain all naval men among the Allies agree that these
+things can't be done.
+
+"Here again--Is this a merely routine professional opinion--a merely
+traditional opinion--or is it a lack of imagination? The question will
+not down. Yet it is impossible to get facts to combat it. What are the
+limits of the practicable?
+
+"Mr. Balfour told me yesterday his personal conviction about the German
+colonies, which, he said, he had not discussed with his associates in
+the Cabinet. His firm opinion is that they ought not to be returned to
+the Germans, first for the sake of humanity. 'The natives--the Africans
+especially--have been so barbarously treated and so immorally that it
+would be inhuman to permit the Germans to rule and degrade them further.
+But Heaven forbid that we should still further enlarge the British
+Empire. As a practical matter I do not care to do that. Besides, we
+should incur the criticism of fighting in order to get more territory,
+and that was not and is not our aim. If the United States will help us,
+my wish is that these German Colonies that we have taken, especially in
+Africa, should be "internationalized." There are great difficulties in
+such a plan, but they are not insuperable if the great Powers of the
+Allies will agree upon it.' And much more to the same effect. The parts
+of Asiatic Turkey that the British have taken, he thought, might be
+treated in the same way."
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 52: At this time the proposal of such a gift found much
+popular favour. However, the plan was not carried through.]
+
+[Footnote 53: At the meeting of Page and the President at Shadow Lawn,
+September 22, 1916. See Chapter XIX.]
+
+[Footnote 54: Secretary of Agriculture in President Wilson's Cabinet.]
+
+[Footnote 55: The quotation is from a memorandum of the conversation
+made by one of the secretaries of the American Embassy.]
+
+[Footnote 56: The British and French Commissions, headed by Mr. Balfour
+and M. Viviani.]
+
+[Footnote 57: American military attaché in London.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXII
+
+THE BALFOUR MISSION TO THE UNITED STATES
+
+
+I
+
+Page now took up a subject which had been near his heart for a long
+time. He believed that one of the most serious causes of Anglo-American
+misunderstanding was the fact that the leading statesmen of the two
+countries had never had any personal contact with one another. At one
+time, as this correspondence shows, the Ambassador had even hoped that
+President Wilson himself might cross the ocean and make the British
+people an official visit. The proposal, however, was made before the
+European war broke out, the occasion which Page had in mind being the
+dedication of Sulgrave Manor, the old English home of the Washington
+family, as a perpetual memorial to the racial bonds and common ideals
+uniting the two countries. The President found it impossible to act upon
+this suggestion and the outbreak of war made the likelihood of such a
+visit still more remote. Page had made one unsuccessful attempt to bring
+the American State Department and the British Foreign Office into
+personal contact. At the moment when American irritation had been most
+keen over the blockade and the blacklist, Page had persuaded the Foreign
+Office to invite to England Mr. Frank L. Polk, at that time Counsellor
+of the Department; the Ambassador believed that a few conversations
+between such an intelligent gentleman as Mr. Polk and the British
+statesmen would smooth out all the points which were then making things
+so difficult. Unfortunately the pressure of work at Washington prevented
+Mr. Polk from accepting Sir Edward Grey's invitation.
+
+But now a greater necessity for close personal association had arisen.
+The United States had entered the war, and this declaration had
+practically made this country an ally of Great Britain and France. The
+British Government wished to send a distinguished commission to the
+United States, for two reasons: first, to show its appreciation of the
+stand which America had taken, and secondly, to discuss plans for
+coöperation in the common task. Great Britain frankly admitted that it
+had made many mistakes in the preceding three years--mistakes naval,
+military, political, and economic; it would welcome an opportunity to
+display these errors to Washington, which might naturally hope to profit
+from them. As soon as his country was in the war, Page took up this
+suggestion with the Foreign Office. There was of course one man who was
+preëminently fitted, by experience, position, and personal qualities, to
+head such a commission; on this point there was no discussion. Mr.
+Balfour was now in his seventieth year; his activities in British
+politics dated back to the times of Disraeli; his position in Great
+Britain had become as near that of an "elder statesman" as is tolerable
+under the Anglo-Saxon system. By this time Page had established the
+friendliest possible relations with this distinguished man. Mr. Balfour
+had become Foreign Secretary in December, 1916, in succession to Lord
+Grey. Greatly as Page regretted the resignation of Grey, he was much
+gratified that Mr. Balfour had been selected to succeed him. Mr.
+Balfour's record for twenty-five years had been one of consistent
+friendliness toward the United States. When President Cleveland's
+Venezuelan message, in 1896, had precipitated a crisis in the relations
+of the two countries, it was Mr. Balfour's influence which was
+especially potent in causing Great Britain to modify its attitude and to
+accept the American demand for arbitration. That action not only
+amicably settled the Venezuelan question; it marked the beginning of a
+better feeling between the English-speaking countries and laid the basis
+for that policy of benevolent neutrality which Great Britain had
+maintained toward the United States in the Spanish War. The excellent
+spirit which Mr. Balfour had shown at this crisis he had manifested on
+many occasions since. In the criticisms of the United States during the
+_Lusitania_ troubles Mr. Balfour had never taken part. The era of
+"neutrality" had not ruffled the confidence which he had always felt in
+the United States. During all this time the most conspicuous dinner
+tables of London had rung with criticisms of American policy; the fact
+was well known, however, that Mr. Balfour had never sympathized with
+these reproaches; even when he was not in office, no unfriendly word
+concerning the United States had ever escaped his lips. His feeling
+toward this country was well shown in a letter which he wrote Page, in
+reply to one congratulating him on his seventieth birthday. "I have now
+lived a long life," said Mr. Balfour, "and most of my energies have been
+expended in political work, but if I have been fortunate enough to
+contribute, even in the smallest degree, to drawing closer the bonds
+that unite our two countries, I shall have done something compared with
+which all else that I may have attempted counts in my eyes as nothing."
+
+Page's letters and notes contain many references to Mr. Balfour's kindly
+spirit. On the day following the dismissal of Bernstorff the American
+Ambassador lunched with the Foreign Secretary at No. 4 Carlton Gardens.
+
+"Mr. Balfour," Page reported to Washington, "gave expression to the
+hearty admiration which he entertained for the President's handling of a
+difficult task. He said that never for a moment had he doubted the
+President's wisdom in the course he was pursuing. He had the profoundest
+admiration for the manner in which he had promptly broken with Germany
+after receiving Germany's latest note. Nor had he ever entertained the
+slightest question of the American people's ready loyalty to their
+Government or to their high ideals. One of his intellectual pleasures,
+he added, had long been contemplation of the United States as it is and,
+even more, as its influence in the world will broaden. 'The world,' said
+Mr. Balfour, 'will more and more turn on the Great Republic as on a
+pivot.'"
+
+Occasionally Mr. Balfour's discussion of the United States would take a
+more pensive turn. A memorandum which Page wrote a few weeks after the
+above touches another point:
+
+ March 27, 1917.
+
+ I had a most interesting conversation with Mr. Balfour this
+ afternoon. "It's sad to me," said he, "that we are so unpopular, so
+ much more unpopular than the French, in your country. Why is it?
+ The old school books?"
+
+ I doubted the school-book influence.
+
+ "Certainly their influence is not the main cause. It is the
+ organized Irish. Then it's the effect of the very fact that the
+ Irish question is not settled. You've had that problem at your very
+ door for 300 years. What's the matter that you don't solve it?"
+
+ "Yes, yes,"--he saw it. But the plaintive tone of such a man asking
+ such a question was significant and interesting and--sad.
+
+ Then I told him the curious fact that a British Government made up
+ of twenty individuals, every one of whom is most friendly to the
+ United States, will, when they act together as a Government, do the
+ most offensive things. I mentioned the blacklist; I mentioned
+ certain complaints that I then held in my hand--of Americans here
+ who are told by the British Government that they must turn over to
+ the British Government's agent in New York their American
+ securities which they hold in America!
+
+ There's a sort of imperious, arrogant, Tory action that comes
+ natural to the English Government, even when not natural to the
+ individual Englishman.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+On April 5th, the day before the United States formally declared war,
+Page notified Washington that the British Government wished Mr. Balfour
+to go to the United States as the head of a Commission to confer with
+our Government. "Mr. Balfour is chosen for this mission," Page reported,
+"not only because he is Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, but
+because he is personally the most distinguished member of the
+Government." Page tells the story in more detail in a letter to Mr.
+Polk, at that time Counsellor of the State Department.
+
+ _To Frank L. Polk_
+
+ London, May 3, 1917.
+
+ DEAR MR. POLK:
+
+ ... Mr. Balfour accurately represents British character, British
+ opinion, and the British attitude. Nobody who knows him and knows
+ British character and the British attitude ever doubted that. I
+ know his whole tribe, his home-life, his family connections, his
+ friends; and, of course, since he became Foreign Secretary, I've
+ come to know him intimately. When the question first came up here
+ of his going, of course I welcomed it enthusiastically. About that
+ time during a two-hour conversation he asked me why the British
+ were so unpopular in the United States. Among other reasons I told
+ him that our official people on both sides steadfastly refused to
+ visit one another and to become acquainted. Neither he nor Lord
+ Grey, nor Mr. Asquith, nor Mr. Lloyd George, had ever been to the
+ United States, nor any other important British statesman in recent
+ times, and not a single member of the Administration was personally
+ known to a single member of the British Government. "I'll go," said
+ he, "if you are perfectly sure my going will be agreeable to the
+ President." He himself recalled the fact, during one of our several
+ conversations just before he left, that you had not come when he
+ and Lord Grey had invited you. If you had come, by the way, this
+ era of a better understanding would have begun then, and half our
+ old troubles would then have been removed. Keeping away from one
+ another is the best of all methods of keeping all old
+ misunderstandings alive and of making new ones.
+
+ I have no doubt that Mr. Balfour's visit will cause visits of many
+ first-class British statesmen during the war or soon afterward.
+ That's all we need to bring about a perfect understanding.
+
+ You may remember how I tried to get an official report about the
+ behaviour of the _Benham_[58], and how, in the absence of that,
+ Lord Beresford made a disagreeable speech about our Navy in the
+ House of Lords, and how, when months later you sent me
+ Roosevelt's[59] letter, Lord Beresford expressed regret to me and
+ said that he would explain in another speech. I hadn't seen the old
+ fellow for a long time till a fortnight ago. He greeted me
+ cheerily, and I said, "I don't think I ought to shake hands with
+ you till you retract what you said about our navy." He insisted on
+ my dining with him. He invited Admiral Sims also, and those two
+ sailors had a jolly evening of it. Sims's coming has straightened
+ out all that naval misunderstanding and more. He is of immense help
+ to them and to us. But I'm going to make old Beresford's life a
+ burden till he gets up in the Lords and takes that speech
+ back--publicly. He's really all right; but it's just as well to
+ keep the records right. The proceedings of the House of Lords are
+ handsomely bound and go into every gentleman's library. I have seen
+ two centuries of them in many a house.
+
+ We can now begin a distinctly New Era in the world's history and in
+ its management if we rise to the occasion: there's not a shadow of
+ doubt about that. And the United States can play a part bigger than
+ we have yet dreamed of if we prove big enough to lead the British
+ and the French instead of listening to Irish and Germans. Neither
+ England nor France is a democracy--far from it. We can make them
+ both democracies and develop their whole people instead of about 10
+ per cent. of their people. We have simply to conduct our affairs by
+ a large national policy and not by the complaints of our really
+ non-American people. See how a declaration of war has cleared the
+ atmosphere!
+
+ We're happy yet, on rations. There are no potatoes. We have
+ meatless days. Good wheat meantime is sunk every day. The
+ submarine must be knocked out. Else the earth will be ruled by the
+ German bayonet and natural living will be _verboten_. We'll all
+ have to goose-step as the Crown Prince orders or--be shot. I see
+ they now propose that the United States shall pay the big war
+ indemnity in raw materials to the value of hundreds of billions of
+ dollars! Not just yet, I guess!
+
+ As we get reports of what you are doing, it's most cheerful. I
+ assure you, God has yet made nothing or nobody equal to the
+ American people; and I don't think He ever will or can.
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+One of the curious developments of this Balfour Mission was a request
+from President Wilson that Great Britain should take some decisive step
+for the permanent settlement of the Irish question. "The President,"
+this message ran, "wishes that, when you next meet the Prime Minister,
+you would explain to him that only one circumstance now appears to stand
+in the way of perfect coöperation with Great Britain. All Americans who
+are not immediately connected with Germany by blood ties find their one
+difficulty in the failure of Great Britain so far to establish a
+satisfactory form of self-government in Ireland. In the recent debates
+in Congress on the War Resolution, this sentiment was especially
+manifest. It came out in the speeches of those enemies of the
+Declaration who were not Irish themselves nor representatives of
+sections in which Irish voters possessed great influence--notably
+members from the Southern States.
+
+"If the American people were once convinced that there was a likelihood
+that the Irish question would soon be settled, great enthusiasm and
+satisfaction would result and it would also strengthen the coöperation
+which we are now about to organize between the United States and Great
+Britain. Say this in unofficial terms to Mr. Lloyd George, but impress
+upon him its very great significance. If the British Government should
+act successfully on this matter, our American citizens of Irish descent
+and to a great extent the German sympathizers who have made common cause
+with the Irish, would join hands in the great common cause."
+
+ _To the President_
+ London, May 4, 1917.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ ... It is a remarkable commentary on the insularity of the British
+ and on our studied isolation that till Mr. Balfour went over not a
+ member of this Government had ever met a member of our
+ Administration! Quite half our misunderstandings were due to this.
+ If I had the making of the laws of the two governments, I'd have a
+ statutory requirement that at least one visit a year by high
+ official persons should be made either way. We should never have
+ had a blacklist, etc., if that had been done. When I tried the
+ quite humble task of getting Polk to come and the excuse was made
+ that he couldn't be spared from his desk--Mr. President, I fear we
+ haven't half enough responsible official persons in our Government.
+ I should say that no man even of Polk's rank ought to have a desk:
+ just as well give him a mill-stone. Even I try not to have a desk:
+ else I'd never get anything of importance done; for I find that
+ talks and conferences in my office and in the government offices
+ and wherever else I can find out things take all my waking hours.
+ The Foreign Office here has about five high position men to every
+ one in the State Department. God sparing me, I'm going one of
+ these days to prepare a paper for our Foreign Affairs Committee on
+ the Waste of Having too Few High Grade Men in the Department of
+ State; a Plea for Five Assistant Secretaries for Every One Now
+ Existing and for Provision for International Visits by Them.
+
+ Here's an ancient and mouldy precedent that needs shattering--for
+ the coming of our country into its proper station and influence in
+ the world.
+
+ I am sure that Mr. Balfour's visit has turned out as well as I
+ hoped, and my hopes were high. He is one of the most interesting
+ men that I've ever had the honour to know intimately--he and Lord
+ Grey. Mr. Balfour is a Tory, of course; and in general I don't like
+ Tories, yet liberal he surely is--a sort of high-toned Scotch
+ democrat. I have studied him with increasing charm and interest.
+ Not infrequently when I am in his office just before luncheon he
+ says, "Come, walk over and we'll have lunch with the family." He's
+ a bachelor. One sister lives with him. Another (Lady Rayleigh, the
+ wife of the great chemist and Chancellor of Cambridge University)
+ frequently visits him. Either of those ladies could rule this
+ Empire. Then there are nieces and cousins always about--people of
+ rare cultivation, every one of 'em. One of those girls confirmed
+ the story that "Uncle Arthur" one day concluded that the niblick
+ was something more than a humble necessity of a bad golfer--that it
+ had positive virtues of its own and had suffered centuries of
+ neglect. He, therefore, proceeded to play with the niblick only,
+ till he proved his case and showed that it is a club entitled to
+ the highest respect.
+
+ A fierce old Liberal fighter in Parliamentary warfare, who entered
+ politics about the time Mr. Balfour did, told me this story the
+ other day. "I've watched Balfour for about forty years as a cat
+ watches a rat. I hate his party. I hated him till I learned better,
+ for I hated that whole Salisbury crowd. They wanted to Cecil
+ everything. But I'll tell you, Sir, apropos of his visit to your
+ country, that in all those years he has never spoken of the United
+ States except with high respect and often with deep affection. I
+ should have caught him, if he had."
+
+ I went with him to a college in London one afternoon where he
+ delivered a lecture on Dryden, to prove that poetry can carry a
+ certain cargo of argument but that argument can't raise the
+ smallest flight of poetry. Dry as it sounds, it was as good a
+ literary performance as I recall I ever heard.
+
+ At his "family" luncheon, I've found Lord Milner or Lord Lansdowne,
+ or some literary man who had come in to find out from Lady Rayleigh
+ how to conduct the Empire or to write a great book; and the modest
+ old chemical Lord sits silent most of the time and now and then
+ breaks loose to confound them all with a pat joke. This is a
+ vigorous family, these Balfours. There's one of them (a cousin of
+ some sort, I think, of the Foreign Secretary) who is a Lord of much
+ of Scotland, about as tall as Ben Nevis is high--a giant of a man.
+ One of his sons was killed early in the war and one was
+ missing--whether dead or not he did not know. Mrs. Page expressed
+ her hope one day to the old man that he had had news from his
+ missing son. "No, no," said he simply, "and me lady is awearying."
+
+ We've been lucky, Mr. President, in these days of immortal horrors
+ and of difficulties between two governments that did not know one
+ another--uncommonly lucky, in the large chances that politics gives
+ for grave errors, to have had two such men in the Foreign Office
+ here as Lord Grey and Mr. Balfour. There are men who were
+ mentioned for this post that would have driven us mad--or to war
+ with them. I'm afraid I've almost outgrown my living hero worship.
+ There isn't worshipful material enough lying around in the world to
+ keep a vigorous reverence in practice. But these two gentlemen by
+ birth and culture have at least sometimes seemed of heroic size to
+ me. It has meant much to know them well. I shall always be grateful
+ to them, for in their quiet, forceful way they helped me much to
+ establish right relations with these people--which, pray God, I
+ hope to retain through whatever new trials we may yet encounter.
+ For it will fall to us yet to loose and to free the British, and a
+ Briton set free is an American. That's all you can do for a man or
+ for a nation of men.
+
+ These Foreign Secretaries are not only men of much greater
+ cultivation than their Prime Ministers but of greater moral force.
+ But I've come to like Lloyd George very much. He'd never deliver a
+ lecture on Dryden, and he doesn't even play a good game of golf;
+ but he has what both Lord Grey and Mr. Balfour lack--a touch of
+ genius--whatever that is--not the kind that takes infinite pains,
+ but the kind that acts as an electric light flashed in the dark. He
+ said to me the other day that experts have nearly been the death of
+ him. "The Government has experts, experts, experts, everywhere. In
+ any department where things are not going well, I have found boards
+ and committees and boards of experts. But in one department at
+ least I've found a substitute for them. I let twenty experts go and
+ I put in one Man, and things began to move at once. Do you know any
+ real Men? When you hear of any, won't you let me know?"
+
+ A little while ago he dined with me, and, after dinner, I took him
+ to a corner of the drawing room and delivered your message to him
+ about Ireland. "God knows, I'm trying," he replied. "Tell the
+ President that. And tell him to talk to Balfour." Presently he
+ broke out--"Madmen, madmen--I never saw any such task," and he
+ pointed across the room to Sir Edward Carson, his First Lord of the
+ Admiralty--"Madmen." "But the President's right. We've got to
+ settle it and we've got to settle it now." Carson and Jellicoe came
+ across the room and sat down with us. "I've been telling the
+ Ambassador, Carson, that we've got to settle the Irish question
+ now--in spite of you.
+
+ "I'll tell you something else we've got to settle now," said
+ Carson. "Else it'll settle us. That's the submarines. The press and
+ public are working up a calculated and concerted attack on Jellicoe
+ and me, and, if they get us, they'll get you. It's an attack on the
+ Government made on the Admiralty. Prime Minister," said this Ulster
+ pirate whose civil war didn't come off only because the big war was
+ begun--"Prime Minister, it may be a fierce attack. Get ready for
+ it." Well, it has been developing ever since. But I can't for the
+ life of me guess at the possible results of an English
+ Parliamentary attack on a government. It's like a baseball man
+ watching a game of cricket. He can't see when the player is out or
+ why, or what caused it. Of course, the submarine may torpedo Lloyd
+ George and his Government. It looks very like it may overturn the
+ Admiralty, as Gallipoli did. If this public finds out the whole
+ truth, it will demand somebody's head. But I'm only a baseball man;
+ cricket is beyond me.
+
+ But Lloyd George will outlive the war as an active force, whatever
+ happen to him in the meantime. He's too heavily charged with
+ electricity to stop activity. The war has ended a good many careers
+ that seemed to have long promise. It is ending more every day. But
+ there is only one Lloyd George, and, whatever else he lack, he
+ doesn't lack life.
+
+ I heard all the speeches in both Houses on the resolution of
+ appreciation of our coming into the war--Bonar Law's, Asquith's
+ (one of the best), Dillon's, a Labour man's, and, in the Lords,
+ Curzon's, Crewe's, the Archbishop's (who delivered in the course of
+ his remarks a benediction on me) and Bryce's (almost the best of
+ all). It wasn't "oratory," but it was well said and well meant.
+ They know how badly they need help and they do mean to be as good
+ to us as their benignant insularity will permit. They are changing.
+ I can't describe the great difference that the war has made in
+ them. They'll almost become docile in a little more time.
+
+ And we came in in the nick of time for them--in very truth. If we
+ hadn't, their exchange would have gone down soon and they know it.
+ I shall never forget the afternoon I spent with Mr. Balfour and Mr.
+ Bonar Law on that subject. They saw blue ruin without our financial
+ help. And now, if we can save them from submarines, those that know
+ will know how vital our help was. Again, the submarine is the great
+ and grave and perhaps the only danger now. If that can be scotched,
+ I believe the whole Teutonic military structure would soon tumble.
+ If not, the Germans may go on as long as they can feed their army,
+ allowing their people to starve.
+
+ Of course, you know, we're on rations now--yet we suffer no
+ inconvenience on that score. But these queer people (they are the
+ most amusing and confusing and contradictory of all God's
+ creatures, these English, whose possibilities are infinite and
+ whose actualities, in many ways, are pitiful)--these queer people
+ are fiercely pursuing food-economy by discussing in the newspapers
+ whether a hen consumes more food than she produces, and whether
+ what dogs eat contains enough human food to justify the shooting of
+ every one in the Kingdom. That's the way we are coming down to
+ humble fare. But nothing can quite starve a people who all live
+ near the sea which yields fish enough near shore to feed them
+ wastefully.
+
+ All along this South shore, where I am to-day[60], I see the Stars
+ and Stripes; and everywhere there is a demand for the words and
+ music of the Battle Hymn of the Republic and the Star Spangled
+ Banner.
+
+ This our-new-Ally business is bringing me a lot of amusing
+ troubles. Theatres offer me boxes, universities offer me degrees,
+ hospitals solicit visits from me, clubs offer me dinners--I'll have
+ to get a new private secretary or two well-trained to say "No"
+ politely, else I shall not have my work done. But all that will
+ presently wear away as everything wears away (quickly, too) in the
+ grim face of this bloody monster of war which is consuming men as a
+ prairie fire consumes blades of grass. There's a family that lives
+ around the corner from this hotel. One son is in the trenches,
+ another is in a madhouse from shell-shock, a third coming home
+ wounded the other day was barely rescued when a torpedo sunk a
+ hospital ship and may lose his reason. I suppose I saw one hundred
+ men this afternoon on a single mile of beach who had lost both
+ legs. Through the wall from my house in London is a hospital. A
+ young Texan has been there, whose legs are gone at the thighs and
+ one arm at the elbow. God pity us for not having organized the
+ world better than this! We'll do it, yet, Mr. President--_you'll_
+ do it; and thank God for you. If we do not organize Europe and
+ make another such catastrophe impossible, life will not be worth
+ being born into except to the few whose days happen to fall between
+ recurring devastations of the world.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+"I hope that the English people," Colonel House wrote to Page about this
+time, "realize how successful Mr. Balfour's visit to America really was.
+There is no man they could have sent who could have done it better. He
+and the President got along marvellously well. The three of us dined and
+spent the evening together and it was delightful to see how sympathetic
+their minds were."
+
+A letter from Mr. Polk also discloses the impression which Mr. Balfour
+made upon Washington:
+
+ _From Frank L. Polk_
+
+ Washington, May 25, 1917.
+
+ MY DEAR MR. PAGE:
+
+ I just want to get off a line to catch the pouch.
+
+ You probably know what a wonderful success the British Mission has
+ been, but I do not think you can realize what a deep impression
+ they have made on all of us. Mr. Balfour really won the affection
+ of us all, and I do not know when I was more sorry to have a man
+ leave than I was to have him go last night. He expressed himself as
+ having been very much impressed with his reception and the way he
+ was treated. He was most fair in all discussions, and I think has a
+ better understanding of our point of view. I had the good fortune
+ of being present at the financial and the diplomatic conferences,
+ and I think we all felt that we were dealing with a sympathetic
+ friend.
+
+ He and the President got on tremendously. The best evidence of that
+ was the fact that the President went up to Congress and sat in the
+ gallery while Mr. Balfour addressed the House. This is without
+ precedent.
+
+ The difficult problem of course was the blacklist and bunkering
+ agreement, but I think we are by that. The important thing now is
+ for the British to make all the concessions possible in connection
+ with the release of goods in Rotterdam and the release of goods in
+ Prize Court, though the cases have not been begun. Of course I mean
+ cases of merely suspicion rather than where there is evidence of
+ wrongdoing.
+
+ The sending of the destroyers and troops abroad is going to do a
+ great deal toward impressing our people with the fact that we
+ really are in the war. I do not think it is thoroughly borne home
+ on the majority yet what a serious road we have chosen.
+
+ With warm regards,
+
+ Yours faithfully,
+
+ FRANK L. POLK.
+
+Mr. Polk's reference to the blacklist recalls an episode which in itself
+illustrates the changed character of the relations that had now been
+established between the American and the British governments. Mr.
+Balfour discussed shipping problems for the most part with Mr. Polk,
+under whose jurisdiction these matters fell. As one of these conferences
+was approaching its end Mr. Balfour slightly coughed, uttered an "er,"
+and gave other indications that he was about to touch upon a ticklish
+question.
+
+"Before I go," he said, "there--er--is one subject I would--er--like to
+say something about."
+
+Mr. Polk at once grasped what was coming.
+
+"I know what you have in mind," said Mr. Polk in his characteristically
+quick way. "You want us to apply your blacklist to neutrals."
+
+In other words, the British hoped that the United States, now that it
+was in the war, would adopt against South America and other offenders
+those same discriminations which this country had so fiercely objected
+to, when it was itself a neutral.
+
+The British statesman gave Mr. Polk one of his most winning smiles and
+nodded.
+
+"Mr. Balfour," said Mr. Polk, "it took Great Britain three years to
+reach a point where it was prepared to violate all the laws of blockade.
+You will find that it will take us only two months to become as great
+criminals as you are!"
+
+Mr. Balfour is usually not explosive in his manifestations of mirth, but
+his laughter, in reply to this statement, was almost uproarious. And the
+State Department was as good as its word. It immediately forgot all the
+elaborate "notes" and "protests" which it had been addressing to Great
+Britain. It became more inexorable than Great Britain had ever been in
+keeping foodstuffs out of neutral countries that were contiguous to
+Germany. Up to the time the United States entered the war, Germany, in
+spite of the watchful British fleet, had been obtaining large supplies
+from the United States through Holland, Denmark, and the Scandinavian
+peninsula. But the United States now immediately closed these leaks. In
+the main this country adopted a policy of "rationing"; that is, it would
+furnish the little nations adjoining Germany precisely the amount of
+food which they needed for their own consumption. This policy was one of
+the chief influences in undermining the German people and forcing their
+surrender. The American Government extended likewise the blacklist to
+South America and other countries, and, in doing so, it bettered the
+instruction of Great Britain herself.
+
+Though the whole story of the blockade thus seems finally to have ended
+in a joke, the whole proceeding has its serious side. The United States
+had been posing for three years as the champion of neutral rights; the
+point of view of Washington had been that there was a great principle at
+stake. If such a principle were involved, it was certainly present in
+just the same degree after the United States became belligerent as in
+the days when we were neutrals. The lofty ideals by which the
+Administration had professed to be guided should have still controlled
+its actions; the mere fact that we, as a belligerent, could obtain
+certain advantages would hardly have justified a great and high-minded
+nation in abandoning its principles. Yet abandon them we did from the
+day that we declared war. We became just as remorseless in disregarding
+the rights of small states as Great Britain--according to our numerous
+blockade notes--had been. Possibly, therefore, Mr. Balfour's mirth was
+not merely sympathetic or humorous; it perhaps echoed his discovery that
+our position for three years had really been nothing but a sham; that
+the State Department had been forcing points in which it did not really
+believe, or in which it did not believe when American interests were
+involved. At any rate, this ending of our long argument with Great
+Britain was a splendid justification for Page; his contention had always
+been that the preservation of civilization was more important than the
+technicalities of the international lawyers. And now the Wilson
+Administration, by throwing into the waste basket all the finespun
+theories with which it had been embarrassing the Allied cause since
+August 4, 1914, accepted--and accepted joyously--his point of view.
+
+
+II
+
+One of the first things which Mr. Balfour did, on his arrival in
+Washington, was personally to explain to President Wilson about the
+so-called "secret treaties." The "secret treaty" that especially preyed
+upon Mr. Wilson's mind, and which led to a famous episode at the
+Versailles Conference, was that which had been made with Italy in 1915,
+as consideration for Italy's participation in the war. Mr. Balfour, in
+telling the President of these territorial arrangements with Italy,
+naturally did not criticise his ally, but it was evident that he
+regarded the matter as something about which the United States should be
+informed.
+
+"This is the sort of thing you have to do when you are engaged in a
+war," he explained, and then he gave Mr. Wilson the details.
+
+Probably the most important information which Mr. Balfour and the French
+and Italian Commissions brought to Washington was the desperate
+situation of the Allied cause. On that point not one of the visiting
+statesmen or military and naval advisers made the slightest attempt at
+concealment. Mr. Balfour emphasized the seriousness of the crisis in one
+of his earliest talks with Mr. McAdoo, Secretary of the Treasury. The
+British statesman was especially interested in the financial situation
+and he therefore took up this matter at an early date with the Treasury
+Department.
+
+"Mr. Balfour," said Mr. McAdoo, "before we make any plans of financial
+assistance it is absolutely necessary that we know precisely where we
+stand. The all-important thing is the question as to how long the war is
+likely to last. If it is only to last a few months, it is evident that
+we need to make very different arrangements than if it is to last
+several years. Just what must we make provision for? Let us assume that
+the United States goes in with all its men and resources--that we
+dedicate all our money, our manufacturing plants, our army, our navy,
+everything we have got, to bringing the war to an end. How long will it
+take?"
+
+Mr. Balfour replied that it would be necessary to consult his naval and
+military advisers before he answered that question. He said that he
+would return in a day or two and make an explicit statement. He did so
+and his answer was this: Under these circumstances--that the United
+States should make war to the full limit of its power, in men and
+resources--the war could not be ended until the summer or the autumn of
+1919. Mr. McAdoo put the same question in the same form to the French
+and Italian Missions and obtained precisely the same answer.
+
+Page's papers show that Mr. Balfour, in the early stages of American
+participation, regarded the financial situation as the thing which
+chiefly threatened the success of the Allied cause. So much greater
+emphasis has been laid upon the submarine warfare that this may at first
+seem rather a misreading of Great Britain's peril. Yet the fact is that
+the high rate of exchange and the depredatory U-boat represented almost
+identically the same danger. The prospect that so darkened the horizon
+in the spring of 1917 was the possible isolation of Great Britain.
+England's weakness, as always, consisted in the fact that she was an
+island, that she could not feed herself with her own resources and that
+she had only about six weeks' supply of food ahead of her at any one
+time. If Germany could cut the lines of communication and so prevent
+essential supplies from reaching British ports, the population of Great
+Britain could be starved into surrender in a very brief time, France
+would be overwhelmed, and the triumph of the Prussian cause would be
+complete. That the success of the German submarine campaign would
+accomplish this result was a fact that the popular mind readily grasped.
+What it did not so clearly see, however, was that the financial collapse
+of Great Britain would cut these lines of communication quite as
+effectually as the submarine itself. The British were practically
+dependent for their existence upon the food brought from the United
+States, just as the Allied armies were largely dependent upon the steel
+which came from the great industrial plants of this country. If Great
+Britain could not find the money with which to purchase these supplies,
+it is quite apparent that they could not be shipped. The collapse of
+British credit therefore would have produced the isolation of the
+British Isles and led to a British surrender, just as effectively as
+would the success of the German submarine campaign.
+
+As soon as Bernstorff was sent home, therefore, and the participation of
+this country in the war became extremely probable, Mr. Balfour took up
+the financial question with Page.
+
+ _To the President_
+ March 5, 1917.
+
+ The inquiries which I have made here about financial conditions
+ disclose an international situation which is most alarming to the
+ financial and industrial outlook of the United States. England has
+ not only to pay her own war bills, but is obliged to finance her
+ Allies as well. Up to the present time she has done these tasks out
+ of her own capital. But she cannot continue her present extensive
+ purchases in the United States without shipping gold as payment for
+ them, and there are two reasons why she cannot make large
+ shipments of gold. In the first place, both England and France must
+ keep the larger part of the gold they have to maintain issues of
+ their paper at par; and, in the second place, the German U-boat has
+ made the shipping of gold a dangerous procedure even if they had it
+ to ship. There is therefore a pressing danger that the
+ Franco-American and Anglo-American exchange will be greatly
+ disturbed; the inevitable consequence will be that orders by all
+ the Allied Governments will be reduced to the lowest possible
+ amount and that trans-Atlantic trade will practically come to an
+ end. The result of such a stoppage will be a panic in the United
+ States. The world will therefore be divided into two hemispheres,
+ one of them, our own, will have the gold and the commodities; the
+ other, Great Britain and Europe, will need these commodities, but
+ it will have no money with which to pay for them. Moreover, it will
+ have practically no commodities of its own to exchange for them.
+ The financial and commercial result will be almost as bad for the
+ United States as for Europe. We shall soon reach this condition
+ unless we take quick action to prevent it. Great Britain and France
+ must have a credit in the United States which will be large enough
+ to prevent the collapse of world trade and the whole financial
+ structure of Europe.
+
+ If the United States declare war against Germany, the greatest help
+ we could give Great Britain and its Allies would be such a credit.
+ If we should adopt this policy, an excellent plan would be for our
+ Government to make a large investment in a Franco-British loan.
+ Another plan would be to guarantee such a loan. A great advantage
+ would be that all the money would be kept in the United States. We
+ could keep on with our trade and increase it, till the war ends,
+ and after the war Europe would purchase food and an enormous supply
+ of materials with which to reëquip her peace industries. We should
+ thus reap the profit of an uninterrupted and perhaps an enlarging
+ trade over a number of years and we should hold their securities in
+ payment.
+
+ On the other hand, if we keep nearly all the gold and Europe cannot
+ pay for reëstablishing its economic life, there may be a world-wide
+ panic for an indefinite period.
+
+ Of course we cannot extend such a credit unless we go to war with
+ Germany. But is there no way in which our Government might
+ immediately and indirectly help the establishment in the United
+ States of a large Franco-British credit without violating armed
+ neutrality? I do not know enough about our own reserve bank law to
+ form an opinion. But these banks would avert such a danger if they
+ were able to establish such a credit. Danger for us is more real
+ and imminent, I think, than the public on either side the Atlantic
+ understands. If it be not averted before its manifestations become
+ apparent, it will then be too late to save the day.
+
+ The pressure of this approaching crisis, I am certain, has gone
+ beyond the ability of the Morgan financial agency for the British
+ and French governments. The financial necessities of the Allies are
+ too great and urgent for any private agency to handle, for every
+ such agency has to encounter business rivalries and sectional
+ antagonisms.
+
+ It is not improbable that the only way of maintaining our present
+ preëminent trade position and averting a panic is by declaring war
+ on Germany. The submarine has added the last item to the danger of
+ a financial world crash. There is now an uncertainty about our
+ being drawn into the war; no more considerable credits can be
+ privately placed in the United States. In the meantime a collapse
+ may come.
+
+ PAGE.
+
+Urgent as this message was, it really understated the desperate
+condition of British and Allied finances. That the warring powers were
+extremely pressed for money has long been known; but Page's papers
+reveal for the first time the fact that they were facing the prospect of
+bankruptcy itself. "The whole Allied combination on this side the ocean
+are very much nearer the end of their financial resources," he wrote in
+July, "than anybody has guessed or imagined. We only can save them....
+The submarines are steadily winning the war. Pershing and his army have
+bucked up the French for the moment. But for his coming there was more
+or less danger of a revolution in Paris and of serious defection in the
+army. Everybody here fears that the French will fail before another
+winter of the trenches. Yet--the Germans must be still worse off."
+
+The matter that was chiefly pressing at the time of the Balfour visit
+was the fact that the British balances in the New York banks were in a
+serious condition. It should always be remembered, however, that Great
+Britain was financing not only herself, but her Allies, and that the
+difficult condition in which she now found herself was caused by the not
+too considerate demands of the nations with which she was allied in the
+war. Thus by April 6, 1917, Great Britain had overdrawn her account with
+J.P. Morgan to the extent of $400,000,000 and had no cash available with
+which to meet this overdraft. This obligation had been incurred in the
+purchase of supplies, both for Great Britain and the allied governments;
+and securities, largely British owned stocks and bonds, had been
+deposited to protect the bankers. The money was now coming due; if the
+obligations were not met, the credit of Great Britain in this country
+would reach the vanishing point. Though at first there was a slight
+misunderstanding about this matter, the American Government finally
+paid this over-draft out of the proceeds of the first Liberty Loan. This
+act saved the credit of the allied countries; it was, of course, only
+the beginning of the financial support that America brought to the
+allied cause; the advances that were afterward furnished from the
+American Treasury made possible the purchases of food and supplies in
+enormous quantities. The first danger that threatened, the isolation and
+starvation of Great Britain, was therefore overcome. It was the joint
+product of Page's work in London and that of the Balfour Commission in
+the United States.
+
+
+III
+
+Until these financial arrangements had been made there was no certainty
+that the supplies which were so essential to victory would ever leave
+the United States; this obstruction at the source had now been removed.
+But the greater difficulty still remained. The German submarines were
+lying off the waters south and west of Ireland ready to sink the supply
+ships as soon as they entered the prohibited zone. Mr. Balfour and his
+associates were working also on this problem in Washington; and, at the
+same time, Page and Admiral Sims and the British Admiralty were bending
+all their energies in London to obtain immediate coöperation.
+
+A remark which Mr. Balfour afterward made to Admiral Sims shows the
+frightful nature of the problem which was confronting Great Britain at
+that time.
+
+"That was a terrible week we spent at sea in that voyage to the United
+States," Mr. Balfour said. "We knew that the German submarine campaign
+was succeeding. Their submarines were destroying our shipping and we
+had no means of preventing it. I could not help thinking that we were
+facing the defeat of Great Britain."
+
+Page's papers show that as early as February 25th he understood in a
+general way the disheartening proportions of the German success. "It is
+a momentous crisis," he wrote at that time. "The submarines are
+destroying shipping at an appalling rate." Yet it was not until Admiral
+Sims arrived in London, on April 9th, that the Ambassador learned all
+the details. In sending the Admiral to England the Navy Department had
+acted on an earnest recommendation from Page. The fact that the American
+Navy was inadequately represented in the British capital had long been a
+matter of embarrassment to him. The ability and personal qualifications
+of our attachés had been unquestioned; but none of them during the war
+had been men of high rank, and this in itself proved to be a constant
+impediment to their success. While America was represented by
+Commanders, Japan, Italy, and France had all sent Admirals to London.
+Page's repeated requests for an American Admiral had so far met with no
+response, but the probability that this country would become involved in
+the war now gave new point to his representations. In the latter part of
+March, Page renewed his request in still more urgent form, and this time
+the President and the Navy Department responded favourably. The result
+was that, on April 9th, three days after the American declaration of
+war, Admiral Sims and his flag-lieutenant, Commander Babcock, presented
+themselves at the American Embassy. There was little in the appearance
+of these men to suggest a violent naval demonstration against Germany.
+Both wore civilian dress, their instructions having commanded them not
+to bring uniforms; both were travelling under assumed names, and both
+had no more definite orders than to investigate the naval situation and
+cable the results to Washington. In spite of these attempts at secrecy,
+the British had learned that Admiral Sims was on the way; they rejoiced
+not only in this fact, but in the fact that Sims had been chosen, for
+there was no American naval officer whose professional reputation stood
+so high in the British Navy or who was so personally acceptable to
+British officialdom and the British public. The Admiralty therefore met
+Admiral Sims at Liverpool, brought him to London in a special train,
+and, a few hours after his arrival, gave him the innermost secrets on
+the submarine situation--secrets which were so dangerous that not all
+the members of the British Cabinet had been let into them.
+
+Page welcomed Admiral Sims with a cordiality which that experienced sea
+veteran still gratefully remembers. He at once turned over to him two
+rooms in the Embassy. "You can have everything we've got," the
+Ambassador said. "If necessary to give you room, we'll turn the whole
+Embassy force out into the street." The two men had not previously met,
+but in an instant they became close friends. A common sympathy and a
+common enthusiasm were greatly needed at that crisis. As soon as Admiral
+Sims had finished his interview with Admiral Jellicoe, he immediately
+sought out the Ambassador and laid all the facts before him. Germany was
+winning the war. Great Britain had only six weeks' food supply on hand,
+and the submarines were sinking the ships at a rate which, unless the
+depredations should be checked, meant an early and unconditional
+surrender of the British Empire. Only the help of the United States
+could prevent this calamity.
+
+Page, of course, was aghast: the facts and figures Admiral Sims gave him
+disclosed a situation which was even more desperate than he had
+imagined. He advised the Admiral to cable the whole story immediately to
+Washington. Admiral Sims at first had some difficulty in obtaining the
+Admiralty's consent to doing this, and the reason was the one with which
+Page had long been familiar--the fear, altogether too justified, that
+the news would "leak" out of Washington. Of course there was no
+suspicion in British naval circles of the good faith of the Washington
+officials, but important facts had been sent so many times under the
+seal of the strictest secrecy and had then found their way into the
+newspapers that there was a deep distrust of American discretion.
+Certainly no greater damage could have been done the allied cause at
+that time than to have the Germans learn how successfully their
+submarine campaign was progressing. The question was referred to the
+Imperial War Council and its consent obtained. The report, however, was
+sent to the Navy Department in the British naval code, and decoded in
+the British Embassy in Washington.
+
+Admiral Sims's message gave all the facts about the submarine situation,
+and concluded with the recommendation that the United States should
+assemble all floating craft that could be used in the anti-submarine
+warfare, destroyers, tugs, yachts, light cruisers, and similar vessels,
+and send them immediately to Queenstown, where they would do valuable
+service in convoying merchant vessels and destroying the U-boats. At
+that time the American Navy had between fifty and sixty destroyers that
+were patrolling the American coast; these could have been despatched,
+almost immediately, to the scene of operations; but, in response to this
+request, the Department sent six to Queentown.
+
+The next few months were very unhappy ones for Admiral Sims. He was the
+representative in London of one of the world's greatest naval powers,
+participating in the greatest war that had ever enlisted its energies,
+yet his constant appeals for warships elicited the most inadequate
+response, his well-reasoned recommendations for meeting the crisis were
+frequently unanswered and at other times were met with counter-proposals
+so childish that they seemed almost to have originated in the brains of
+newspaper amateurs, and his urgent pictures of a civilization rapidly
+going to wreck were apparently looked upon with suspicion as the
+utterances of a man who had been completely led astray by British guile.
+To give a fair idea of Washington's neglect during this period it is
+only necessary to point out that, for four months, Admiral Sims occupied
+the two rooms in the Embassy directly above Page's, with Commander
+Babcock as his only aid. Sims's repeated requests to Secretary Daniels
+for an additional staff went unheeded. Had it not been for the Admiral's
+constant daily association with Page and the comfort and encouragement
+which the Ambassador gave him, this experience would have been almost
+unbearable. In the latter part of April, the Admiral's appeals to
+Washington having apparently fallen on deaf ears, he asked Page to
+second his efforts. The Admiral and Commander Babcock wrote another
+message, and drove in a motor car to Brighton, where Page was taking a
+little rest. The Admiral did not know just how strong a statement the
+Ambassador would care to sponsor, and so he did not make this
+representation as emphatic as the judgment of both men would have
+preferred.
+
+The Admiral handed Page the paper, saying that he had prepared it with
+the hope that the Ambassador would sign it and send it directly to
+President Wilson.
+
+"It is quite apparent," Admiral Sims said, "that the Department doesn't
+believe what I have been saying. Or they don't believe what the British
+are saying. They think that England is exaggerating the peril for
+reasons of its own. They think I am hopelessly pro-British and that I
+am being used. But if you'll take it up directly with the President,
+then they may be convinced."
+
+Page put on his spectacles, took the paper, and read it through. Then,
+looking over the rim of his glasses in his characteristic way, he leaned
+toward Admiral Sims and said:
+
+"Admiral, it isn't half strong enough! I think I can write a better
+despatch than that, myself! At least let me try."
+
+He immediately took a pen and paper and in a few minutes he had written
+his own version which he gave the Admiral to read. The latter was
+delighted with it and in a brief time it was on its way to Washington.
+
+ From: Ambassador Page.
+ To: Secretary of State.
+ Sent: 27 April, 1917.
+
+ _Very confidential for Secretary and President_
+
+ There is reason for the greatest alarm about the issue of the war
+ caused by the increasing success of the German submarines. I have
+ it from official sources that during the week ending 22nd April, 88
+ ships of 237,000 tons, allied and neutral, were lost. The number of
+ vessels unsuccessfully attacked indicated a great increase in the
+ number of submarines in action.
+
+ This means practically a million tons lost every month till the
+ shorter days of autumn come. By that time the sea will be about
+ clear of shipping. Most of the ships are sunk to the westward and
+ southward of Ireland. The British have in that area every available
+ anti-submarine craft, but their force is so insufficient that they
+ hardly discourage the submarines.
+
+ The British transport of troops and supplies is already strained to
+ the utmost, and the maintenance of the armies in the field is
+ threatened. There is food enough here to last the civil population
+ only not more than six weeks or two months.
+
+ Whatever help the United States may render at any time in the
+ future, or in any theatre of the war, our help is now more
+ seriously needed in this submarine area for the sake of all the
+ Allies than it can ever be needed again, or anywhere else.
+
+ After talking over this critical situation with the Prime Minister
+ and other members of the Government, I can not refrain from most
+ strongly recommending the immediate sending over of every destroyer
+ and all other craft that can be of anti-submarine use. This seems
+ to me the sharpest crisis of the war, and the most dangerous
+ situation for the Allies that has arisen or could arise.
+
+ If enough submarines can be destroyed in the next two or three
+ months, the war will be won, and if we can contribute effective
+ help immediately, it will be won directly by our aid. I cannot
+ exaggerate the pressing and increasing danger of this situation.
+ Thirty or more destroyers and other similar craft sent by us
+ immediately would very likely be decisive.
+
+ There is no time to be lost.
+
+ (Signed) PAGE.
+
+This cablegram had a certain effect. The reply came from Washington that
+"eventually" thirty-six destroyers would be sent.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Page's letters of this period are full of the same subject.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London, May 4, 1917.
+
+ Dear Mr. President:
+
+ The submarines have become a very grave danger. The loss of British
+ and allied tonnage increases with the longer and brighter days--as
+ I telegraphed you, 237,000 tons last week; and the worst of it is,
+ the British are not destroying them. The Admiralty publishes a
+ weekly report which, though true, is not the whole truth. It is
+ known in official circles here that the Germans are turning out at
+ least two a week--some say three; and the British are not
+ destroying them as fast as new ones are turned out. If merely the
+ present situation continue, the war will pretty soon become a
+ contest of endurance under hunger, with an increasing proportion of
+ starvation. Germany is yet much the worse off, but it will be
+ easily possible for Great Britain to suffer to the danger point
+ next winter or earlier unless some decided change be wrought in
+ this situation.
+
+ The greatest help, I hope, can come from us--our destroyers and
+ similar armed craft--provided we can send enough of them quickly.
+ The area to be watched is so big that many submarine hunters are
+ needed. Early in the war the submarines worked near shore. There
+ are very many more of them now and their range is one hundred
+ miles, or even two hundred, at sea.
+
+ The public is becoming very restive with its half information, and
+ it is more and more loudly demanding all the facts. There are
+ already angry threats to change the personnel of the Admiralty;
+ there is even talk of turning out the Government. "We must have
+ results, we must have results." I hear confidentially that Jellicoe
+ has threatened to resign unless the Salonica expedition is brought
+ back: to feed and equip that force requires too many ships.
+
+ And there are other troubles impending. Norway has lost so many of
+ her ships that she dare not send what are left to sea. Unarmed
+ they'll all perish. If she arms them, Germany will declare war
+ against her. There is a plan on foot for the British to charter
+ these Norwegian ships and to arm them, taking the risk of German
+ war against Norway. If war comes (as it is expected) England must
+ then defend Norway the best she can. And _then England may ask for
+ our big ships to help in these waters_. All this is yet in the
+ future, but possibly not far in the future.
+
+ For the present the only anti-submarine help is the help we may be
+ able to give to patrol the wide area off Ireland. If we had one
+ hundred destroyers to send, the job there could, I am told, be
+ quickly done. A third of that number will help mightily. At the
+ present rate of destruction more than four million tons will be
+ sunk before the summer is gone.
+
+ Such is this dire submarine danger. The English thought that they
+ controlled the sea; the Germans, that they were invincible on land.
+ Each side is losing where it thought itself strongest.
+
+ Admiral Sims is of the greatest help imaginable. Of course, I gave
+ him an office in one of our Embassy buildings, and the Admiralty
+ has given him an office also with them. He spends much of his time
+ there, and they have opened all doors and all desks and drawers to
+ him. He strikes me (and the English so regard him) as a man of
+ admirable judgment--unexcitable and indefatigable. I hope we'll
+ soon send a general over, to whom the War Department will act
+ similarly. Hoover, too, must have a good man here as, I dare say,
+ he has already made known. These will cover the Navy, the Army,
+ Food, and Shipping. Perhaps a Censor and an Intelligence (Secret
+ Service) group ought to come. I mean these for permanent--at least
+ indefinite--service. Exchange visits by a Congressional Committee
+ (such as the French and British make) and by high official persons
+ such as members of your Cabinet (such also as the French and
+ British make)--you will have got ideas about these from Mr.
+ Balfour.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+In the latter part of June Admiral Sims went to Queenstown. Admiral
+Bayly, who directed the operation of the anti-submarine forces there,
+had gone away for a brief rest, and Admiral Sims had taken over the
+command of both the British and American forces at that point. This
+experience gave Admiral Sims a first-hand picture of a really deplorable
+situation. The crisis was so desperate that he made another appeal to
+Page.
+
+ _From Admiral William S. Sims_
+
+ Admiralty House, Queenstown,
+ June 25, 1917.
+
+ My Dear Mr. Page:
+
+ I enclose herewith a letter on the submarine situation[61].
+
+ I think I have made it plain therein that the Allies are losing the
+ war; that it will be already lost when the loss of shipping reaches
+ the point where fully adequate supplies cannot be maintained on the
+ various battle fronts.
+
+ I cannot understand why our Government should hesitate to send the
+ necessary anti-submarine craft to this side.
+
+ There are at least seventeen more destroyers employed on our
+ Atlantic coast, _where there is no war_, not to mention numerous
+ other very useful anti-submarine craft, including sea-going tugs,
+ etc.
+
+ Can you not do something to bring our Government to an
+ understanding of how very serious the situation is? Would it not be
+ well to send another telegram to Mr. Lansing and the President, and
+ also send them the enclosed correspondence?
+
+ I am sending this by mail because I may be somewhat delayed in
+ returning to London.
+
+ Very sincerely yours,
+
+ Wm. S. Sims.
+
+Page immediately acted on this suggestion.
+
+ _Most confidential for the Secretary of State and President only_
+
+ Sims sends me by special messenger from Queenstown the most
+ alarming reports of the submarine situation which are confirmed by
+ the Admiralty here. He says that the war will be won or lost in
+ this submarine zone within a few months. Time is of the essence of
+ the problem, and anti-submarine craft which cannot be assembled in
+ the submarine zone almost immediately may come too late. There is,
+ therefore, a possibility that this war may become a war between
+ Germany and the United States alone. Help is far more urgently and
+ quickly needed in this submarine zone than anywhere else in the
+ whole war area.
+
+ Page.
+
+The United States had now been in the war for three months and only
+twenty-eight of the sixty destroyers which were available had been sent
+into the field. Yet this latest message of Page produced no effect, and,
+when Admiral Sims returned from Queenstown, the two men, almost in
+despair, consulted as to the step which they should take next. What was
+the matter? Was it that Washington did not care to get into the naval
+war with its full strength, or was it that it simply refused to believe
+the representations of its Admiral and its Ambassador? Admiral Sims and
+Page went over the whole situation and came to the conclusion that
+Washington regarded them both as so pro-British that their reports were
+subject to suspicion. Just as Page had found that the State Department,
+and its "trade advisers," had believed that the British were using the
+blockade as a means of destroying American trade for the benefit of
+Britain, so now he believed that Mr. Daniels and Admiral Benson, the
+Chief of Naval Operations, evidently thought that Great Britain was
+attempting to lure American warships into European waters, to undergo
+the risk of protecting British commerce, while British warships were
+kept safely in harbour. Page suggested that there was now only one thing
+left to do, and that was to request the British Government itself to
+make a statement to President Wilson that would substantiate his own
+messages.
+
+"Whatever else they think of the British in Washington," he said, "they
+know one thing--and that is that a British statesman like Mr. Balfour
+will not lie."
+
+Mr. Balfour by this time had returned from America. The fact that he had
+established these splendid personal relations with Mr. Wilson, and that
+he had impressed the American public so deeply with his sincerity and
+fine purpose, made him especially valuable for this particular appeal.
+Page and Admiral Sims therefore went to the Foreign Office and laid all
+the facts before him. Their own statements, Page informed the Foreign
+Secretary, were evidently regarded as hysterical and biased by an
+unreasoning friendliness to Great Britain. If Mr. Balfour would say the
+same things over his own signature, then they would not be disbelieved.
+
+Mr. Balfour gladly consented. He called in Admiral Jellicoe and asked
+him to draft a despatch, so that all the technical facts would be
+completely accurate. He also consulted with Sir Edward Carson, the First
+Lord of the Admiralty. Then Mr. Balfour put the document in its final
+shape and signed it. It was as follows:
+
+ _Mr. Balfour to the President_
+
+ June 30, 1917.
+
+ The forces at present at the disposal of the British Admiralty are
+ not adequate to protect shipping from submarine attack in the
+ danger zone round the British Islands. Consequently shipping is
+ being sunk at a greater rate than it can be replaced by new tonnage
+ of British origin.
+
+ The time will come when, if the present rate of loss continues, the
+ available shipping, apart from American contribution, will be
+ insufficient to bring to this country sufficient foodstuffs and
+ other essentials, including oil fuel. The situation in regard to
+ our Allies, France, and Italy, is much the same.
+
+ Consequently, it is absolutely necessary to add to our forces as a
+ first step, pending the adoption or completion of measures which
+ will, it is hoped, eventually lead to the destruction of enemy
+ submarines at a rate sufficient to ensure safety of our sea
+ communications.
+
+ The United States is the only allied country in a position to help.
+ The pressing need is for armed small craft of every kind available
+ in the area where commerce concentrates near the British and French
+ coasts. Destroyers, submarines, gunboats, yachts, trawlers, and
+ tugs would all give invaluable help, and if sent in sufficient
+ numbers would undoubtedly save a situation which is manifestly
+ critical. But they are required now and in as great numbers as
+ possible. There is no time for delay. The present method of
+ submarine attack is almost entirely by torpedo with the submarine
+ submerged. The gun defense of merchant ships keeps the submarine
+ below the surface but does no more; offensively against a submerged
+ submarine it is useless, and the large majority of the ships
+ torpedoed never see the attacking submarine until the torpedo has
+ hit the ship[62].
+
+ The present remedy is, therefore, to prevent the submarine from
+ using its periscope for fear of attack by bomb or ram from small
+ craft, and this method of defense for the shipping and offense
+ against the submarine requires small craft in very large numbers.
+
+ The introduction of the convoy system, provided there are
+ sufficient destroyers to form an adequate screen to the convoy,
+ will, it is hoped, minimize losses when it is working, and the
+ provision of new offensive measures is progressing; but for the
+ next few months there is only one safeguard, viz., the immediate
+ addition to patrols of every small vessel that can possibly be sent
+ to European waters.
+
+Page, moreover, kept up his own appeal:
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ July 5th.
+
+ _Strictly confidential to the President and the Secretary_
+
+ The British Cabinet is engaging in a threatening controversy about
+ the attitude which they should take toward the submarine peril.
+ There is a faction in the Admiralty which possesses the
+ indisputable facts and which takes a very disheartening view of
+ the situation. This group insists that the Cabinet should make a
+ confession at least to us of the full extent of the danger and that
+ it should give more information to the public. The public does not
+ feel great alarm simply because it has been kept in too great
+ ignorance. But the political faction is so far the stronger. It
+ attempts to minimize the facts, and, probably for political
+ reasons, it refuses to give these discouraging facts wide
+ publicity. The politicians urge that it is necessary to conceal the
+ full facts from the Germans. They also see great danger in throwing
+ the public into a panic.
+
+ Mr. Lloyd George is always optimistic and he is too much inclined
+ to yield his judgment to political motives. In his recent address
+ in Glasgow he gave the public a comforting impression of the
+ situation. But the facts do not warrant the impression which he
+ gave.
+
+ This dispute among the political factions is most unfortunate and
+ it may cause an explosion of public feeling at any time. Changes in
+ the Cabinet may come in consequence. If the British public knew all
+ the facts or if the American people knew them, the present British
+ Government would probably fall. It is therefore not only the
+ submarine situation which is full of danger. The political
+ situation is in a dangerous state also.
+
+ PAGE.
+
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+
+ Wilsford Manor, Salisbury,
+
+ July 8, 1917.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ Since admirals and generals began to come from home, they and the
+ war have taken my time so completely, day and night, that I haven't
+ lately written you many things that I should like to tell you. I'll
+ try here--a house of a friend of ours where the only other guest
+ besides your mother and me is Edward Grey. This is the first time
+ I've seen him since he left office. Let me take certain big
+ subjects in order and come to smaller things later:
+
+ 1. The German submarines are succeeding to a degree that the public
+ knows nothing about. These two things are true: (a) The Germans are
+ building submarines faster than the English sink them. In this way,
+ therefore, they are steadily gaining. (b) The submarines are
+ sinking freight ships faster than freight ships are being built by
+ the whole world. In this way, too, then, the Germans are
+ succeeding. Now if this goes on long enough, the Allies' game is
+ up. For instance, they have lately sunk so many fuel oil ships,
+ that this country may very soon be in a perilous condition--even
+ the Grand Fleet may not have enough fuel. Of course the chance is
+ that oil ships will not continue to fall victims to the U-boats and
+ we shall get enough through to replenish the stock. But this
+ illustrates the danger, and it is a very grave danger.
+
+ The best remedy so far worked out is the destroyer. The submarines
+ avoid destroyers and they sink very, very few ships that are
+ convoyed. If we had destroyers enough to patrol the whole approach
+ (for, say, 250 miles) to England, the safety of the sea would be
+ very greatly increased; and if we had enough to patrol and to
+ convoy every ship going and coming, the damage would be reduced to
+ a minimum. The Admiral and I are trying our best to get our
+ Government to send over 500 improvised destroyers--yachts,
+ ocean-going tugs--any kind of swift craft that can be armed. Five
+ hundred such little boats might end the war in a few months; for
+ the Germans are keeping the spirit of their people and of their
+ army up by their submarine success. If that success were stopped
+ they'd have no other cry half so effective. If they could see this
+ in Washington as we see it, they'd do it and do it not halfway but
+ with a vengeance. If they don't do it, the war may be indefinitely
+ prolonged and a wholly satisfactory peace may never be made. The
+ submarine is the most formidable thing the war has produced--by
+ far--and it gives the German the only earthly chance he has to win.
+ And he _may_ substantially win by it yet. That's what the British
+ conceal. In fact, half of them do not see it or believe it. But
+ nothing is truer, or plainer. One hundred thousand submarine
+ chasers next year may be worth far less than 500 would be worth
+ now, for next year see how few ships may be left! The mere arming
+ of ships is not enough. Nearly all that are sunk are armed. The
+ submarine now carries a little periscope and a big one, each
+ painted the colour of the sea. You can't see a little periscope
+ except in an ocean as smooth as glass. It isn't bigger than a
+ coffee cup. The submarine thus sinks its victims without ever
+ emerging or ever being seen. As things now stand, the Germans are
+ winning the war, and they are winning it on the sea; that's the
+ queer and the most discouraging fact. My own opinion is that all
+ the facts ought to be published to all the world. Let the Germans
+ get all the joy they can out of the confession. No matter, if the
+ Government and the people of the United States knew all the facts,
+ we'd have 1,000 improvised destroyers (yachts, tugs, etc., etc.)
+ armed and over here very quickly. Then the tide would turn.
+
+ Then there'd be nothing to fear in the long run. For the military
+ authorities all agree that the German Army is inferior to the
+ British and French and will be whipped. That may take a long time
+ yet; but of the result nobody who knows seems to have any
+ doubt--unless the French get tired and stop. They have periods of
+ great war weariness and there is real danger that they may quit and
+ make a separate peace. General Pershing's presence has made the
+ situation safe for the moment. But in a little while something else
+ spectacular and hopeful may be required to keep them in line.
+
+ Such is an accurate picture of the war as it is now, and it is a
+ dangerous situation.
+
+ 2. The next grave danger is financial. The European Allies have so
+ bled the English for money that the English would by this time
+ probably have been on a paper money basis (and of course all the
+ Allies as well) if we had not come to their financial aid. And
+ we've got to keep our financial aid going to them to prevent this
+ disastrous result. That wouldn't at once end the war, if they had
+ all abandoned specie payments; but it would be a frightfully severe
+ blow and it might later bring defeat. That is a real danger. And
+ the Government at Washington, I fear, does not know the full extent
+ of the danger. They think that the English are disposed to lie down
+ on them. They don't realize the cost of the war. This Government
+ has bared all this vast skeleton to me; but I fear that Washington
+ imagines that part of it is a deliberate scare. It's a very real
+ danger.
+
+ Now, certain detached items:
+
+ Sims is the idol of the British Admiralty and he is doing his job
+ just as well as any man could with the tools and the chance that he
+ has. He has made the very best of the chance and he has completely
+ won the confidence and admiration of this side of the world.
+
+ Pershing made an admirable impression here, and in France he has
+ simply set them wild with joy. His coming and his little army have
+ been worth what a real army will be worth later. It is well he came
+ to keep the French in line.
+
+ The army of doctors and nurses have had a similar effect.
+
+ Even the New England saw-mill units have caused a furor of
+ enthusiasm. They came with absolute Yankee completeness of
+ organization--with duplicate parts of all their machinery, tents,
+ cooks, pots, and pans, and everything ship-shape. The only question
+ they asked was: "Say, where the hell are them trees you want sawed
+ up?" That's the way to do a job! Yankee stock is made high here by
+ such things as that.
+
+ We're getting a crowd of Yankee lecturers on the United States to
+ go up and down this Kingdom. There's the greatest imaginable
+ curiosity to hear about the United States in all kinds of society
+ from munition workers to universities. I got the British Government
+ to write Buttrick[63] to come as its guest, and the Rockefeller
+ Boards rose to the occasion. He'll probably be along presently. If
+ he hasn't already sailed when you get this, see him and tell him to
+ make arrangements to have pictures sent over to him to illustrate
+ his lectures. Who else could come to do this sort of a job?
+
+ I am myself busier than I have ever been. The kind of work the
+ Embassy now has to do is very different from the work of the days
+ of neutrality. It continues to increase--especially the work that I
+ have to do myself. But it's all pleasant now. We are trying to help
+ and no longer to hinder. To save my life I don't see how the
+ Washington crowd can look at themselves in a mirror and keep their
+ faces straight. Yesterday they were bent on sending everything into
+ European neutral states. The foundations of civilization would give
+ way if neutral trade were interfered with. Now, nothing must go in
+ except on a ration basis. Yesterday it must be a peace without
+ victory. Now it must be a complete victory, every man and every
+ dollar thrown in, else no peace is worth having. I don't complain.
+ I only rejoice. But I'm glad that kind of a rapid change is not a
+ part of my record. The German was the same beast yesterday that he
+ is to-day; and it makes a simple-minded, straight-minded man like
+ me wonder which attitude was the (or is the) attitude of real
+ conviction. But this doesn't bother me now as a real problem--only
+ as a speculation. What we call History will, I presume, in time
+ work this out. But History is often a kind of lie. But never mind
+ that. The only duty of mankind now is to win. Other things can
+ wait.
+
+ I walked over to Stonehenge and back (about six miles) with Lord
+ Grey (Sir Edward, you know) and we, like everybody else, fell to
+ talking about when the war may end. We know as well as anybody and
+ no better than anybody else. I have very different moods about
+ it--no convictions. It seems to me to depend, as things now are,
+ more on the submarines than on anything else. If we could
+ effectually discourage them so that the Germans would have to
+ withdraw them and could no more keep up the spirit of their people
+ by stories of the imminent starvation of England, I have a feeling
+ that the hunger and the war weariness of the German people would
+ lead them to force an end. But, the more they are called on to
+ suffer the more patriotic do they think themselves and they _may_
+ go on till they drop dead in their tracks.
+
+ What I am really afraid of is that the Germans may, before winter,
+ offer all that the Western Allies most want--the restoration of
+ Belgium and France, the return of Alsace-Lorraine, etc., in the
+ West and the surrender of the Colonies--provided Austria is not
+ dismembered. That would virtually leave them the chance to work out
+ their Middle Europe scheme and ultimately there'd probably have to
+ be another war over that question. That's the real eventuality to
+ be feared--a German defeat in the West but a German victory in the
+ Southeast. Everybody in Europe is so war weary that such a plan
+ _may_ succeed.
+
+ On the other hand, what Hoover and Northcliffe fear may come
+ true--that the Germans are going to keep up the struggle for
+ years--till their armies are practically obliterated, as Lee's army
+ was. If the Allies were actually to kill (not merely wound, but
+ actually kill) 5,000 Germans a day for 300 days a year, it would
+ take about four years to obliterate the whole German Army. There is
+ the bare possibility, therefore, of a long struggle yet. But I
+ can't believe it. My dominant mood these days is an end within a
+ very few months after the submarines are knocked out. Send over,
+ therefore, 1,000 improvised destroyers the next two months, and
+ I'll promise peace by Christmas. Otherwise I can make no promises.
+ That's all that Lord Grey and I know, and surely we are two wise
+ men. What, therefore, is the use in writing any more about this?
+
+ The chief necessity that grows upon me is that all the facts must
+ be brought out that show the kinship in blood and ideals of the two
+ great English-speaking nations. We were actually coming to believe
+ ourselves that we were part German and Slovene and Pole and
+ What-not, instead of essentially being Scotch and English. Hence
+ the unspeakable impudence of your German who spoke of eliminating
+ the Anglo-Saxon element from American life! The truth should be
+ forcibly and convincingly told and repeated to the end of the
+ chapter, and our national life should proceed on its natural
+ historic lines, with its proper historic outlook and background. We
+ can do something to bring this about.
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+The labour of getting the American Navy into the war was evidently at
+first a difficult one, but the determination of Page and Admiral Sims
+triumphed, and, by August and September, our energies were fully
+engaged. And the American Navy made a record that will stand
+everlastingly to its glory. Without its help the German submarines could
+never have been overcome.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 58: The reference is to the attack made in October, 1916, by
+the German Submarine U-53, off Nantucket on several British ships. An
+erroneous newspaper account said that the _Benham_, an American
+destroyer, had moved in a way that facilitated the operations of the
+German submarine. This caused great bitterness in England, until Page
+showed the Admiralty a report from the Navy Department proving that the
+story was false.]
+
+[Footnote 59: This, of course, is Franklin D. Roosevelt, Assistant
+Secretary of the Navy in 1917.]
+
+[Footnote 60: This letter is dated London and was probably begun there.
+It is evident, however, that the latter part was written at Brighton,
+where the Ambassador was taking a brief holiday.]
+
+[Footnote 61: This was a long document describing conditions in great
+detail.]
+
+[Footnote 62: The Navy Department had taken the position that arming
+merchantmen was the best protection against the submarine. This
+statement was intended to refute this belief.]
+
+[Footnote 63: Dr. Wallace Buttrick, President of the General Education
+Board, who was sent at this time to deliver lectures throughout Great
+Britain on the United States.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXIII
+
+PAGE--THE MAN
+
+
+The entrance of America into the war, followed by the successful
+promotion of the Balfour visit, brought a period of quiet into Page's
+life. These events represented for him a personal triumph; there were
+many things still to be done, it is true, and Page, as always, was
+active in advancing the interests that were nearest his heart; yet the
+mighty relief that followed the American declaration was the kind that
+one experiences after accomplishing the greatest task of a lifetime.
+Page's letters have contained many references to the sense of moral
+isolation which his country's policy had forced upon him; he probably
+exaggerated his feeling that there was a tendency to avoid him; this was
+merely a reflection of his own inclination to keep away from all but the
+official people. He now had more leisure and certainly more interest in
+cultivating the friends that he had made in Great Britain. For the fact
+is that, during all these engrossing years, Page had been more than an
+Ambassador; by the time the United States entered the war he had
+attained an assured personal position in the life of the British
+capital. He had long since demonstrated his qualifications for a post,
+which, in the distinction of the men who have occupied it, has few
+parallels in diplomacy. The scholarly Lowell, the courtly Bayard, the
+companionable Hay, the ever-humorous Choate, had set a standard for
+American Ambassadors which had made the place a difficult one for their
+successors. Though Page had characteristics in common with all these
+men, his personality had its own distinctive tang; and it was something
+new to the political and social life of London. And the British capital,
+which is extremely exacting and even merciless in its demands upon its
+important personages, had found it vastly entertaining. "I didn't know
+there could be anything so American as Page except Mark Twain," a
+British literary man once remarked; and it was probably this strong
+American quality, this directness and even breeziness of speech and of
+method, this absence of affectation, this almost openly expressed
+contempt for finesse and even for tradition, combined with those other
+traits which we like to think of as American--an upright purpose, a
+desire to serve not only his own country but mankind--which made the
+British public look upon Page as one of the most attractive and useful
+figures in a war-torn Europe.
+
+There was a certain ruggedness in Page's exterior which the British
+regarded as distinctly in keeping with this American flavour. The
+Ambassador was not a handsome man. To one who had heard much of the
+liveliness of his conversation and presence a first impression was
+likely to be disappointing. His figure at this time was tall, gaunt, and
+lean--and he steadily lost weight during his service in England; his
+head was finely shaped--it was large, with a high forehead, his thin
+gray hair rather increasing its intellectual aspect; and his big frank
+brown eyes reflected that keen zest for life, that unsleeping interest
+in everything about him, that ever-working intelligence and sympathy
+which were the man's predominant traits. But a very large nose at first
+rather lessened the pleasing effects of his other features, and a rather
+weather-beaten, corrugated face gave a preliminary suggestion of
+roughness. Yet Page had only to begin talking and the impression
+immediately changed. "He puts his mind to yours," Dr. Johnson said,
+describing the sympathetic qualities of a friend, and the same was true
+of Page. Half a dozen sentences, spoken in his quick, soft, and
+ingratiating accents, accompanied by the most genial smile, at once
+converted the listener into a friend. Few men have ever lived who more
+quickly responded to this human relationship. The Ambassador, at the
+simple approach of a human being, became as a man transformed. Tired
+though he might be, low in spirits as he not infrequently was, the press
+of a human hand at once changed him into an animated and radiating
+companion. This responsiveness deceived all his friends in the days of
+his last illness. His intimates who dropped in to see Page invariably
+went away much encouraged and spread optimistic reports about his
+progress. A few minutes' conversation with Page would deceive even his
+physicians. The explanation was a simple one: the human presence had an
+electric effect upon him, and it is a revealing sidelight on Page's
+character that almost any man or woman could produce this result. As an
+editor, the readiness with which he would listen to suggestions from the
+humblest source was a constant astonishment to his associates. The
+office boy had as accessible an approach to Page as had his partners. He
+never treated an idea, even a grotesque one, with contempt; he always
+had time to discuss it, to argue it out, and no one ever left his
+presence thinking that he had made an absurd proposal. Thus Page had a
+profound respect for a human being simply because he was a human being;
+the mere fact that a man, woman, or child lived and breathed, had his
+virtues and his failings, constituted in Page's imagination a tremendous
+fact. He could not wound such a living creature any more than he could
+wound a flower or a tree; consequently he treated every person as an
+important member of the universe. Not infrequently, indeed, he stormed
+at public men, but his thunder, after all, was not very terrifying; his
+remarks about such personages as Mr. Bryan merely reflected his
+indignation at their policies and their influence but did not indicate
+any feeling against the victims themselves. Page said "Good morning" to
+his doorman with the same deference that he showed to Sir Edward Grey,
+and there was not a little stenographer in the building whose joys and
+sorrows did not arouse in him the most friendly interest. Some of the
+most affecting letters written about Page, indeed, have come from these
+daily associates of more humble station. "We so often speak of Mr.
+Page," writes one of the Embassy staff--"Findlater, Short, and
+Frederick"--these were all English servants at the Embassy; "we all
+loved him equally, and hardly a day passes that something does not
+remind us of him, and I often fancy that I hear his laugh, so full of
+kindness and love of life." And the impression left on those in high
+position was the same. "I have seen ladies representing all that is most
+worldly in Mayfair," writes Mr. Ellery Sedgwick, the editor of the
+_Atlantic Monthly_, "start at the sudden thought of Page's illness,
+their eyes glistening with tears."
+
+Perhaps what gave most charm to this human side was the fact that Page
+was fundamentally such a scholarly man. This was the aspect which
+especially delighted his English friends. He preached democracy
+and Americanism with an emphasis that almost suggested the
+back-woodsman--the many ideas on these subjects that appear in his
+letters Page never hesitated to set forth with all due resonance at
+London dinner tables--yet he phrased his creed in language that was
+little less than literary style, and illuminated it with illustrations
+and a philosophy that were the product of the most exhaustive reading.
+"Your Ambassador has taught us something that we did not know before,"
+an English friend remarked to an American. "That is that a man can be a
+democrat and a man of culture at the same time." The Greek and Latin
+authors had been Page's companions from the days when, as the holder of
+the Greek Fellowship at Johns Hopkins, he had been a favourite pupil of
+Basil L. Gildersleeve. British statesmen who had been trained at
+Balliol, in the days when Greek was the indispensable ear-mark of a
+gentleman, could thus meet their American associate on the most
+sympathetic terms. Page likewise spoke a brand of idiomatic English
+which immediately put him in a class by himself. He regarded words as
+sacred things. He used them, in his writing or in his speech, with the
+utmost care and discrimination; yet this did not result in a halting or
+stilted style; he spoke with the utmost ease, going rapidly from thought
+to thought, choosing invariably the one needful word, lighting up the
+whole with whimsicalities all his own, occasionally emphasizing a good
+point by looking downward and glancing over his eyeglasses, perhaps, if
+he knew his companion intimately, now and then giving him a monitory tap
+on the knee. Page, in fact, was a great and incessant talker; hardly
+anything delighted him more than a companionable exchange of ideas and
+impressions; he was seldom so busy that he would not push aside his
+papers for a chat; and he would talk with almost any one, on almost any
+subject--his secretaries, his stenographers, his office boys, and any
+crank who succeeded in getting by the doorman--for, in spite of his
+lively warnings against the breed, Page did really love cranks and took
+a collector's joy in uncovering new types. Page's voice was normally
+quiet; though he had spent all his early life in the South, the
+characteristic Southern accents were ordinarily not observable; yet his
+intonation had a certain gentleness that was probably an inheritance of
+his Southern breeding. Thus, when he first began talking, his words
+would ripple along quietly and rapidly; a characteristic pose was to sit
+calmly, with one knee thrown over the other, his hands folded; as his
+interest increased, however, he would get up, perhaps walk across the
+room, or stand before the fireplace, his hands behind his back; a large
+cigar, sometimes unlighted, at other times emitting huge clouds of
+smoke, would oscillate from one side of his mouth to the other; his talk
+would grow in earnestness, his voice grow louder, his words come faster
+and faster, until finally they would gush forth in a mighty torrent.
+
+All Page's personal traits are explained by that one characteristic
+which tempered all others, his sense of humour. That Page was above all
+a serious-minded man his letters show; yet his spirits were constantly
+alert for the amusing, the grotesque, and the contradictory; like all
+men who are really serious and alive to the pathos of existence, he
+loved a hearty laugh, especially as he found it a relief from the gloom
+that filled his every waking moment in England. Page himself regarded
+this ability to smile as an indispensable attribute to a well-rounded
+life. "No man can be a gentleman," he once declared, "who does not have
+a sense of humour." Only he who possessed this gift, Page believed, had
+an imaginative insight into the failings and the virtues of his
+brothers; only he could have a tolerant attitude toward the stupidities
+of his fellows, to say nothing of his own. And humour with him assumed
+various shades; now it would flash in an epigram, or smile indulgently
+at a passing human weakness; now and then it would break out into genial
+mockery; occasionally it would manifest itself as sheer horse-play; and
+less frequently it would become sardonic or even savage. It was in this
+latter spirit that he once described a trio of Washington statesmen,
+whose influence he abhorred as, "three minds that occupy a single
+vacuum." He once convulsed a Scottish audience by describing the
+national motto of Scotland--and doing so with a broad burr in his voice
+that seemed almost to mark the speaker a native to the heath--as
+"Liber-r-ty, fra-a-ternity and f-r-r-u-gality." The policy of his
+country occasioned many awkward moments which, thanks to his talent for
+amiable raillery, he usually succeeded in rendering harmless. Not
+infrequently Page's fellow guests at the dinner table would think the
+American attitude toward Germany a not inappropriate topic for small
+talk. "Mr. Page," remarked an exaltedly titled lady in a conversational
+pause, "when is your country going to get into the war?" The more
+discreet members of the company gasped, but Page was not disturbed.
+"Please give us at least ninety days," he answered, and an exceedingly
+disagreeable situation was thus relieved by general laughter.
+
+On another occasion his repudiation of this flippant spirit took a more
+solemn and even more effective form. The time was a few days before the
+United States had declared war. Bernstorff had been dismissed; events
+were rapidly rushing toward the great climax; yet the behaviour of the
+Washington Administration was still inspiring much caustic criticism.
+The Pages were present at one of the few dinners which they attended in
+the course of this crisis; certain smart and tactless guests did not
+seem to regard their presence as a bar to many gibes against the
+American policy. Page sat through it all impassive, never betraying the
+slightest resentment.
+
+Presently the ladies withdrew. Page found himself sitting next to Mr.
+Harold Nicolson, an important official in the Foreign Office. It so
+happened that Mr. Nicolson and Page were the only two members of the
+company who were the possessors of a great secret which made ineffably
+silly all the chatter that had taken place during the dinner; this was
+that the United States had decided on war against Germany and would
+issue the declaration in a few days.
+
+"Well, Mr. Nicolson," said Page, "I think that you and I will drink a
+glass of wine together."
+
+The two men quietly lifted their glasses and drank the silent toast.
+Neither made the slightest reference to the forthcoming event. Perhaps
+the other men present were a little mystified, but in a few days they
+understood what it had meant, and also learned how effectively they had
+been rebuked.
+
+"Is it any wonder," says Mr. Nicolson, telling this story, "that I think
+that Mr. Page is perhaps the greatest gentleman I have ever known? He
+has only one possible competitor for this distinction--and that is
+Arthur Balfour."
+
+The English newspapers took delight in printing Page's aphorisms, and
+several anecdotes that came from America afforded them especial joy. One
+went back to the days when the Ambassador was editor of the _Atlantic
+Monthly_. A woman contributor had sent him a story; like most literary
+novices she believed that editors usually rejected the manuscripts of
+unknown writers without reading them. She therefore set a trap for Page
+by pasting together certain sheets. The manuscript came back promptly,
+and, as the prospective contributor had hoped, these sheets had not been
+disturbed. These particular sections had certainly not been read. The
+angry author triumphantly wrote to Page, explaining how she had caught
+him and denouncing the whole editorial tribe as humbugs. "Dear Madam,"
+Page immediately wrote in reply, "when I break an egg at breakfast, I do
+not have to eat the whole of it to find out that it is bad." Page's
+treatment of authors, however, was by no means so acrimonious as this
+little note might imply. Indeed, the urbanity and consideration shown in
+his correspondence with writers had long been a tradition in American
+letters. The remark of O. Henry in this regard promises to become
+immortal: "Page could reject a story with a letter that was so
+complimentary," he said, "and make everybody feel so happy that you
+could take it to a bank and borrow money on it."
+
+Another anecdote reminiscent of his editorial days was his retort to
+S.S. McClure, the editor of _McClure's Magazine_.
+
+"Page," said Mr. McClure, "there are only three great editors in the
+United States."
+
+"Who's the third one, Sam?" asked Page.
+
+Plenty of stories, illustrating Page's quickness and aptness in retort,
+have gathered about his name in England. Many of them indicate a mere
+spirit of boyish fun. Early in his Ambassadorship he was spending a few
+days at Stratford-on-Avon, his hostess being an American woman who had
+beautifully restored an Elizabethan house; the garden contained a
+mulberry tree which she liked to think had been planted by Shakespeare
+himself. The dignitaries of Stratford, learning that the American
+Ambassador had reached town, asked permission to wait upon him; the Lord
+Mayor, who headed the procession, made an excellent speech, to which
+Page appropriately replied, and several hundred people were solemnly
+presented. After the party had left Page turned to his hostess:
+
+"Have they all gone?"
+
+"Yes."
+
+"All?"
+
+"Yes."
+
+"Are you sure?"
+
+"Yes."
+
+"Then let's take hands and dance around the mulberry tree!"
+
+Page was as good as his word; he danced as gaily as the youngest member
+of the party, to the singing of the old English song.
+
+The great service in St. Paul's Cathedral, in commemoration of America's
+entry into the war, has already been described. A number of wounded
+Americans, boys whose zeal for the Allies had led them to enlist in the
+Canadian Army, were conspicuous participants in this celebration. After
+the solemn religious ceremonies, the Ambassador and these young men
+betook themselves for lunch to a well-known London restaurant. In an
+interval of the conversation one of the Americans turned to Page.
+
+"Mr. Ambassador, there was just one thing wrong with that service."
+
+"What was that?"
+
+"We wanted to yell, and we couldn't."
+
+"Then why don't you yell now?"
+
+The boy jumped on a chair and began waving his napkin. "The Ambassador
+says we may yell," he cried. "Let's yell!"
+
+"And so," said Page, telling the story, "they yelled for five minutes
+and I yelled with them. We all felt better in consequence."
+
+This geniality, this disposition not to take life too solemnly,
+sometimes lightened up the sombre atmosphere of the Foreign Office
+itself. "Mr. Balfour went on a sort of mild rampage yesterday," Page
+records. "The British and American navies had come to an arrangement
+whereby the Brazilian ships that are coming over to help us fight
+should join the American unit, not the British, as was at first
+proposed. Washington telegraphed me that the British Minister at Rio was
+blocking the game by standing out for the first British idea--that the
+Brazilian ships should join the British. It turned out in the
+conversation that the British Minister had not been informed of the
+British-American naval arrangement. Mr. Balfour sent for Lord Hardinge.
+He called in one of the private secretaries. Was such a thing ever heard
+of?
+
+"Did you ever know,' said the indignant Mr. Balfour, turning to me, 'of
+such a thing as a minister not even being informed of his Government's
+decisions?' 'Yes,' I said, 'if I ransack my memory diligently, I think I
+could find such cases.' The meeting went into laughter!"
+
+Evidently the troubles which Page was having with his own State
+Department were not unfamiliar to British officialdom.
+
+Page's letters sufficiently reveal his fondness for Sir Edward Grey and
+the splendid relations that existed between them. The sympathetic chords
+which the two men struck upon their first meeting only grew stronger
+with time. A single episode brings out the bonds that drew them
+together. It took place at a time when the tension over the blockade was
+especially threatening. One afternoon Page asked for a formal interview;
+he had received another exceedingly disagreeable protest from
+Washington, with instructions to push the matter to a decision; the
+Ambassador left his Embassy with a grave expression upon his face; his
+associates were especially worried over the outcome. So critical did the
+situation seem that the most important secretaries gathered in the
+Ambassador's room, awaiting his return, their nerves strung almost to
+the breaking point. An hour went by and nothing was heard from Page;
+another hour slowly passed and still the Ambassador did not return. The
+faces of the assembled staff lengthened as the minutes went by; what was
+the Ambassador doing at the Foreign Office? So protracted an interview
+could portend only evil; already, in the minds of these nervous young
+men, ultimatums were flying between the United States and Great Britain,
+and even war might be hanging in the balance. Another hour drew out its
+weary length; the room became dark, dinner time was approaching, and
+still Page failed to make his appearance. At last, when his distracted
+subordinates were almost prepared to go in search of their chief, the
+Ambassador walked jauntily in, smiling and apparently carefree. What had
+happened? What was to be done about the detained ships?
+
+"What ships?" asked Page, and then suddenly he remembered. "Oh,
+yes--those." That was all right; Sir Edward had at once promised to
+release them; it had all been settled in a few minutes.
+
+"Then why were you so long?"
+
+The truth came out: Sir Edward and Page had quickly turned from
+intercepted cargoes to the more congenial subject of Wordsworth,
+Tennyson, and other favourite poets, and the rest of the afternoon had
+been consumed in discussing this really important business.
+
+Perhaps Page was not so great a story-teller as many Americans, but he
+excelled in a type of yarn that especially delights Englishmen, for it
+is the kind that is native to the American soil. He possessed an
+inexhaustible stock of Negro anecdotes, and he had the gift of bringing
+them out at precisely the right point. There was one which the
+Archbishop of York never tired of repeating. Soon after America entered
+the war, the Archbishop asked Page how long his country was "in for."
+"I can best answer that by telling you a story," said Page. "There were
+two Negroes who had just been sentenced to prison terms. As they were
+being taken away in the carriage placed at their disposal by the United
+States Government, one said to the other, 'Sam, how long is you in fo'?'
+'I guess dat it's a yeah or two yeahs,' said Sam. 'How long is you in
+fo'?' 'I guess it's from now on,' said the other darky." "From now on,"
+remarked the Archbishop, telling this story. "What could more eloquently
+have described America's attitude toward the war?"
+
+The mention of the Archbishop suggests another of Page's talents--the
+aptness of his letters of introduction. In the spring of 1918 the
+Archbishop, at the earnest recommendation of Page and Mr. Balfour, came
+to the United States. Page prepared the way by letters to several
+distinguished Americans, of which this one, to Theodore Roosevelt, is a
+fair sample:
+
+ _To Theodore Roosevelt_
+
+ London, January 16, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MR. ROOSEVELT:
+
+ The Archbishop of York goes to the United States to make some
+ observations of us and of our ways and to deliver addresses--on the
+ invitation of some one of our church organizations; a fortunate
+ event for us and, I have ventured to tell him, for him also.
+
+ During his brief stay in our country, I wish him to make your
+ acquaintance, and I have given him a card of introduction to you,
+ and thus I humbly serve you both.
+
+ The Archbishop is a man and a brother, a humble, learned, earnest,
+ companionable fellow, with most charming manners and an attractive
+ personality, a good friend of mine, which argues much for him and
+ (I think) implies also something in my behalf. You will enjoy him.
+
+ I am, dear Mr. Roosevelt,
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+Greatly as Page loved England he never ceased to preach his Americanism.
+That he preferred his own country to any other and that he believed that
+it was its greatest destiny to teach its institutions to the rest of the
+world, Page's letters show; yet this was with him no cheap
+spread-eagleism; it was a definite philosophy which the Ambassador had
+completely thought out. He never hesitated to express his democratic
+opinions in any company, and only once or twice were there any signs
+that these ideas jarred a little in certain strongholds of conservatism.
+Even in the darkest period of American neutrality Page's faith in the
+American people remained complete. After this country had entered the
+war and the apparent slowness of the Washington Administration had
+raised certain questionings, Page never doubted that the people
+themselves, however irresolute and lukewarm their representatives might
+be, would force the issue to its only logical end. Even so friendly a
+man as Mr. Balfour once voiced a popular apprehension that the United
+States might not get into the war with all its strength or might
+withdraw prematurely. This was in the early period of our participation.
+"Who is going to stop the American people and how?" Page quickly
+replied. "I think that was a good answer," he said, as he looked back at
+the episode in the summer of 1918, when hundreds of thousands of
+Americans were landing in France every month. A scrap of his writing
+records a discussion at a dinner party on this question: "If you could
+have a month in any time and any country, what time and what country
+would you choose?" The majority voted for England in the time of
+Elizabeth, but Page's preference was for Athens in the days of Pericles.
+Then came a far more interesting debate: "If you could spend a second
+lifetime when and where would you choose to spend it?" On this Page had
+not a moment's hesitation: "In the future and in the U.S.A.!" and he
+upheld his point with such persuasiveness that he carried the whole
+gathering with him. His love of anything suggesting America came out on
+all occasions. One of his English hostesses once captivated him by
+serving corn bread at a luncheon. "The American Ambassador and corn
+bread!" he exclaimed with all the delight of a schoolboy. Again he was
+invited, with another distinguished American, to serve as godfather at
+the christening of the daughter of an American woman who had married an
+Englishman. When the ceremony was finished he leaned over the font
+toward his fellow godfather. "Born on July 4th," he exclaimed, "of an
+American mother! And we two Yankee godfathers! We'll see that this child
+is taught the Constitution of the United States!"
+
+One day an American duchess came into Page's office.
+
+"I am going home for a little visit and I want a passport," she said.
+
+"But you don't get a passport here," Page replied. "You must go to the
+Foreign Office."
+
+His visitor was indignant.
+
+"Not at all," she answered. "I am an American: you know that I am; you
+knew my father. I want an American passport."
+
+Page patiently explained the citizenship and naturalization laws and
+finally convinced his caller that she was now a British subject and must
+have a British passport. As this American duchess left the room he
+shook at her a menacing forefinger.
+
+"Don't tell me," was the Ambassador's parting shot, "that you thought
+that you could have your Duke and Uncle Sam, too!"
+
+The judgments which Page passed on men and things were quick and they
+were not infrequently wise. One of these judgments had historic
+consequences the end of which cannot even yet be foreseen. On the
+outbreak of hostilities, as already related, an American Relief
+Committee was organized in London to look out for the interests of
+stranded Americans. Page kept a close eye on its operations, and soon
+his attention was attracted by the noiseless efficiency of an American
+engineer of whom he had already caught a few fleeting glimpses in the
+period of peace. After he had finished his work with the American
+Committee, Mr. Herbert C. Hoover began to make his arrangements to leave
+for the United States. His private affairs had been disorganized; he had
+already sent his family home, and his one ambition was to get on the
+first ship sailing for the United States. The idea of Belgian relief, or
+of feeding starving people anywhere, had never occurred to him. At this
+moment an American, Mr. Millard K. Shaler, came from Brussels and gave
+the most harrowing account of conditions in Belgium. Mr. Hoover took Mr.
+Shaler to Page, who immediately became sympathetic. The Ambassador
+arranged an interview between Mr. Hoover and Sir Edward Grey, who
+likewise showed great interest and promised government support. Soon
+afterward three Belgians arrived and described the situation as
+immediately alarming: Brussels had only food enough to feed the people
+for thirty-six hours; after that, unless help were forthcoming, the
+greatest distress would set in. Five men--Page, the three Belgians, and
+Mr. Hoover--at once got together at the American Embassy. Upon the
+result of that meeting hung the fate of millions of people. Who before
+had ever undertaken a scheme for feeding an entire nation for an
+indefinite period? That there were great obstacles in the way all five
+men knew; the British Admiralty in particular were strongly opposed;
+there was a fear that the food, if it could be acquired and sent to
+Belgium, would find its way to the German Army. Unless the British
+Government could be persuaded that this could be prevented, the
+enterprise would fail at the start. How could it be done?
+
+"There is only one way," said Page. "Some government must give its
+guarantee that this food will get to the Belgian people." "And, of
+course," he added, "there is only one government that can do that. It
+must be the American Government."
+
+Mr. Hoover pointed out that any such guarantee involved the management
+of transportation; only by controlling the railroads could the American
+Government make sure that this food would reach its destination.
+
+And that, added Page, involved a director--some one man who could take
+charge of the whole enterprise. Who should it be?
+
+Then Page turned quickly to the young American.
+
+"Hoover, you're It!"
+
+Mr. Hoover made no reply; he neither accepted nor rejected the proposal.
+He merely glanced at the clock, then got up and silently left the room.
+In a few minutes he returned and entered again into the discussion.
+
+"Hoover, why did you get up and leave us so abruptly?" asked Page, a
+little puzzled over this behaviour.
+
+"I saw by the clock," came the answer--and it was a story that Page was
+fond of telling, as illustrating the rapidity with which Mr. Hoover
+worked--"that there was an hour left before the Exchange closed in New
+York. So I went out and cabled, buying several millions of bushels of
+wheat--for the Belgians, of course."
+
+ * * * * *
+
+For what is usually known as "society" Page had little inclination. Yet
+for social intercourse on a more genuine plane he had real gifts. Had he
+enjoyed better health, week ends in the country would have afforded him
+welcome entertainment. He also liked dinner parties but indulged in them
+very moderately. He was a member of many London clubs but he seldom
+visited any of them. There were a number of organizations, however,
+which he regularly attended. The Society of Dilettanti, a company of
+distinguished men interested in promoting the arts and improving the
+public taste, which has been continuously in existence since 1736,
+enrolling in each generation the greatest painters and writers of the
+time, elected Page to membership. He greatly enjoyed its dinners in the
+Banquet Hall of the Grafton Gallery. "Last night," he writes, describing
+his initial appearance, "I attended my first Dilettanti dinner and was
+inducted, much as a new Peer is inducted into the House of Lords. Lord
+Mersey in the chair--in a red robe. These gay old dogs have had a fine
+time of it for nearly 200 years--good wine, high food, fine
+satisfaction. The oldest dining society in the Kingdom. The blue blood
+old Briton has the art of enjoying himself reduced to a very fine point
+indeed." Another gathering whose meetings he seldom missed was that of
+the Kinsmen, an informal club of literary men who met occasionally for
+food and converse in the Trocadero Restaurant. Here Page would meet such
+congenial souls as Sir James Barrie and Sir Arthur Pinero, all of whom
+retain lively memories of Page at these gatherings. "He was one of the
+most lovable characters I have ever had the good fortune to encounter,"
+says Sir Arthur Pinero, recalling these occasions. "In what special
+quality or qualities lay the secret of his charm and influence? Surely
+in his simplicity and transparent honesty, and in the possession of a
+disposition which, without the smallest loss of dignity, was responsive
+and affectionate. Distinguished American Ambassadors will come and go,
+and will in their turn win esteem and admiration. But none, I venture to
+say, will efface the recollection of Walter Page from the minds of those
+who were privileged to gain his friendship."
+
+One aspect of Page that remains fixed in the memory of his associates is
+his unwearied industry with the pen. His official communications and his
+ordinary correspondence Page dictated; but his personal letters he wrote
+with his own hand. He himself deplored the stenographer as a deterrent
+to good writing; the habit of dictating, he argued, led to wordiness and
+general looseness of thought. Practically all the letters published in
+these volumes were therefore the painstaking work of Page's own pen. His
+handwriting was so beautiful and clear that, in his editorial days, the
+printers much preferred it as "copy" to typewritten matter. This habit
+is especially surprising in view of the Ambassador's enormous epistolary
+output. It must be remembered that the letters included in the present
+book are only a selection from the vast number that he wrote during his
+five years in England; many of these letters fill twenty and thirty
+pages of script; the labour involved in turning them out; day after day,
+seems fairly astounding. Yet with Page this was a labour of love. All
+through his Ambassadorship he seemed hardly contented unless he had a
+pen in his hand. As his secretaries would glance into his room, there
+they would see the Ambassador bending over his desk-writing, writing,
+eternally writing; sometimes he would call them in, and read what he had
+written, never hesitating to tear up the paper if their unfavourable
+criticisms seemed to him well taken. The Ambassador kept a desk also in
+his bedroom, and here his most important correspondence was attended to.
+Page's all-night self-communings before his wood fire have already been
+described, and he had another nocturnal occupation that was similarly
+absorbing. Many a night, after returning late from his office or from
+dinner, he would put on his dressing gown, sit at his bedroom desk, and
+start pouring forth his inmost thoughts in letters to the President,
+Colonel House, or some other correspondent. His pen flew over the paper
+with the utmost rapidity and the Ambassador would sometimes keep at his
+writing until two or three o'clock in the morning. There is a frequently
+expressed fear that letter writing is an art of the past; that the
+intervention of the stenographer has destroyed its spontaneity; yet it
+is evident that in Page the present generation has a letter writer of
+the old-fashioned kind, for he did all his writing with his own hand and
+under circumstances that would assure the utmost freshness and vividness
+to the result.
+
+An occasional game of golf, which he played badly, a trip now and then
+to rural England--these were Page's only relaxations from his duties.
+Though he was not especially fond of leaving his own house, he was
+always delighted when visitors came to him. And the American Embassy,
+during the five years from 1913 to 1918, extended a hospitality which
+was fittingly democratic in its quality but which gradually drew within
+its doors all that was finest in the intellect and character of
+England. Page himself attributed the popularity of his house to his
+wife. Mrs. Page certainly embodied the traits most desirable in the
+Ambassadress of a great Republic. A woman of cultivation, a tireless
+reader, a close observer of people and events and a shrewd commentator
+upon them, she also had an unobtrusive dignity, a penetrating sympathy,
+and a capacity for human association, which, while more restrained and
+more placid than that of her husband, made her a helpful companion for a
+sorely burdened man. The American Embassy under Mr. and Mrs. Page was
+not one of London's smart houses as that word is commonly understood in
+this great capital. But No. 6 Grosvenor Square, in the spaciousness of
+its rooms, the simple beauty of its furnishings, and especially in its
+complete absence of ostentation, made it the worthy abiding place of an
+American Ambassador. And the people who congregated there were precisely
+the kind that appeal to the educated American. "I didn't know I was
+getting into an assembly of immortals," exclaimed Mr. Hugh Wallace, when
+he dropped in one Thursday afternoon for tea, and found himself
+foregathered with Sir Edward Grey, Henry James, John Sargent, and other
+men of the same type. It was this kind of person who most naturally
+gravitated to the Page establishment, not the ultra-fashionable, the
+merely rich, or the many titled. The formal functions which the position
+demanded the Pages scrupulously gave; but the affairs which Page most
+enjoyed and which have left the most lasting remembrances upon his
+guests were the informal meetings with his chosen favourites, for the
+most part literary men. Here Page's sheer brilliancy of conversation
+showed at its best. Lord Bryce, Sir John Simon, John Morley, the
+inevitable companions, Henry James and John Sargent--"What things have
+I seen done at the Mermaid"; and certainly these gatherings of wits and
+savants furnished as near an approach to its Elizabethan prototype as
+London could then present.
+
+Besides his official activities Page performed great services to the two
+countries by his speeches. The demands of this kind on an American
+Ambassador are always numerous, but Page's position was an exceptional
+one; it was his fortune to represent America at a time when his own
+country and Great Britain were allies in a great war. He could therefore
+have spent practically all his time in speaking had he been so disposed.
+Of the hundreds of invitations received he was able to accept only a
+few, but most of these occasions became memorable ones. In any
+spectacular sense Page was not an orator; he rather despised the grand
+manner, with its flourishes and its tricks; the name of public speaker
+probably best describes his talents on the platform. Here his style was
+earnest and conversational: his speech flowed with the utmost readiness;
+it was invariably quiet and restrained; he was never aiming at big
+effects, but his words always went home. Of the series of speeches that
+stand to his credit in England probably the one that will be longest
+remembered is that delivered at Plymouth on August 4, 1917, the third
+anniversary of the war. This not only reviewed the common history of the
+two nations for three hundred years, and suggested a programme for
+making the bonds tighter yet, but it brought the British public
+practical assurances as to America's intentions in the conflict. Up to
+that time there had been much vagueness and doubt; no official voice had
+spoken the clear word for the United States; the British public did not
+know what to expect from their kinsmen overseas. But after Page's
+Plymouth speech the people of Great Britain looked forward with
+complete confidence to the coöperation of the two countries and to the
+inevitable triumph of this coöperation.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ Knebworth House, Knebworth,
+ August 11, 1917.
+
+ Dear Arthur:
+
+ First of all, these three years have made me tired. I suppose
+ there's no doubt about that, if there were any scientific way of
+ measuring it. While of course the strain now is nothing like what
+ it was during the days of neutrality, there's yet some strain.
+
+ I went down to Plymouth to make a speech on the anniversary of the
+ beginning of the war--went to tell them in the west of England
+ something about relations with the United States and something
+ about what the United States is doing in the war. It turned out to
+ be a great success. The Mayor met me at the train; there was a
+ military company, the Star Spangled Banner and real American
+ applause. All the way through the town the streets were lined with
+ all the inhabitants and more--apparently millions of 'em. They made
+ the most of it for five solid days.
+
+ On the morning of August 4th the Mayor gave me an official
+ luncheon. Thence we went to the esplanade facing the sea, where
+ soldiers and sailors were lined up for half a mile. The American
+ Flag was flung loose, the Star Spangled Banner broke forth from the
+ band, and all the people in that part of the world were there
+ gathered to see the show. After all this salute the Mayor took me
+ to the stand and he and I made speeches, and the background was a
+ group of dozens of admirals and generals and many smaller fry. Then
+ I reviewed the troops; then they marched by me and in an hour or
+ two the show was over.
+
+ Then the bowling club--the same club and the same green as when
+ Drake left the game to sail out to meet the Armada.
+
+ Then a solemn service in the big church, where the prayers were
+ written and the hymns selected with reference to our part in the
+ war.
+
+ Then, of course, a dinner party. At eight o'clock at night, the
+ Guildhall, an enormous town hall, was packed with people and I made
+ my speech at 'em. A copy (somewhat less good than the version I
+ gave them) goes to you, along with a leader from the _Times_. They
+ were vociferously grateful for any assuring word about the United
+ States. It's strange how very little the provincial Englander knows
+ about what we have done and mean to do. They took the speech
+ finely, and I have had good letters about it from all sorts of
+ people in every part of the Kingdom.
+
+ Then followed five days of luncheons and dinners and garden
+ parties--and (what I set out to say) I got back to London last
+ night dead tired. To-day your mother and I came here--about
+ twenty-five miles from London--for a fortnight.
+
+ This is Bulwer-Lytton's house--a fine old English place hired this
+ year by Lady Strafford, whom your mother is visiting for a
+ fortnight or more, and they let me come along, too. They have given
+ me the big library, as good a room as I want--with as bad pens as
+ they can find in the Kingdom.
+
+ Your mother is tired, too. Since the American Red Cross was
+ organized here, she has added to her committee and hospitals. But
+ she keeps well and very vigorous. A fortnight here will set her up.
+ She enjoyed Plymouth very much in spite of the continual rush, and
+ it was a rush.
+
+ What the United States is doing looks good and large at this
+ distance. The gratitude here is unbounded; but I detect a feeling
+ here and there of wonder whether we are going to keep up this
+ activity to the end.
+
+ I sometimes feel that the German collapse _may_ come next winter.
+ Their internal troubles and the lack of sufficient food and raw
+ materials do increase. The breaking point may be reached before
+ another summer. I wish I could prove it or even certainly predict
+ it. But it is at least conceivable. Alas, no one can _prove_
+ anything about the war. The conditions have no precedents. The sum
+ of human misery and suffering is simply incalculable, as is the
+ loss of life; and the gradual and general brutalization goes on and
+ on and on far past any preceding horrors.
+
+ With all my love to you and Mollie and the trio,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+And so for five busy and devastating years Page did his work. The
+stupidities of Washington might drive him to desperation, ill-health
+might increase his periods of despondency, the misunderstandings that he
+occasionally had with the British Government might add to his
+discouragements, but a naturally optimistic and humorous temperament
+overcame all obstacles, and did its part in bringing about that united
+effort which ended in victory. And that it was a great part, the story
+of his Ambassadorship abundantly proves. Page was not the soldier
+working in the blood and slime of Flanders, nor the sea fighter spending
+day and night around the foggy coast of Ireland, nor the statesman
+bending parliaments to his will and manipulating nations and peoples in
+the mighty game whose stake was civilization itself. But history will
+indeed be ungrateful if it ever forget the gaunt and pensive figure,
+clad in a dressing gown, sitting long into the morning before the
+smouldering fire at 6 Grosvenor Square, seeking to find some way to
+persuade a reluctant and hesitating President to lead his country in the
+defense of liberty and determined that, so far as he could accomplish
+it, the nation should play a part in the great assize that was in
+keeping with its traditions and its instincts.
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXIV
+
+A RESPITE AT ST. IVES
+
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ Knebworth House
+ Sunday, September,[sic] 1917.
+
+ Dear House:
+
+ ... By far the most important peace plan or utterance is the
+ President's extraordinary answer to the Pope[64]. His flat and
+ convincing refusal to take the word of the present rulers of
+ Germany as of any value has had more effect here than any other
+ utterance and it is, so far, the best contribution we have made to
+ the war. The best evidence that I can get shows also that it has
+ had more effect in Germany than anything else that has been said by
+ anybody. That hit the bull's-eye with perfect accuracy; and it has
+ been accepted here as _the_ war aim and _the_ war condition. So far
+ as I can make out it is working in Germany toward peace with more
+ effect than any other deliverance made by anybody. And it steadied
+ the already unshakable resolution here amazingly.
+
+ I can get any information here of course without danger of the
+ slightest publicity--an important point, because even the mention
+ of peace now is dangerous. All the world, under this long strain,
+ is more or less off the normal, and all my work--even routine
+ work--is done with the profoundest secrecy: it has to be.
+
+ Our energetic war preparations call forth universal admiration and
+ gratitude here on all sides and nerve up the British and hearten
+ them more than I know how to explain. There is an eager and even
+ pathetic curiosity to hear all the details, to hear, in fact,
+ anything about the United States; and what the British do not know
+ about the United States would fill the British Museum. They do
+ know, however, that they would soon have been obliged to make an
+ unsatisfactory peace if we hadn't come in when we did and they
+ freely say so. The little feeling of jealousy that we should come
+ in and win the war at the end has, I think, been forgotten,
+ swallowed up in their genuine gratitude.
+
+ Sincerely yours,
+
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ American Embassy,
+ London, Sept. 3, 1917.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... The President has sent Admiral Mayo over to study the naval
+ situation. So far as I can learn the feeling at Washington is that
+ the British Navy has done nothing. Why, it hasn't attacked the
+ German naval bases and destroyed the German navy and ended the war!
+ Why not? I have a feeling that Mayo will supplement and support
+ Sims in his report. Then gradually the naval men at Washington may
+ begin to understand and they may get the important facts into the
+ President's head. Meantime the submarine work of the Germans
+ continues to win the war, although the government and the people
+ here and in the United States appear not to believe it. They are
+ still destroying seventy-five British ships a month besides an
+ additional (smaller) number of allied and neutral ships. And all
+ the world together is not turning out seventy-five ships a month;
+ nor are we all destroying submarines as fast as the Germans are
+ turning _them_ out. Yet all the politicians are putting on a
+ cheerful countenance about it because the Germans are not starving
+ England out and are not just now sinking passenger ships. They may
+ begin this again at any time. They have come within a few feet of
+ torpedoing two of our American liners. The submarine _is_ the war
+ yet, but nobody seems disposed to believe it. They'll probably wake
+ up with a great shock some day--or the war may possibly end before
+ the destruction of ships becomes positively fatal.
+
+ The President's letter to the Pope gives him the moral and actual
+ leadership now. The Hohenzollerns must go. Somehow the subjects and
+ governments of these Old World kingdoms have not hitherto laid
+ emphasis on this. There's still a divinity that doth hedge a king
+ in most European minds. To me this is the very queerest thing in
+ the whole world. What again if Germany, Austria, Spain should
+ follow Russia? Whether they do or not crowns will not henceforth be
+ so popular. There is an unbounded enthusiasm here for the
+ President's letter and for the President in general.
+
+ In spite of certain details which it seems impossible to make
+ understood on the Potomac, the whole American preparation and
+ enthusiasm seem from this distance to be very fine. The _people_
+ seem in earnest. When I read about tax bills, about the food
+ regulation and a thousand other such things, I am greatly
+ gratified. And it proves that we were right when we said that
+ during the days of neutrality the people were held back. It all
+ looks exceedingly good from this distance, and it makes me
+ homesick.
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday_
+
+ American Embassy.
+
+ [Undated, but written about October I, 1917]
+
+ DEAR EFFENDI:
+
+ ... The enormous war work and war help that everybody seems to be
+ doing in the United States is heartily appreciated here--most
+ heartily. The English eat out of our hands. You can see American
+ uniforms every day in London. Every ship brings them. Everybody's
+ thrilled to see them. The Americans here have great houses opened
+ as officers' clubs, and scrumptious huts for men where countesses
+ and other high ladies hand out sandwiches and serve ice cream and
+ ginger beer. Our two admirals are most popular with all classes,
+ from royalty down. English soldiers salute our officers in the
+ street and old gentlemen take off their hats when they meet nurses
+ with the American Red Cross uniform. My Embassy now occupies four
+ buildings for offices, more than half of them military and naval.
+ And my own staff, proper, is the biggest in the world and keeps
+ growing. When I go, in a little while, to receive the Freedom of
+ the City of Edinburgh, I shall carry an Admiral or a General as my
+ aide!
+
+ That's the way we keep a stiff upper lip.
+
+ And Good Lord! it's tiresome. Peace? We'd all give our lives for
+ the right sort of peace, and never move an eyelid. But only the
+ wrong sort has yet come within reach. The other sort is coming,
+ however; for these present German contortions are the beginning of
+ the end. But the weariness of it, and the tragedy and the cost. No
+ human creature was ever as tired as I am. Yet I keep well and keep
+ going and keep working all my waking hours. When it ends, I shall
+ collapse and go home and have to rest a while. So at least I feel
+ now. And, if I outlive the work and the danger and the weariness,
+ I'll praise God for that. And it doesn't let up a single day. And
+ I'm no worse off than everybody else.
+
+ So this over-weary world goes, dear Effendi; but the longest day
+ shades at last down to twilight and rest; and so this will be. And
+ poor old Europe will then not be worth while for the rest of our
+ lives--a vast grave and ruin where unmated women will mourn and
+ starvation will remain for years to come.
+
+ God bless us.
+
+ Sincerely yours, with my love to all the boys,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Frank N. Doubleday_
+
+ London, November 9, 1917.
+
+ DEAR EFFENDI:
+
+ ... This infernal thing drags its slow length along so that we
+ cannot see even a day ahead, not to say a week, or a year. If any
+ man here allowed the horrors of it to dwell on his mind he would go
+ mad, so we have to skip over these things somewhat lightly and try
+ to keep the long, definite aim in our thoughts and to work away
+ distracted as little as possible by the butchery and by the
+ starvation that is making this side of the world a shambles and a
+ wilderness. There is hardly a country on the Continent where people
+ are not literally starving to death, and in many of them by
+ hundreds of thousands; and this state of things is going to
+ continue for a good many years after the war. God knows we (I mean
+ the American people) are doing everything we can to alleviate it
+ but there is so much more to be done than any group of forces can
+ possibly do, that I have a feeling that we have hardly touched the
+ borders of the great problem itself. Of course here in London we
+ are away from all that. In spite of the rations we get quite enough
+ to eat and it's as good as it is usually in England, but we have no
+ right to complain. Of course we are subject to air raids, and the
+ wise air people here think that early next spring we are going to
+ be bombarded with thousands of aeroplanes, and with new kinds of
+ bombs and gases in a well-organized effort to try actually to
+ destroy London. Possibly that will come; we must simply take our
+ chance, every man sticking to his job. Already the slate shingles
+ on my roof have been broken, and bricks have been knocked down my
+ chimney; the sky-light was hit and glass fell down all through the
+ halls, and the nose of a shrapnel shell, weighing eight pounds,
+ fell just in front of my doorway and rolled in my area. This is the
+ sort of thing we incidentally get, not of course from the enemy
+ directly, but from the British guns in London which shoot these
+ things at German aeroplanes. What goes up must come down. Between
+ our own defences and the enemy, God knows which will kill us first!
+
+ In spite of all this I put my innocent head on my pillow every
+ night and get a good night's sleep after the bombing is done, and I
+ thank Heaven that nothing interrupts my sleep. This, and a little
+ walking, which is all I get time to do in these foggy days,
+ constitute my life outdoors and precious little of it is outdoors.
+
+ Then on every block that I know of in London there is a hospital or
+ supply place and the ambulances are bringing the poor fellows in
+ all the time. We don't get any gasolene to ride so we have to walk.
+ We don't get any white bread so we have to eat stuff made of flour
+ and corn meal ground so fine that it isn't good. While everybody
+ gets a little thinner, the universal opinion is that they also get
+ a little better, and nobody is going to die here of hunger. We
+ feel a little more cheerful about the submarines than we did some
+ time ago. For some reason they are not getting so many ships. One
+ reason, I am glad to believe, is that they are getting caught
+ themselves. If I could remember all the stories that I hear of good
+ fighting with the submarines I could keep you up two nights when I
+ get home, but in these days one big thing after another crowds so
+ in men's minds that the Lord knows if, when I get home, I shall
+ remember anything.
+
+ Always heartily yours,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London, December 3, 1917.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ ... Some of the British military men in London are not hopeful of
+ an early end of the war nor even cheerful about the result. They
+ are afraid of the war-weariness that overcame Russia and gave Italy
+ a setback. They say the military task, though long and slow and
+ hard, can be done if everybody will pull together and keep at the
+ job without weariness--_be done by our help_. But they have fits of
+ fear of France. They are discouraged by the greater part of Lord
+ Lansdowne's letter[65]. I myself do not set great value on this
+ military feeling in London, for the British generals in France do
+ not share it. Lord French once said to me and General Robertson,
+ too, that when they feel despondent in London, they go to the front
+ and get cheered up. But it does seem to be a long job. Evidently
+ the Germans mean to fight to the last man unless they can succeed
+ in inducing the Allies to meet them to talk it over without naming
+ their terms in advance. That is what Lord Lansdowne favours, and no
+ public outgiving by any prominent man in England has called forth
+ such a storm of protest since the war began. I think I see the
+ genesis of his thought, and it is this: there is nothing in his
+ letter and there was nothing in the half dozen or more rather long
+ conversations that I have had with him on other subjects to show
+ that he has the slightest conception of democracy as a social creed
+ or as a political system. He is, I think, the most complete
+ aristocrat that I have ever met. He doesn't see the war at all as a
+ struggle between democracy and its opposite. He sees it merely as a
+ struggle between Germany and the Allies; and inferentially he is
+ perfectly willing the Kaiser should remain in power. He is of
+ course a patriotic man and a man of great cultivation. But he
+ doesn't see the deeper meaning of the conflict. Add to this defect
+ of understanding, a long period of bad health and a lasting
+ depression because of the loss of his son, and his call to the
+ war-weary ceases to be a surprise.
+
+ I am, dear Mr. President,
+ Sincerely yours,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ American Embassy,
+ London, December 23, 1917.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ I sent you a Christmas cable yesterday for everybody. That's about
+ all I can send in these days of slow mail and restricted shipping
+ and enormously high prices; and you gave all the girls each $100
+ for me, for the babies and themselves? That'll show 'em that at
+ least we haven't forgotten them. Forgotten? Your mother and I are
+ always talking of the glad day when we can go home and live among
+ them. We get as homesick as small boys their first month at a
+ boarding school. Do you remember the day I left you at
+ Lawrenceville, a forlorn and lonely kid?--It's like that.
+
+ A wave of depression hangs over the land like a London fog. And
+ everybody on this tired-out side of the world shows a disposition
+ to lean too heavily on us--to depend on us so completely that the
+ fear arises that they may unconsciously relax their own utmost
+ efforts when we begin to fight. Yet they can't in the least afford
+ to relax, and, when the time comes, I dare say they will not. Yet
+ the plain truth is, the French may give out next year for lack of
+ men. I do not mean that they will quit, but that their fighting
+ strength will have passed its maximum and that they will be able to
+ play only a sort of second part. Except the British and the French,
+ there's no nation in Europe worth a tinker's damn when you come to
+ the real scratch. The whole continent is rotten or tyrannical or
+ yellow-dog. I wouldn't give Long Island or Moore County for the
+ whole of continental Europe, with its kings and itching palms.
+
+ ... Waves of depression and of hope--if not of elation--come and
+ go. I am told, and I think truly, that waves of weariness come in
+ London far oftener and more depressingly than anywhere else in the
+ Kingdom. There is no sign nor fear that the British will give up;
+ they'll hold on till the end. Winston Churchill said to me last
+ night: "We can hold on till next year. But after 1918, it'll be
+ your fight. We'll have to depend on you." I told him that such a
+ remark might well be accepted in some quarters as a British
+ surrender. Then he came up to the scratch: "Surrender? Never." But
+ I fear we need--in some practical and non-ostentatious way--now
+ and then to remind all these European folk that we get no
+ particular encouragement by being unduly leaned on.
+
+ It is, however, the weariest Christmas in all British annals,
+ certainly since the Napoleonic wars. The untoward event after the
+ British advance toward Cambrai caused the retirement of six British
+ generals and deepened the depression here. Still I can see it now
+ passing. Even a little victory will bring back a wave of
+ cheerfulness.
+
+ Depression or elation show equally the undue strain that British
+ nerves are under. I dare say nobody is entirely normal. News of
+ many sorts can now be circulated only by word of mouth. The
+ queerest stories are whispered about and find at least temporary
+ credence. For instance: The report has been going around that the
+ revolution that took place in Portugal the other day was caused by
+ the Germans (likely enough); that it was a monarchical movement and
+ that the Germans were going to put the King back on the throne as
+ soon as the war ended. Sensation-mongers appear at every
+ old-woman's knitting circle. And all this has an effect on conduct.
+ Two young wives of noble officers now in France have just run away
+ with two other young noblemen--to the scandal of a large part of
+ good society in London. It is universally said that the morals of
+ more hitherto good people are wrecked by the strain put upon women
+ by the absence of their husbands than was ever before heard of.
+ Everybody is overworked. Fewer people are literally truthful than
+ ever before. Men and women break down and fall out of working ranks
+ continuously. The number of men in the government who have
+ disappeared from public view is amazing, the number that would like
+ to disappear is still greater--from sheer overstrain. The Prime
+ Minister is tired. Bonar Law in a long conference that Crosby and
+ I had with him yesterday wearily ran all round a circle rather than
+ hit a plain proposition with a clear decision. Mr. Balfour has kept
+ his house from overwork a few days every recent week. I lunched
+ with Mr. Asquith yesterday; even he seemed jaded; and Mrs. Asquith
+ assured me that "everything is going to the devil damned fast."
+ Some conspicuous men who have always been sober have taken to
+ drink. The very few public dinners that are held are served with
+ ostentatious meagreness to escape criticism. I attended one last
+ week at which there was no bread, no butter, no sugar served. All
+ of which doesn't mean that the world here is going to the bad--only
+ that it moves backward and forward by emotions; and this is
+ normally a most unemotional race. Overwork and the loss of Sons and
+ friends--the list of the lost grows--always make an abnormal
+ strain. The churches are fuller than ever before. So, too, are the
+ "parlours" of the fortune-tellers. So also the theatres--in the
+ effort to forget one's self. There are afternoon dances for young
+ officers at home on leave: the curtains are drawn and the music is
+ muffled. More marriages take place--blind and maimed, as well as
+ the young fellows just going to France--than were ever celebrated
+ in any year within men's memory. Verse-writing is rampant. I have
+ received enough odes and sonnets celebrating the Great Republic and
+ the Great President to fill a folio volume. Several American
+ Y.M.C.A. workers lately turned rampant Pacifists and had to be sent
+ home. Colonial soldiers and now and then an American sailor turn up
+ at our Y.M.C.A. huts as full as a goat and swear after the event
+ that they never did such a thing before. Emotions and strain
+ everywhere!
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+In March Page, a very weary man--as these letters indicate--took a brief
+holiday at St. Ives, on the coast of Cornwall. As he gazed out on the
+Atlantic, the yearning for home, for the sandhills and the pine trees of
+North Carolina, again took possession of his soul. Yet it is evident,
+from a miscellaneous group of letters written at this time, that his
+mind revelled in a variety of subjects, ranging all the way from British
+food and vegetables to the settlement of the war and from secret
+diplomacy to literary style.
+
+ _To Mrs. Charles G. Loring_
+ St. Ives, Cornwall, March 3, 1918.
+
+ DEAR KITTY:
+
+ Your mother of course needed a rest away from London after the
+ influenza got done with her; and I discovered that I had gone
+ stale. So she and I and the golf clubs came here yesterday--as near
+ to the sunlit land of Uncle Sam as you can well get on this island.
+ We look across the ocean--at least out into it--in your direction,
+ but I must confess that Labrador is not in sight. The place is all
+ right, the hotel uncommonly good, but it's Greenlandish in its
+ temperature--a very cold wind blowing. The golf clubs lean up
+ against the wall and curse the weather. But we are away from the
+ hordes of people and will have a little quiet here. It's as quiet
+ as any far-off place by the sea, and it's clean. London is the
+ dirtiest town in the world.
+
+ By the way that picture of Chud came (by Col. Honey) along with
+ Alice Page's adorable little photograph. As for the wee chick, I
+ see how you are already beginning to get a lot of fun with her. And
+ you'll have more and more as she gets bigger. Give her my love and
+ see what she'll say. You won't get so lonesome, dear Kitty, with
+ little Alice; and I can't keep from thinking as well as hoping
+ that the war will not go on as long as it sometimes seems that it
+ must. The utter collapse of Russia has given Germany a vast victory
+ on that side and it may turn out that this will make an earlier
+ peace possible than would otherwise have come. And the Germans may
+ be--in fact, _must_ be, very short of some of the essentials of war
+ in their metals or in cotton. They are in a worse internal plight
+ than has been made known, I am sure. I can't keep from hoping that
+ peace may come this year. Of course, my guess may be wrong; but
+ everything I hear points in the direction of my timid prediction.
+
+ Bless you and little Alice,
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+Page's oldest son was building a house and laying out a garden at
+Pinehurst, North Carolina, a fact which explains the horticultural and
+gastronomical suggestions contained in the following letter:
+
+ _To Ralph W. Page_
+
+ Tregenna Castle Hotel,
+ St. Ives, Cornwall, England,
+ March 4, 1918.
+
+DEAR RALPH:
+
+ Asparagus
+ Celery
+ Tomatoes
+ Butter Beans
+ Peas
+ Sweet Corn
+ Sweet Potatoes
+ Squash--the sort you cook in the rind
+ Cantaloupe
+ Peanuts
+ Egg Plant
+ Figs
+ Peaches
+ Pecans
+ Scuppernongs
+ Peanut-bacon, in glass jars
+ Razor-back hams, divinely cured
+ Raspberries
+ Strawberries
+ etc. etc. etc. etc.
+
+ You see, having starved here for five years, my mind, as soon as it
+ gets free, runs on these things and my mouth waters. All the
+ foregoing things that grow can be put up in pretty glass jars, too.
+
+ Add cream, fresh butter, buttermilk, fresh eggs. Only one of all
+ the things on page one grows with any flavour here at
+ all--strawberries; and only one or two more grow at all. Darned if
+ I don't have to confront Cabbage every day. I haven't yet
+ surrendered, and I never shall unless the Germans get us. Cabbage
+ and Germans belong together: God made 'em both the same stinking
+ day.
+
+ Now get a bang-up gardener no matter what he costs. Get him
+ started. Put it up to him to start toward the foregoing programme,
+ to be reached in (say) three years--two if possible. He must learn
+ to grow these things absolutely better than they are now grown
+ anywhere on earth. He must get the best seed. He must get muck out
+ of the swamp, manure from somewhere, etc. etc. He must have the
+ supreme flavour in each thing. Let him take room enough for
+ each--plenty of room. He doesn't want much room for any one thing,
+ but good spaces between.
+
+ This will be the making of the world. Talk about fairs? If he fails
+ to get every prize he must pay a fine for every one that goes to
+ anybody else.
+
+ How we'll live! I can live on these things and nothing else. But
+ (just to match this home outfit) I'll order tea from Japan, ripe
+ olives from California, grape fruit and oranges from Florida. Then
+ poor folks will hang around, hoping to be invited to dinner!
+
+ Plant a few fig trees now; and pecans? Any good?
+
+ The world is going to come pretty close to starvation not only
+ during the war but for five or perhaps ten years afterward. An acre
+ or two _done right_--divinely right--will save us. An acre or two
+ on my land in Moore County--no king can live half so well if the
+ ground be got ready this spring and such a start made as one
+ natural-born gardener can make. The old Russian I had in Garden
+ City was no slouch. Do you remember his little patch back of the
+ house? That far, far, far excelled anything in all Europe. And
+ you'll recall that we jarred 'em and had good things all winter.
+
+ This St. Ives is the finest spot in England that I've ever seen.
+ To-day has been as good as any March day you ever had in North
+ Carolina--a fine air, clear sunshine, a beautiful sea--looking out
+ toward the United States; and this country grows--the best golf
+ links that I've ever seen in the world, and nothing else worth
+ speaking of but--tin. Tin mines are all about here. Tin and golf
+ are good crops in their way, but they don't feed the belly of man.
+ As matters stand the only people that have fit things to eat now in
+ all Europe are the American troops in France, and their food comes
+ out of tins chiefly. Ach! Heaven! In these islands man is
+ amphibious and carnivorous. It rains every day and meat, meat,
+ meat is the only human idea of food. God bless us, one acre of the
+ Sandhills is worth a vast estate of tin mines and golf links to
+ feed the innards of
+
+ Yours affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ P.S. And cornfield peas, of just the right rankness, cooked with
+ just the right dryness.
+
+ When I become a citizen of the Sandhills I propose to induce some
+ benevolent lover of good food to give substantial prizes to the
+ best grower of each of these things and to the best cook of each
+ and to the person who serves each of them most daintily.
+
+ We can can and glass jar these things and let none be put on the
+ market without the approval of an expert employed by the community.
+ Then we can get a reputation for Sandhill Food and charge double
+ price.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ St. Ives, Cornwall,
+
+ England, March 8, 1918.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ Your letter, written from the University Club, is just come. It
+ makes a very distinct impression on my mind which my own
+ conclusions and fears have long confirmed. Let me put it at its
+ worst and in very bald terms: The Great White Chief is at bottom
+ pacifist, has always been so and is so now. Of course I do not mean
+ a pacifist at any price, certainly not a cowardly pacifist. But
+ (looked at theoretically) war is, of course, an absurd way of
+ settling any quarrel, an irrational way. Men and nations are
+ wasteful, cruel, pigheaded fools to indulge in it. Quite true. But
+ war is also the only means of adding to a nation's territory the
+ territory of other nations which they do not wish to sell or to
+ give up--the robbers' only way to get more space or to get booty.
+ This last explains this war. Every Hohenzollern (except the present
+ Emperor's father, who reigned only a few months) since Frederick
+ the Great has added to Prussian and German area of rule. Every one,
+ therefore, as he comes to the throne, feels an obligation to make
+ his addition to the Empire. For this the wars of Prussia with
+ Austria, with Denmark, with France were brought on. They succeeded
+ and won the additions that old William I made to the Empire. Now
+ William II must make _his_ addition. He prepared for more than
+ forty years; the nation prepared before he came to the throne and
+ his whole reign has been given to making sure that he was ready.
+ It's a robber's raid. Of course, the German case has been put so as
+ to direct attention from this bald fact.
+
+ Now the philosophical pacifists--I don't mean the cowardly,
+ yellow-dog ones--have never quite seen the war in this aspect. They
+ regard it as a dispute about something--about trade, about more
+ seaboard, about this or that, whereas it is only a robber's
+ adventure. They want other people's property. They want money,
+ treasure, land, indemnities, minerals, raw materials; and they set
+ out to take them.
+
+ Now confusing this character of the war with some sort of rational
+ dispute about something, the pacifists try in every way to stop it,
+ so that the "issue" may be reasoned out, debated, discussed,
+ negotiated. Surely the President tried to reach peace--tried as
+ hard and as long as the people would allow him. The Germans argued
+ away time with him while they got their submarine fleet built. Then
+ they carried out the programme they had always had in mind and had
+ never thought of abandoning. Now they wish to gain more time, to
+ slacken the efforts of the Allies, if possible to separate them by
+ asking for "discussions"--peace by "negotiation." When you are
+ about to kill the robber, he cries out, "For God's sake, let's
+ discuss the question between us. We can come to terms."--Now here's
+ where the danger comes from the philosophical pacifist--from any
+ man who does not clearly understand the nature of the war and of
+ the enemy. To discuss the difference between us is so very
+ reasonable in sound--so very reasonable in fact if there were a
+ discussable difference. It is a programme that would always be in
+ order except with a burglar or a robber.
+
+ The yet imperfect understanding of the war and of the nature of the
+ German in the United States, especially at Washington--more
+ especially in the White House--herein lies the danger.
+
+ ... This little rest down here is a success. The weather is a
+ disappointment--windy and cold. But to be away from London and away
+ from folks--that's much. Shoecraft is very good[66]. He sends us
+ next to nothing. Almost all we've got is an invitation to lunch
+ with Their Majesties and they've been good enough to put that off.
+ It's a far-off country, very fine, I'm sure in summer, and with
+ most beautiful golf links. The hill is now so windy that no sane
+ man can play there.
+
+ We're enjoying the mere quiet. And your mother is quite well again.
+
+ Affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ To Mrs. Charles G. Loring
+ St. Ives, Cornwall,
+ March 10, 1918.
+
+ DEAR KITTY:
+
+ A week here. No news. Shoecraft says we've missed nothing in
+ London. What we came for we've got: your mother's quite well. She
+ climbs these high hills quite spryly. We've had a remarkable week
+ in this respect--we haven't carried on a conversation with any
+ human being but ourselves. I don't think any such thing has ever
+ happened before. I can stand a week, perhaps a fortnight of this
+ now. But I don't care for it for any long period. At the bottom of
+ this high and steep hill is the quaintest little town I ever saw.
+ There are some streets so narrow that when a donkey cart comes
+ along the urchins all have to run to the next corner or into doors.
+ There is no sidewalk, of course; and the donkey cart takes the
+ whole room between the houses. Artists take to the town, and they
+ have funny little studios down by the water front in tiny houses
+ built of stone in pieces big enough to construct a tidewater front.
+ Imagine stone walls made of stone, each weighing tons, built into
+ little houses about as big as your little back garden! There's one
+ fellow here (an artist) whom I used to know in New York, so small
+ has the world become!
+
+ On another hill behind us is a triangular stone monument to John
+ Knill. He was once mayor of the town. When he died in 1782, he left
+ money to the town. If the town is to keep the money (as it has) the
+ Mayor must once in every five years form a procession and march up
+ to this monument. There ten girls, natives of the town, and two
+ widows must dance around the monument to the playing of a fiddle
+ and a drum, the girls dressed in white. This ceremony has gone on,
+ once in five years, all this time and the town has old Knill's
+ money!
+
+ Your mother and I--though we are neither girls nor widows--danced
+ around it this morning, wondering what sort of curmudgeon old John
+ Knill was.
+
+ Don't you see how easily we fall into an idle mood? Well, here's a
+ photograph of little Alice looking up at me from the table where I
+ write--a good, sweet face she has.
+
+ And you'll never get another letter from me in a time and from a
+ place whereof there is so little to tell.
+
+ Affectionately, dear Kitty,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+
+ To Ralph W. Page
+ Tregenna Castle Hotel,
+ St. Ives, Cornwall,
+ March 12, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR RALPH:
+
+ Arthur has sent me Gardiner's 37-page sketch of American-British
+ Concords and Discords--a remarkable sketch; and he has reminded me
+ that your summer plan is to elaborate (into a popular style) your
+ sketch of the same subject. You and Gardiner went over the same
+ ground, each in a very good fashion. That's a fascinating task, and
+ it opens up a wholly new vista of our History and of Anglo-Saxon,
+ democratic history. Much lies ahead of that. And all this puts it
+ in my mind to write you a little discourse on _style_. Gardiner has
+ no style. He put his facts down much as he would have noted on a
+ blue print the facts about an engineering project that he sketched.
+ The style of your article, which has much to be said for it as a
+ magazine article, is not the best style for a book.
+
+ Now, this whole question of style--well, it's the gist of good
+ writing. There's no really effective writing without it. Especially
+ is this true of historical writing. Look at X Y Z's writings. He
+ knows his American history and has written much on it. He's written
+ it as an Ohio blacksmith shoes a horse--not a touch of literary
+ value in it all; all dry as dust--as dry as old Bancroft.
+
+ Style is good breeding--and art--in writing. It consists of the
+ arrangement of your matter, first; then, more, of the gait; the
+ manner and the manners of your expressing it. Work every group of
+ facts, naturally and logically grouped to begin with, into a
+ climax. Work every group up as a sculptor works out his idea or a
+ painter, each group complete in itself. Throw out any superfluous
+ facts or any merely minor facts that prevent the orderly working up
+ of the group--that prevent or mar the effect you wish to present.
+
+ Then, when you've got a group thus presented, go over what you've
+ made of it, to make sure you've used your material and its
+ arrangement to the best effect, taking away merely extraneous or
+ superfluous or distracting facts, here and there adding concrete
+ illustrations--putting in a convincing detail here, and there a
+ touch of colour.
+
+ Then go over it for your vocabulary. See that you use no word in a
+ different meaning than it was used 100 years ago and will be used
+ 100 years hence. You wish to use only the permanent words--words,
+ too, that will be understood to carry the same meaning to English
+ readers in every part of the world. Your vocabulary must be chosen
+ from the permanent, solid, stable parts of the language.
+
+ Then see that no sentence contains a hint of obscurity.
+
+ Then go over the words you use to see if they be the best. Don't
+ fall into merely current phrases. If you have a long word, see if a
+ native short one can be put in its place which will be more natural
+ and stronger. Avoid a Latin vocabulary and use a plain English
+ one--short words instead of long ones.
+
+ Most of all, use _idioms_--English idioms of force. Say an
+ agreement was "come to." Don't say it was "consummated." For the
+ difference between idioms and a Latin style, compare Lincoln with
+ George Washington. One's always interesting and convincing. The
+ other is dull in spite of all his good sense. How most folk do
+ misuse and waste words!
+
+ Freeman went too far in his use of one-syllable words. It became an
+ affectation. But he is the only man I can think of that ever did go
+ too far in that direction. X--would have written a great history if
+ he had had the natural use of idioms. As it is, he has good sense
+ and no style; and his book isn't half so interesting as it would
+ have been if he had some style--some proper value of short,
+ clear-cut words that mean only one thing and that leave no
+ vagueness.
+
+ You'll get a good style if you practice it. It is in your blood and
+ temperament and way of saying things. But it's a high art and must
+ be laboriously cultivated.
+
+ Yours affectionately,
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+This glimpse of a changing and chastened England appears in a letter of
+this period:
+
+ * * * * *
+
+The disposition shown by an endless number of such incidents is
+something more than a disposition of gratitude of a people helped when
+they are hard pressed. All these things show the changed and changing
+Englishman. It has already come to him that he may be weaker than he
+had thought himself and that he may need friends more than he had once
+imagined; and, if he must have helpers and friends, he'd rather have his
+own kinsmen. He's a queer "cuss," this Englishman. But he isn't a liar
+nor a coward nor any sort of "a yellow dog." He's true, and he never
+runs--a possible hero any day, and, when heroic, modest and quiet and
+graceful. The trouble with him has been that he got great world power
+too easily. In the times when he exploited the world for his own
+enrichment, there were no other successful exploiters. It became an easy
+game to him. He organized sea traffic and sea power. Of course he became
+rich--far, far richer than anybody else, and, therefore, content with
+himself. He has, therefore, kept much of his mediæval impedimenta, his
+dukes and marquesses and all that they imply--his outworn ceremonies and
+his mediæval disregard of his social inferiors. Nothing is well done in
+this Kingdom for the big public, but only for the classes. The railway
+stations have no warm waiting rooms. The people pace the platform till
+the train comes, and milord sits snugly wrapt up in his carriage till
+his footman announces the approach of the train. And occasional
+discontent is relieved by emigration to the Colonies. If any man becomes
+weary of his restrictions he may go to Australia and become a gentleman.
+The remarkable loyalty of the Colonies has in it something of a
+servant's devotion to his old master.
+
+Now this trying time of war and the threat and danger of extinction are
+bringing--have in fact already brought--the conviction that many changes
+must come. The first sensible talk about popular education ever heard
+here is just now beginning. Many a gentleman has made up his mind to try
+to do with less than seventeen servants for the rest of his life since
+he now _has_ to do with less. Privilege, on which so large a part of
+life here rests, is already pretty well shot to pieces. A lot of old
+baggage will never be recovered after this war: that's certain. During a
+little after-dinner speech in a club not long ago I indulged in a
+pleasantry about excessive impedimenta. Lord Derby, Minister of War and
+a bluff and honest aristocrat, sat near me and he whispered to
+me--"That's me." "Yes," I said, "that's you," and the group about us
+made merry at the jest. The meaning of this is, they now joke about what
+was the most solemn thing in life three years ago.
+
+None of this conveys the idea I am trying to explain--the change in the
+English point of view and outlook--a half century's change in less than
+three years, radical and fundamental change, too. The mother of the Duke
+of X came to see me this afternoon, hobbling on her sticks and feeble,
+to tell me of a radiant letter she had received from her granddaughter
+who has been in Washington visiting the Spring Rices. "It's all very
+wonderful," said the venerable lady, "and my granddaughter actually
+heard the President make a speech!" Now, knowing this lady and knowing
+her son, the Duke, and knowing how this girl, his daughter, has been
+brought up, I dare swear that three years ago not one of them would have
+crossed the street to hear any President that ever lived. They've simply
+become different people. They were very genuine before. They are very
+genuine now.
+
+It is this steadfastness in them that gives me sound hope for the
+future. They don't forget sympathy or help or friendship. Our going into
+the war has eliminated the Japanese question. It has shifted the virtual
+control of the world to English-speaking peoples. It will bring into the
+best European minds the American ideal of service. It will, in fact,
+give us the lead and make the English in the long run our willing
+followers and allies. I don't mean that we shall always have plain
+sailing. But I do mean that the direction of events for the next fifty
+or one hundred years has now been determined.
+
+[Illustration: Lord Robert Cecil, Minister of Blockade, 1916-18,
+Assistant Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs, 1918]
+
+[Illustration: General John J. Pershing, Commander-in-Chief of the
+American Expeditionary Force in the Great War]
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Yet Page found one stolid opposition to his attempts to establish the
+friendliest relations between the two peoples. That offish attitude of
+the Washington Administration, to which reference has already been made,
+did not soften with the progress of events. Another experience now again
+brought out President Wilson's coldness toward his allies. About this
+time many rather queer Americans--some of the "international"
+breed--were coming to England on more or less official missions. Page
+was somewhat humiliated by these excursions; he knew that his country
+possessed an almost unlimited supply of vivid speakers, filled with zeal
+for the allied cause, whose influence, if they could be induced to cross
+the Atlantic, would put new spirit into the British. The idea of having
+a number of distinguished Americans come to England and tell the British
+public about the United States and especially about the American
+preparations for war, was one that now occupied his thoughts. In June,
+1917, he wrote his old friend Dr. Wallace Buttrick, extending an
+invitation to visit Great Britain as a guest of the British Government.
+Dr. Buttrick made a great success; his speeches drew large crowds and
+proved a source of inspiration to the British masses. So successful were
+they, indeed, that the British Government desired that other Americans
+of similar type should come and spread the message. In November,
+therefore, Dr. Buttrick returned to the United States for the purpose of
+organizing such a committee. Among the eminent Americans whom he
+persuaded to give several months of their time to this work of
+heartening our British allies were Mr. George E. Vincent, President of
+the Rockefeller Foundation, Mr. Harry Pratt Judson, President of Chicago
+University, Mr. Charles H. Van Hise, President of the University of
+Wisconsin, Mr. Edwin A. Alderman, President of the University of
+Virginia, Mr. Harry Emerson Fosdick, and Bishop Lawrence of
+Massachusetts. It was certainly a distinguished group, but it was the
+gentleman selected to be its head that gave it almost transcendent
+importance in the eyes of the British Government. This was ex-President
+William H. Taft. The British lay greater emphasis upon official rank
+than do Americans, and the fact that an ex-President of the United
+States was to head this delegation made it almost an historic event. Mr.
+Taft was exceedingly busy, but he expressed his willingness to give up
+all his engagements for several months and to devote his energies to
+enlightening the British public about America and its purposes in the
+war. An official invitation was sent him from London and accepted.
+
+Inasmuch as Mr. Taft was an ex-President and a representative of the
+political party opposed to the one in power, he thought it only
+courteous that he call upon Mr. Wilson, explain the purpose of his
+mission, and obtain his approval. He therefore had an interview with the
+President at the White House; the date was December 12, 1917. As soon as
+Mr. Wilson heard of the proposed visit to Great Britain he showed signs
+of irritation. He at once declared that it met with his strongest
+disapproval. When Mr. Taft remarked that the result of such an
+enterprise would be to draw Great Britain and the United States more
+closely together, Mr. Wilson replied that he seriously questioned the
+desirability of drawing the two countries any more closely together than
+they already were. He was opposed to putting the United States in a
+position of seeming in any way to be involved with British policy. There
+were divergencies of purpose, he said, and there were features of the
+British policy in this war of which he heartily disapproved. The motives
+of the United States in this war, the President continued, "were
+unselfish, but the motives of Great Britain seemed to him to be of a
+less unselfish character." Mr. Wilson cited the treaty between Great
+Britain and Italy as a sample of British statesmanship which he regarded
+as proving this contention. The President's reference to this Italian
+treaty has considerable historic value; there has been much discussion
+as to when the President first learned of its existence, but it is
+apparent from this conversation with ex-President Taft that he must have
+known about it on December 12, 1917, for President Wilson based his
+criticism of British policy largely upon this Italian convention[67].
+
+The President showed more and more feeling about the matter as the
+discussion continued. "There are too many Englishmen," he said, "in this
+country and in Washington now and I have asked the British Ambassador to
+have some of them sent home."
+
+Mr. Wilson referred to the jealousy of France at the close relations
+which were apparently developing between Great Britain and the United
+States. This was another reason, he thought, why it was unwise to make
+the bonds between them any tighter. He also called Mr. Taft's attention
+to the fact that there were certain elements in the United States which
+were opposed to Great Britain--this evidently being a reference to the
+Germans and the Irish--and he therefore believed that any conspicuous
+attempts to increase the friendliness of the two countries for each
+other would arouse antagonism and resentment.
+
+As Mr. Taft was leaving he informed Mr. Wilson that the plan for his
+visit and that of the other speakers had originated with the American
+Ambassador to Great Britain. This, however, did not improve the
+President's temper.
+
+"Page," said the President, "is really an Englishman and I have to
+discount whatever he says about the situation in Great Britain."
+
+And then he added, "I think you ought not to go, and the same applies to
+the other members of the party. I would like you to make my attitude on
+this question known to those having the matter in charge."
+
+Despite this rebuff Dr. Buttrick and Mr. Taft were reluctant to give up
+the plan. An appeal was therefore made to Colonel House. Colonel House
+at once said that the proposed visit was an excellent thing and that he
+would make a personal appeal to Mr. Wilson in the hope of changing his
+mind. A few days afterward Colonel House called up Dr. Buttrick and
+informed him that he had not succeeded. "I am sorry," wrote Colonel
+House to Page, "that the Buttrick speaking programme has turned out as
+it has. The President was decidedly opposed to it and referred to it
+with some feeling."
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 64: August 1, 1917, Pope Benedict XV sent a letter to the
+Powers urging them to bring the war to an end and outlining possible
+terms of settlement. On August 29th President Wilson sent his historic
+reply. This declared, in memorable language, that the Hohenzollern
+dynasty was unworthy of confidence and that the United States would have
+no negotiations with its representatives. It inferentially took the
+stand that the Kaiser must abdicate, or be deposed, and the German
+autocracy destroyed, as part of the conditions of peace.]
+
+[Footnote 65: On November 29, 1917, the London _Daily Telegraph_
+published a letter from the Marquis of Lansdowne, which declared that
+the war had lasted too long and suggested that the British restate their
+war aims. This letter was severely condemned by the British press and by
+practically all representative British statesmen. It produced a most
+lamentable impression in the United States also.]
+
+[Footnote 66: Eugene C. Shoecraft, the Ambassador's secretary.]
+
+[Footnote 67: As related in Chapter XXII, page 267, President Wilson was
+informed of the so-called "secret treaties" by Mr. Balfour, in the
+course of his memorable visit to the White House.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXV
+
+GETTING THE AMERICAN TROOPS TO FRANCE
+
+
+A group of letters, written at this time, touch upon a variety of topics
+which were then engaging the interest of all countries:
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ London, January 19, 1918.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ While your letter is still fresh in my mind I dictate the following
+ in answer to your question about Palestine.
+
+ It has not been settled--and cannot be, I fancy, until the Peace
+ Conference--precisely what the British will do with Palestine, but
+ I have what I think is a correct idea of their general attitude on
+ the subject. First, of course, they do not propose to allow it to
+ go back into Turkish hands; and the same can be said also of
+ Armenia and possibly of Mesopotamia. Their idea of the future of
+ Palestine is that whoever shall manage the country, or however it
+ shall be managed, the Jews shall have the same chance as anybody
+ else. Of course that's quite an advance for the Jews there, but
+ their idea is not that the Jews should have command of other
+ populations there or control over them--not in the least. My guess
+ at the English wish, which I have every reason to believe is the
+ right guess, is that they would wish to have Palestine
+ internationalized, whatever that means. That is to say, that it
+ should have control of its own local affairs and be a free country
+ but that some great Power, or number of Powers, should see to it
+ that none of the races that live there should be allowed to impose
+ upon the other races. I don't know just how such a guarantee can be
+ given by the great Powers or such a responsibility assumed except
+ by an agreement among two or three of them, or barely possibly by
+ the English keeping control themselves; but the control by the
+ English after the war of the former German colonies will put such a
+ large task on them that they will not be particularly eager to
+ extend the area of their responsibility elsewhere. Of course a
+ difficult problem will come up also about Constantinople and the
+ Dardanelles. The Dardanelles must be internationalized.
+
+ I have never been able to consider the Zionist movement seriously.
+ It is a mere religious sentiment which will express itself in
+ action by very few people. I have asked a number of Jews at various
+ times who are in favour of the Zionist movement if they themselves
+ are going there. They always say no. The movement, therefore, has
+ fixed itself in my mind as a Jewish movement in which no Jew that
+ you can lay your hands on will ever take part but who wants other
+ Jews to take part in it. Of course there might be a flocking to
+ Palestine of Jews from Russia and the adjoining countries where
+ they are not happy, but I think the thing is chiefly a sentiment
+ and nothing else. Morgenthau[68] is dead right. I agree with him
+ _in toto_. I do not think anybody in the United States need be the
+ least concerned about the Zionist movement because there isn't a
+ single Jew in our country such a fool as to go to Palestine when he
+ can stay in the United States. The whole thing is a sentimental,
+ religious, more or less unnatural and fantastic idea and I don't
+ think will ever trouble so practical a people as we and our Jews
+ are.
+
+The following memorandum is dated February 10, 1918:
+
+ General Bliss[69] has made a profound and the best possible
+ impression here by his wisdom and his tact. The British have a deep
+ respect for him and for his opinions, and in inspiring and keeping
+ high confidence in us he is worth an army in himself. I have seen
+ much of him and found out a good deal about his methods. He is
+ simplicity and directness itself. Although he is as active and
+ energetic as a boy, he spends some time by himself to think things
+ out and even to say them to himself to see how his conclusions
+ strike the ear as well as the mind. He has been staying here at the
+ house of one of our resident officers. At times he goes to his room
+ and sits long by the fire and argues his point--out loud--oblivious
+ to everything else. More than once when he was so engaged one of
+ his officers has knocked at the door and gone in and laid telegrams
+ on the table beside him and gone out without his having known of
+ the officer's entrance. Then he comes out and tries his conclusion
+ on someone who enjoys his confidence. And then he stands by it and
+ when the time comes delivers it slowly and with precision; and
+ there he is; and those who hear him see that he has thought the
+ matter out on all sides and finally.
+
+ Our various establishments in London have now become big--the
+ Embassy proper, the Naval and Army Headquarters, the Red Cross, the
+ War Trade Board's representatives, and now (forthwith) the Shipping
+ Board, besides Mr. Crosby of the Treasury. The volume of work is
+ enormous and it goes smoothly, except for the somewhat halting
+ Army Headquarters, the high personnel of which is now undergoing a
+ change; and that will now be all right. I regularly make the rounds
+ of all the Government Departments with which we deal to learn if
+ they find our men and methods effective, and the rounds of all our
+ centres of activity to find whether there be any friction with the
+ British The whole machine moves very well. For neither side
+ hesitates to come to me whenever they strike even small snags. All
+ our people are at work on serious tasks and (so far as I know)
+ there are now none of those despicable creatures here who used
+ during our neutrality days to come from the United States on peace
+ errands and what-not to spy on the Embassy and me (their inquiries
+ and their correspondence were catalogued by the police). I have
+ been amazed at the activity of some of them whose doings I have
+ since been informed of.
+
+ We now pay this tribute to the submarines--that we have entered the
+ period of compulsory rations. There is enough to eat in spite of
+ the food that has gone to feed the fishes. But no machinery of
+ distribution to a whole population can be uniformly effective. The
+ British worker with his hands is a greedy feeder and a sturdy
+ growler and there will be trouble. But I know no reason to
+ apprehend serious trouble.
+
+ The utter break-up of Russia and the German present occupation of
+ so much of the Empire as she wants have had a contrary effect on
+ two sections of opinion here, as I interpret the British mind. On
+ the undoubtedly enormously dominant section of opinion these events
+ have only stiffened resolution. They say that Germany now must be
+ whipped to a finish. Else she will have doubled her empire and will
+ hold the peoples of her new territory as vassals without regard to
+ their wishes and the war lord caste will be more firmly seated
+ than ever before. If her armies be literally whipped she'll have to
+ submit to the Allies' terms, which will dislodge her from
+ overlordship over these new unwilling subjects--and she can be
+ dislodged in no other way. This probably means a long war, now that
+ after a time she can get raw materials for war later and food from
+ Rumania and the Ukraine, etc. This will mean a fight in France and
+ Belgium till a decisive victory is won and the present exultant
+ German will is broken.
+
+ The minority section of public opinion--as I judge a small
+ minority--has the feeling that such an out-and-out military victory
+ cannot be won or is not worth the price; and that the enemies of
+ Germany, allowing her to keep her Eastern accretions, must make the
+ best terms they can in the East; that there's no use in running the
+ risk of Italy's defeat and defection before some sort of bargain
+ could be made about Belgium, Alsace-Lorraine, and Serbia. Of course
+ this plan would leave the German warlordship intact and would bring
+ no sort of assurance of a prolonged peace. It would, too, leave
+ European Russia at least to German mercy, and would leave the
+ Baltic and the Black Seas practically wholly under German
+ influence. As for the people of Russia, there seems small chance
+ for them in this second contingency. The only way to save them is
+ to win a decisive victory.
+
+ As matters stand to-day Lord Lansdowne and his friends (how
+ numerous they are nobody knows) are the loudest spokesmen for such
+ a peace as can be made. But it is talked much of in Asquith circles
+ that the time may come when this policy will be led by Mr. Asquith,
+ in a form somewhat modified from the Lansdowne formula. Mr. Asquith
+ has up to this time patriotically supported the government and he
+ himself has said nothing in public which could warrant linking his
+ name with an early peace-seeking policy. But his friends openly
+ and incessantly predict that he will, at a favourable moment, take
+ this cue. I myself can hardly believe it. Political victory in
+ Great Britain doesn't now lie in that direction.
+
+ The dominant section of opinion is much grieved at Russia's
+ surrender, but they refuse to be discouraged by it. They recall how
+ Napoleon overran most of Europe, and the French held practically
+ none of his conquests after his fall.
+
+ Such real political danger as exists here--if any exists, of which
+ I am not quite sure--comes not only now mainly of this split in
+ public opinion but also and to a greater degree from the personal
+ enemies of the present government. Lloyd George is kept in power
+ because he is the most energetic man in sight--by far. Many who
+ support him do not like him nor trust him-except that nobody doubts
+ his supreme earnestness to win the war. On all other subjects he
+ has enemies of old and he makes new ones. His intense and superb
+ energy has saved him in two notable crises. His dismissal of Sir
+ William Robertson[70] has been accepted in the interest of greater
+ unity of military control, but it was a dangerous rapids that he
+ shot, for he didn't do it tactfully. Yet there's a certain danger
+ to the present powers in the feeling that some of them are wearing
+ out. Parliament itself--an old one now--is thought to have gone
+ stale. Bonar Law is over-worked and tired; Balfour is often said to
+ be too philosophical and languid; but, when this feeling seems in
+ danger of taking definite shape, he makes a clearer statement than
+ anybody else and catches on his feet. The man of new energy, not
+ yet fagged, is Geddes[71], whose frankness carries conviction.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ London, March 17, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ The rather impatient and unappreciative remarks made by the Prime
+ Minister before a large meeting of preachers of the "free" churches
+ about a League of Nations reminds me to write you about the state
+ of British opinion on that subject. What Lloyd George said to these
+ preachers is regrettable because it showed a certain impatience of
+ mind from which he sometimes suffers; but it is only fair to him to
+ say that his remarks that day did not express a settled opinion.
+ For on more than one previous occasion he has spoken of the subject
+ in a wholly different tone--much more appreciatively. On that
+ particular day he had in mind only the overwhelming necessity to
+ win the war--other things, _all_ other things must wait. In a way
+ this is his constant mood--the mood to make everybody feel that the
+ only present duty is to win the war. He has been accused of almost
+ every defect in the calendar except of slackness about the war.
+ Nobody has ever doubted his earnestness nor his energy about
+ _that_. And the universal confidence in his energy and earnestness
+ is what keeps him in office. Nobody sees any other man who can push
+ and inspire as well as he does. It would be a mistake, therefore,
+ to pay too much heed to any particular utterance of this electrical
+ creature of moods, on any subject.
+
+ Nevertheless, he hasn't thought out the project of a league to
+ enforce peace further than to see the difficulties. He sees that
+ such a league might mean, in theory at least, the giving over in
+ some possible crisis the command of the British Fleet to an officer
+ of some other nationality. That's unthinkable to any red-blooded
+ son of these islands. Seeing a theoretical possibility even of
+ raising such a question, the British mind stops and refuses to go
+ further--refuses in most cases even to inquire seriously whether
+ any such contingency is ever likely to come.
+
+ The British Grand Fleet, in fact, is a subject that stands alone in
+ power and value and in difficulties. It classifies itself with
+ nothing else. Since over and over again it has saved these islands
+ from invasion when nothing else could have saved them and since
+ during this war in particular it has saved the world from German
+ conquest--as every Englishman believes--it lies in their reverence
+ and their gratitude and their abiding convictions as a necessary
+ and perpetual shield so long as Great Britain shall endure. If the
+ Germans are thrashed to a frazzle (and we haven't altogether done
+ that yet) and we set about putting the world in order, when we come
+ to discuss Disarmament, the British Fleet will be the most
+ difficult item in the world to dispose of. It is not only a Fact,
+ with a great and saving history, it is also a sacred Tradition and
+ an Article of Faith.
+
+ The first reason, therefore, why the British general mind has not
+ firmly got hold on a league is the instinctive fear that the
+ formation of any league may in some conceivable way affect the
+ Grand Fleet. Another reason is the general inability of a somewhat
+ slow public opinion to take hold on more than one subject at a time
+ or more than one urgent part of one subject. The One Subject, of
+ course, is winning the war. Since everything else depends on that,
+ everything else must wait on that.
+
+ The League, therefore, has not taken hold on the public imagination
+ here as it has in the United States. The large mass of the people
+ have not thought seriously about it: it has not been strongly and
+ persistently presented to the mass of the people. There is no
+ popular or general organization to promote it. There is even, here
+ and there, condemnation of the idea. The (London) _Morning Post_,
+ for example, goes out of its way once in a while to show the
+ wickedness of the idea because, so it argues, it will involve the
+ sacrifice, more or less, of nationality. But the _Morning Post_ is
+ impervious to new ideas and is above all things critical in its
+ activities and very seldom constructive. The typical Tory mind in
+ general sees no good in the idea. The typical Tory mind is the
+ insular mind.
+
+ On the other hand, the League idea is understood as a necessity and
+ heartily approved by two powerful sections of public opinion--(1)
+ the group of public men who have given attention to it, such as
+ Bryce, Lord Robert Cecil, and the like, and (2) some of the best
+ and strongest leaders of Labour. There is good reason to hope that
+ whenever a fight and an agitation is made for a League these two
+ sections of public opinion will win; but an agitation and a fight
+ must come. Lord Bryce, in the intervals of his work as chairman of
+ a committee to make a plan for the reorganization of the House of
+ Lords, which, he remarked to me the other day, "involves as much
+ labour as a Government Department," has fits of impatience about
+ pushing a campaign for a league, and so have a few other men. They
+ ask me if it be not possible to have good American public speakers
+ come here--privately, of course, and in no way connected with our
+ Government nor speaking for it--to explain the American movement
+ for a League in order to arouse a public sentiment on the subject.
+
+ Thus the case stands at present.
+
+ Truth and error alike and odd admixtures of them come in waves over
+ this censored land where one can seldom determine what is true,
+ before the event, from the newspapers. "News" travels by word of
+ mouth, and information that one can depend on is got by personal
+ inquiry from sources that can be trusted.
+
+ There is a curious wave of fear just now about what Labour may do,
+ and the common gossip has it that there is grave danger in the
+ situation. I can find no basis for such a fear. I have talked with
+ labour leaders and I have talked with members of the government who
+ know most about the subject. There is not a satisfactory
+ situation--there has not been since the war began. There has been a
+ continuous series of labour "crises," and there have been a good
+ many embarrassing strikes, all of which have first been hushed up
+ and settled--at least postponed. One cause of continuous trouble
+ has been the notion held by the Unions, sometimes right and
+ sometimes wrong, that the employers were making abnormal profits
+ and that they were not getting their due share. There have been and
+ are also other causes of trouble. It was a continuous quarrel even
+ in peace times. But I can find no especial cause of fear now. Many
+ of the Unions have had such advances of wages that the Government
+ has been severely criticized for giving in. Just lately a large
+ wing of the Labour Party put forth its war aims which--with
+ relatively unimportant exceptions--coincide with the best
+ declarations made by the Government's own spokesmen.
+
+ Of course, no prudent man would venture to make dogmatic
+ predictions. There have been times when for brief intervals any one
+ would have been tempted to fear that these quarrels might cause an
+ unsatisfactory conclusion of the war. But the undoubted patriotism
+ of the British workman has every time saved the situation. While a
+ danger point does lie here, there is no reason to be more fearful
+ now than at any preceding time when no especial trouble was
+ brewing. This wave of gossip and fear has no right to sweep over
+ the country now.
+
+ Labour hopes and expects and is preparing to win the next General
+ Election--whether with good reason or not I cannot guess. But most
+ men expect it to win the Government at some time--most of them
+ _after_ the war. I recall that Lord Grey once said to me, before
+ the war began, that a general political success of the Labour Party
+ was soon to be expected.
+
+ Another wave which, I hear, has swept over Rome as well as London
+ is a wave of early peace expectation. The British newspapers have
+ lately been encouraging this by mysterious phrases. Some men here
+ of good sense and sound judgment think that this is the result of
+ the so-called German "peace offensive," which makes the present the
+ most dangerous period of the war.
+
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To David F. Houston_[72]
+
+ London, March 23, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSTON:
+
+ It is very kind of you indeed to write so generously about the
+ British visitors who are invading our sacred premises, such as the
+ Archbishop of York, and it is good to hear from you anyhow about
+ any subject and I needn't say that it is quite a rare experience
+ also. I wish you would take a little of your abundant leisure and
+ devote it to good letters to me.
+
+ And in some one of your letters tell me this.--The British send
+ over men of this class that you have written about to see us, but
+ they invite over here--and we permit to come--cranks on
+ prohibition, experts in the investigation of crime, short-haired
+ women who wish to see how British babies are reared, peace cranks
+ and freaks of other kinds[73]. Our Government apparently won't let
+ plain, honest, normal civilians come over, but if a fellow comes
+ along who wants to investigate some monstrosity then one half of
+ the Senate, one half of the House of Representatives, and a number
+ of the executive offices of the Government give him the most
+ cordial letters. Now there are many things, of course, that I don't
+ know, but it has been my fate to have a pretty extensive
+ acquaintance with cranks of every description in the United States.
+ I don't think there is any breed of them that didn't haunt my
+ office while I was an editor. Now I am surely punished for all my
+ past sins by having those fellows descend on me here. I know them,
+ nearly all, from past experience and now just for the sake of
+ keeping the world as quiet as possible I have to give them time
+ here far out of proportion to their value.
+
+ Now, out of your great wisdom, I wish you would explain to me why
+ the deuce we let all this crew come over here instead of sending a
+ shipload of perfectly normal, dignified, and right-minded
+ gentlemen. These thug reformers!--Baker will be here in a day or
+ two and if I can remember it I am going to suggest to him that he
+ round them all up and put them in the trenches in France where
+ those of them who have so far escaped the gallows ought to be put.
+
+ I am much obliged to have the illuminating statement about our
+ crops. I am going to show it to certain gentlemen here who will be
+ much cheered by it. By gracious, you ought to hear their
+ appreciation of what we are doing! We are not doing it for the sake
+ of their appreciation, but if we were out to win it we could not do
+ it better. Down at bottom the Englishman is a good fellow. He has
+ his faults but he doesn't get tired and he doesn't suffer spasms of
+ emotion.
+
+ Give my love to Mrs. Houston, and do sit down and write me a
+ good long letter--a whole series of them, in fact.
+
+ Believe me, always most heartily yours,
+
+ WALTER HINES PAGE.
+
+[Illustration: From a painting by Irving R. Wiles Admiral William Sowden
+Sims, Commander of American naval forces operating in European waters
+during the Great War]
+
+[Illustration: A silver model of the _Mayflower_, the farewell gift of
+the Plymouth Council to Mr. Page]
+
+ _To Frank L. Polk_
+
+ London, March 22, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MR. POLK:
+
+ You are good enough to mention the fact that the Embassy has some
+ sort of grievance against the Department. Of course it has, and you
+ are, possibly, the only man that can remove it. It is this: You
+ don't come here to see the war and this government and these people
+ who are again saving the world as we are now saving them. I thank
+ Heaven and the Administration for Secretary Baker's visit. It is a
+ dramatic moment in the history of the race, of democracy, and of
+ the world. The State Department has the duty to deal with foreign
+ affairs--the especial duty--and yet no man in the State Department
+ has been here since the war began. This doesn't look pretty and it
+ won't look pretty when the much over-worked "future historian"
+ writes it down in a book. Remove that grievance.
+
+ The most interesting thing going on in the world to-day--a thing
+ that in History will transcend the war and be reckoned its greatest
+ gain--is the high leadership of the President in formulating the
+ struggle, in putting its aims high, and in taking the democratic
+ lead in the world, a lead that will make the world over--and in
+ taking the democratic lead of the English-speaking folk. Next most
+ impressive to that is to watch the British response to that lead.
+ Already they have doubled the number of their voters, and even more
+ important definite steps in Democracy will be taken. My aim--and
+ it's the only way to save the world--is to lead the British in this
+ direction. They are the most easily teachable people in our way of
+ thinking and of doing. Of course everybody who works toward such an
+ aim provokes the cry from a lot of fools among us who accuse him of
+ toadying to the English and of "accepting the conventional English
+ conclusion." They had as well talk of missionaries to India
+ accepting Confucius or Buddha. Their fleet has saved us four or
+ five times. It's about time we were saving them from this bloods
+ Thing that we call Europe, for our sake and for theirs.
+
+ The bloody Thing will get us all if we don't fight our level best;
+ and it's only by _our_ help that we'll be saved. That clearly gives
+ us the leadership. Everybody sees that. Everybody acknowledges it.
+ The President authoritatively speaks it--speaks leadership on a
+ higher level than it was ever spoken before to the whole world. As
+ soon as we get this fighting job over, the world procession toward
+ freedom--our kind of freedom--will begin under our lead. This being
+ so, can't you delegate the writing of telegrams about "facilitating
+ the license to ship poppy seed to McKesson and Robbins," and come
+ over and see big world-forces at work?
+
+ I cannot express my satisfaction at Secretary Baker's visit. It was
+ historic--the first member of the Cabinet, I think, who ever came
+ here while he held office. He made a great impression and received
+ a hearty welcome.
+
+ That's the only grievance I can at the moment unload on you. We're
+ passing out of our old era of isolation. These benighted heathen on
+ this island whom we'll yet save (since they are well worth saving)
+ will be with us as we need them in future years and centuries.
+ Come, help us heighten this fine spirit.
+
+ Always heartily yours,
+
+ WALTER HINES PAGE.
+
+ P.S. You'd see how big our country looks from a distance. It's
+ gigantic, I assure you.
+
+The above letter was written on what was perhaps the darkest day of the
+whole war. The German attack on the Western Front, which had been long
+expected, had now been launched, and, at the moment that Page was
+penning this cheery note to Mr. Polk, the German armies had broken
+through the British defenses, had pushed their lines forty miles ahead,
+and, in the judgment of many military men, had Paris almost certainly
+within their grasp. A great German gun, placed about seventy miles from
+the French capital, was dropping shells upon the apparently doomed city.
+This attack had been regarded as inevitable since the collapse of
+Russia, which had enabled the Germans to concentrate practically all
+their armies on the Western Front.
+
+The world does not yet fully comprehend the devastating effect of this
+apparently successful attack upon the allied morale. British statesmen
+and British soldiers made no attempt to conceal from official Americans
+the desperate state of affairs. It was the expectation that the Germans
+might reach Calais and thence invade England. The War Office discussed
+these probabilities most freely with Colonel Slocum, the American
+military attaché. The simple fact was that both the French and the
+British armies were practically bled white.
+
+"For God's sake, get your men over!" they urged General Slocum. "You
+have got to finish it."
+
+Page was writing urgently to President Wilson to the same purpose. Send
+the men and send them at once. "I pray God," were his solemn words to
+Mr. Wilson, "that you will not be too late!"
+
+One propitious event had taken place at the same time as the opening of
+the great German offensive. Mr. Newton D. Baker, the American Secretary
+of War, had left quietly for France in late February, 1918, and had
+reached the Western Front in time to obtain a first-hand sight of the
+great March drive. No visit in history has ever been better timed, and
+no event could have better played into Page's hands. He had been urging
+Washington to send all available forces to France at the earliest
+possible date; he knew, as probably few other men knew, the extent to
+which the Allies were depending upon American troops to give the final
+blow to Germany; and the arrival of Secretary Baker at the scene of
+action gave him the opportunity to make a personal appeal. Page
+immediately communicated with the Secretary and persuaded him to come at
+once to London for a consultation with British military and political
+leaders. The Secretary spent only three days in London, but the visit,
+brief as it was, had historic consequences. He had many consultations
+with the British military men; he entered into their plans with
+enthusiasm; he himself received many ideas that afterward took shape in
+action, and the British Government obtained from him first-hand
+information as to the progress of the American Army and the American
+determination to cooperate to the last man and the last dollar. "Baker
+went straight back to France," Page wrote to his son Arthur, "and our
+whole coöperation began."
+
+Page gave a dinner to Mr. Baker at the Embassy on March 23rd--two days
+after the great March drive had begun. This occasion gave the visitor a
+memorable glimpse of the British temperament. Mr. Lloyd George, Mr.
+Balfour, Lord Derby, the War Secretary, General Biddle, of the United
+States Army, and Admiral Sims were the Ambassador's guests. Though the
+mighty issues then overhanging the world were not ignored in the
+conversation the atmosphere hardly suggested that the existence of the
+British Empire, indeed that of civilization itself, was that very night
+hanging in the balance. Possibly it was the general sombreness of events
+that caused these British statesmen to find a certain relief in jocular
+small talk and reminiscence. For the larger part of the evening not a
+word was said about the progress of the German armies in France. Mr.
+Lloyd George and Mr. Balfour, seated on opposite sides of the table,
+apparently found relaxation in reviewing their political careers and
+especially their old-time political battles. They would laughingly
+recall occasions when, in American parlance, they had put each other "in
+a hole"; the exigencies of war had now made these two men colleagues in
+the same government, but the twenty years preceding 1914 they had spent
+in political antagonism. Page's guests on this occasion learned much
+political history of the early twentieth century, and the mutual
+confessions of Mr. Lloyd George and Mr. Balfour gave these two men an
+insight into each others' motives and manoeuvres which was almost as
+revealing. "Yes, you caught me that time," Mr. Lloyd George would say,
+and then he would counter with an episode of a political battle in which
+he had got the better of Mr. Balfour. The whole talk was lively and
+bantering, and accompanied with much laughter; and all this time shells
+from that long-distance gun were dropping at fifteen minute intervals
+upon the devoted women and children of Paris and the Germans were every
+hour driving the British back in disorder. At times the conversation
+took a more philosophic turn. Would the men present like to go back
+twenty-five years and live their lives all over again? The practically
+unanimous decision of every man was that he would not wish to do so.
+
+All this, of course, was merely on the surface; despite the laughter and
+the banter, there was only one thing which engrossed the Ambassador's
+guests, although there were not many references to it. That was the
+struggle which was then taking place in France. At intervals Mr. Lloyd
+George would send one of the guests, evidently a secretary, from the
+room. The latter, on his return, would whisper something in the Prime
+Minister's ear, but more frequently he would merely shake his head.
+Evidently he had been sent to obtain the latest news of the battle.
+
+At one point the Prime Minister did refer to the great things taking
+place in France.
+
+"This battle means one thing," he said. "That is a generalissimo."
+
+"Why couldn't you have taken this step long ago?" Admiral Sims asked Mr.
+Lloyd George.
+
+The answer came like a flash.
+
+"If the cabinet two weeks ago had suggested placing the British Army
+under a foreign general, it would have fallen. Every cabinet in Europe
+would also have fallen, had it suggested such a thing."
+
+ _Memorandum on Secretary Baker's visit_
+
+ Secretary Baker's visit here, brief as it was, gave the heartiest
+ satisfaction. So far as I know, he is the first member of an
+ American Cabinet who ever came to England while he held office, as
+ Mr. Balfour was the first member of a British Cabinet who ever went
+ to the United States while he held office. The great governments of
+ the English-speaking folk have surely dealt with one another with
+ mighty elongated tongs. Governments of democracies are not exactly
+ instruments of precision. But they are at least human. But personal
+ and human neglect of one another by these two governments over so
+ long a period is an astonishing fact in our history. The wonder is
+ that we haven't had more than two wars. And it is no wonder that
+ the ignorance of Englishmen about America and the American
+ ignorance of England are monumental, stupendous, amazing, passing
+ understanding. I have on my mantelpiece a statuette of Benjamin
+ Franklin, an excellent and unmistakable likeness which was made
+ here during his lifetime; and the inscription burnt on its base is
+ _Geo. Washington_. It serves me many a good turn with my English
+ friends. I use it as a measure of their ignorance of us. Of course
+ this is a mere little error of a statuette-maker, an error,
+ moreover, of a hundred years ago. But it tells the story of to-day
+ also. If I had to name the largest and most indelible impression
+ that has been made on me during my five years' work here, I should
+ say the ignorance and aloofness of the two peoples--not an
+ ignorance of big essential facts but of personalities and
+ temperaments--such as never occur except between men who had never
+ seen one another.
+
+ But I was writing about Mr. Baker's visit and I've got a long way
+ from that. I doubt if he knows himself what gratification it gave;
+ for these men here have spoken to me about it as they could not
+ speak to him.
+
+ Here is an odd fact: For sixty years, so far as I know, members of
+ the Administration have had personal acquaintance with some of the
+ men in power in Salvador, Costa Rica, Venezuela, Peru, etc., etc.,
+ and members of the British Government have had personal
+ acquaintance with some men in authority in Portugal, Serbia,
+ Montenegro and Monte Carlo; but during this time (with the single
+ exception of John Hay) I think no member of any Administration had
+ a real personal acquaintance while he held office with any member
+ of the British Government while he held office, and vice
+ versa--till Mr. Balfour's visit. Suspicion grows out of ignorance.
+ The longer I live here the more astonished I become at the
+ fundamental ignorance of the British about us and of our
+ fundamental ignorance about them. So colossal is this ignorance
+ that every American sent here is supposed to be taken in, to become
+ Anglophile; and often when one undertakes to enlighten Englishmen
+ about the United States one becomes aware of a feeling inside the
+ English of unbelief, as if he said, "Oh, well! you are one of those
+ queer people who believe in republican government." All this is
+ simply amazing. Poor Admiral Sims sometimes has a sort of mania, a
+ delusion that nobody at Washington trusts his judgment because he
+ said seven or eight years ago that he liked the English. Yet every
+ naval officer who comes here, I understand, shares his views about
+ practically every important naval problem or question. I don't
+ deserve the compliment (it's a very high one) that some of my
+ secretaries sometimes pay me when they say that I am the only man
+ they know who tries to tell the whole truth to our Government in
+ favour of the Englishman as well as against him. It is certain that
+ American public opinion is universally supposed to suspect any
+ American who tries to do anything with the British lion except to
+ twist his tail--a supposition that I never believed to be
+ true.--But it is true that the mutual ignorance is as high as the
+ Andes and as deep as the ocean. Personal acquaintance removes it
+ and nothing else will.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ American Embassy,
+ London, April 7, 1918.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ I daresay you remember this epic:
+
+ Old Morgan's wife made butter and cheese;
+ Old Morgan drank the whey.
+ There came a wind from West to East
+ And blew Old Morgan away.
+
+ I'm Old Morgan and your mother got ashamed of my wheyness and made
+ the doctor prescribe cream for me. There's never been such a
+ luxury, and anybody who supposes that I am now going to get fat and
+ have my cream stopped simply doesn't know me. So, you see why I'm
+ intent on shredded wheat biscuits. That's about the best form of
+ real wheat that will keep. And there's no getting real wheat-stuff,
+ pure and simple, in any other form.
+
+ There's no use in talking about starving people--except perhaps in
+ India and China. White men can live on anything. The English could
+ fight a century on cabbage and Brussels sprouts. I've given up hope
+ of starving the Germans. A gut of dogmeat or horse flesh and a
+ potato will keep them in fighting trim forever. I've read daily for
+ two years of impending starvation across the Rhine; but I never
+ even now hear of any dead ones from hunger. Cold steel or lead is
+ the only fatal dose for them.
+
+ Therefore I know that shredded wheat will carry me through.
+
+ You'll see, I hope, from the clippings that I enclose that I'm not
+ done for yet anyhow. Two speeches a day is no small stunt; and I
+ did it again yesterday--hand running; and I went out to dinner
+ afterward. It was a notable occasion--this celebration of the
+ anniversary of our coming into the war[74].
+
+ Nobody here knows definitely just what to fear from the big battle;
+ but everybody fears more or less. It's a critical time--very. I am
+ told that that long-range gunning of Paris is the worst form of
+ frightfulness yet tried. The shells do not kill a great many
+ people. But their falling every fifteen minutes gets on people's
+ nerves and they can't sleep. I hear they are leaving Paris in great
+ numbers. Since the big battle began and the Germans have needed all
+ their planes and more in France, they've let London alone. But
+ nobody knows when they will begin again.
+
+ Nobody knows any future thing about the war, and everybody faces a
+ fear.
+
+ Secretary Baker stayed with me the two days and three nights he was
+ here. He made a good impression but he received a better one. He
+ now knows something about the war. I had at dinner to meet him:
+
+ Lloyd George, Prime Minister.
+
+ Balfour, Foreign Secretary.
+
+ The Chief of Staff.
+
+ Lord Derby, War Secretary.
+
+ General Biddle, U.S.A., in command in London.
+
+ Admiral Sims, U.S.N.
+
+ The talk was to the point--good and earnest. Baker went straight
+ back to France and our _whole_ coöperation began. With the first
+ group of four he had conferences besides for two days. His coming
+ was an admirable move.
+
+ Yours affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Ralph W. Page_
+
+ London, April 13, 1918.
+
+ DEAR RALPH:
+
+ Your cheery letters about entertaining governors, planting trees
+ and shrubbery and your mother's little orchard give us much
+ pleasure. The Southern Pines paper brings news of very great damage
+ to the peach crop. I hope it is much exaggerated. Is it?
+
+ We haven't any news here, and I send you my weekly note only to
+ keep my record clear. The great battle--no one talks or thinks of
+ anything else. We have suffered and still suffer a good deal of
+ fear and anxiety, with real reason, too. But the military men are
+ reassuring. Yet I don't know just how far to trust their judgment
+ or to share their hopes. Certainly this is the most dangerous
+ situation that modern civilization was ever put in. If we can keep
+ them from winning any _great_ objective, like Paris or a channel
+ port, we ought to end the war this year. If not, either they win or
+ at the least prolong the war indefinitely. It's a hazardous and
+ trying time.
+
+ There were never such casualties on either side as now. Such a
+ bloody business cannot keep up all summer. But before everybody is
+ killed or a decisive conclusion is reached, the armies will, no
+ doubt, dig themselves in and take a period of comparative rest.
+ People here see and feel the great danger. But the extra effort now
+ _may_ come too late. Still we keep up good hope. The British are
+ hard to whip. They never give up. And as for the French army, I
+ always remember Verdun and keep my courage up.
+
+ The wounded are coming over by the thousand. We are incomparably
+ busy and in great anxiety about the result (though still pretty
+ firm in the belief that the Germans will lose), and luckily we keep
+ very well.
+
+ Affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Ralph W. Page_
+
+ London, April 7, 1918.
+
+ DEAR RALPH:
+
+ There used to be a country parson down in Wake County who, when
+ other subjects were talked out, always took up the pleasing topic
+ of saving your soul. That's the way your mother and I do--with the
+ subject of going home. We talk over the battle, we talk over the
+ boys, we talk over military and naval problems, we discuss the
+ weather and all the babies, and then take up politics, and talk
+ over the gossip of the wiseacres; but we seldom finish a
+ conversation without discussing going home. And we reach just about
+ as clear a conclusion on our topic as the country parson reached on
+ his. I've had the doctors going over me (or rather your mother has)
+ as an expert accountant goes over your books; and I tried to bribe
+ them to say that I oughtn't to continue my arduous duties here
+ longer. They wouldn't say any such thing. Thus that device
+ failed--dead. It looks as if I were destined for a green old age
+ and no _martyr_ business at all.
+
+ All this is disappointing; and I don't see what to do but to go on.
+ I can't keep from hoping that the big battle may throw some light
+ on the subject; but there's no telling when the big battle will
+ end. Nothing ends--that's the trouble. I sometimes feel that the
+ war may never end, that it may last as the Napoleonic Wars did, for
+ 20 years; and before that time we'll all have guns that shoot 100
+ miles. We can stay at home and indefinitely bombard the enemy
+ across the Rhine--have an endless battle at long range.
+
+ So, we stick to it, and give the peach trees time to grow up.
+
+ We had a big day in London yesterday--the anniversary of our entry
+ into the war. I send you some newspaper clippings about it.
+
+ The next best news is that we have a little actual sunshine--a very
+ rare thing--and some of the weather is now almost decent....
+
+ Affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 68: Mr. Henry Morgenthau, American Ambassador to Turkey,
+1913-16, an American of Jewish origin who opposed the Zionist movement
+as un-American and deceptive.]
+
+[Footnote 69: American member of the Supreme War Council. Afterward
+member of the American Commission to Negotiate Peace.]
+
+[Footnote 70: Sir Henry Wilson had recently succeeded Sir William
+Robertson as Chief of the Imperial General Staff.]
+
+[Footnote 71: First Lord of the Admiralty.]
+
+[Footnote 72: Secretary of Agriculture.]
+
+[Footnote 73: See Chapter XXIV.]
+
+[Footnote 74: This meeting, on April 6, 1918, was held at the Mansion
+House. Page and Mr. Balfour were the chief speakers.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXVI
+
+LAST DAYS IN ENGLAND
+
+
+In spite of the encouraging tone of the foregoing letters, everything
+was not well with Page. All through the winter of 1917-1918 his
+associates at the Embassy had noticed a change for the worse in his
+health. He seemed to be growing thinner; his face was daily becoming
+more haggard; he tired easily, and, after walking the short distance
+from his house to his Embassy, he would drop listlessly into his chair.
+His general bearing was that of a man who was physically and nervously
+exhausted. It was hoped that the holiday at St. Ives would
+help him; that he greatly enjoyed that visit, especially the
+westward--homeward--outlook on the Atlantic which it gave him, his
+letters clearly show; there was a temporary improvement also in his
+health, but only a temporary one. The last great effort which he made in
+the interest of the common cause was Secretary Baker's visit; the
+activities which this entailed wearied him, but the pleasure he obtained
+from the resultant increase in the American participation made the
+experience one of the most profitable of his life. Indeed, Page's last
+few months in England, though full of sad memories for his friends,
+contained little but satisfaction for himself. He still spent many a
+lonely evening by his fire, but his thoughts were now far more
+pleasurable than in the old _Lusitania_ days. The one absorbing subject
+of contemplation now was that America was "in." His country had
+justified his deep confidence. The American Navy had played a
+determining part in defeating the submarine, and American shipyards
+were turning out merchant ships faster than the Germans were destroying
+them. American troops were reaching France at a rate which necessarily
+meant the early collapse of the German Empire. Page's own family had
+responded to the call and this in itself was a cause of great
+contentment to a sick and weary man. The Ambassador's youngest son,
+Frank, had obtained a commission and was serving in France; his
+son-in-law, Charles G. Loring, was also on the Western Front; while from
+North Carolina Page's youngest brother Frank and two nephews had sailed
+for the open battle line. The bravery and success of the American troops
+did not surprise the Ambassador but they made his last days in England
+very happy.
+
+Indeed, every day had some delightful experience for Page. The
+performance of the Americans at Cantigny especially cheered him. The day
+after this battle he and Mrs. Page entertained Mr. Lloyd George and
+other guests at lunch. The Prime Minister came bounding into the room
+with his characteristic enthusiasm, rushed up to Mrs. Page with both
+hands outstretched and shook hands joyously.
+
+"Congratulations!" he exclaimed. "The Americans have done it! They have
+met the Prussian guard and defeated them!"
+
+Mr. Lloyd George was as exuberant over the achievement as a child.
+
+This was now the kind of experience that had become Page's daily
+routine. Lively as were his spirits, however, his physical frame was
+giving way. In fact Page, though he did not know it at the time, was
+suffering from a specific disease--nephritis; and its course, after
+Christmas of 1917, became rapid. His old friend, Dr. Wallace Buttrick,
+had noted the change for the worse and had attempted to persuade him to
+go home.
+
+"Quit your job, Page," he urged. "You have other big tasks waiting you
+at home. Why don't you go back?"
+
+"No--no--not now."
+
+"But, Page," urged Dr. Buttrick, "you are going to lay down your life."
+
+"I have only one life to lay down," was the reply. "I can't quit now."
+
+ _To Mary E. Page_[75]
+
+ London, May 12, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MARY:
+
+ You'll have to take this big paper and this paint brush pen--it's
+ all the pen these blunt British have. This is to tell you how very
+ welcome your letter to Alice is--how very welcome, for nobody
+ writes us the family news and nothing is so much appreciated. I'll
+ try to call the shorter roll of us in the same way:
+
+ After a miserable winter we, too, are having the rare experience of
+ a little sunshine in this dark, damp world of London. The constant
+ confinement in the city and _in the house_ (that's the worst of
+ it--no outdoor life or fresh air) has played hob with my digestion.
+ It's not bad, but it's troublesome, and for some time I've had the
+ feeling of being one half well. It occurred to me the other day
+ that I hadn't had leave from my work for four years, except my
+ short visit home nearly two years ago. I asked for two months off,
+ and I've got it. We are going down by the shore where there is
+ fresh air and where I can live outdoors and get some exercise. We
+ have a house that we can get there and be comfortable. To get away
+ from London when the weather promises to be good, and to get away
+ from people seemed a joyous prospect. I can, at any time I must,
+ come to London in two hours.
+
+ The job's too important to give up at this juncture. This, then, is
+ the way we can keep it going. I've no such hard task now as I had
+ during the years of our neutrality, which, praise God! I somehow
+ survived, though I am now suffering more or less from the physical
+ effects of that strain. Yet, since I have had the good fortune to
+ win the confidence of this Government and these people, I feel that
+ I ought to keep on now until some more or less natural time to
+ change comes.
+
+ Alice keeps remarkably well--since her influenza late in the
+ winter; but a rest away from London is really needed as much by her
+ as by me. They work her to death. In a little while she is to go,
+ by the invitation of the Government and the consent of the King, to
+ christen a new British warship at Newcastle. It will be named the
+ "Eagle." Meantime I'll be trying to get outdoor life at Sandwich.
+
+ Yesterday a regiment of our National Army marched through the
+ streets of London and were reviewed by the King and me; and the
+ town made a great day of it. While there is an undercurrent of
+ complaint in certain sections of English opinion because we didn't
+ come into the war sooner, there is a very general and very genuine
+ appreciation of everything we have done and of all that we do.
+ Nothing could be heartier than the welcome given our men here
+ yesterday. Nor could any men have made a braver or better showing
+ than they made. They made us all swell with pride.
+
+ They are coming over now, as you know, in great quantities. There
+ were about 8,000 landed here last week and about 30,000 more are
+ expected this week. I think that many more go direct to France
+ than come through England. On their way through England they do not
+ come to London. Only twice have we had them here, yesterday and one
+ day last summer when we had a parade of a regiment of engineers.
+ For the _army_ London is on a sidetrack--is an out of the way
+ place. For our navy, of course, it's the European headquarters,
+ since Admiral Sims has his headquarters here. We thus see a good
+ many of our sailors who are allowed to come to London on leave. A
+ few days ago I had a talk with a little bunch of them who came from
+ one of our superdreadnaughts in the North Sea. They had just
+ returned from a patrol across to the coast of Norway. "Bad luck,
+ bad luck," they said, "on none of our long patrol trips have we
+ seen a single Hun ship!"
+
+ About the war, you know as much as I know. There is a general
+ confidence that the Allies will hold the Germans in their
+ forthcoming effort to get to Calais or to Paris. Yet there is an
+ undercurrent of fear. Nobody knows just how to feel about it.
+ Probably another prodigious onslaught will be made before you
+ receive this letter. It seems to me that we can make no intelligent
+ guess until this German effort is finished in France--no guess
+ about the future. If the Germans get the French ports (Calais, for
+ example) the war will go on indefinitely. If they are held back, it
+ _may_ end next autumn or winter--partly because of starvation in
+ Germany and partly because the Germans will have to confess that
+ they can't whip our armies in France. But, even then, since they
+ have all Russia to draw on, they may keep going for a long time.
+ One man's guess is as good as another's.
+
+ One sad thing is certain: we shall at once begin to have heavy
+ American casualties. Our Red Cross and our army here are getting
+ hospitals ready for such American wounded as are brought over to
+ England--the parts of our army that are fighting with the British.
+
+ We have a lot of miserable politics here which interfere with the
+ public feeling. The British politician is a worse yellow dog than
+ the American--at times he is, at least; and we have just been going
+ through such a time. Another such time will soon come about the
+ Irish.
+
+ Well, we have an unending quantity of work and wear--no very acute
+ bothers but a continuous strain, the strain of actual work, of
+ uneasiness, of seeing people, of uncertainty, of great expense, of
+ doubt and fear at times, of inability to make any plans--all which
+ is only the common lot now all over the world, except that most
+ persons have up to this time suffered incomparably worse than we.
+ And there's nothing to do but to go on and on and on and to keep
+ going with the stoutest hearts we can keep up till the end do at
+ last come. But the Germans now (as the rest of us) are fighting for
+ their lives. They are desperate and their leaders care nothing for
+ human life.
+
+ The Embassy now is a good deal bigger than the whole State
+ Department ever was in times of peace. I have three buildings for
+ offices, and a part of our civil force occupies two other
+ buildings. Even a general supervision of so large a force is in
+ itself a pretty big job. The army and the Navy have each about the
+ same space as the Embassy proper. Besides, our people have huts and
+ inns and clubs and hospitals all over the town. Even though there
+ be fewer vexing problems than there were while we were neutral,
+ there is not less work--on the contrary, more. Nor will there be an
+ end to it for a very long time--long after my time here. The
+ settling of the war and the beginning of peace activities, whenever
+ these come, will involve a great volume of work. But I've no
+ ambition to have these things in hand. As soon as a natural time of
+ relief shall come, I'll go and be happier in my going than you or
+ anybody else can guess.
+
+ Now we go to get my digestion stiffened up for another long
+ tug--unless the Germans proceed forthwith to knock us out--which
+ they cannot do.
+
+ With my love to everybody on the Hill,
+
+ Affectionately yours,
+ W.H.P.
+
+Mr. and Mrs. Waldorf Astor--since become Viscount and Viscountess
+Astor--had offered the Pages the use of their beautiful seaside house at
+Sandwich, Kent, and it was the proposed vacation here to which Page
+refers in this letter. He obtained a six weeks' leave of absence and
+almost the last letters which Page wrote from England are dated from
+this place. These letters have all the qualities of Page at his best:
+but the handwriting is a sad reminder of the change that was
+progressively taking place in his physical condition. It is still a
+clear and beautiful script, but there are signs of a less steady hand
+than the one that had written the vigorous papers of the preceding four
+years.
+
+ _Memorandum_
+
+ Sandwich, Kent, Sunday, 19 May, 1918.
+
+We're at Rest Harrow and it's a fine, sunny early spring Carolina day.
+The big German drive has evidently begun its second phase. We hear the
+guns distinctly. We see the coast-guard aeroplanes at almost any time
+o'day. What is the mood about the big battle?
+
+The soldiers--British and French--have confidence in their ability to
+hold the Germans back from the Channel and from Paris. Yet can one rely
+on the judgment of soldiers? They have the job in hand and of course
+they believe in themselves. While one does not like in the least to
+discount their judgment and their hopefulness, for my part I am not
+_quite_ so sure of their ability to make sound judgments as I wish I
+were. The chances are in favour of their success; but--suppose they
+should have to yield and give up Calais and other Channel ports? Well,
+they've prepared for it as best they can. They have made provision for
+commandeering most of the hotels in London that are not yet taken
+over--for hospitals for the wounded now in France.
+
+And the war would take on a new phase. Whatever should become of the
+British and American armies, the Germans would be no nearer having
+England than they now are. They would not have command of the sea. The
+combined British and American fleets could keep every German ship off
+the ocean and continue the blockade by sea--indefinitely; and, if the
+peoples of the two countries hold fast, a victory would be won at
+last--at sea.
+
+ _To Ralph W. Page_
+
+ Rest Harrow, Sandwich, Kent.
+ May 19, 1918.
+
+ DEAR RALPH:
+
+ I felt very proud yesterday when I read T.R.'s good word in the
+ _Outlook_ about your book[76]. If I had written what he said
+ myself--I mean, if I had written what I think of the book--I should
+ have said this very thing. And there is one thing more I should
+ have said, viz.:--All your life and all my life, we have cultivated
+ the opinion at home that we had nothing to do with the rest of the
+ world, nothing to do with Europe in particular--and in our
+ political life our hayseed spokesmen have said this over and over
+ again till many people, perhaps most people, came really to believe
+ that it was true. Now this aloofness, this utterly detached
+ attitude, was a pure invention of the shirt-sleeve statesman at
+ home. I have long concluded, for other reasons as well as for this,
+ that these men are the most ignorant men in the whole world; more
+ ignorant--because they are viciously ignorant--than the Negro boys
+ who act as caddies at Pinehurst; more ignorant than the inmates of
+ the Morganton Asylum; more ignorant than sheep or rabbits or
+ idiots. They have been the chief hindrances of our country--worse
+ than traitors, in effect. It is they, in fact, who kept our people
+ ignorant of the Germans, ignorant of the English, ignorant of our
+ own history, ignorant of ourselves. Now your book, without
+ mentioning the subject, shows this important fact clearly, by
+ showing that our aloofness has all been a fiction. _We've been in
+ the world--and right in the middle of the world--the whole time_.
+
+ And our public consciousness of this fact has enormously slipped
+ back. Take Franklin, Madison, Monroe, Jefferson; take Hay,
+ Root--and then consider some of our present representatives! One
+ good result of the war and of our being in it will be the
+ restoration of our foreign consciousness. Every one of the half
+ million, or three million, soldiers who go to France will know more
+ about foreign affairs than all Congress knew two years ago.
+
+ A stay of nearly five years in London (five years ago to-day I was
+ on the ship coming here) with no absence long enough to give any
+ real rest, have got my digestion wrong. I've therefore got a real
+ leave for two months. Your mother and I have a beautiful house here
+ that has been lent to us, right on the Channel where there's
+ nothing worth bombing and where as much sunshine and warmth come
+ as come anywhere in England. We got here last night and to-day is
+ as fine an early spring day as you ever had in the Sandhills. I
+ shall golf and try to find me an old horse to ride, and I'll stay
+ out in the sunshine and try to get the inside machinery going all
+ right. We may have a few interruptions, but I hope not many, if the
+ Germans leave us alone. Your mother has got to go to Newcastle to
+ christen a new British warship--a compliment the Admiralty pays her
+ "to bind the two nations closer together" etc. etc. And I've got to
+ go to Cambridge to receive an LL.D. for the President. Only such
+ things are allowed to interrupt us. And we are very much hoping to
+ see Frank here.
+
+ We are in sound of the battle. We hear the big guns whenever we go
+ outdoors. A few miles down the beach is a rifle range and we hear
+ the practice there. Almost any time of day we can hear aeroplanes
+ which (I presume) belong to the coast guard. There's no danger of
+ forgetting the war, therefore, unless we become stone deaf. But
+ this decent air and sunshine are blessings of the highest kind. I
+ never became so tired of anything since I had the measles as I've
+ become of London. My Lord! it sounded last night as if we had
+ jumped from the frying pan into the fire. Just as we were about to
+ go to bed the big gun on the beach--just outside the fence around
+ our yard--about 50 yards from the house, began its thundering
+ belch--five times in quick succession, rattling the windows and
+ shaking the very foundation of things. Then after a pause of a few
+ minutes, another round of five shots. Then the other guns all along
+ the beach took up the chorus--farther off--and the inland guns
+ followed. They are planted all the way to London--ninety miles. For
+ about two hours we had this roar and racket. There was an air raid
+ on, and there were supposed to be twenty-five or thirty German
+ planes on their way to London. I hear that it was the worst raid
+ that London has had. Two of them were brought down--that's the only
+ good piece of news I've heard about it. Well, we are not supposed
+ to be in danger. They fly over us on the way to bigger game. At any
+ rate I'll take the risk for this air and sunshine. Trenches and
+ barbed wire run all along the beach--I suppose to help in case of
+ an invasion. But an invasion is impossible in my judgment. Holy
+ Moses! what a world!--the cannon in the big battle in France
+ roaring in our ears all the time, this cannon at our door likely to
+ begin action any night and all the rest along the beach and on the
+ way to London, and this is what we call rest! The world is upside
+ down, all crazy, all murderous; but we've got to stop this barbaric
+ assault, whatever the cost.
+
+ Ray Stannard Baker is spending a few days with us, much to our
+ pleasure.
+
+ With love to Leila and the babies,
+
+ Yours affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ Rest Harrow, Sandwich Beach,
+ Sandwich, Kent, England.
+ May 20, 1918.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... I can't get quite to the bottom of the anti-English feeling at
+ Washington. God knows, this people have their faults. Their social
+ system and much else here is mediæval. I could write several
+ volumes in criticism of them. So I could also in criticism of
+ anybody else. But Jefferson's[77] letter is as true to-day as it
+ was when he wrote it. One may or may not have a lot of sentiment
+ about it; but, without sentiment, it's mere common sense, mere
+ prudence, the mere instinct of safety to keep close to Great
+ Britain, to have a decent respect for the good qualities of these
+ people and of this government. Certainly it is a mere
+ perversity--lost time--lost motion, lost everything--to cherish a
+ dislike and a distrust of them--a thing that I cannot wholly
+ understand. While we are, I fear, going to have trade troubles and
+ controversies, my feeling is, on the whole, in spite of the
+ attitude of our official life, that an increasing number of our
+ people are waking up to what England has done and is and may be
+ depended on to do. Isn't that true?
+
+ We've no news here. We see nobody who knows anything. I am far from
+ strong--the old stomach got tired and I must gradually coax it back
+ to work. That's practically my sole business now for a time, and
+ it's a slow process. But it's coming along and relief from seeing
+ hordes of people is as good as medicine.
+
+ Affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ Sandwich, May 24, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ Your speeches have a cumulative effect in cheering up the British.
+ As you see, if you look over the mass of newspaper clippings that I
+ send to the Department, or have them looked over, the British press
+ of all parties and shades of opinion constantly quote them
+ approvingly and gratefully. They have a cumulative effect, too, in
+ clearing the atmosphere. Take, for instance, your declaration in
+ New York about standing by Russia. All the allied governments in
+ Europe wish to stand by Russia, but their pressing business with
+ the war, near at hand, causes them in a way to forget Russia; and
+ certainly the British public, all intent on the German "drive" in
+ France had in a sense forgotten Russia. You woke them up. And your
+ "Why set a limit to the American Army?" has had a cheering effect.
+ As leader and spokesman of the enemies of Germany--by far the best
+ trumpet-call spokesman and the strongest leader--your speeches are
+ worth an army in France and more, for they keep the proper moral
+ elevation. All this is gratefully recognized here. Public opinion
+ toward us is wholesome and you have a "good press" in this Kingdom.
+ In this larger matter, all is well. The English faults are the
+ failings of the smaller men--about smaller matters--not of the
+ large men nor of the public, about large matters.
+
+ In private, too, thoughtful Englishmen by their fears pay us high
+ tribute. I hear more and more constantly such an opinion as this:
+ "You see, when the war is over, you Americans will have much the
+ largest merchant fleet. You will have much the largest share of
+ money, and England and France and all the rest of the world will
+ owe you money. You will have a large share of essential raw
+ materials. You will have the machinery for marine insurance and for
+ foreign banking. You will have much the largest volume of
+ productive labour. And you will know the world as you have never
+ known it before. What then is going to become of British trade?"
+
+ The best answer I can give is: "Adopt American methods of
+ manufacture, and the devil take the hindmost. There will be for a
+ long time plenty for everybody to do; and let us make sure that we
+ both play the game fairly: that's the chief matter to look out
+ for." That's what I most fear in the decades following the end of
+ the war--trade clashes.
+
+ The Englishman's pride will be hurt. I recall a speech made to me
+ by the friendliest of the British--Mr. Balfour himself: "I confess
+ that as an Englishman it hurts my pride to have to borrow so much
+ even from you. But I will say that I'd rather be in your debt than
+ in anybody else's."
+
+ _To Edward M. House_
+
+ May 27, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR HOUSE:
+
+ ... I can write in the same spirit of the Labour Group which left
+ for home last week. Nobody has been here from our side who had a
+ better influence than they. They emphatically stuck by their
+ instructions and took pleasure, against the blandishments of
+ certain British Socialists, in declaring against any meeting with
+ anybody from the enemy countries to discuss "peace-by-negotiation"
+ or anything else till the enemy is whipped. They made admirable
+ speeches and proved admirable representatives of the bone and sinew
+ of American manhood. They had dead-earnestness and good-humour and
+ hard horse-sense.
+
+ This sort of visit is all to the good. Great good they do, too, in
+ the present English curiosity to see and hear the right sort of
+ frank, candid Americans. Nobody who hasn't been here lately can
+ form an idea of the eagerness of all classes to hear and learn
+ about the United States. There never was, and maybe never will be
+ again, such a chance to inform the British and--to help them toward
+ a rights understanding of the United States and our people. We are
+ not half using the opportunity. There seems to be a feeling on your
+ side the ocean that we oughtn't to send men here to "lecture" the
+ British. No typical, earnest, sound American who has been here has
+ "lectured" the British. They have all simply told facts and
+ instructed them and won their gratitude and removed misconceptions.
+ For instance, I have twenty inquiries a week about Dr. Buttrick. He
+ went about quietly during his visit here and talked to university
+ audiences and to working-men's meetings and he captured and
+ fascinated every man he met. He simply told them American facts,
+ explained the American spirit and aims and left a grateful memory
+ everywhere. Buttrick cost our Government nothing: he paid his own
+ way. But if he had cost as much as a regiment it would have been
+ well spent. The people who heard him, read American utterances,
+ American history, American news in a new light. And most of his
+ talk was with little groups of men, much of it even in private
+ conversation. He did no orating or "lecturing." A hundred such men,
+ if we had them, would do more for a perfect understanding with the
+ British people than anything else whatsoever could do.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+ _To Arthur W. Page_
+
+ Sandwich, May 27, 1918.
+
+ DEAR ARTHUR:
+
+ ... I do get tired--my Lord! how tired!--not of the work but of the
+ confinement, of the useless things I have to spend time on, of the
+ bad digestion that has overtaken me, of London, of the weather, of
+ absence from you all--of the general breaking up of the world, of
+ this mad slaughter of men. But, after all, this is the common lot
+ now and I am grateful for a chance to do what I can. That's the
+ true way to look at it.
+
+ ... Worry? I don't worry about anything except the war in general
+ and this mad world so threatened by these devil barbarians. And I
+ have a feeling that, when we get a few thousand flying machines,
+ we'll put an end to that, alas! with the loss of many of our brave
+ boys. I hear the guns across the channel as I write--an unceasing
+ boom! boom! boom! That's what takes the stuff out of me and gets my
+ inside machinery wrong. Still, I'm gradually getting even that back
+ to normal. Golf and the poets are fine medicine. I read Keats the
+ other day, with entire forgetfulness of the guns. Here we have a
+ comfortable house, our own servants (as many as we need), a
+ beautiful calm sea, a perfect air and for the present ideal
+ weather. There's nobody down here but Scottish soldiers. We've
+ struck up a pleasant acquaintance with them; and some of the
+ fellows from the Embassy come down week ends. Only the murderous
+ guns keep their eternal roar.
+
+ Thanks, thanks, a thousand thanks, old man. It'll all work out
+ right.
+
+ ... I look at it in this way: all's well that ends well. We are now
+ doing our duty. That's enough. These things don't bother me,
+ because doing our duty now is worth a million years of past errors
+ and shortcomings.
+
+ Your mother's well and spry--very, and the best company in the
+ world. We're having a great time.
+
+ Bully for the kids! Kiss 'em for me and Mollie too.
+
+ Affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+Make Shoecraft tell you everything. He's one of the best boys and truest
+in the world.
+
+ _To Ralph W. Page_
+
+ Rest Harrow, Sandwich, Kent.
+ June 7, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR RALPH:
+
+ ... I have all along cherished an expectation of two things--(1)
+ That when we did get an American Army by conscription, if it should
+ remain at war long enough to learn the game, it would become the
+ best army that the world ever saw, for the simple reason that its
+ ranks would contain more capable men than any other country has
+ ever produced. The proof of this comes at once. Even our new and
+ raw troops have astonished the veterans of the French and British
+ armies and (I have no doubt) of the German Army also. It'll be our
+ men who will whip the Germans, and there are nobody else's men who
+ could do it. We've already saved the Entente from collapse by our
+ money. We'll save the day again by our fighting men. That is to
+ say, we'll save the world, thank God; and I fear it couldn't have
+ been saved in any other way. (2) Since the people by their mood
+ command and compel efficiency, the most efficient people will at
+ last (as recent events show) get at the concrete jobs, in spite of
+ anybody's preferences or philosophy. And this seems at last to be
+ taking place. What we have suffered and shall suffer is not failure
+ but delays and delays and bunglings. But they've got to end by the
+ sheer pressure of the people's earnestness. These two things, then,
+ are all to the good.
+
+ I get the morning papers here at noon. And to-day I am all alone.
+ Your mother went early on her journey to launch a British
+ battleship. I haven't had a soul to speak to all day but my
+ servants. At noon, therefore, I was rather eager for the papers. I
+ saw at a glance that a submarine is at work off the New Jersey
+ coast! It's an awful thing for the innocent victims, to be
+ drowned. But their deaths have done us a greater service than 100
+ times as many lives lost in battle. If anybody lacked earnestness
+ about the war, I venture to guess that he doesn't lack it any
+ longer. If the fools would now only shell some innocent town on the
+ coast, the journey to Berlin would be shortened.
+
+ If the Germans had practised a chivalrous humanity in their war for
+ conquest, they'd have won it. Nothing on earth can now save them;
+ for the world isn't big enough to hold them and civilized people.
+ Nor is there any room for pacifists till this grim business is
+ done.
+
+ Affectionately,
+ W.H.P.
+
+The last piece of writing from Sandwich is the following memorandum:
+
+ Sandwich, Kent.
+ June 10, 1918.
+
+ The Germans continue to gain ground in France--more slowly, but
+ still they gain. The French and British papers now give space to
+ plans for the final defense--the desperate defense--of Paris. The
+ Germans are only forty miles away. Slocum, military attaché, thinks
+ they will get it and he reports the same opinion at the War
+ Office--because the Germans have taken such a large number of guns
+ and so much ammunition. Some of these guns were meant for the
+ American troops, and they cannot now be replaced in time if the
+ German advance continues. But I do not know enough facts at first
+ hand to form an opinion. But, if Paris be taken, the war will go on
+ a long time--unless the English-speaking rulers make a compromise.
+ And, then, in another form--and forms--it'll go on
+ indefinitely.--There has been no more perilous or uncertain or
+ anxious time than now.
+
+ The United States too late, too late, too late: what if it should
+ turn out so?
+
+ * * * * *
+
+But it did not turn out so. Even while Page was penning these lines
+great events were taking place in France and the American troops were
+having a large share in them. In June the Americans stopped the German
+troops at Belleau Wood--a battle which proved the mettle of these fresh
+levies not only for the benefit of the Germans but of the Allies as
+well. Thus Page had the great satisfaction of returning to London while
+the city was ringing with the praise of these achievements. He found
+that the atmosphere had materially changed since he had last been in the
+British capital; when he had left for Sandwich there had been a general
+expectation that the Germans would get Paris or the Channel ports; now,
+however, there was every confidence of victory. Greatly as Page rejoiced
+over the new prospect, however, the fight at Belleau Wood brought him
+his last great sorrow. His nephew, Allison M. Page, of Aberdeen, North
+Carolina, the son of his youngest brother, Frank, lost his life in that
+engagement. At first the young man was reported "missing"; the
+investigation set afoot by the Ambassador for some time brought no
+definite information. One of the most pathetic of Page's papers is a
+brief note addressed by him to Allison Page, asking him for news: "It's
+been a long time since we heard from you," Page wrote his nephew. "Write
+how it goes with you. Affectionately, Uncle Wat." After travelling over
+a considerable part of France, this note found its way back to the
+Embassy. The boy--he was only 19--had been killed in action near Belleau
+Wood, on June 25th, while leading his detachment in an attack on a
+machine gun. Citations and decorations for gallantry in action were
+given posthumously by General Pershing, Marshal Pétain, Major-General
+Omar Bundy, and Major-General John A. LeJeune.
+
+And now the shadows began to close in rapidly on Page. In early July
+Major Frank C. Page, the Ambassador's youngest son, came over from
+France. A brief glance at his father convinced him that he was dying. By
+this time the Ambassador had ceased to go to the Chancery, but was
+transacting the most imperative business propped up in a chair at home.
+His mind was possessed by two yearnings: one was to remain in London
+until the end of the war, the other was to get back to his childhood
+home in North Carolina. Young Page urged his father to resign, but the
+weary invalid insisted on sticking to his post. On this point it seemed
+impossible to move him. Knowing that his brother Arthur had great
+influence with his father, Frank Page cabled, asking him to come to
+England immediately. Arthur took the first boat, reaching London late in
+July.
+
+The Ambassador's two sons then gently pressed upon their father the fact
+that he must resign. Weak as he was, the Ambassador was still obdurate.
+
+"No," he said. "It's quitting on the job. I must see the war through. I
+can't quit until it's over."
+
+But Sir William Osler, Page's physician and devoted friend, exercised
+his professional authority and insisted on the resignation. Finally Page
+consented.
+
+ _To the President_
+
+ American Embassy, London,
+ August 1, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR MR. PRESIDENT:
+
+ I have been struggling for a number of months against the necessity
+ to write you this note; for my doctors now advise me to give up all
+ work for a period--my London doctor says for six months. I have a
+ progressive digestive trouble which does not yield to the usual
+ treatment. It's the war, five London winters, and the unceasing
+ labour which is now the common lot. I am ashamed to say that these
+ have brought me to something near a breakdown. I have had Sir
+ William Osler as well as two distinguished London physicians for
+ several months. The digestive trouble has brought other ills in its
+ train; and I am assured that they will yield to freedom from
+ responsibility and complete rest for a time in a dry, warm climate
+ and that they are not likely to yield to anything else.
+
+ I see nothing else to do then but to bow to the inevitable and to
+ ask you to be kind enough to relieve me and to accept my
+ resignation to take effect as soon as I can go to Washington and
+ make a somewhat extended report on the work here, which, I hope,
+ will be of some use to the Department; and I ought to go as soon as
+ possible--say, in September. I cannot tell you how great my
+ disappointment is that this request has become necessary.
+
+ If the world and its work were so organized that we could do what
+ we should like to do, I should like a leave of absence till winter
+ be broken and then to take up my duties here again till the war
+ end. But that, of course, is impracticable. And it is now a better
+ time to change Ambassadors than at any time since the war began. My
+ five years' service has had two main phases--the difficult period
+ of our neutrality and the far easier period since we came into the
+ war. But when the war ends, I fear that there will be again more or
+ less troublesome tasks arising out of commercial difficulties.
+
+ But for any reasonable period the Embassy's work fortunately can
+ now go on perfectly well with Mr. Laughlin as Chargé--until my
+ successor can get here. The Foreign Office like him, he is _persona
+ grata_ to all other Departments of the Government, and he has had
+ a long experience; and he is most conscientious and capable. And
+ the organization is in excellent condition.
+
+ I venture to ask you to have a cable message sent to me (to be
+ deciphered by me alone). It will require quite a little time to
+ pack up and to get away.
+
+ I send this, Mr. President, with more regret than I can express and
+ only after a struggle of more than six months to avoid it.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+Arthur Page took his father to Banff, in Scotland, for a little rest in
+preparation for the voyage. From this place came Page's last letter to
+his wife:
+
+ _To Mrs. Page_
+
+ Duff House, Banff, Scotland.
+ Sunday, September 2, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR:
+
+ ... I've put the period of our life in London, in my mind, as
+ closed. That epoch is ended. And I am glad. It was time it ended.
+ My job (_that_ job) is done. From the letters that Shoecraft has
+ sent me and from what the papers say, I think I couldn't have ended
+ it more happily--or at a better time. I find myself thinking of the
+ winter down South--of a Thanksgiving Day dinner for the older folks
+ of our family, of a Christmas tree for the kids, of frolics of all
+ sorts, of Rest, of some writing (perhaps not much), going over my
+ papers with Ralph--that's what he wants, you know; etc., etc.,
+ etc.--
+
+ And I've got to eat more. I myself come into my thinking and
+ planning in only two ways--(1) I'm going to have a suit like old
+ Lord N.'s and (2) I'm going to get all the good things to eat that
+ there are!
+
+ Meantime, my dear, how are you? Don't you let this getting ready
+ wear you out. Let something go undone rather. Work Miss Latimer and
+ the boys and the moving and packing men, and Petherick and the
+ servants. Take it very easy yourself.
+
+ Nine and a half more days here--may they speed swiftly. Comfortable
+ as I am, I'm mortal tired of being away from you--dead tired.
+
+ Praise God it's only 9-1/2 days. If it were 9-3/4, I should not
+ stand it, but break for home prematurely.
+
+ Yours, dear Allie, with all my love,
+ W.H.P.
+
+On August 24th came the President's reply:
+
+ I have received your communication of August 1st. It caused me
+ great regret that the condition of your health makes it necessary
+ for you to resign. Under the circumstances I do not feel I have the
+ right to insist on such a sacrifice as your remaining in London.
+ Your resignation is therefore accepted. As you request it will take
+ effect when you report to Washington. Accept my congratulations
+ that you have no reason to fear a permanent impairment of your
+ health and that you can resign knowing that you have performed your
+ difficult duties with distinguished success.
+
+ WOODROW WILSON.
+
+The news of Page's resignation inspired tributes from the British press
+and from British public men such as have been bestowed upon few
+Americans. The London _Times_ headed its leader "A Great Ambassador" and
+this note was echoed in all sections of Great Britain. The part of
+Page's career which Englishmen chiefly recalled was his attitude during
+the period of neutrality. This, the newspapers declared, was Page's
+great contribution to the cause. The fact that it had had such
+far-reaching influences on history was the one especially insisted on.
+His conciliatory and skillful behaviour had kept the United States and
+Great Britain friends at a time when a less tactful ambassador might
+easily have made them enemies; the result was that, when the time came,
+the United States could join forces against the common enemy, with
+results that were then daily unfolding on the battlefields of France. "I
+really believe," wrote the Marquess of Crewe, "that there were several
+occasions when we might have made it finally impossible for America to
+join us in the war; that these passed by may have been partly due to
+some glimmering of common sense on our part, with Grey as its main
+exponent; but it was more largely owing to your patience and courtesy
+and to the certainty which the Foreign Office always enjoyed that its
+action would be set before the Secretary of State in as favourable a
+light as it conscientiously could be." That, then, was Page's
+contribution to the statesmanship of this crisis--that of holding the
+two countries together so that, when the time came, the United States
+could join the Allies. A mass of private letters, all breathing the same
+sentiment, began to pour in on Page. There was hardly an illustrious
+name in Great Britain that was not represented among these
+leave-takings. As illustrating the character and spirit animating them,
+the following selections are made:
+
+ _From the King_
+
+ The information communicated to me yesterday through Mr. Laughlin
+ of Your Excellency's resignation of the Post of Ambassador and the
+ cause of this step fill me with the keenest regret. During your
+ term of office in days of peace and of war your influence has done
+ much to strengthen the ties of friendship and good-will which unite
+ the two English-speaking nations of the world. I trust your health
+ will soon be restored and that we may have the pleasure of seeing
+ you and Mrs. Page before your departure.
+
+ GEORGE R.I.
+
+ _From the Prime Minister_
+
+ 10, Downing Street, Whitehall, S.W. 1.
+ 30th August, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR AMBASSADOR:
+
+ It is with the deepest regret that my colleagues and I have
+ received the news that you have been forced by ill health to resign
+ your office and that the President has consented to your
+ relinquishing your ambassadorial duties. We are sorry that you are
+ leaving us, all the more because your tenure of office has
+ coincided with one of the greatest epochs in the history of our two
+ countries and of the world, and because your influence and counsel
+ throughout this difficult time have been of the utmost value to us
+ all.
+
+ The power for good or evil which can be exerted by the occupant of
+ your high position is at all times necessarily very great. That our
+ peoples are now fighting side by side in the cause of human freedom
+ and that they are manifesting an ever growing feeling of cordiality
+ to one another is largely attributable to the exceptional wisdom
+ and good-will with which you have discharged your duties. For the
+ part you have played during the past five years in bringing about
+ this happy result we owe you our lasting gratitude.
+
+ May I add that while you have always firmly presented the point of
+ view of your own country, you have succeeded in winning, not only
+ the respect and admiration of official circles, but the confidence,
+ and I can say without hesitation, the affection of all sections of
+ our people? It will be with universal regret that they will learn
+ that, owing to the strain of the great responsibilities you have
+ borne, you are no longer to remain among us. I earnestly trust that
+ a well-earned rest will speedily restore you to complete health,
+ and that you have many years of public service still in store for
+ you.
+
+ I should like also to say how much we shall miss Mrs. Page. She has
+ won a real place in all our hearts. Through her unfailing tact, her
+ genuine kindliness, and her unvarying readiness to respond to any
+ call upon her time and energy, she has greatly contributed to the
+ success of your ambassadorship.
+
+ Ever sincerely,
+ D. LLOYD GEORGE.
+
+ _From Viscount Grey of Fallodon_
+
+ Glen Innerleithen, Scotland.
+ September 2, 1918.
+
+ DEAR MR. PAGE:
+
+ I have been out of touch with current events for a few days, but
+ yesterday I read the two articles in the _Times_ on your
+ retirement. I am very grieved to think that you are going. There
+ was not a word of eulogy in the _Times_ articles that was not under
+ rather than over-stated, and reflecting thus I thought how rare it
+ is in public life to have an occasion that justifies the best that
+ can be said. But it is so now, and I am filled with deep regret
+ that you are going and with deep gratitude that you came to us and
+ were here when the war broke out and subsequently. If the United
+ States had been represented here by any one less decided as to the
+ right and wrong of the war and less firm and courageous than
+ yourself, the whole of the relations between your country and ours
+ would have been in peril. And if the two countries had gone apart
+ instead of coming together the whole fate of the world would be
+ very different from what I hope it will now be.
+
+ I have often thought that the forces behind public affairs are so
+ tremendous that individuals have little real, even when much
+ apparent, influence upon the course of events. But in the early
+ years of the war I think everything might have gone wrong if it had
+ not been that certain men of strong moral conviction were in
+ certain places. And you were preëminently one of these. President
+ Wilson I am sure was another, though I know him only through you
+ and Colonel House and his own public utterances. Even so your
+ influence must have counted in his action, by your friendship with
+ him as well as by the fact of your being the channel through which
+ communications passed between him and us.
+
+ I cannot adequately express what it was to me personally in the
+ dark days of 1914, 1915, and 1916 to know how you felt about the
+ great issues involved in the war.
+
+ I go to Fallodon at the end of this week and come to London the
+ first week of September--if you and Mrs. Page have not left by then
+ I hope I may see you. I long to do so before you go. I wish you may
+ recover perfect health. My eyesight continues to fail and I shall
+ soon be absolutely dependent upon other eyes for reading print.
+ Otherwise I feel as well as a schoolboy, but it is depressing to be
+ so well and yet so crippled in sight.
+
+ Please do not trouble to answer this letter--you must have too many
+ letters of the kind to be able to reply to them separately--but if
+ there is a chance of my seeing you before you go please let me
+ have a message to say when and where.
+
+ Yours sincerely,
+ GREY OF F.
+
+A few months before his resignation Page had received a letter from
+Theodore Roosevelt, who was more familiar than most Americans with
+Page's work in London. This summed up what will be probably the judgment
+of history upon his ambassadorship. The letter was in reply to one
+written to the Ex-President, asking him to show hospitality to the
+Archbishop of York[78], who was about to visit the United States.
+
+ (Office of the Metropolitan Magazine)
+ 342 Fourth Ave., New York,
+ March 1st, 1918.
+
+ MY DEAR MR. AMBASSADOR:
+
+ I am very much pleased with your letter, and as soon as the
+ Archbishop arrives, he will be addressed by me with all his titles,
+ and I will get him to lunch with me or dine with me, or do anything
+ else he wishes! I shall do it for his own sake, and still more, my
+ dear fellow, I shall do it for the sake of the Ambassador who has
+ represented America in London during these trying years as no other
+ Ambassador in London has ever represented us, with the exception of
+ Charles Francis Adams, during the Civil War.
+
+ Faithfully yours,
+ THEODORE ROOSEVELT.
+
+The seriousness of Page's condition was not understood in London;
+consequently there were many attempts to do him honour in which he was
+unable to participate. Custom demands that a retiring Ambassador shall
+go to Windsor Castle to dine and to sleep; but King George, who was very
+solicitous about Page's health, offered to spare the Ambassador this
+trip and to come himself to London for this leave-taking. However, Page
+insisted on carrying out the usual programme; but the visit greatly
+tired him and he found it impossible personally to take part in any
+further official farewells. The last ceremony was a visit from the Lord
+Mayor and Council of Plymouth, who came to the Ambassador's house in
+September to present the freedom of the city. Ever since Page's speech
+of August 4, 1917, Plymouth had been planning to do him this honour;
+when the Council heard that the Ambassador's health would make it
+impossible for him to visit Plymouth, they asked if they might not come
+to London. The proceeding was most impressive and touching and the
+Ambassador's five-minute speech, the last one which he made in England,
+had all his old earnestness and mental power, though the physical
+weakness of the man saddened everybody present. The Lord Mayor presented
+the freedom of the ancient borough in a temporary holder, explaining
+that a more permanent receptacle would follow the Ambassador to America.
+When this arrived, it proved to be a beautiful silver model of the
+_Mayflower_. Certainly there could have been no more appropriate
+farewell gift to Page from the English town whose name so closely links
+the old country with the United States.
+
+The last scene took place at Waterloo Station. Sir Arthur Walsh came
+representing the King, while Mr. Balfour, Lord Robert Cecil, and other
+ministers represented the cabinet. The Government had provided a special
+railway carriage, and this was stationed at a convenient place as Page's
+motor drew up. So weak was the Ambassador that it was with difficulty
+that his companions, the ever devoted Mr. Laughlin, on one side, and
+Page's secretary, Mr. Shoecraft, on the other, succeeded in supporting
+him to his chair. Mr. Balfour, Lord Robert Cecil and the others then
+entered the carriage, and, with all that sympathetic dignity in which
+Englishmen of this type excel, said a few gracious and affectionate
+words of good-bye. They all stood, with uncovered heads, as the train
+slowly pulled out of the station, and caught their final glimpse of Page
+as he smiled at them and faintly waved his hand.
+
+ * * * * *
+
+Perhaps the man most affected by this leave-taking was Mr. Balfour. He
+knew, as did the others, that that frail and emaciated figure had been
+one of the greatest friends that Britain had had at the most dreadful
+crisis in her history. He has many times told of this parting scene at
+Waterloo Station and always with emotion.
+
+"I loved that man," he once said to an American friend, recalling this
+event. "I almost wept when he left England."
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+[Footnote 75: Of Aberdeen, N.C., the Ambassador's sister.]
+
+[Footnote 76: "Dramatic Moments in American Diplomacy," by Ralph W.
+Page, 1918.]
+
+[Footnote 77: The reference is to a letter written in 1823 by Thomas
+Jefferson to President Monroe at the time when the Holy Alliance was
+threatening the independence of South America. "With Great Britain,"
+Jefferson wrote, "we should most sedulously cherish a cordial friendship
+and nothing would tend more to knit our affections than to be fighting
+once more, side by side, in the same cause."]
+
+[Footnote 78: See Vol. II, page 307.]
+
+
+
+
+CHAPTER XXVII
+
+THE END
+
+
+Page came home only to die. In fact, at one time it seemed improbable
+that he would live to reach the United States. The voyage of the
+_Olympic_, on which he sailed, was literally a race with death. The
+great-hearted Captain, Sir Bertram Hayes, hearing of the Ambassador's
+yearning to reach his North Carolina home, put the highest pressure upon
+his ship, which almost leaped through the waves. But for a considerable
+part of the trip Page was too ill to have much consciousness of his
+surroundings. At times he was delirious; once more he lived over the
+long period of "neutrality"; again he was discussing intercepted cargoes
+and "notes" with Sir Edward Grey; from this his mind would revert to his
+English literary friends, and then again he was a boy in North Carolina.
+The _Olympic_ reached New York more than a day ahead of schedule; Page
+was carried down the gangplank on a stretcher, propped up with pillows;
+and since he was too weak then to be taken to his Southern home, he was
+placed temporarily in St. Luke's Hospital. Page arrived on a beautiful
+sunshiny October day; Fifth Avenue had changed its name in honour of the
+new Liberty Loan and had become the "Avenue of the Allies"; each block,
+from Forty-second Street north, was decorated with the colours of one of
+the nations engaged in the battle against Germany; the street was full
+of Red Cross workers and other picturesquely clad enthusiasts selling
+Liberty Bonds; in its animated beauty and in its inspiring significance
+it formed an appropriate setting for Page's homecoming.
+
+The American air seemed to act like a tonic on Page; in a short time he
+showed such improvement that his recovery seemed not impossible. So far
+as his spirits and his mind were concerned, he became his old familiar
+self. He was able to see several of his old friends, he read the
+newspapers and discussed the international situation with his customary
+liveliness. With the assistance of his daughter, Mrs. Loring, he even
+kept track of his correspondence. Evidently the serious nature of his
+illness was not understood, for invitations to speak poured in from all
+quarters. Most of these letters Mrs. Loring answered, but there was one
+that Page insisted on attending to himself. The City of Cleveland was
+organizing some kind of a meeting dedicated to closer relations with
+Great Britain, and the Mayor wrote Page asking him to speak. The last
+thing which Page wrote with his own hand was his reply to this
+invitation; and it is an impressive fact that his final written word
+should have dealt with the subject that had been so close to his heart
+for the preceding five years.
+
+ _To Harry L. Davis, Mayor of Cleveland, Ohio_
+
+ I deeply regret my health will not permit me to attend any public
+ function for some time to come; for I deeply appreciate your
+ invitation on behalf of the City of Cleveland for the meeting on
+ December 7th, and have a profound sympathy with its purpose to
+ bring the two great English-speaking worlds as close together as
+ possible, so that each shall thoroughly understand the courage and
+ sacrifice and ideals of the other. This is the greatest political
+ task of the future. For such a complete and lasting understanding
+ is the only basis for the continued, progress of civilization. I
+ am proud to be associated in your thought, Mr. Mayor, with so
+ fitting and happy an occasion, and only physical inability could
+ cause absence.
+
+ Sincerely,
+ WALTER H. PAGE.
+
+Page's improvement was only temporary; a day or two after this letter
+was written he began to sink rapidly; it was therefore decided to grant
+his strongest wish and take him to North Carolina. He arrived in
+Pinehurst on December 12th, so weak that his son Frank had to carry him
+in his arms from the train.
+
+"Well, Frank," said Page, with a slightly triumphant smile, "I did get
+here after all, didn't I?"
+
+He lingered for a few days and died, at eight o'clock in the evening, on
+December 21st, in his sixty-fourth year. He suffered no pain. He was
+buried in the Page family plot in the Bethesda Cemetery near Aberdeen.
+
+He was as much of a war casualty as was his nephew Allison Page, who
+lost his life with his face to the German machine guns in Belleau Wood.
+
+
+THE END
+
+
+
+
+APPENDIX
+
+SCRAPS FROM UNFINISHED DIARIES
+
+
+Page was not methodical in keeping diaries. His documents, however,
+reveal that he took many praiseworthy resolutions in this direction.
+They include a large number of bulky books, each labelled "Diary" and
+inscribed with the year whose events were to be recorded. The outlook is
+a promising one; but when the books are opened they reveal only
+fragmentary good intentions. Entries are kept up for a few days, and
+then the work comes to an end. These volumes contain many scraps of
+interesting writing, however, which are worth preserving; some of them
+are herewith presented in haphazard fashion, with no attempt at order in
+subject matter.
+
+
+1913
+
+PETHERICK
+
+Petherick: may he be immortal; for he is a man who has made of a humble
+task a high calling; and without knowing it he has caused a man of a
+high calling to degrade it to a mean level. Now Petherick is a humble
+Englishman, whose father many years ago enjoyed the distinction of
+carrying the mail pouch to and from the post office for the American
+Embassy in London. As father, so son. Petherick succeeded Petherick. In
+this remote period (_the_ Petherick must now be 60) Governments had
+"despatch agents," men who distributed mail and whatnot, sent it on
+from capital to capital--were a sort of general "forwarding" factotums.
+The office is really out of date now. Telegraph companies, express
+companies, railway companies, the excellent mail service and the like
+out-despatch any conceivable agent--except Petherick. Petherick has
+qualities that defy change, such as an unfailing courtesy, a genuine joy
+in serving his fellows, the very genius of helpfulness. Well, since a
+governmental office once established acquires qualities of perpetuity,
+three United States despatch agents have survived the development of
+modern communication, one in London, one in New York, and the third (I
+think) in San Francisco. At any rate, the London agent remains.
+
+Now in the beginning the London despatch agent was a mail messenger (as
+I understand) for the Embassy. He still takes the pouch to the post
+office, and brings it back. In ordinary times, that's all he does for
+the Embassy, for which his salary of about ---- is paid by the State
+Department--too high a salary for the labour done, but none too high for
+the trustworthy qualities required. If this had been all that Petherick
+did, he would probably have long ago gone to the scrap heap. It is one
+mark of a man of genius that he always makes his job. So Petherick. The
+American Navy came into being and parts of it come to this side of the
+world. Naval officers need help when they come ashore. Petherick was
+always on hand with despatches and mail for them, and Petherick was a
+handy man. Did the Captain want a cab? Petherick had one waiting. Did
+the Captain want rooms? Such-and-such a hotel was the proper one for
+him. Rooms were engaged. Did the Captain's wife need a maid? Petherick
+had thought of that, too. Then a Secretary from some continental
+legation wished to know a good London tailor. He sought Petherick. An
+American Ambassador from the continent came to London. London yielded
+Petherick for his guidance and his wants. Petherick became omni-present,
+universally useful--an American institution in fact. A naval officer who
+had been in Asiatic waters was steaming westward to the Mediterranean.
+His wife and three babies came to London, where she was to meet her
+husband, who was to spend several weeks here. A telegram to Petherick:
+they needed to do nothing else. When the lady arrived a furnished flat,
+a maid and a nurse and a cook and toys awaited her. When her husband
+arrived, a pair of boots awaited him from the same last that his last
+pair had been made on, in London, five years before. At some thoughtful
+moment $1,000 was added to Petherick's salary by the Navy Department;
+and a few years ago a handsome present was made to Petherick by the
+United States Naval Officers all over the world.
+
+But Petherick, with all his virtues, is merely an Englishman, and it is
+not usual for an Englishman to hold a $3,000 office under appointment
+from the United States Government. The office of despatch agent,
+therefore, has been nominally held by an American citizen in London.
+This American citizen for a good many years has been Mr. Crane, a
+barrister, who simply turns over the salary to Petherick; and all the
+world, except the Secretary of State, knows that Petherick is Petherick
+and there is none other but him.
+
+Now comes the story: Mr. Bryan, looking around the world for offices for
+his henchmen, finds that one Crane has been despatch agent in London for
+many years, and he writes me a personal and confidential letter, asking
+if this be not a good office for some Democrat!
+
+I tell the story to the Naval Attaché! He becomes riotous. He'll have
+to employ half a dozen clerks to do for the Navy ill what Petherick does
+well with ease, if he's removed. Life would not be worth living anyhow.
+I uncover Petherick to the Secretary and show him in his glory. It must
+be said to the Secretary's credit that he has said nothing more about
+it. Petherick, let us hope, will live forever. The Secretary's
+petty-spoils mind now works on grand plans for Peace, holy Peace, having
+unsuccessfully attacked poor Petherick. And Petherick knows nothing
+about it and never dreams of an enemy in all the world, and in all naval
+and diplomatic life he has only fast friends. If Mr. Bryan had removed
+him, he might have made a temporary friend of one Democrat from
+Oklahoma, and lasting enemies of all that Democrat's rivals and of the
+whole naval and diplomatic service.
+
+
+_November, 1914._
+
+We have to get away from it--or try to--a minute at a time; and the
+comic gods sometimes help us. Squier[79] has a junior officer here to
+hold his desk down when he's gone. He's a West Point Lieutenant with a
+German name. His study is ordnance. A new kind of bomb gives him the
+same sort of joy that a new species would have given Darwin. He was over
+in France--where the armies had passed to and from Paris--and one day he
+found an unexploded German bomb of a new sort. The thing weighed half a
+ton or thereabouts, and it was loaded. Somehow he got it to London--I
+never did hear how. He wrapped it in blankets and put it under his bed.
+He went out of town to study some other infernal contraption and the
+police found this thing under his bed. The War Office took it and began
+to look for him--to shoot him, the bomb-harbouring German! They soon
+discovered, of course, that he was one of our men and an officer in the
+United States Army. Then I heard of it for the first time. Here came a
+profuse letter of apology from the Government; they had not known the
+owner was one of my attachés. Pardon, pardon--a thousand apologies. But
+while this letter was being delivered to me one of the under-secretaries
+of the Government was asking one of our secretaries, "In Heaven's name,
+what's the Ambassador going to do about it? We have no right to molest
+the property of one of your attachés, but this man's room is less than
+100 yards from Westminster Abbey: it might blow up half of London. We
+can't give the thing back to him!" They had taken it to the Duck Pond,
+wherever that is. About that time the Lieutenant came back. His pet bomb
+gone--what was I going to do about it?
+
+The fellow actually wanted to bring it to his office in the Embassy!
+
+"Look here, Lieutenant, besides the possibility of blow-up this building
+and killing every mother's son of us, consider the scandal of the
+American Embassy in London blown up by a German bomb. That would go down
+in the school histories of the United States. Don't you see?" No, he
+didn't see instantly--he does so love a bomb! I had to threaten to
+disown him and let him be shot before he was content to go and tell them
+to unload it--he _would_ have it, unloaded, if not loaded.
+
+Well, I had to write half a dozen letters before the thing was done for.
+He thinks me a chicken-livered old coward and I know much more about him
+than I knew before; and we are at peace. The newspapers never got the
+story, but his friends about town still laugh at him for trying first to
+blow up Westminster Abbey and then his own Ambassador. He was at my
+house at dinner the other night and one of the ladies asked him:
+"Lieutenant, have you any darling little pet lyddite cartridges in your
+pocket?" Think of a young fellow who just loves bombs! Has loaded bombs
+for pets! How I misspent my youth!
+
+
+_February, 1915._
+
+This is among the day's stories: The British took a ship that had a
+cargo of 100,000 busts of Von Hindenburg--filled with copper.
+
+Another: When Frederick Watts was painting Lord Minto he found it hard
+to make the portrait please him. When he was told that Lord Minto liked
+it and Lady Minto didn't and that So-and-So praised it, he exclaimed: "I
+don't care a d--n what anyone thinks about it--except a fellow named
+Sargent."
+
+And the King said (about the wedding[80]): "I have the regulation of the
+dress to be worn at all functions in the Chapel Royal. I, therefore,
+declare that the American Ambassador may have any dress worn that he
+pleases!"
+
+E.M. House went to Paris this morning, having no peace message from this
+Kingdom whatever. This kind of talk here now was spoken of by the Prime
+Minister the other day "as the twittering of a sparrow in a tumult that
+shakes the world."
+
+Lady P. remarked to me to-day, as many persons do, that I am very
+fortunate to be Ambassador here at this particular time. Perhaps; but it
+isn't easy to point out precisely wherein the good fortune consists.
+This much is certain: it is surely a hazardous occupation now. Henry
+James remarked, too, that nobody could afford to miss the experience of
+being here--nobody who could be here. Perhaps true, again; but I confess
+to enough shock and horror to keep me from being so very sure of that.
+Yet no other phenomenon is more noticeable than the wish of every sort
+of an American to be here. I sometimes wonder whether the really
+well-balanced American does. Most of them are of the overwrought and
+excitable kinds.
+
+A conservative lady, quite conscientious, was taken down to dinner by
+Winston Churchill. Said she, to be quite frank and fair: "Mr. Churchill,
+I must tell you that I don't like your politics. Yet we must get on
+together. You may say, if you like, that this is merely a matter of
+personal taste with me, as I might not like your--well, your moustache."
+"I see no reason, Madam, why you should come in contact with either."
+
+My talk with Bonar Law: He was disposed to believe that if England had
+declared at once that she would go to war with Germany if France was
+attacked, there would have been no war. Well, would English opinion,
+before Belgium was attacked, have supported a government which made such
+a declaration?
+
+Mr. Bonar Law thinks that President Wilson ought to have protested about
+Belgium.
+
+He didn't agree with me that much good human material goes to waste in
+this Kingdom for lack of opportunity. (That's the Conservative in him.)
+
+
+_Friday, April 30, 1915._
+
+Sir Edward Grey came to tea to talk with Mr. House and me--little talk
+of the main subject (peace), which is not yet ripe by a great deal. Sir
+Edward said the Germans had poisoned wells in South Africa. They have
+lately used deadly gases in France. The key to their mind says Sir
+Edward, is this--they attribute to other folk what they are thinking of
+doing themselves.
+
+While Sir Edward was here John Sargent came in and brought Katharine the
+charcoal portrait of her that he had made--his present to her for her
+and Chud to give to W.A.W.P.[81] and me. A very graceful and beautiful
+thing for him to do.
+
+
+_April 30, 1915._
+
+Concerning Peace: The German civil authorities want peace and so does
+one faction of the military party. But how can they save their face?
+They have made their people believe that they are at once the persecuted
+and the victorious. If they stop, how can they explain their stopping?
+The people might rend them. The ingenious loophole discovered by House
+is--mere moonshine, viz., the freedom of the seas in war. That is a
+one-sided proposition unless they couple with it the freedom of the land
+in war also, which is nonsense. Nothing can be done, then, until some
+unfavourable military event brings a new mind to the Germans. Peace
+talk, therefore, is yet mere moonshine. House has been to Berlin, from
+London, thence to Paris, then back to London again--from Nowhere (as far
+as peace is concerned) to Nowhere again.
+
+
+_May 3, 1915._
+
+Why doesn't the President make himself more accessible? Dismiss X and
+get a bigger man? Take his cabinet members really into his confidence?
+Everybody who comes here makes these complaints of him!
+
+We dined to-night at Y's. Professor M. was there, etc. He says we've got
+to have polygamy in Europe after the war to keep the race up.
+
+
+_Friday, May 21, 1915._
+
+Last night the Italian Parliament voted to give the Government
+war-powers; and this means immediate war on the side of the Allies.
+There are now eight nations fighting against Germany, Austria, and
+Turkey; viz., Great Britain, France, Russia, Italy, Japan, Belgium,
+Serbia, Montenegro. And it looks much as if the United States will be
+forced in by Germany.
+
+The British Government is wrestling with a very grave internal
+disruption--to make a Coalition Government. The only portfolios that
+seem absolutely secure are the Prime Minister's and the Foreign
+Secretary's (Sir Edward Grey's)--for which latter, many thanks. The
+two-fold trouble is--(1) a difference between Churchill (First Lord of
+the Admiralty) and Lord Fisher--about the Dardanelles campaign and (I
+dare say) other things, and (2) Lord Kitchener's failure to secure
+ammunition--"to organize the industries of the Kingdom." Some even
+declare K. of K. (they now say Kitchener of Kaos) is a general colossal
+failure. But the prevailing opinion is that his raising of the new army
+has been good work but that he has failed with the task of procuring
+munitions. As for Churchill, he's too restless and erratic and
+dictatorial and fussy and he runs about too much. I talked with him at
+dinner last night at his mother's. He slips far down in his chair and
+swears and be-dams and by-Gods his assertions. But his energy does
+interest one. An impromptu meeting in the Stock Exchange to-day voted
+confidence in K. of K. and burned up a copy of the _Daily Mail_, which
+this morning had a severe editorial about him.
+
+Washington, having sent a severe note to Germany, is now upbraided for
+not sending another to England, to match and pair it. That's largely
+German influence, but also the Chicago packers and the cotton men. These
+latter have easy grievances, like the Irish. The delays of the British
+Government are exasperating, but they are really not so bad now as they
+have been. Still, the President can be influenced by the criticism that
+he must hit one side every time he hits the other, else he's not
+neutral! I am working by every device to help the situation and to
+prevent another note. I proposed to-day to Sir Edward Grey that his
+Government make an immediate advance payment on the cotton that it
+proposes to buy.
+
+Unless Joffre be a man of genius--of which there are some
+indications--and unless French also possibly have some claim to this
+distinction and _perhaps_ the Grand Duke Nikolas, there doesn't yet seem
+to be a great man brought forth by the war. In civil life, Sir Edward
+Grey comes to a high measure. As we yet see it from this English corner
+of the world, no other statesman now ranks with him.
+
+
+_March 20, 1916._
+
+I am sure I have the best secret service that could be got by any
+neutral. I am often amazed at its efficiency. It is good because it is
+not a secret--certainly not a spy service at all. It is all aboveboard
+and it is all done by men of high honour and good character--I mean the
+Embassy staff. Counting the attachés there are about twenty good men,
+every one of whom moves in a somewhat different circle from any other
+one. Every one cultivates his group of English folk, in and out of
+official life, and his group in the diplomatic corps. There isn't a week
+but every man of them sees his particular sources of information--at
+their offices, at the Embassy, at luncheon, at dinner, at the
+clubs--everywhere. We all take every possible occasion to serve our
+friends and they serve us. The result is, I verily believe, that we hear
+more than any other group in London. These young fellows are all keen as
+razors. They know when to be silent, too; and they are trusted as they
+deserve to be. Of course I see them, singly or in pairs, every day in
+the regular conduct of the work of the Embassy; and once a week we all
+meet together and go over everything that properly comes before so large
+a "cabinet" meeting. Thus some of us are on confidential terms with
+somebody in every department of the Government, with somebody in every
+other Embassy and Legation, with all the newspapers and
+correspondents--even with the censors. And the wives of those that are
+married are abler than their husbands. They are most attractive young
+women--welcome everywhere--and indefatigable. Mrs. Page has them spend
+one afternoon a week with her, rolling bandages; and that regular
+meeting always yields something else. They come to my house Thursday
+afternoons, too, when people always drop in to tea-visitors from other
+countries, resident Americans, English--everybody--Sometimes one
+hundred.
+
+Nobody in this company is a "Spy"--God forbid! I know no more honourable
+or attractive group of ladies and gentlemen. Yet can conceive of no
+organization of spies who could find out as many things. And the loyalty
+of them all! Somebody now and then prefaces a revelation with the
+declaration, "This is in strict confidence--absolutely nobody is to hear
+it." The answer is--"Yes, only, you know, I have no secrets from the
+Ambassador: no member of his staff can ever have."--Of course, we get
+some fun along with our tragedies. If I can find time, for instance, I
+am going to write out for House's amusement a verbatim report of every
+conversation that he held in London. It has all come to me--from what he
+said to the King down; and it all tallies with what House himself told
+me. He went over it all himself to me the other day at luncheon.--I not
+only believe--I am sure--that in this way I do get a correct judgment
+of public feeling and public opinion, from Cabinet Ministers to
+stock-brokers.
+
+
+_December 11, 1916._
+
+The new Government is quite as friendly to us in its intentions as the
+old, and much more energetic. The old Government was a spent force. Mr.
+Balfour is an agreeable man to deal with, with a will to keep our
+sympathy, unless the dire need of ships forces him to unpleasantness.
+The Prime Minister is--American in his ways. Lord Robert has the old
+Cecil in him, and he's going to maintain the blockade at any cost that
+he can justify to himself and to public opinion, and the public opinion
+is with him. They are all eager to have American approval--much more
+eager, I think, than a large section of public opinion, which has almost
+ceased to care what Americans think or do. The more we talk about peace,
+the more they think about war. There is no vindictiveness in the
+English. They do not care to do hurt to the German people: they regard
+them as misguided and misled. But no power on earth can stop the British
+till the German military caste is broken--that leadership which attacked
+Belgium and France and would destroy England. Balfour, Lloyd George, the
+people, the army and the navy are at one in this matter, every labouring
+man, everybody, except a little handful of Quakers and professors and
+Noel Buxton. I think I know and see all the peace men. They feel that
+they can talk to me with safety. They send me their pamphlets and
+documents. I think that all of them have now become warlike but three,
+and one of them is a woman. If you meet a woman you know on the street
+and express a sympathy on the loss of her second son, she will say to
+you, "Yes, he died in defence of his country. My third son will go next
+week. They all die to save us." Doubtless she sheds tears in private.
+But her eyes are dry in public. She has discarded her luxuries to put
+money in the war loan. Say "Peace" to her? She would insult you.
+
+
+_May 10, 1917._
+
+We dined at Lambeth Palace. There was Lord Morley, whom I had not seen
+since his long illness--much reduced in flesh, and quite feeble and
+old-looking. But his mind and speech were most alert. He spoke of Cobden
+favouring the Confederate States because the constitution of the
+Confederacy provided for free trade. But one day Bright informed Cobden
+that he was making the mistake of his life. Thereafter Cobden came over
+to the Union side. This, Morley heard direct from Bright.
+
+The Archbishop spoke in high praise of Charnwood's Lincoln--was
+surprised at its excellence, etc. Geoffrey Robinson[82] asked who wrote
+the _Quarterly_ articles in favour of the Confederacy all through the
+war--was it Lord Salisbury? Nobody knew.
+
+The widow of the former Archbishop Benson was there--the mother of all
+the Bensons, Hugh, A.C., etc., etc.--a remarkable old lady, who talked
+much in admiration of Balfour.
+
+The Bishop of--Winchester(?)--was curious to know whether the people in
+the United States really understood the Irish question--the two-nation,
+two-religion aspect of the case. I had to say no!
+
+There is an orphan asylum founded by some preceding Archbishop, by the
+sea. The danger of bombardment raised the question of safety. The
+Archbishop ordered all the children (40) to be sent to Lambeth Palace.
+We dined in a small dining room: "The children," Mrs. Davidson
+explained, "have the big dining room." Each child has a lady as
+patroness or protector who "adopts" her, i.e., sees that she is looked
+after, etc. Some of the ladies who now do this were themselves orphans!
+
+At prayers as usual at 10 o'clock in the chapel where prayers have been
+held every night--for how many centuries?
+
+At lunch to-day at Mr. Asquith's--Lord Lansdowne there; took much
+interest in the Knapp farm work while I briefly explained.
+
+Lord Morley said to Mrs. Page he had become almost a Tolstoyan--Human
+progress hasn't done much for mankind's happiness, etc. Look at the
+war--by a "progressive" nation. Now the mistake here is horn of a
+class-society, a society that rests on privilege. "Progress," has done
+everything (1) in liberating men's minds and spirits in the United
+States. This is the real gain; (2) in arraying all the world _against_
+Germany.
+
+
+_Tuesday, January 22, 1918._
+
+Some days bring a bunch of interesting things or men. Then there
+sometimes come relatively dull days--not often, however. To-day came:
+
+General Tasker H. Bliss, Chief-of-Staff, now 64--the wisest (so I judge)
+of our military men, a rather wonderful old chap. He's on his way to
+Paris as a member of the Supreme War Council at Versailles. The big
+question he has struck is: Shall American troops be put into the British
+and French lines, in small groups, to fill up the gaps in those armies?
+The British have persuaded him that it is a military necessity. If it
+were less than a necessity, it would, of course, be wrong--i.e., it
+would cut across our national pride, force our men under another flag,
+etc. It is not proposed to deprive Pershing of his command nor even of
+his army. The plan is to bring over troops that would not otherwise now
+come and to lend these to the British and French armies, and to let
+Pershing go on with his army as if this hadn't been done. Bliss is
+inclined to grant this request on condition the British bring these men
+over, equip and feed them, etc. He came in to ask me to send a telegram
+for him to-morrow to the President, making this recommendation. But on
+reflection he decided to wait till he had seen and heard the French
+also, who desire the same thing as the British.
+
+General Bliss is staying with Major Warburton; and Warburton gave me
+some interesting glimpses of him. A telegram came for the General.
+Warburton thought that he was out of the house and he decided to take it
+himself to the General's room. He opened the door. There sat the General
+by the fire talking to himself, wrapped in thought. Warburton walked to
+the middle of the room. The old man didn't see him. He decided not to
+disturb him, for he was rehearsing what he proposed to say to the
+Secretary of State for War or to the Prime Minister--getting his ears as
+well as his mind used to it. Warburton put the telegram on the table
+near the General, went out, and wasn't discovered.
+
+Several nights, he sat by the fire with Warburton and began to talk,
+again rehearsing to himself some important conclusions that he had
+reached. Every once in a while he'd look up at Warburton and say: "Now,
+what do you think of that?"
+
+That's an amazing good way to get your thought clear and your plans well
+laid out. I've done it myself.
+
+I went home and Kipling and Carrie[83] were at lunch with us. Kipling
+said: "I'll tell you, your coming into the war made a new earth for me."
+He is on a committee to see that British graves are properly marked and
+he talked much about it. I could not help thinking that in the back of
+his mind there was all the time thought of his own dead boy, John.
+
+Then in the afternoon Major Drain brought the copy of a contract between
+the United States Government and the British to build together 1500
+tanks ($7,500,000). We took it to the Foreign Office and Mr. Balfour and
+I signed it. Drain thinks that the tanks are capable of much development
+and he wishes our army after the war to keep on studying and
+experimenting with and improving such machines of destruction. Nobody
+knows what may come of it.
+
+Then I dined at W.W. Astor's (Jr.) There were Balfour, Lord Salisbury,
+General and Lady Robertson, Mrs. Lyttleton and Philip Kerr.
+
+During the afternoon Captain Amundsen, Arctic explorer came in, on his
+way from Norway to France as the guest of our Government, whereafter he
+will go to the United States and talk to Scandinavian people there.
+
+That's a pretty good kind of a full day.
+
+
+_April, 19, 1918._
+
+Bell[84], and Mrs. Bell during the air raid took their little girl
+(Evangeline, aged three) to the cellar. They told her they went to the
+cellar to hear the big fire crackers. After a bomb fell that shook all
+Chelsea, Evangeline clapped her hands in glee. "Oh, mummy, what a _big_
+fire cracker!"
+
+FOOTNOTES:
+
+
+[Footnote 79: Colonel (now Major General) George O. Squier, Military
+Attaché at the American Embassy.]
+
+[Footnote 80: The wedding of Mr. Page's daughter at the Chapel Royal.]
+
+[Footnote 81: Mrs. Page.]
+
+[Footnote 82: Editor of the London _Times_.]
+
+[Footnote 83: Mrs. Kipling.]
+
+[Footnote 84: Mr. Edward Bell, Second Secretary of the American
+Embassy.]
+
+
+
+
+INDEX
+
+_Age_, Louisville, connection with, I 32
+
+Aid to stranded Americans in Europe on outbreak of war, I 304, 307, 329
+
+_Alabama_ claims, the framed check for, in British Foreign Office,
+ I 390, II 78
+
+Alderman, Dr. Edwin A., early efforts in behalf of public education,
+ I 73, 78;
+ stricken with tuberculosis, but recovers health, I 120;
+ on committee to lecture in England, II 346.
+ _Letters to_: expressing fear and hope of Wilson, I 121;
+ on meeting of the Southern and the General Education Boards, I 125;
+ after Wilson's inauguration, I 128;
+ while enroute to port as Ambassador, I 129;
+ on changed world conditions, II 142
+
+Ambassador, some activities of an, I 159;
+ as a preventer of calamities, I 166
+
+America and Great Britain, only free countries in the world, II 121
+
+American Government, slight regard for by British, I 145, 152, 190, II 153;
+ strong feeling against uncourteous Notes of, II 74;
+ on handling of _Lusitania_ case, II 79;
+ on being under German influence, II 80, 97
+
+American Luncheon Club, could not adhere to neutrality, II 230
+
+American Navy, its aid in combatting the submarine, II 294
+
+American supremacy, a before-the-war prophecy, I 144;
+ why the British will acknowledge, I 170
+
+_Ancona_, torpedoed, II 79 _note_
+
+Anderson, Chandler P., counsel for Committee for relief of stranded
+ Americans, I 307;
+ backs up Ambassador in neutrality letter to Wilson, I 373;
+ gives reasons why unwise to demand adoption of Declaration of London,
+ I 387
+
+Anglo-American-German "pact," planned by Wilson and House, I 281
+
+Anglomania, charged against ambassadors, I 257
+
+Anti-Imperialists, protest declaration of war against Spain, I 62
+
+_Arabic_, sinking of, thought surely to bring on war, II 26
+
+Arbitration Treaty, renewal of, I 285;
+ significance of Germany's refusal to sign, I 294
+
+Archbold, John D., attempts to explain Foraker letters, I 88
+
+Archibald, James, trapped by British secret service, II 101
+
+Asquith, H.H., opposition to the House of Lords, I 137;
+ at state dinner to King Christian, I 167;
+ hint to, on Mexican situation, I 185;
+ conciliatory remarks at Guildhall banquet, I 210;
+ explains Dardanelles preparations, I 430;
+ his ministry suspected of pacifist or "defeatist" tendencies, I 430;
+ aged by the war, II 141;
+ conversation with, regarding Casement case, and relations between
+ Great Britain and America, II 168;
+ refuses to discuss Wilson's peace note, II 207;
+ in House of Commons speech welcomes America as ally, II 230;
+ inclined toward seeking peace, II 353
+
+Astor, Mr. and Mrs. Waldorf, at the home of, II 380
+
+_Atlantic Monthly_, editor of, I 53
+
+Atlantic Ocean, a blessing to America, I 162, 170, 310; II 117
+
+Austrian Embassy, left in charge of American Ambassador, I 305, 321;
+ difficulties incident to, I 345
+
+Aycock, Gov. Charles B., efforts in educational reform, I 85;
+ commendatory letter from, I 86
+
+
+Babcock, Commander, arrival in England, II 274
+
+Bacon, Senator Augustus O., declared he would have blocked Page's
+ Ambassadorship had he known he was author of "The Southerner,"
+ I 93, 226
+
+Baker, Secretary Newton D., sees the war at first-hand, II 364;
+ dinner at Embassy to, II 364, 370;
+ Page's memorandum of his visit, II 366
+
+Baker, Ray Stannard, visit at Sandwich, II 384
+
+Balfour, aged by the war, II 141;
+ drafts reply to Wilson's peace note, II 212;
+ reply to question how best America could help, II 219;
+ on the disposition of the German colonies, II 246;
+ friendliness toward United States averts crisis in Venezuela dispute,
+ II 249;
+ much concerned at feeling toward British in the United States, II 251;
+ his home life, II 257;
+ conference with Bonar Law and, over financial help from America, II 261;
+ satisfactory conference with Mr. Polk over blacklist and blockade,
+ II 265;
+ explains "secret
+treaties" to President Wilson, II 267;
+ conference with McAdoo on financial situation, II 267;
+ sends dispatch to President Wilson substantiating previous reports
+ of Page and Sims on submarine peril which were not taken seriously,
+ II 284;
+ indignant over misunderstanding with Brazilian Navy, II 304;
+ at the Embassy dinner to Secretary Baker, II 365, 370;
+ at train to bid good-bye, II 402;
+ most affected at leave-taking, 403
+
+Balfour Mission to the United States, II 249 _et seq._
+
+Barclay, Esther, Mr. Page's maternal grandmother, I 6
+
+Bayard, Thomas F., accused of Anglomania while Ambassador, I 257
+
+Beckendorff, Count, talk with, II 82
+
+Belgium, violation of, the cause of Great Britain's participation in
+ the war, I 315;
+ sending food supplies to aid starving, I 346
+
+_Benham_, misunderstanding over American destroyer's action during
+ submarine operations off Nantucket, II 253
+
+Benton, William S., Englishman, murdered in Mexico, I 285
+
+Beresford, Lord Charles, complains of attitude of Foreign Office in
+ pacifying America, I 365;
+ makes speech in House of Lords on attitude of U.S. Destroyer
+ _Benham_, II 253
+
+Bernstorff, Count von, objectionable activities of, I 335;
+ efforts to secure intercession of the United States toward peace, I 403;
+ at the Speyer dinner, I 404;
+ instructed to start propaganda for "freedom of the seas," I 436;
+ gives pledge that liners would not be submarined without warning,
+ II 30 _note_;
+ thought in England to dominate our State Department, II 80;
+ cable proposing suspending of submarine war, II 149;
+ threatens President Wilson with resumption of submarine sinkings
+ unless he moves for peace, II 200;
+ news of his dismissal received in London, II 215
+
+Bethmann-Hollweg, not seen by Colonel House, I 289;
+ tells King of Bavaria peace must be secured, II 181
+
+Biddle, General, at the Embassy dinner to Secretary Baker, II 365, 370
+
+Bingham School, studies and environment at, I 16;
+ selected for honour prize by Ambassador, I 17
+
+Blacklist, feeling in America over the, II 184;
+ conditions change on American entry into war, II 264, 265, 266
+
+Blanquet, General, in Mexican uprising, I 175
+
+Bliss, General Tasker, wisdom and tact impress the Allies, II 351
+
+Blockade, British, compared to our blockade in Civil War, II 55 _et seq._;
+ the American Note protesting against, II 69
+
+Blockade, strong feeling in America against, II 184
+
+Bolling, Thomas, at President Wilson's luncheon, II 171
+
+Bones, Miss, at President Wilson's luncheon, II 171
+
+Boy-Ed, dismissal of, II 108
+
+Brazilian Navy, ships join American unit in European waters, II 304
+
+Breitung, E.N., makes test case with _Dacia_ registry, I 393
+
+British Navy League, activity in keeping up the navy, I 284
+
+Bryan, William Jennings, uncomplimentary editorial on, in _World's
+ Work_, I 87;
+ attitude toward concession holders in Mexico, I 181;
+ refuses to consider intervention in Mexico, I 193;
+ an increasing lack of confidence in, I 193;
+ tirade against British, to Sir William Tyrrell, I 202,
+ to Col. House, I 206;
+ Asquith's opinion of, 236;
+ Page's appeal to Colonel House that he be kept out of Europe, I 235, 236;
+ regards Ambassador as un-neutral, I 362;
+ insists that Great Britain adopt the Declaration of London, I 373, 377;
+ interested in the Straus peace proposal, I 407;
+ resignation after _Lusitania_ notes, II 6;
+ proposes going to England and Germany to try peace negotiations, II 12
+
+Bryan, comments on his political activity but diplomatic laxity,
+ I 194, 225, 236;
+ crank once, crank always, II 27;
+ democratic party wrecked by his long captaincy, II 190
+
+Bryce, Lord, hopeless of the two countries ever understanding one
+ another, II 39;
+ concern at our trivial notes, II 67;
+ conversation with, on misunderstandings between America and Great
+ Britain, and the peace settlement, II 165;
+ depressed at tenor of Wilson's note proposing peace, sends him
+ personal letter, II 207;
+ in House of Lords speech welcomes America as ally, II 230;
+ frequent visitor at the Embassy, II 315;
+ attitude toward a League of Nations, II 357
+
+Burns, John, resigns from British Cabinet on declaration of war, I 316
+
+Buttrick, Dr. Wallace, intimacy with, I 85;
+ efforts in building up Southern agriculture, I 94;
+ in hookworm eradication, I 99;
+ lectures on the United States throughout Great Britain, II 291;
+ his speeches a source of inspiration to British masses, II 345;
+ asked to organize a committee of Americans to extend the work, II 345;
+ informed by Colonel House of Wilson's disapproval, II 348;
+ warns Page of breakdown if he does not at once return to America, II 375;
+ beneficial effects of his lectures, II 388
+
+
+Canterbury, Archbishop of, in House of Lords speech welcomes America as
+ ally, II 231;
+ on gratitude shown to America, II 245
+
+Carden, Sir Lionel Edward Gresley, his being sent to Mexico, a British
+ mistake, I 187;
+ anti-American propaganda in Cuba, I 196;
+ as British Minister to Mexico shows great hostility to the United
+ States, I 197;
+ formally advises Huerta to abdicate, I 209;
+ Page's part in recall from Mexican post, I 215 _et seq._
+
+Carlyle, Thomas, new letters from, discovered in Canada, I 60
+
+Carnegie, Andrew, visit to, at Skibo, I 142
+
+Carranza, Venustiano, thought by Wilson to be a patriot, I 227, 228
+
+Carson, Sir Edward, resists the Home Rule Bill, I 137;
+ at Bonar Law dinner, II 119;
+ tells Lloyd George submarines must be settled before Irish question,
+ II 260
+
+Casement, Sir Roger, trial and conviction inspire movement from
+ Irish-Americans resulting in Senate resolution, II 166
+
+Cecil, Lord Robert, incident of the "Boston Tea Party," I 392;
+ receives German proposal from Page as "German Ambassador," II 201;
+ letters to Sir C. Spring Rice on Germany's peace proposal, II 201, 202;
+ Page's interview with to explain Wilson's peace communication, II 208;
+ at train to bid good-bye, II 402
+
+Chamberlain, Senator, presents petition demanding Ambassador's removal,
+ I 259;
+ demands Senate be furnished with copy of Panama tolls speech, I 260
+
+Chancery, removal of, to better quarters, I 341
+
+Children, crusade for education of, I 72
+
+China case, the, satisfactorily settled, II 154, 155
+
+Choate, Joseph H., understanding of Hay-Pauncefote Treaty, I 242;
+ accused of Anglomania while Ambassador, I 257
+
+Christian, King, royal reception to, I 167
+
+Christmas in England, 1915, II 103
+
+Churchill, Winston, proposal for naval holiday, I 277, 278, 279, 298
+
+Civil War, first contact with, I 1;
+ his father's attitude toward, I 5;
+ early recollections of Sherman's invasion, II 10;
+ the aftermath, I 13
+
+Clark, Champ, opponent of repeal of Panama Tolls Bill, I 264
+
+Cleveland, President, an influence in formation of ideals, I 40;
+ conversation with, I 40
+
+Cotton, the question of contraband, I 267
+
+Country Life Commission, appointed on, by President Roosevelt, I 89
+
+Court, presentations at, I 156, 172
+
+Courtesies in diplomatic intercourse, necessity for, I 147, 190
+
+Cowdray, Lord, head of British oil concessions in Mexico, I 181;
+ withdraws request for Colombian oil concession, I 217;
+ long talk with on intervention in Mexico, I 225;
+ great monetary loss in giving up oil concessions, I 227
+
+Cradock, Admiral, does not approve American policy toward Mexico, I 230
+
+Crewe, Marquis of, on Page's tact as Ambassador, II 397
+
+Criticisms and attacks on Ambassador Page;
+ the "knee-breeches" story, I 133;
+ Hearst papers watching for opportunity, I 149, 261;
+ furor over "English-led and English-ruled" phrase, I 258;
+ speech before Associated Chambers of Commerce, on Panama tolls, I 259
+
+Cuba, a problem, I 176
+
+Curzon, Lord, in House of Lords speech welcomes America as ally, II 230
+
+
+_Dacia_ incident, the, a serious crisis averted, I 392, II 4
+
+Daniels, Josephus, protest made against his appointment to
+ Secretaryship of Navy, I 119
+
+Dardanelles:
+ Asquith explains preparations, I 430
+
+Daughters of the Confederacy, considered not helpful to Southern
+ regeneration, I 44
+
+Davis, Harry L., Mayor of Cleveland, letter to, expressing regret at
+ not being able to attend meeting for purpose of bringing England and
+ America closer together, II 405
+
+Davis, Jefferson, call on, I 37
+
+Declaration of London, Bryan insists on adoption by Great Britain,
+ I 373, 377;
+ history of the articles, I 375;
+ the solution of the difficulty, I 385
+
+Declaration of War, America's, and its effect in Great Britain,
+ II 230 _et seq._
+
+Delcassé, Kaiser makes proposal to, to join in producing "complete
+ isolation" of the United States, II 192
+
+De Kalb, Courtney, congratulations from, I 59
+
+Dent, J.M., loses two sons in the war, II 111;
+ opinion of Asquith, II 116
+
+Depression in England, the dark days of the war, II 64, 81, 94
+
+Derby, Lord, "excessive impedimenta," II 344;
+ at the Embassy dinner to Secretary Baker, I 365, 370
+
+Dernburg, Bernhard, instructed to start propaganda for "freedom of the
+ seas," I 436
+
+Desart, Earl of, formulates Declaration of London, I 375
+
+Diaz, Porfirio, authority maintained by genius and force, I 175
+
+Dilettanti, Society of, dinners at, II 312
+
+Doubleday, Frank N., joins in publishing venture with S.S. McClure,
+ I 64;
+ the Harper experiment, I 65;
+ has "business" visit from a politician, I 88
+ _Letters to_: impressions of England, I 138;
+ anent the Christmas holidays, etc., I 164;
+ Christmas letter, 1915, II 110;
+ impressions of Europeans, II 132;
+ on America's programme after declaration of war, II 224;
+ on wartime conditions and duties, II 240;
+ on the good showing of the Americans in war preparation, II 324;
+ depressed at long continuation and horrors of the war, II 325
+
+Doubleday, Page & Co., founding of the firm, I 66;
+ attains great influence and popularity, I 86
+
+Dumba, Dr. Constantin, given his passports, II 30 _note_
+
+Duncan, Dr., president of Randolph-Macon College, I 20
+
+
+Education:
+ efforts in behalf of Southern child, I 72;
+ church system declared a failure, I 78;
+ organization of Southern Educational Conference, I 83;
+ Southern Education Board organized, I 84;
+ General Education Board founded by John D. Rockefeller, I 84;
+ the South's awakening, I 85
+
+England, why unprepared for war, II 35;
+ changed and chastened, II 342
+
+Englishwoman's letter from Berlin giving Germany's intentions toward
+ England, America, and the world, I 347
+
+"English-led and English-ruled," furor over phrase, I 258
+
+"Excoriators," disregarded, I 80-83
+
+
+Falkenhayn, cynical toward proposals of Colonel House, I 289
+
+Farming, love of, and home in South, I 115, 127, 128
+
+Field, Eugene, succeeds to desk of, on St. Joseph _Gazette_, I 36
+
+Fisher, Lord, remark that Balfour was "too much of a gentleman" for
+ First Lord of the Admiralty, II 101
+
+Flexner, Dr. Abraham, cites Page as greatest educational statesman, I 85
+
+Flexner, Dr. Simon, interested in hookworm campaign, I 100
+
+Foraker, Senator Joseph B., career destroyed by exposure of
+ Archbold-Standard Oil letters, I 88
+
+Forbes, Cameron, fails to see President Wilson on his return from
+ Philippines, II 174
+
+Ford, Henry, the venture in the peace ship, II 110 _note_
+
+Forgotten Man, The, address at Greensboro, I 74
+
+_Forum_, The, made of great influence and a business success,
+ under editorship, I 49
+
+Fosdick, Harry Emerson, on proposed committee to lecture in England, II 346
+
+Fowler, Harold, in London, I 134;
+ sent to Belgium, I 338;
+ enlists in British Army, I 358
+
+France, not in favour of England reducing naval programme, I 284;
+ a gift of a billion dollars to, proposed, II 218
+
+"Freedom of the seas," Colonel House's proposed reform, I 435
+
+French, Field Marshal Sir John, informs Page of undiplomatic methods of
+ State Departments in peace proposals, I 425, 427;
+ aged by the war, II 141
+
+Frost, W.G., writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60
+
+Fryatt, Captain, execution of, hardens British people to fight to
+ finish, II 182
+
+
+Garfield, President, assassination deplored throughout the South, I 39
+
+Gates, Dr. Frederick T., interested in hookworm campaign, I 99
+
+Gaunt, Captain, sends news from Washington of Bernstorff's dismissal,
+ II 215
+
+General Education Board, organized by John D. Rockefeller, I 84;
+ assists Dr. Knapp in agricultural demonstration work, I 96
+
+George V, received by, I 135;
+ very likeable, I 157;
+ overwrought condition in speaking with Page on declaration of war, I 309;
+ much distressed at tenor of Wilson's note proposing peace, II 207;
+ as a "human being," II 235;
+ night spent with, II 236, 240;
+ luncheon to General Pershing, II 237;
+ telegram of regret at resignation of Mr. Page and ill-health that
+ occasioned it, II 397
+
+German Embassy, left in charge of American Ambassador, I 306;
+ difficulties incident to, I 306, 345, 359
+
+Germany:
+ ridicules idea of naval holiday, I 279;
+ would have been victorious in World War had she signed arbitration
+ treaty with United States, I 294;
+ attempts to embroil the United States and Great Britain, I 393, 400;
+ move for peace, 1916, II 179
+
+Germany, travels in, in 1877, I 30
+
+Gildersleeve, Professor, Basil L., at Johns Hopkins University
+ I 24, 25;
+ Page a favourite pupil of, in Greek, II 299
+
+Gilman, Daniel Coit, constructive work as president of Johns Hopkins
+ University, I 23
+
+Godkin, E.L., writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60
+
+Grady, Henry, kindness of, I 34, 37
+
+Great Britain and the United States only free countries in the world,
+ II 121
+
+Great Britain's participation in the war, the cause of, I 315
+
+Greek, proficiency in, I 21, 24, 25, 30; II 299
+
+Grey, Lord, ex-Governor-General of Canada, I 150
+
+Grey, Sir Edward, credentials presented to, I 135;
+ high regard for, I 150;
+ his fairness facilitates diplomatic business, I 155;
+ talks with on Mexican situation, I 184, 185, 188, 199;
+ informed as to Carden's activities, I 219, 220;
+ asked to meet Colonel House at luncheon, I 245;
+ note to Sir C. Spring Rice on Wilson's address to Congress on
+ Tolls Bill, I 254;
+ criticized for "bowing too low to the Americans," I 261;
+ depressed at extent of Anglophobia in the United States, I 266;
+ evinces satisfaction at clearing up of problems, I 285;
+ weeps as he informs Page of ultimatum to Germany, I 309, 315;
+ "subservience" to American interests, I 364;
+ accepts Declaration of London with modifications, I 384;
+ joking over serious affairs, I 390;
+ welcomes Page's solution of the _Dacia_ tangle, I 394;
+ letter to Sir Cecil Spring Rice regarding Speyer-Straus peace
+ proposal, I 408;
+ states war could be ended more quickly if America ceased protests
+ against seizure of contraband, I 421;
+ talk on detained shipping and Wordsworth poems, II 103;
+ "a God's mercy for a man like him at his post," II 118;
+ aged by the war, II 141;
+ satisfactory settlement of the _China_ case, II 155;
+ speech in House of Commons on Peace, II 157;
+ nothing but praise heard of him, II 159;
+ memorandum of conversation with, on conditions of peace, II 160;
+ receives Senate Resolution asking clemency for Sir Roger Casement,
+ II 167;
+ forced to resign, because he refused to push the blockade and risk
+ break with America, II 233;
+ guest with Mr. and Mrs. Page at Wilsford Manor, II 288;
+ walk to Stonehenge with, II 292;
+ serious blockade questions give way to talks on poets, II 305;
+ promises government support of Belgian Relief plan, II 310;
+ frequent visitor at the Embassy, II 315
+ _Letters from_: congratulations on Wilson's address to Congress
+ advising declaration of war, II 234;
+ expressing grief at Page's departure and citing his great help, II 400
+
+
+Haldane, Viscount, at Thanksgiving Dinner of the American Society, I 213;
+ discussion with Von Tirpitz as to relative sizes of navies, I 278;
+ knew that Germany intended war, II 35
+
+Hall, Admiral William Reginald, brings news of Bernstorff's dismissal,
+ II 215
+
+Hanning, Mrs. Robert, sister of Thomas Carlyle, I 60
+
+Harcourt, Right Honourable Lewis, eulogizes work of International
+ Health Board, I 101
+
+Harden, Maximilian, says Germany must get rid of its predatory
+ feudalism, II 193
+
+Harper & Brothers, difficulties of, I 64
+
+Harrow, visit to, and talk to schoolboys, I 17
+
+Harvey, George, succeeds Page as editor of Harper's, I 66
+
+Hay, John, understanding of Hay-Pauncefote Treaty, I 242;
+ accused of Anglomania while Ambassador, I 257
+
+Hays, Sir Bertram, captain of the _Olympic_, races ship to hasten
+ Page's homecoming, II 404
+
+Hearst, William Randolph, used by Germans in their peace propaganda,
+ I 410, 411
+
+Hearst papers, antagonism of, I 149, 256, 264, 286
+
+_Hesperian_, submarined in violation of Bernstorff's pledges, II 30
+
+Hewlett, Maurice, his son among the missing, II 115
+
+Home Rule Bill, Carson threatens resistance to, I 137;
+ "division" in house of Lords, I 138
+
+Hookworm eradication, efforts in, I 98
+
+Hoover, Charles L., war relief work while American Consul at Carlsbad,
+ I 334
+
+Hoover, Herbert C., relief work at beginning of war, I 333;
+ selected by Page for Belgian Relief post, II 310
+
+House, Colonel Edward M., wires Page to come North, expecting to offer
+ Secretaryship of Interior, I 118;
+ transmits offer of Ambassadorship, I 130;
+ on Cowdray and Carden, I 218, 220;
+ meets Sir Edward Grey to talk over Panama Tolls question, I 246;
+ mission to the Kaiser a disappointment, I 289;
+ no success in France, I 297;
+ fancied security in England, thinks his mission unnecessary, I 298;
+ telegrams, to and from Wilson on proffering good offices to avert
+ war, I 317, 318;
+ declares bill admitting foreign ships to American registry "full of
+ lurking dangers," I 392;
+ declares America will declare war on Germany after _Lusitania_
+ sinking, II 2;
+ sees "too proud to fight" poster in London, II 6;
+ recommends Page's appointment as Secretary of State, II 11;
+ fails to alter Wilson's opposition to Taft Committee visiting
+ England, I 348
+ _Letters from_: reporting progress in Panama Tolls matter, I 253;
+ plans to visit Kaiser and bring about naval holiday between nations,
+ I 277;
+ cites further plans for visiting Germany, I 281;
+ respecting proposed trip to Germany, I 285, 286,
+ en route, I 288;
+ note from Berlin, I 296;
+ from Paris, I 297;
+ on the outbreak of the war, I 299;
+ transmitting Wilson's warning to adhere more strictly to neutrality,
+ I 362;
+ explains the toning down of demands that Declaration of London be
+ adhered to, I 378;
+ on German peace proposals, and giving his ideas for a settlement,
+ I 413;
+ proposing that Wilson start peace parleys, I 416;
+ thinks Germany ready for peace proposals, I 424, 425;
+ decides to visit combatants in interests of peace, I 425, 429;
+ talks in Berlin with Zimmermann and others regarding peace parleys,
+ I 432, 433, 434;
+ on appointment of Lansing to succeed Bryan, II 11;
+ on Bryan's intentions of going to England and Germany to try peace
+ negotiations, II 12;
+ reporting success of Balfour Mission, II 263
+ _Letters to_: comparing the Civil War with the World War, I 5;
+ on the Mexican situation, I 189;
+ asked personally to deliver memorandum to President on intervention
+ in Mexico, I 194;
+ on visit of Sir William Tyrrell to the United States, I 201;
+ letters to Page on Mexican situation, I 205, 206;
+ on Mexican question, I 210, 211;
+ on Lord Cowdray and oil concessions in Mexico, etc., I 216;
+ protesting publication of secret information respecting Carden, I 223;
+ suggesting intervention in Mexico, I 230;
+ on serious disadvantage in not having suitable Embassy, I 233;
+ on rashness of Bryan's visit to Europe, I 235;
+ appeal for attention to cables and letters by State Department, I 239;
+ on necessity of repeal of Panama Tolls Bill, I 247;
+ on the prevention of wars, I 270;
+ asked to further plan to have Wilson visit England, as a
+ preventative of European war, I 275;
+ favouring alliance of English-speaking peoples, I 282;
+ on French protest against reduction of British naval programme, I 283;
+ transmitting pamphlets on "federation" and disarmament, I 284;
+ told he will have no effect on Kaiser, I 287;
+ reply to note as to prevention of the war, I 300;
+ describing conditions in second month of the war, I 327;
+ on the horrors of war, and the settlement, I 340;
+ on difficulties of Sir Edward Grey with Army and Navy officers in
+ releasing American cargoes, I 365;
+ on evil of insisting on Declaration of London adoption, I 380;
+ regarding the Straus peace proposal, I 410;
+ explaining there can be no premature peace, I 417;
+ on harmlessness of Bryan on proposed peace visit and cranks in
+ general, II 13;
+ commenting on slowness of Wilson in _Lusitania_ matter, II 26;
+ on sinking of _Arabic_, II 27;
+ not interested in "pleasing the Allies," II 28;
+ on Dumba's intrigues, and Wilson's "watchful waiting and nothing
+ doing," II 30, 31, 37, 38;
+ on the lawyer-like attitude of the State Department, II 54;
+ the best peace programme--the British and American fleets, II 69;
+ on uncourteous notes from State Department, II 72;
+ on British adherence to the blockade, and an English Christmas,
+ 1915, II 103;
+ on the conditions of peace and the German militarism, II 134, 157;
+ on prophecy as to ending the war by dismissal of Bernstorff, II 197;
+ on the beneficial visit of the Labour Group and others, II 387
+
+Houston, David F., suggested to Wilson for Secretary of Agriculture,
+ II 114; has proper perspective of European situation, II 176
+ _Letters to_: impressions of diplomatic life, II 151;
+ suggesting vigorous action of Administration in prosecuting the war,
+ II 226;
+ on American cranks being sent to England, others prevented, II 359
+
+Houston, Herbert S., letters to, giving impressions of England, I 139
+
+Huerta, General Victoriano, seizes presidency of Mexico, I 175;
+ attitude of Great Britain and the United States toward recognition,
+ I 180;
+ an epochal figure, I 183;
+ rejects proposals submitted by Lind, I 193;
+ proclaims himself dictator, I 197
+
+Huxley, Thomas H., delivers address at opening of Johns Hopkins
+ University, I 25
+
+
+International Health Commission, endowed by John D. Rockefeller, I 100;
+ coöperation by British Government, I 101
+
+Irish Question, the, British difficulties with, I 159;
+ cause of feeling against British in the United States, II 251;
+ Wilson requests Great Britain to settle, II 255;
+ Lloyd George striving for solution, II 259
+
+
+James, Henry, frequent visitor at the Embassy, II 315
+
+Jeanes Board, appointment to, I 89
+
+Jellicoe, Admiral Sir John, vigilance in war time, I 335;
+ after battle of Jutland, II 141;
+ reply to question how best America could help, II 219;
+ drafts dispatch explaining seriousness of submarine situation which
+ Balfour sends to President Wilson, II 285
+
+Johns Hopkins University, teaching on new lines, I 23
+
+Johnston, Miss Mary, noted serial of, in _Atlantic Monthly_, I 56, 61
+
+Judson, Harry Pratt, on proposed Committee to lecture in England, II 346
+
+Jusserand, opinion of the Straus peace proposal, I 407
+
+
+Keller, Helen, persuaded to write "Story of My Life," I 90
+
+Kent, Mr., forms American Citizens Relief Committee in London at
+ outbreak of war, I 304, 307
+
+Kerr, Philip, conversation with on future relations of the United
+ States and Great Britain, II 84
+
+Kipling, Rudyard, loses his son in the war, II 115
+
+Kitchener, Lord, speech in House of Lords a disappointment, II 96;
+ criticism of, II 120;
+ Memorandum after attending service in memory of, II 140
+
+Knapp, Dr. Seaman A., his "Demonstration Work" in Southern agriculture,
+ I 95;
+ his funeral, I 96
+
+Kropotkin, Prince Peter, writes Memoirs for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 61
+
+
+Lane, Secretary Franklin, comment on feeling against British for
+ conduct in Huerta affair, I 198
+
+Lansdowne, Marquis of, letter favouring premature peace severely
+ criticized, II 327, 353
+
+Lansing, Robert, regards Ambassador as un-neutral, I 362;
+ a lawyer, not a statesman, I 369;
+ insistence that Great Britain adopt Declaration of London, I 378 _et seq._;
+ attitude of lawyer, not statesman, II 53;
+ arguments against British blockade, II 62;
+ mind running on "cases", not diplomacy, II 176;
+ answers Page's letter of resignation, transmitting President Wilson's
+ request to reconsider and stay at his post, II 199
+
+Lassiter, General, encouraged on trip to the front, II 245
+
+Laughlin, Irwin, First Secretary of the Embassy, I 133;
+ requested to ascertain Great Britain's attitude toward recognition of
+ Huerta, I 180;
+ tells Colonel House he will have no success with Kaiser, I 285;
+ on Germany's intentions toward America, I 351 _note_;
+ as to depressing effect of the war on Page, I 357;
+ backs up Ambassador in neutrality letter to Wilson, I 373;
+ gives opinion that persistence is unwise in demanding acceptance of
+ Declaration of London, I 387;
+ Wilson's comment to, on Page's letters, II 22;
+ diplomatically presents to Sir Edward Grey the Senate Resolution
+ asking clemency' for Casement, II 167;
+ letters from, on occasion of Germany's 1916 peace movement, II 180;
+ commended to President Wilson in letter of resignation, II 394
+
+Law, Ponar, gives depressing news from the Balkans, II 104;
+ dinner with, II 119;
+ reply to question how best America could help, II 219;
+ conference with Balfour and, over financial help from America, II 261
+
+Lawrence, Bishop, on proposed committee to lecture in England, II 346
+
+Leadership of the world, American, II 105, 110, 145, 254
+
+League to Enforce Peace, Page's opinion of, II 144;
+ Sir Edward Grey in sympathy with objects of, II 163;
+ Lord Bryce, remarks as to favourable time for setting up such a
+ league, II 165
+
+Leaks in diplomatic correspondence, gravity of,
+ I 147, 148, 151, 222, 223, 224, 235, II 7, 276
+
+Lichnowsky, German Ambassador at London, almost demented at breaking
+ out of the war, I 306, 309, 315;
+ places blame for war on Germany, I 322
+
+Lincoln, Abraham, monument to, erected at Westminster, I 274
+
+Lind, John, failure of mission to Mexico, I 193
+
+Literary style and good writing, advice on, II 341
+
+Lloyd George, his taxing of the aristocracy, I 137;
+ landowners fear of, I 158;
+ at state dinner to King Christian, I 167;
+ on the necessity of reducing navy programme, I 283;
+ holding up under strain of war, II 83;
+ aged by the war, II 141;
+ in House of Commons speech welcomes America as ally, II 230;
+ has the touch of genius in making things move, II 259;
+ working for solution of Irish question, II 259;
+ too optimistic regarding submarine situation, II 287;
+ his energy keeps him in power, II 354;
+ at the Embassy dinner to Secretary Baker, II 365, 370;
+ congratulates Mr. and Mrs. Page on American success at Cantigny, II 375;
+ letter expressing sorrow at Mr. and Mrs. Page's departure and
+ reviewing their good work, II 398
+
+Loring, Charles G., marries Miss Katharine Page, II 87;
+ in service on western front, II 375
+
+Loring, Mrs. Charles G., letters to, on travelling-and staying at home,
+ II 88;
+ autumn, gardens, family, and war news, II 92;
+ Christmas letter, 1915, II 117;
+ from St. Ives, II 332, 339
+
+Lowell, James Russell, accused of Anglomania while Ambassador, I 257
+
+_Lusitania_, torpedoed, I 436;
+ bulletins of the tragedy received at the dinner given in honour of
+ Colonel and Mrs. House, II 1;
+ distress and disillusionment of the Wilson notes, II 6
+
+
+Madero, Francisco, overthrown as president of Mexico, and assassinated,
+ I 175
+
+_Mayflower_ Pilgrims, dedication of monument to, at Southampton, I 258
+
+Mayo, Admiral, sent to Europe to study naval situation, II 322
+
+McAdoo, Secretary, conference with Balfour Mission on financial
+ situation, II 267
+
+McClure, S.S., joins forces with F.N. Doubleday, I 64;
+ the Harper experiment, I 65;
+ anecdote of, II 303
+
+McCrary, Lieut.-Commander, on Committee for relief of stranded
+ Americans, 307
+
+McIver, Dr. Charles D., educational statesman, I 73, 74, 78;
+ as the character, Professor Billy Bain, in "The Southerner," I 93
+
+McKinley Administration endorsed on measures against Spain, by
+ _Atlantic Monthly_, I 63
+
+Mary, Queen, received by, I 136
+
+Mensdorf, Austrian Ambassador, marooned in London, at outbreak of war.
+ I 305, 309;
+ the war a tragedy to, I 321
+
+Mersey, Lord, comments on the tariff, I 150;
+ at dinner of Dilettanti Society, II 312
+
+Mexico, "policy and principle" in, I 175 _et seq._;
+ difficulties of self-government, II 177;
+ progress due to foreign enterprise, I 178;
+ the problem of oil concessions, I 179, 181;
+ intervention believed by Page the only solution,
+ I 188, 193, 194, 200, 230, 273
+
+Mims, Professor Edwin, letter to, on attacks of Southern theologians, I 80
+
+Monroe Doctrine, the Kaiser's proposal to smash it, II 192
+
+Moore, John Bassett, suggestion that he be put in charge of
+ American-British affairs, I 239
+
+Morley, John, at state dinner to King Christian, I 167;
+ resigns from British cabinet on declaration of war, I 316;
+ visitor at the Embassy, II 315
+
+Morley, Lord, on reforms, I 141
+
+Morgan, J.P., account of Allies with, greatly overdrawn at time of
+ America's entrance into war, II 272;
+ this paid by proceeds of Liberty Loans, II 273
+
+Morgan, J.P. & Co., in control of Harper & Brothers, I 64
+
+"Mummy" theme applied to the unawakened South, I 45, 75
+
+Munitions, American, importance of to the Allies, I 368
+
+Munsterberg, Prof. Hugo, pro-German activities of, I 335
+
+
+Navy Department, ignores urgent recommendations of Admiral Sims that
+ destroyers be sent, II 276, 284
+
+Negro, the, the invisible "freedom", I 12;
+ wrong leadership after the Civil War, I 14;
+ fails to take advantage of university education during
+ Reconstruction, I 18
+
+Negro education, and industrial training advocated, I 43
+
+Neutrality, strictly observed, I 358, 360;
+ the mask of, II 230
+
+New York _Evening Post_, connection with, I 48
+
+New York _World_, correspondent for, at Atlanta Exposition, I 34;
+ on editorial staff, I 35
+
+Northcliffe, Lord, illness from worry, II 66;
+ "saving the nation from its government", II 116;
+ attitude on Wilson's peace note, II 207
+
+Norway, shipping destroyed by submarines, II 281
+
+Nicolson, Harold, the silent toast with, II 301
+
+
+Ogden, Robert C., organizes Southern Educational Conference, I 83;
+ after twenty years of zealous service, I 126
+
+O'Gorman, Senator, active in Panama Tolls controversy, I 243, 283
+
+"O. Henry," on Page's "complimentary" rejection of manuscripts, II 303
+
+Osler, Sir William, Page's physician, insists on the return home, II 393
+
+
+Pacifism, work of the "peace spies," II 210
+
+Pact of London, binding the Allies not to make a separate peace, I 409 _note_
+
+Page, Allison Francis, a builder of the commonwealth, I 4;
+ attitude toward slavery and the Civil War, I 5;
+ ruined by the war, I 13
+
+Page, Allison M., falls at Belleau Wood, II 392, 406
+
+Page, Anderson, settles in Wake County, N.C., I 4
+
+Page, Arthur W., Delcassé in conversation with tells of Kaiser's
+ proposal to join in producing "complete isolation" of the United
+ States, II 192;
+ called to London in hopes of influencing his father to resign and
+ return home before too late, II 393
+ _Letters to_;
+ on the motor trip to Scotland, I 142;
+ on conditions in second month of the war, I 335;
+ a national depression and the horrors of war, I 344;
+ emotions after _Lusitania_ sinking, II 5;
+ on the tendency toward fads and coddling, II 10;
+ on the future relations of the United States and Great Britain, II 84;
+ on the vicissitudes of the "German Ambassador to Great Britain," 1190;
+ Christmas letter, 1915, II 121;
+ on the attitude in the United States toward Germany, II 129;
+ on the effect of the war on future of America, and the world, II 217;
+ never lost faith in American people, II 223;
+ on America's entrance into the war, II 238;
+ on grave conditions, submarine and financial, II 287;
+ on the occasion of the Plymouth speech, and the receptions, II 317;
+ on the Administration's lack of confidence in British Navy, Wilson's
+ reply to Pope, etc., II 322;
+ Christmas letter, 1917, depicting a war-weary world, II 328;
+ on pacifists-from the President down, II 337;
+ views on Palestine, II 350;
+ on personal diet, and the benefit of Secretary Baker's visit, II 369;
+ on the anti-English feeling at Washington, II 385;
+ while resting at Sandwich, II 388
+
+Page, Mrs. Catherine, mother and close companion, I 7;
+ Christmas letter to, I 8
+
+Page, Frank C. in London, I 134;
+ with his father in Rowsley when news of _Arabic_ sinking was
+ received, II 26;
+ in service with American troops, II 375;
+ realizes his father is failing fast and insists on his returning home,
+ II 393
+ _Letters to_: on building up the home farm, and the stress of war, I 353;
+ Christmas letter, 1915, II 121
+
+Page, Henry A., letters to, stating a government might be neutral, but
+ no _man_ could be, I 361;
+ on illusions as to neutrality and the peace proposals, II 152
+
+Page, Miss Katharine A., arrival in London, I 134;
+ married in the chapel Royal, II 87;
+ _see also_, Loring, Mrs. Charles G.
+
+Page, Lewis, leaves Virginia to settle in North Carolina, I 3
+
+Page, Logan Waller, has proper perspective of European situation, II 176
+
+Page, Mary E., letter to, II 376
+
+Page, Ralph W., letters to;
+ impressions of London life, I 161;
+ on wartime conditions, I 352;
+ Christmas letter, 1915, II 121;
+ on longings for fresh Southern vegetables and fruits and farm life,
+ II 335;
+ on style and good writing, II 340;
+ on the big battle, etc., II 371, 372;
+ in praise of book on American Diplomacy, II 381;
+ on success of our Army and Navy, II 390
+
+Page, Mrs. Ralph W., Christmas letter to, 163
+
+Page, Robert N., letters to, impressions of social London, I 153
+
+Page, Thomas Nelson, Colonel House confers with in regard to peace
+ parleys, I 434
+
+Page, Walter Hines, impressions of his early life, 1;
+ family an old one in Virginia and North Carolina, 3;
+ maternal ancestry, 6;
+ close sympathy between mother and son, 8, 11;
+ birthplace, and date of birth, 9;
+ recollections of the Civil War, 10;
+ finds a market for peaches among Northern soldiers, 14;
+ boyhood and early studies, 16;
+ intense ambition, 20;
+ Greek Fellowship at Johns Hopkins University, 24;
+ renewed for the next year, 27;
+ early prejudices against Yankees, 28;
+ travels in Germany, 1877, 30;
+ lectures on Shakespeare, 30;
+ teacher of English at Louisville, Ky., 32;
+ enters journalism, 32;
+ experience with Louisville _Age_, 32;
+ reporter on, then editor of, _Gazette_, at St. Joseph, Mo., 33;
+ a free lance, 34;
+ correspondent for N.Y. _World_ at Atlanta Exposition, 34;
+ on the staff of N.Y. _World_, 35;
+ married, 37;
+ first acquaintance with Woodrow Wilson, 37;
+ Americanism fully developed, 40;
+ regard for President Cleveland, 40;
+ founds _State Chronicle_ at Raleigh, 42;
+ a breaker of images--of the South, 44;
+ the "mummy letters," 45;
+ instrumental in establishment of State College, Raleigh, 47;
+ with N.Y. _Evening Post_, 48;
+ makes the _Forum_ of great influence and a business success, 49;
+ a new type of editor, 50;
+ editor of _Atlantic Monthly_, 53;
+ discovers unpublished letters of Thomas Carlyle, 60;
+ attitude toward Spanish American War, 62;
+ the Harper experiment, 65;
+ joins in founding Doubleday, Page & Co., 66;
+ his policy for the _World's Work_, 66;
+ public activities, 72;
+ in behalf of education, 72;
+ his address, "The Forgotten Man," 74;
+ his Creed of Democracy, 78;
+ work with General Education Board, 85;
+ independence as an editor, 87;
+ severely criticizes John D. Archbold for Foraker bribery, 88;
+ appointed by Roosevelt on Country Life Commission, 89;
+ other public services, 89;
+ author of "the Southerner" 90;
+ activities in behalf of Southern agriculture and Hookworm
+ eradication, 94;
+ his interest in Wilson's candidacy and election, 102, _et seq._;
+ discourages efforts to have him named for Cabinet position, 113;
+ why he was not named, 118;
+ protests against appointment of Daniels, 119;
+ love for farming, 127, 128;
+ offered Ambassadorship, 130;
+ impressions of London and the Embassy, 132, 144;
+ impressions of Scotland, 142;
+ handling of the Mexican situation, 183;
+ belief in intervention in Mexico, 193, 194;
+ complimented by President Wilson, Bryan, and Sir William Tyrrell, 208;
+ his part in the removal of Sir Lionel Carden from Mexican post, 215;
+ commended by Wilson, 219, 221;
+ suggested for Secretary of Agriculture, 232, 286;
+ why he wished to remain in London, 240;
+ work in behalf of Panama Tolls Bill repeal, 244;
+ assailed for certain speeches, 258, 259;
+ opposed to including Germany in international alliance, favouring
+ understanding between English-speaking peoples, 282;
+ difficulties at outbreak of the war, 301 _et seq._;
+ asked to take over Austrian Embassy, 305, German Embassy, 306;
+ varied duties of war time, 337;
+ difficulties in charge of German and Austrian and Turkish embassies, 345;
+ relief work in starving Belgium, 346;
+ ageing under the strain and the depressing environment, 357;
+ difficulties of maintaining neutrality, 358;
+ warned from Washington, 362;
+ tactful handling of the demands that Declaration of London be
+ adopted, 370, 373;
+ writes Colonel House that he will resign if demands are insisted on, 383;
+ memorandum of the affair, 385;
+ his solution of the _Dacia_ puzzle, 394;
+ attitude toward a premature peace, 417;
+ learns through General French of the undiplomatic methods of State
+ Department in peace proposals, 425, 427
+
+ VOL. II
+
+ Humiliations from Washington's failure to meet the situation, 5;
+ remarks on Bryan's resignation, 10;
+ considered for appointment as Secretary of State, 11;
+ his feeling toward policies of Wilson, 18;
+ boldness of his criticism, 21;
+ Wilson and Lansing express anxiety that he may resign, 24;
+ describes Zeppelin attack on London, 34, 38;
+ Christmas in England, 1915, 103;
+ perplexed at attitude of the United States, 128;
+ his impressions of Europeans, 132;
+ summoned to Washington, 148;
+ memorandum of his visit to Washington, 171;
+ Impressions of President Wilson, 172;
+ waits five weeks before obtaining interview, 183;
+ disappointing interview at Shadow Lawn, 184;
+ letter of resignation seat to Wilson, 189;
+ and the reply, 199;
+ delivers Germany's peace proposal to Lord Robert Cecil, 201;
+ comments to Secretary of State on "insulting words" of President
+ Wilson's peace proposal, 207;
+ implores Wilson to leave out the "peace without victory" phrase
+ from his speech, 213;
+ learns of Bernstorff's dismissal, 215;
+ memorandum of his final judgment of Wilson's foreign policy to
+ April 1, 1917, 222;
+ memorandum written on April 3, the day after Wilson advised Congress
+ to declare war, 228;
+ on friendly footing with King George, 234;
+ joins with Admiral Sims in trying to waken the Navy Department to
+ seriousness of the submarine situation, 278;
+ Page--the man, 295-320;
+ moves for relief of Belgium, 310,
+ and delegates Hoover, 311;
+ Speech at Plymouth, 316;
+ goes to St. Ives for brief rest, 332;
+ heatedly referred to as "really an Englishman" by President Wilson, 348;
+ memorandum on Secretary Baker's visit, 366;
+ failing health, 374;
+ resignation in obedience to physicians orders, 393;
+ representatives from King, and Cabinet at train to bid good-bye, 402;
+ rallies somewhat on arrival in America, 405;
+ the end--at home, 406
+
+Page, Walter H. Jr., Christmas letter from his "granddaddy," II 124
+
+Page, Mrs. Walter H., arrival in London, I 134;
+ plays part in diplomacy, I 215, 224, 226;
+ her great help to the Ambassador, II 315;
+ the last letter, II 395
+
+Palestine and Zionism, views on, II 351
+
+Panama Tolls, a wrong policy, I 190;
+ Sir William Tyrrell's talk with President Wilson, I 207, 209
+
+Panama Tolls Bill, Wilson writes of hopes for repeal, I 222;
+ repeal of, I 232 _et seq._, the bill a violation of solemn treaties, I 242;
+ the contest before Congress, I 255
+
+Paris, capture of city thought inevitable, I 401
+
+Parliament, holds commemorative sessions in honour of America's
+ participation in the war, II 230
+
+Pasha, Tewfik, leaves Turkish Embassy in charge of American
+ Ambassador, I 345
+
+Peace, Germany's overtures, I 389;
+ her first peace drives, I 398;
+ Wilson's note to warring powers, received with surprise and
+ irritation, II 205
+
+"Peace without Victory" speech, of President Wilson, and its
+ reception in Great Britain, II 212
+
+Peace Centennial, plans being formed for, I 236, 274
+
+Pershing, General, at luncheon with King George, II 237;
+ his presence of moral benefit to French Army, II 290
+
+Philippines, a problem, I 176
+
+Pinero, Sir Arthur, reminiscences of Page at Dilettante gatherings, II 313
+
+Plymouth, Mayor and Council, present the freedom of the city, II 402
+
+Plymouth Speech, inspires confidence in American coöperation, II 316
+
+Polk, Frank L., invited by British Foreign Office to consultation in
+ England, II 248;
+ "could not be spared from his desk," II 256
+ _Letter from_: on wonderful success of Balfour Mission, II 263
+ _Letters to_: on Balfour and his Mission to the United States, II 252;
+ on Secretary Baker's visit, II 361
+
+Price, Thomas R., noted professor at Randolph-Macon, I 22
+
+Probyn, Sir Dighton, calls at Embassy, I 339
+
+
+Raboteau, John Samuel, Mr. Page's maternal grandfather, I 6
+
+Randolph-Macon College, studies at, I 20
+
+Rawnsley, Rev. Hardwicke Drummond, a subject of conversation, I 149
+
+Rayleigh, Lady, political ability, II 257, 258
+
+Rayleigh, Lord Chancellor of Cambridge University, II 145
+
+Reconstruction, more agonizing than war, I 14;
+ effects of, upon State University, I 18
+
+Reed, John, account of Mexican conditions influences Wilson's policy, I 228
+
+Religion, deepest reverence for, I 80
+
+Rüs, Jacob, writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60
+
+Rockefeller, John D., organizes General Education Board, I 84;
+ publication of Reminiscences, I 88;
+ founds Hookworm Commission and International Health Commission, I 100
+
+Roosevelt, Theodore, writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60;
+ appoints Country Life Commission, I 89
+ _Letter to_: introducing the Archbishop of York, II 307
+ _Letter from_: praising the Ambassador's services, II 401
+
+Root, Elihu, understanding of Hay-Pauncefote Treaty, I 242
+
+Rose, Dr. Wickliffe, dinner to, in London, as head of International
+ Health Board, I 101;
+ hookworm work, I 127
+
+Round Table, The, organization for study of political subjects, II 84;
+ _Round Table, The_, organ of above, a quarterly publication, II 84, 105
+
+Royal Institution of Great Britain, address before, I 191
+
+Royce, Josiah, associate at Johns Hopkins, I 25
+
+Russian Collapse, effect on the Allies, II 353
+
+Rustem Bey, Turkish Ambassador, given passports, II 49 _note_
+
+
+St. Ives, Cornwall, seeking rest at, II 332
+
+St. Joseph _Gazelle_, connection with, I 33, 37,
+ succeeds to Eugene Field's desk, on I 36
+
+Sackville-West, Sir Lionel, handed his passports by Cleveland, II 33 _note_
+
+Sargent, John, frequent visitor at the Embassy, II 315
+
+Saw-mill units, favourable reception of, II 291
+
+Sayre, Mr. and Mrs., hearty reception in London, I 213, 222, 275
+
+Schrippenfest, celebration of, in Berlin, I 291
+
+Schwab, Charles M., supplying war material to Allies, I 341
+
+Scotland, impressions of, I 142
+
+Scudder, Horace E., succeeded as editor of _Atlantic Monthly_, I 53
+
+Secret treaties, explained to President Wilson by Mr. Balfour, II 267
+
+Sedgwick, Ellery, recollections of Mr. Page, as editor of _Atlantic
+ Monthly_, I 55;
+ on the high regard in which Page was held, II 298
+
+Shakespeare, lectures on, I 30
+
+Sharp, Ambassador, his mention of peace resented by the French, I 389;
+ at President Wilson's luncheon, II 171
+
+Sherman's army, cavalry troop camp at Page home, ransack, and destroy
+ contents, I 10
+
+Shoecraft, Mr., receives news of Bernstorff's dismissal, II 215
+
+Sihler, Prof. E.G., reminiscences of Page at Johns Hopkins, I 27
+
+Simon, Sir John, frequent visitor at the Embassy, II 315
+
+Sims, Admiral, with Ambassador Page, dines with Lord Beresford, II 254;
+ advised of terrible submarine situation, II 273, 275;
+ arrival and welcome in England, II 274;
+ recommendations ignored by Washington, II 276;
+ backed up by Page in strong dispatch, II 278;
+ praised in letter to Wilson, II 281;
+ in command of both English and American naval forces at Queenstown,
+ II 282;
+ letters from, on submarine situation, II 282;
+ in high regard with British Admiralty, II 290;
+ at the Embassy dinner to Secretary Baker, II 365, 370
+
+Shaler, Millard, reports on destitution in Belgium, II 310
+
+Skinner, Consul-General, on Committee for relief of stranded
+ Americans, I 307
+
+Slocum, Colonel, urged to hasten arrival of American troops, II 363
+
+Smith, C. Alphonso, an exchange professor to Germany, II 145
+
+Smith, Senator Hoke, "friendly deportation" of, suggested, II 17;
+ campaign against British Blockade, II 56, 61, 63;
+ urging embargo on shipments to Allies, II 211
+
+South, the, efforts in behalf of, I 38, 43, 74;
+ three "ghosts" which prevent progress, I 91
+
+Southampton speech, press comments on, I 41
+
+Southern Education Board, active work with, I 84
+
+Southern Educational Conference, organization of, I 83
+
+"Southerner, The," only effort at novel writing, I 90
+
+Spanish-American War, attitude toward, I 62
+
+Speyer, James, connected with German peace move, I 403
+
+Spring Rice, Sir Cecil, notifies Washington of British change of
+ attitude toward recognition of Huerta, I 181;
+ confidentially consulted by Cot. House regarding demands that
+ Declaration of London be adopted, I 379;
+ notifies Washington that _Dacia_ would be seized, I 393;
+ opinion of Straus peace proposal, I 407;
+ letters from Lord Robert Cecil on Germany's peace proposal, II 201, 202
+
+Squier, Colonel, American military attaché in London at outbreak of the
+ war, I 301
+
+Standard Oil Co., editorial against, in Archbold-Foraker scandal,
+ I 88
+
+_State Chronicle_, connection with, I 42;
+ editorially a success, I 48
+
+State College, Raleigh, N.C., instrumental in establishment of,
+ I 47, 48
+
+State Department, leaks of diplomatic correspondence through,
+ I 147, 148, 151, 223, 224
+
+State Dept., ignores official correspondence,
+ I 94, 213, 219, 224, 225, 232, 238, 239, II 7, 55, 217, 253;
+ not properly organized and conducted, II 8;
+ trivial demands and protests, II 54, 68;
+ uncourteous form of Notes, I 72
+
+Stiles, Dr. Charles W., discovers hookworm, I 98;
+ work in combatting, I 127
+
+Stone, Senator William J., spokesman of pro-German cause, I 380
+
+Stovall, Pleasant A., Colonel House confers with, regarding peace
+ parleys, I 434
+
+Straus, Oscar S., used as a tool in German peace propaganda,
+ I 389, 403 _et seq._
+
+Submarine sinkings, Germany threatens to resume, unless Wilson moves
+ for peace, II 200;
+ German military chieftains at Pless conference decide to resume
+ unrestricted warfare, II 212;
+ the most serious problem at time of American entry into war,
+ II 273, 275, _et seq._
+
+Sulgrave Manor, ancestral home of the Washingtons, restoration and
+ preservation, I 274;
+ plan to have President Wilson at dedication of, I 274, 275, II 248
+
+_Sussex_ "pledge", a peace move of Germany, II 150
+
+
+Taft, William H., fails in having Carden removed from Cuba,
+ I 196, 215, 219;
+ accepts British invitation to head delegation explaining America's
+ purposes in the war, II 346;
+ Wilson's strong disapproval interferes with the project, II 347
+
+Tariff Commission, travelling with, for N.Y. _World_, I 35
+
+Teaching democracy to the British Government, I 187, 211
+
+_Tennessee_, sent to England on outbreak of war with gold for
+ relief of stranded Americans, I 307
+
+Thayer, William Roscoe, disappointed in policy of the _World's Work_, I 66;
+ letter to, in explanation, I 67
+
+Tillett, Wilbur Fisk, friend at Randolph-Macon College, I 20
+
+Towers, Lieutenant, shown remnant of torpedo from _Hesperian_, II 40
+
+Trinity College, studies at, I 19
+
+Turkish Embassy left in charge of American Ambassador, I 346
+
+Tyrrell, Sir William, significance of his visit to the United States,
+ I 201;
+ unsatisfactory consultation with Bryan, I 202;
+ explains to President Wilson the British policy toward Mexico,
+ I 204, 207;
+ conversation with Colonel House, I 206;
+ Colonel House informs him of plan to visit Kaiser in behalf of
+ naval holiday plan, I 277;
+ advises House not to stop in England on way to Germany, I 289;
+ expresses relief on withdrawal of demands that Declaration of
+ London be adopted, I 387;
+ comment on Dumba's dismissal, and Bernstorff, II 101
+
+
+Underwood Tariff Bill, impressions of in Great Britain, 150, 172
+
+
+Van Hise, on proposed committee to lecture in England, II 346
+
+Vanderlip, Frank A., at the Speyer "peace dinner", I 404
+
+Villa, Pancho, thought by Wilson to be a patriot, I 227, 228
+
+Vincent, George, on proposed committee to lecture in England, II 346
+
+Von Jagow, offers no encouragement to Colonel House's proposals, I 289
+
+Von Papen, dismissal of, II 108
+
+Von Tirpitz, discussion with Viscount Haldane as to relative sizes of
+ navies, I 278;
+ hostile to Colonel House's proposals, I 289
+
+
+Waechter, Sir Max, efforts for "federation" and disarmament, I 284
+
+"Waging neutrality", policy of, I 362
+
+Wallace, Henry, letters to:
+ on Wilson's candidacy, I 105;
+ on backing up new Secretary of Agriculture, etc., I 115
+
+Wallace, Hugh C., accompanies Colonel House to Europe, I 288;
+ joins "assemblage of immortals" at Embassy, II 315
+
+Walsh, Sir Arthur, Master of the Ceremonies, I 135;
+ at train to bid good-bye, II 402
+
+Walsh, Senator Thomas, anti-English attitude, II 61
+
+War, American efforts to prevent the, I 270 _et seq._
+
+War, memorandum at outbreak of the, I 301
+
+Washington, Booker T., writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60;
+ induced to write "Up From Slavery", I 90
+
+Wantauga Club, activities of the, I 47;
+ crusade for education of Southern child, 73
+
+Wheeler, Benjamin Ide, gives Colonel House information of conditions
+ in Germany, I 281
+
+White, Henry, understanding of Hay-Pauncefote Treaty, I 242
+
+White, William Allen, writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60
+
+Whitlock, Brand, eulogized, I 334
+
+Willard, Joseph E., Colonel House confers with, in regard to peace
+ parleys, I 434
+
+Williams, Senator John Sharp, demonstrates blockade against Germany
+ not an injury to cotton-producing states, II 63
+
+Wilhelm II, nullifies Hague Conferences, I 280;
+ Colonel House disappointed in mission to, I 289;
+ derides American arbitration treaty, I 294;
+ Colonel House's impressions of, I 295;
+ asks President Wilson to transmit peace offer to Great Britain, I 426;
+ makes proposal to Delcassé to join in producing "complete isolation"
+ of the United States, II 192
+
+Wilson, Miss Willia Alice, married to Page, I 37
+
+Wilson, Dr. William, father of Mrs. Page, I 37
+
+Wilson, Sir Henry, succeeds Sir William Robertson as Chief of Imperial
+ General Staff, II 354 _note_
+
+Wilson, Woodrow, first acquaintance with, I 37;
+ writes for _Atlantic Monthly_, I 60;
+ Page greatly interested in his candidacy and election, I 102, _et seq._;
+ Colonel House introduced to, I 107;
+ memorandum of interview with, soon after election, I 110;
+ offers Ambassadorship, I 130;
+ attitude toward recognition of Huerta, I 180;
+ formulates new principle for dealing with Latin American republics,
+ I 182;
+ refuses to consider intervention in Mexico, I 193;
+ suggestion that he officially visit Sulgrave Manor, the ancestral
+ home of the Washingtons, I 195;
+ explains attitude on Panama Toll question to Sir William Tyrrell, I 207;
+ expresses gratification in way Page has handled Mexican situation, I 208;
+ letter giving credit for Carden's recall from Mexico, and for
+ constructive work, I 221;
+ addresses Congress asking repeal of Panama Tolls Bill, I 253;
+ plan to visit England on occasion of restoration of Sulgrave Manor,
+ 1274, 275, II 248;
+ requested by resolution of the Senate to proffer his good offices
+ for mediation between Austria and Serbia, I 317;
+ telegrams to and from Colonel House on proffering good offices to
+ avert war, I 317, 318;
+ message to King George proffering good offices to avert war, I 320;
+ neutrality letter to the Senate, I 360;
+ desires to start peace parleys, I 416;
+ insists on pressing the issue, I 423;
+ the "Too proud to fight" speech derided and denounced in England, II 6;
+ the _Lusitania_ notes, II 6;
+ Page's feeling toward policies of, II 8;
+ appreciation of Page letters, II 22;
+ peace activities after Sussex "pledge", II 148;
+ his reply to the German note concerning the submarine cessation,
+ II 150, 156;
+ reluctant to speak on foreign matters with his ambassadors, II 171, 172;
+ lived too much alone, no social touch, II 173;
+ addresses Congress on threatened railroad strike, II 172;
+ refuses to send high ranking officers as military attachés, II 177;
+ interview with Ambassador Page at Shadow Lawn, II 185;
+ sends peace communication to all the warring Powers, II 204;
+ reception in Great Britain of the "Peace without Victory" speech, II 212;
+ answer to the Pope's peace proposal, II 321, 323;
+ coldness toward the Allies, II 345;
+ his strong disapproval of closer relations with Great Britain,
+ prevents visit of Taft and noted committee, II 346
+ _Letters from_:
+ on "mistaken" opinion of British critics of Carranza and Villa,
+ I 227, 228;
+ expressing gratitude and regard of and hopes for repeal of Toll
+ Bill, I 254;
+ regarding the criticized speeches, I 262, 265;
+ reply to proposal to visit England, I 276;
+ acceptance of Page's resignation, II 396
+ _Letters to_:
+ congratulations and suggestions on Election Day, I 108;
+ as to best man for Secretary of Agriculture, I 114;
+ impressions of the British people, I 144;
+ on royal reception to King Christian of Denmark, I 167;
+ on the Mexican situation, I 184, 185, 188;
+ memorandum sent through Colonel House on intervention in Mexico, I 194;
+ on feeling in England toward Panama Tolls question, I 248;
+ recapitulating events bringing the two countries more in unity, I 251;
+ explanation of speech before Associated Chambers of Commerce, I 260, 263;
+ suggests speech attacking Anglophobia, I 264;
+ on the outbreak of war, I 303;
+ on German atrocities, I 325;
+ on agreement of nations not to make peace separately, etc., I 338;
+ attempts to enlighten on the real nature of the war, I 370;
+ "Rough notes toward an explanation of the British feeling toward the
+ United States," I 373;
+ on liability of Paris being captured and German peace drive being
+ launched, I 401;
+ on feeling of English toward American inaction after _Lusitania_
+ notes, II 40, 41, 43, 44, 45;
+ told that if he broke diplomatic relations with Germany he would end
+ the war, II 51;
+ on the military situation, fall of 1915, and the loss of American
+ prestige, II 94;
+ while waiting for interview sends notes of conversations with Lord
+ Grey and Lord Bryce, II 183;
+ letter of resignation--with some great truths, II 190;
+ regarding success of Balfour Mission, etc., II 256;
+ on financial situation among the Allies and the necessity of
+ American assistance, II 269;
+ on seriousness of submarine situation, II 280, 283, 286;
+ on slow progress of war and comments on Lord Lansdowne's peace
+ letter, II 327;
+ on British opinion on subject of League of Nations, II 355;
+ on the cheering effect of his war speeches and letters, II 385;
+ the resignation in obedience to physician's orders, II 393
+
+Wilson Doctrine, the, I 217
+
+Wood, Gen. Leonard, methods in Cuba an object lesson, I 177
+
+_World's Work_, founding of, I 66
+
+Worth, Nicholas, nom de plume in writing "The Southerner", I 90
+
+
+York, Archbishop of, letter commending him to Roosevelt, II 401
+
+
+Zeppelin attack on London, II 34, 38
+
+Zionism, view of, II 350
+
+Zimmermann, German under Foreign Secretary in communication with
+ Colonel House regarding peace proposals to Great Britain, I 426;
+ talk with House on peace terms, I 432
+
+Zimmermann, says Germany must apply for armistice, II 182
+
+Zimmermann-Mexico telegram influence on the United States declaration
+ of war, II 214.
+
+
+
+
+
+
+End of the Project Gutenberg EBook of The Life and Letters of Walter H.
+Page, Volume II, by Burton J. Hendrick
+
+*** END OF THIS PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK THE LIFE AND LETTERS OF ***
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